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Analysis of Expected Stock Returns in 2020 - 2022 Using Arbitrage Pricing Theory (Study on Stocks Incorporated with The IDX-30 Index on The Indonesia Stock Exchange) Harold Kevin Alfredo
Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies Vol. 3 No. 3 (2023): Journal Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/eduvest.v3i3.777

Abstract

This study aims to determine which IDX-30 member stock issuers have the highest expected return values in 2020, 2021, and 2022, and macroeconomics which have a high influence on the expected returns of IDX-30 member stock issuers in 2020, 2021, and 2022. The population in this study is all stock issuers who are registered as IDX-30 members in 2020, 2021, and 2022, and the stock data taken is the issuer's stock data from 2020, 2021, and 2022. Stock price data and prices The JCI index is taken from the Investing.com website, and data on stock issuers who are members of the IDX-30 2020 – 2022 are taken from the doctorsaham.com website. Bond data is obtained from the KSEI website. Inflation data and USD exchange rate data taken are monthly data from December 2019 – December 2022. Inflation data is taken from the BI.go.id website, and USD exchange data is taken from satudata.kemendag.go.id website. The sample in this study is all members of issuer shares who consistently join as IDX-30 members in 2020, 2021 and 2022. The number of IDX-30 samples in 2020 is 27 issuers of shares, in 2021 there are 26 issuers of shares, and in 2022 there are 26 stock issuers. Calculating expected stock returns using the Arbitrage Pricing Theory, and ranking expected stock returns is done in the Microsoft Excel application, and Linear Regression is used to test the hypothesis in the JASP application
Calculating Expected Stock Return Using Arbitrage Pricing Theory Model and Analyzing Independent Variables That Affect Stock Expected Return (Analysis Conducted on Kompas100 Stock Issuers For The Period 2020 – 2022) Harold Kevin Alfredo
Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management Vol. 2 No. 9 (2023): Journal Research of Social Science, Economics, and Management
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jrssem.v2i09.432

Abstract

This study aims to determine which variabel independent (IHSG, USD exchange, money supply (M2), and inflation) that has the most influence of expected returns using Arbitrage Pricing Theory Model for selected stock issuers from the KOMPAS100 Index for the period 2020 – 2022. The population in this study are all stock issuers registered as members of the KOMPAS100 Index for the period 2020 – 2022 using a purposive sampling technique to obtain 57 selected stock issuers from the KOMPAS100 Index population for the period 2020 – 2022. Data on stock issuers who are members of the KOMPAS100 Index for the period 2020 – 2022 is taken from the doktorsaham.com website. The monthly stock price data for selected issuers and the monthly JCI stock data are taken from the Investing.com website. Monthly inflation data for the period 2020 - 2022 is taken from the BI.go.id website. Monthly data on the amount of money in circulation (M2), and monthly data on the USD exchange rate for the period 2020 – 2022 are taken from the satudata.kemendag.go.id website. Arbitrage Pricing Theory is used to calculate the expected return of a sample of selected stock issuers using the Microsoft Excel application. JASP application is used to test the hypothesis using Linear Regression.
Multifactor Model of Risk and Return: APT to Fama and French Five Factor Model Harold Kevin Alfredo
Asian Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship and Social Science Vol. 3 No. 04 (2023): November, Asian Journal of Management, Entrepreneurship and Social Science
Publisher : Cita Konsultindo Research Center

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

This article is a literature review that discusses the articles of financial experts who popularized the method of calculating expected portfolio returns using economic factors that are considered to have an influence on the value of the portfolio greater than or equal to the influence exerted by market indices. The calculation method described in this study is an extension of the CAPM model introduced by Sharpe, Treynor, and Lintner in the 1960s. This article discusses starting from the method of Arbitrage Pricing Theory introduced by Ross in 1976, and the economic factors that become variables in the calculation of Arbitrage Pricing Theory proposed by NF. Chen, Roll, and Ross in 1986. then explained the calculation model Fama and French 3 Factor Model introduced in 1992, then Carhart 4 Factor Model which is an expansion of FF3FM, Pator-Stambaugh Model introduced by Lubos Pastor and Robert F. Stambaugh in 2001, and finally discusses the calculation model Fama and French Five Factor Model introduced in 2014 which is an expansion of FF3FM
Does inflation provide a more accurate expected return than sharia bonds? Alfredo, Harold Kevin
JPPI (Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Indonesia) Vol 10, No 3 (2024): JPPI (Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan Indonesia)
Publisher : Indonesian Institute for Counseling, Education and Theraphy (IICET)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29210/020243901

Abstract

Expected return is an important factor for investors in determining their portfolio strategy. Islamic bonds (sukuk) and inflation are often used as indicators in determining the expected rate of return. However, there is a challenge in determining which instrument is more accurate in describing the expected return. This study aims to test the Carhart Four Factor model with Islamic bonds and inflation as a substitute for Rf. This study uses a quantitative research method using MAD and determines the effect of each research variable using linear regression. The quantitative method was chosen in this study because it is appropriate for measuring and analyzing the relationship between numerical variables objectively and systematically. The results show that sukuk is superior to inflation in terms of expected return accuracy. Although inflation provides accurate results in some portfolios, especially in 2018 and 2021, sukuk consistently shows better accuracy in other years. These findings have significant implications for Islamic finance theory, indicating that sukuk can be a more reliable investment instrument in return planning.
PELATIHAN PENGGUNAAN WPS OFFICE SEBAGAI SARANA PENYUSUNAN LAPORAN KEUANGAN PADA UMKM YANG DIKELOLA OLEH IBU-IBU PKK DI SUMBER MULYO TANGGAMUS Wibowo, Rizki Agung; Wuryanti, Lestari; Alfredo, Harold Kevin; Rahmawati, Hamida Nur
Jurnal Bakti Masyarakat Manajemen Vol 4, No 1 (2024): Volume 4 Nomor 1 Tahun 2024
Publisher : Program Studi Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen Universitas Malahayati

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33024/jbmm.v4i2.18952

Abstract

Penyusunan laporan keuangan yang baik merupakan kunci berkembangnya bisnis. Laporan keuangan yang disusun tidak baik akan merusak usaha tersebut dalam jangka panjang. Ibu - ibu PKK di Tanggamus yang memiliki bisnis skala kecil sangat membutuhkan pelatihan laporan keuangan agar mereka mengetahui pengeluaran - pengeluaran yang mereka miliki dengan menggunakan laba bisnis dengan harapan agar mereka bisa lebih disiplin menggunakan laba kotor usaha mereka di masa depan, dan tidak dikeluarkan sebagian besar untuk kepentingan pribadi. Kami memberikan pelatihan penggunaan WPS Office sebagai alternatif Microsoft Office dengan fitur dan cara penggunaan yang sama. Hasil dari pelatihan ini adalah begitu antusiasnya peserta pelatihan untuk belajar menggunakan WPS Office khusunya sebagai aplikasi penyusun laporan keuangan usaha mereka.
Gerakan Literasi Keuangan Syariah Mengedukasi Masyarakat Dalam Memahami Produk Keuangan Anita Anita; Muhammad Irfan Pratama; Harold Kevin Alfredo
EKOMA : Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Vol. 4 No. 1: November 2024
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/ekoma.v4i1.5963

Abstract

The Shari'ah financial literacy movement is a strategic effort to support the government in educating the public to understand Islamic financial products. Islamic financial products have three pillars, among others, Promoting education programs and national financial literacy campaigns, Strengthening financial literacy infrastructure. With the rapid sharia industry sector and the sizeable Muslim population in Indonesia, it has an impact on the importance of Islamic Financial Literacy to introduce Islamic financial products to the public. This study uses the Library Review method by exploring various reports and journals that are available to obtain information regarding the background of the problem. The purpose of this study was to determine the effectiveness of the Islamic financial literacy movement that has been carried out by the Financial Services Authority (OJK) and other Financial Institutions to find the right solution for the acceleration of Islamic Financial Literacy.
PENGARUH LITERASI KEUANGAN SYARIAH (PENGETAHUAN, KEMAMPUAN, SIKAP, DAN KEPERCAYAAN) TERHADAP PENGAMBILAN KEPUTUSAN TRANSAKSI MUDHARABAH Muhammad Irfan Pratama; Harold Kevin Alfredo; Anita
JURNAL KONSISTEN Vol 1 No 2 (2024): JURNAL KONSISTEN VOL. 1 NO.2 2024
Publisher : Yayasan Sahabat Cendekia Jaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

  Literasi keuangan syariah dianggap mampu memberikan dampak pada keputusan seseorang menggunakan produk perbankan syariah seperti produk mudharabah. Penggunaan produk tersebut diharapkan mampu menjangkau masyarakat secara luas termasuk pada kalangan pendidik di tingkat sekolah atas (SMA).  Tetapi hasil dari  pra riset pada beberapa guru SMA di Provinsi Lampung belum memahami, mendapatkan info detail, maupun membaca tentang berbagai akad pada perbankan syariah yang menunjukkan literasi dalam keuangan syariah masih belum maksimal. Bahkan beberapa guru menyatakan tidak memahami tentang mudharabah dan bagaimana sistemnya. Dengan melakukan gerakan literasi keuangan syariah diharapkan masyarakat dapat memperoleh pemahaman mengenai lembaga keuangan syariah serta produk dan jasa keuangan syariah. Dalam meningkatkan literasi keuangan syariah dapat dilakukan dengan terus mengembangkan edukasi atas literasi keuangan syariah.Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif. Penelitian ini dilakukan pada tenaga pendidik SMA di Provinsi Lampung. Sampel pada penelitian ini adalah 100 responden. Pengambilan sampel dilakukan menggunakan Teknik purposive sampling. Pengolahan data pada penelitian ini yaitu menggunakan SPSS 2023.Hasil penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa Literasi Keuangan Syariah Pengetahuan, Kemampuan, Sikap dan Kepercayaan yaitu terdapat berpengaruh positif terhadap pengambilan keputusan transaksi mudharabah pada perbankan syariah di kalangan tenaga pendidik SMA di provinsi Lampung.
Pemberdayaan Masyarakat dalam Digitalisasi Keuangan UMKM melalui Pelatihan LibreOffice Calc Agung Wibowo, Rizki; Wuryanti, Lestari; Alfredo, Harold Kevin; Rahmawati, Hamida Nur; Pratama, Bagas Putra
DEDIKASI: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol 7 No 1 (2025): Dedikasi: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat, Januari-Juni 2025
Publisher : Pusat Pengabdian Masyarakat LPPM IAIN Metro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32332/sedhz982

Abstract

Penyusunan laporan keuangan yang baik merupakan kunci berkembangnya bisnis. Laporan keuangan yang disusun tidak baik akan merusak usaha tersebut dalam jangka panjang. Ibu - ibu Pemberdayaan Kesejahteraan Keluarga di Tanggamus yang memiliki bisnis skala kecil sangat membutuhkan pelatihan laporan keuangan agar mereka mengetahui pengeluaran - pengeluaran yang mereka miliki dengan menggunakan laba bisnis dengan harapan agar mereka bisa lebih disiplin menggunakan laba kotor usaha mereka di masa depan, dan tidak dikeluarkan sebagian besar untuk kepentingan pribadi. Tujuan dari kegiatan ini adalah membantu para ibu - ibu yang tergabung dalam Pemberdayaan Kesejahteraan Keluarga untuk lebih melek teknologi terhadap penggunaan aplikasi alternatif Microsoft Excel, yaitu LibreOffice Calc. Kami memberikan pelatihan penggunaan LibreOffice sebagai alternatif Microsoft Office dengan fitur dan cara penggunaan yang sama. Hasil dari pelatihan ini adalah begitu antusiasnya peserta pelatihan untuk belajar menggunakan LibreOffice Calc khusunya sebagai aplikasi penyusun laporan keuangan usaha para Ibu - Ibu yang tergabung dalam kelompok Pemberdayaan Kesejahteraan Keluarga. Kata kunci:  LibreOffice, Pemberdayaan Kesejahteraan Keluarga, Laporan, Keuangan, UMKM
Analisis perbandingan expected return saham LQ-45 dengan CAPM: Pra vs saat pandemi COVID-19 (2018–2021) Alfredo, Harold Kevin
Co-Creation : Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Manajemen Akuntansi dan Bisnis Vol. 3 No. 4 (2025): Co-Creation : Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Manajemen Akuntansi dan Bisnis
Publisher : ARKA INSTITUTE

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55904/cocreation.v3i4.1454

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui adanya perbedaan expected return saham sebelum dan selama COVID-19 di Bursa Efek Indonesia. Populasi dalam penelitian ini adalah seluruh emiten saham yang menjadi anggota LQ-45 dari tahun 2018 – 2021. Sampel dalam penelitian ini berjumlah 27 emiten saham yang konsisten masuk LQ-45 periode 2018 - 2021. Menghitung expected return saham menggunakan CAPM di Microsof Excel dan menguji hipotesis penelitian menggunakan Wilcoxon Signed – Rank t test di JASP Statistics. Hasil penelitian memberikan tiga kesimpulan, yaitu, pertama, terdapat suatu perbedaan expected return 27 emiten saham sebelum dan selama COVID-19 berdasarkan perhitungan CAPM. Kedua, metode perhitungan CAPM menunjukkan bahwa expected return selama COVID-19 lebih tinggi dibandingkan dengan sebelum COVID-19. Ketiga, hasil penelitian ini memberikan kesimpulan yang membenarkan pihak yang baru masuk terdaftar sebagai investor saham di BEI pada masa COVID-19 yang membuktikan bahwa expected return emiten saham yang termasuk dalam LQ-45 lebih menarik selama masa COVID-19.
Empirical Testing of Corporate Governance, and ESG Risk Scores: Their Effect on Company Value Alfredo, Harold Kevin; Pratama, Mohammad Irfan; Anita, Anita; Sejati, Hiro
Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (July-August 2
Publisher : Dinasti Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

There are still few previous studies in Indonesia that have conducted research using corporate governance, and Environmental, Social, and Governance risk scores as independent variables with company value as the dependent variable. So, this research aims to determine the influence of corporate governance and ESG scores on the value of companies included in Morningstar Sustainalytics. This research is a quantitative type of research using the size of the board of commissioners, independent commissioners, and gender diversity, as a proxy for corporate governance, the Morningstar Sustainalytics version of the ESG risk score as a proxy for the ESG rating. Company size and leverage are used as control variables in this study, and Tobin's Q as a proxy for company value. The research results found that corporate governance variables (board size, independent commissioners, and gender diversity) and ESG risk scores had a positive effect, however, they did not have a statistically significant effect on company value. This means that, statistically, the variables used are not able to convincingly explain changes in the company's market value as measured using Tobin's Q.