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All Journal E-Bisnis : Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal Transformatika Jurnal Mirai Management Jurnal Maneksi (Management Ekonomi Dan Akuntansi) Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Distribusi Al-Kharaj: Journal of Islamic Economic and Business JAKA (Jurnal Akuntansi, Keuangan dan Auditing) Jurnal Ilmiah MEA (Manajemen, Ekonomi, dan Akuntansi) Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Wawasan : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, Ekonomi dan Kewirausahaan Aktiva: Journal Of Accountancy and Management Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan aplikasi Teknologi Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Journal of Community Empowerment Advances: Jurnal Ekonomi & Bisnis Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Jurnal Akuntansi, Ekonomi dan Manajemen Bisnis KREATIF: Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Nusantara Economics and Digital Business Review
Almira Santi Samasta
Universitas Dian Nuswantoro, Semarang, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Engineering Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Social Sciences Other

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Ketahanan Ekonomi Indonesia dalam Menghadapi Guncangan Global: Analisis Kebijakan Moneter Pasca COVID-19 dan Perang Dagang Amalia Nur Chasanah; Almira Santi Samasta; Wikan Isthika
AKTIVA: Journal of Accountancy and Management Vol. 4 No. 1 (2026): Aktiva: Journal Of Accountancy and Management
Publisher : Faculty Of Islamic Economics and Business

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24260/aktiva.v4i1.6481

Abstract

Research Purpose: This study aims to analyze the effect of monetary policy on Indonesia’s economic resilience amid the COVID-19 pandemic and global trade uncertainty. Economic resilience is proxied by Gross Domestic Product (GDP), while the independent variables consist of the BI Rate, inflation, the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, and the Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR).Method: This study employs a quantitative approach using secondary quarterly time-series data covering the period 2018–2024, obtained from Bank Indonesia, Statistics Indonesia, the Financial Services Authority, and international sources. Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted using EViews.Research Finding: The results show that the BI Rate has a negative and significant effect on GDP, while LDR and the exchange rate have positive and significant effects. In contrast, inflation has no significant effect on GDP. Simultaneously, the BI Rate, inflation, LDR, and exchange rate significantly affect GDP, with an R-squared value of 92.13%.Contribution: These findings highlight the importance of monetary policy stability and strengthened banking intermediation in supporting Indonesia’s economic resilience amid global economic uncertainty. Tujuan Penelitian: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh kebijakan moneter terhadap ketahanan ekonomi Indonesia di tengah tekanan pandemi COVID-19 dan ketidakpastian perdagangan global. Ketahanan ekonomi diproksikan melalui Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB), sedangkan variabel independen meliputi BI Rate, inflasi, nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar Amerika Serikat, dan Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR).Metode: Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan data sekunder berbentuk time series triwulanan selama periode 2018–2024 yang diperoleh dari Bank Indonesia, Badan Pusat Statistik, Otoritas Jasa Keuangan, serta sumber internasional. Analisis dilakukan menggunakan regresi linear berganda dengan bantuan EViews.Temuan Penelitian: Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa BI Rate berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap PDB, sedangkan LDR dan nilai tukar berpengaruh positif dan signifikan. Sementara itu, inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB. Secara simultan, BI Rate, inflasi, LDR, dan nilai tukar berpengaruh signifikan terhadap PDB dengan nilai R² sebesar 92,13%.Kontribusi: Temuan ini menunjukkan pentingnya stabilitas kebijakan moneter dan penguatan intermediasi perbankan dalam mendukung ketahanan ekonomi Indonesia.
Co-Authors Adilla Kustya Ulfa Adji Herry Suhono Agus Prayitno Agus Prayitno Ainur Rachma Fitriya Amal Bahari Amalia Nur Chasanah Amaliya Fitriyana Ariati Anomsari Aries Setiawan Awanis Linati Haziroh Ayu Isna Fauziah Azzainuri Widyantoro Bara Zaretta Caesar Nicko Hibatullah Della Oktavia Ashari Destyana Putri Arsanti Dian Ayu Sevia Dian Prawitasari Diana Aqmala Diana Puspitasari Dinda Ayu Sabrina Fakhmi Zakaria Faricha Aulia Ananda Fariz Falevi Hida Mona Salsabila Ida Farida Ika Rahma Aulia Krisna Yunantha Putra Ariyadi Kusni Ingsih Maria Safitri Marta Erin Anggraini Melsanda Farelya Handhany Michael Ari Sulistia Putra Mochammad Eric Suryakencana Wibowo Mohammad Nurul Zamil Fahriza Nadya Febrianti Prayogi Naila Syakirotul Rizqiyah Nanda Adhi Purusa Nur Khasanah Oetari Setyoningrum Oktoriza, Linda Ayu Pradana Jati Kusuma Pradana Jati Kusuma Ratna Herawati Rudi Kurniawan Salma Atiq Khairunnisa Sih Darmi Astuti Sijabat, Rauly Suhita Whini Setyahuni Suhita Whini Setyahuni Thalia Putri Prihabsari Tharisya Alvita Cahyarani Tito Aditya Perdana Velyna Shofiyatun Nasikhah Vicky Oktavia Vicky Oktavia Wikan Isthika