Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : jurnal rekayasa sistem industri

PERBANDINGAN METODE SINGLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN MOVING AVERAGE PADA PERAMALAN PENJUALAN PRODUK MINYAK GORENG DI PT TUNAS BARU LAMPUNG Niken Chaerunnisa; Ade Momon
JURNAL REKAYASA SISTEM INDUSTRI Vol 6 No 2 (2021): (Mei 2021)
Publisher : Universitas Putera Batam

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33884/jrsi.v6i2.3694

Abstract

PT Tunas Baru Lampung is a company that produces palm cooking oil products under the Rose Brand brand. In product sales, companies sometimes experience ups and downs. Based on the sales data from Rose Brand Cooking Oil, the size of 1 L has fluctuated or in each period it changes and is not always boarding. Even though product sales are one of the important things to be evaluated from time to time on an ongoing basis. To predict future sales, forecasting is done. The forecasting method used is Double Exponential Smoothing and Moving Average. The method of accuracy will be compared using MSE, MAD, and MAPE. The results showed a comparison of the accuracy and the smallest error value in each method. By using the weight values ​​0.1, 0.3, 0.4, 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, and 0.8 on the Single Exponential Smoothing method the weight value is 0.8 or α = 0.8, namely MSE of 250,570,764.80, MAD of 12,922.32 and MAPE of 33.55 Then, using the movement value n = 3 in the Moving Average method has an accuracy of 438,980,942.75 MSE, 18,142.14 MAD, and 41.37 MAPE. After comparing the accuracy of the two methods, the Single Exponential Smoothing method is the best method to predict sales of Rose Brand 1 L Cooking Oil products.
Co-Authors A'lala, Alvin Kurnia Abdurrohman, Mumun Fadhilah Adimas Ristansyah, Ferry Aditiya Rizka Ramadhan Agus Dwi Susanto Agustian Suseno Agustin, Ardita Dwi Ajeng Chintawati Dewi Aldi Pratama Ardhi Prasetyo Buono Arya Rinanto, Muhammad Rafi Ayunda Zuserain Billy Nugraha Claodio, Antoni Damara Widi Ardiatma Debi Yulian Dene Herwanto Dika Almahdi Dyas Marsa Pranoto Elsya Maharani Fauzi Amin, Moh. Rizha Fawzy Muhammad Bayfurqon Fery Darus Nasution (Universitas Singaperbangsa) Firmansyah, Abdullah Fitriani, Risma Ghika Smarandana Gustiandikha Saputri Hafizh Hakim Hidajat Hakika Syaula Nurrajab S.P Husniyah, Ulfah Indah Nursyamsi Jauhari Arifin Khurul Ainy Kusnadi, Kusnadi Lulu Firyal Amalia Lutvi Ayu Andresta Malik Ij, Falih Abdul Martin, Riky Maulidin, Wildan Fatchan Mochamad Ilham Aziz Mochamad Ilham Aziz Mohammad Al-Farizi Fian Saputra Muhammad Faris Raffa Dzakiy Muharram, Ari Mumun Fadhilah Abdurrohman Nabila Aulia Gunanti Nasution, Bakhtiar Alam Naufal Zuhair Dzulfiqar Naura Mutia Astari Niken Chaerunnisa Nugraha, Asep Erik Nugroho Dimasuharto Nugroho Dimasuharto Nurhayati, Sinta Okky Jayadi Pratama, Fachri Dio Putri, Nirmala Rahma, Rana Ardila Rahmi, Hayatul Rayshita Dewi, Syafira Inzani Rianita Puspa Sari Risma Fitriani Rizky Wahyudin Rosyiidi, Thoriqi Salim Fikri Setyanto, M. Ulfi Akhsan Shakty Adhea Aditya Sri Widiyanti Putri Sudjiand Arya Kresna Supriyatna, Muhamad Tia Novianti Putri Tiara Tafana Nurmala Hamzah Wafiq, Ahmad Wahyudin Wahyudin Wahyudin Wahyudin Wahyudin Wahyudin Wicaksono, Rizky Adib Zehan Maulana