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Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Published by Universitas Sriwijaya
ISSN : 18295843     EISSN : 26850788     DOI : 10.29259/jep
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan is a peer-reviewed journal that provides a forum for scientific works pertaining to Development Economics. Published twice in a year (June and December). This Journal has p-ISSN 1829-5843, and e-ISSN 2685-0788. This journal was first published since June 2003 by the Department of Development Economics, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya. Editors receive manuscripts of unpublished paper contributions in other journals. JEP is expected to be used as a reference for academicians in writing a scientific, relevant, and dynamic article to enhance the new generation that is found in writing an academic paper.
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Articles 234 Documents
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Factors Affecting Inter-Regional Human Development Index in Jambi Province Choirur Rohmah; Suratno Suratno; Kuswanto Kuswanto; Ervan Johan Wicaksana
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.14416

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors that affect the human development index between regions of Jambi Province for the 2010-2020 period. The measured factors are health, education, and economy. Health factors are measured by life expectancy. The education factor has proxy the length of school expectation and average length of schooling. The economy can be measured by expenditure per capita. The type of data in this study is secondary data, namely data obtained and collected indirectly from the object under study. The objects of this research are 9 districts and 2 cities in Jambi Province for the period 2010-2020 from the official portal of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) Jambi Province. Data analysis through panel data regression. The finding of this study shows that life expectancy, length of school expectation, and expenditure per capita has positive effect on HDI among regions in Jambi Province. The findings can be used as material for consideration to identify various obstacles/problems faced by a particular area that has a high or low human index. After that, the government can make policies to increase one or more human development index factors that show a decline.
Quantifying Vulnerability to Poverty in the Future in the Local Region Rio Triwahyu Saputra
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.13926

Abstract

Poverty has always become a problem in an economic system, started from its detection to its eradication. So as happened in South OKU Regency, even its poverty level was the third lowest in the Province, but the human resources and economic system was not good enough. This led to a tendency that people in South OKU Regency just lived “as enough”, they were living above the poverty line, but so close to it. In the long term, this situation will become a serious problem. The poverty calculation method used by BPS Statistics Indonesia has limitedness as it does not include the aspects of social-economic and cannot calculate someone’s possibility to get into or out of poverty. This research aims to calculate the possibility of someone to become poor in the future and establish the solution to prevent it happens in South OKU Regency. With the vulnerability of expected poverty (VEP) analysis, it was known that there are 19,77 percent or 71.182 populations in South OKU Regency that are vulnerable to poverty. Based on the Decision Tree model created, the variables of per capita expenditure, asset ownership, and the number of household members can be used to classify households in South OKU regency by their poverty status. By detecting vulnerable to poverty households and helping them to sustain their welfare, will prevents the increase of the number of the poor in the future.
What are the Leading Sectors Expected to Reduce Inequality in South Sumatra Province? Dian Apriyani
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.15221

Abstract

This study aims to find out the leading sectors and to analyze income inequality in South Sumatera Province, which the result is very important since no recent research has been done in this field for the study area. The data used in this study are secondary data from 2011-2020 which are sourced from the publications of the BPS-Statistic of South Sumatera Province. To find out inequality and investigate its causes, Klassen typological analysis, Williamson index, and Theil's entropy index are used. Meanwhile, to analyze the potential leading sectors, a combination of Location Quotient analysis, Shift Share Analysis, and sectoral typology is used. The results of this study suggest that local governments develop the agricultural sector because it is proven to have excellent potential as a leading sector. In addition, the trade, hotel, and restaurant sector is a special sector and good to be developed because eleven regencies/cities have high potency for this sector. The results of the study also show that the regencies/cities in South Sumatera Province are grouped in quadrant III of Klassen’s, which is a relatively underdeveloped area. Income inequality in South Sumatra Province is categorized high with a Williamson index of 0.71, with the cause of the inequality being the inequality between groups of regencies/cities producing oil and gas.
The Impact of Smoking on Poverty: Evidence from Indonesia Arowadi Lubis; M. Reza Bukhori Ahmad; M. Ghafur Wibowo; Amalia Nur Zahra
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.16339

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of cigarette consumption on poverty incidents in Indonesia, control for Regional Gross Domestic Products, Consumption Credit, Human Development Index, and Unemployment. The data is obtained from the Bureau of Statistical Center (BPS) and the Financial Services Authority (OJK). The analysis is conducted by employing the Static Panel Data Model, namely Common Effect Model (CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (REM). Among the three, REM is the best model according to Chow and Hausman Test.  The finding shows that cigarette consumption in Indonesia tends to worsen poverty, indicated by the positive and significant relationship between cigarette consumption and poverty in REM analysis. Moreover, RGDP also has a significant and positive effect on poverty. It means that RGDP is not able to reduce poverty in Indonesia. Hence, it can be concluded that the impact of cigarette consumption in increasing poverty outweighs the impact of cigarette production in decreasing poverty through RGDP.
Forecasting of Daily Gold Price using ARIMA-GARCH Hybrid Model Sigit Setyowibowo; Mohamad As'ad; Sujito Sujito; Eni Farida
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 19, No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v19i2.13903

Abstract

Gold is a multifunctional precious metal. Apart from being jewelry, gold is a form of investment. For this reason, the public or investors need to know the estimated daily gold price for transactions for the public or investors who want to invest or also want to sell their gold, so they do not lose. This is the aim of this study. Many forecasting methods can be used to predict the daily gold price, but this study uses the ARIMA-GARCH hybrid model because this model can predict econometric models such as the daily gold price which usually contains high volatility. Daily gold price data was secondary data obtained from the investing.com website. The data was for the period March 12, 2016, to December 31, 2020. The results of this study are obtained for the ARIMA (1,1,1) -GARCH (2,1) hybrid model with a root mean square error (RMSE) forecasting accuracy value is 2.375454, the mean absolute error (MAE) is 1.702908, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is 0.001168113. From the results of this study, long-term investment is very profitable because there is an upward trend from the model obtained. For short-term investments, the public or investors have to update the research result model because the current gold price is influenced by the gold price only one period ago, so that when trading does not lose.
Human Resources Investment through the Scholarship Program Implementation for Sustainable Development in the Local Region Handoko Wijoyo; Faridatul Istighfaroh; Saiful Anam
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v20i1.17393

Abstract

Bojonegoro is the region that contributes 30 percent of national oil, so it is hoped that natural resources can be converted into human resources which are sustainable development investments, looking at the future of Bojonegoro Regency from the HDI perspective to achieve the largest target, whether the policy about scholarships taken has full implications for sustainable development, the researcher is using the Double Exponential Smoothing method. Data were obtained from the Regional Development Planning Agency and the Statistics of Bojonegoro report. Based on the calculation results, the best forecasting is obtained based on the measurement accuracy value of 0.7 MAPE  0.385 persen means that its very good criteria, with many scholarship programs from 2019-2021, concludin using qualitative methods plus 2022 Village RPL scholarships with the number of thousands of people, after graduating in 2024 IPM Bojonegoro is predicted to enter the high category, namely the highest score of 72.08 even more, as an outcome of the program it can be practiced because it is intended for stakeholders and structural drivers of villages in Bojonegoro, and this is in line with sustainable development.
Does Macroeconomic Fluctuation Matter for The Composite Stock Price Index? Adin Juli Wibowo; Rifki Khoirudin
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v20i1.17479

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the effect of interest rates, inflation, rupiah exchange rate, money supply, and exports on the composite stock price index (CSPI) in Indonesia. The data used is secondary data obtained from the Indonesian Statistics Agency (BPS) and Central Bank of Indonesia for the period from January 2014 to May 2021. This study applies a multiple linear regression model. The findings of this study indicate that interest rates, money supply, and exports have a positive sign and have a significant effect on the composite stock price index, meanwhile the rupiah exchange rate has a negative sign and a significant effect on CSPI. However, inflation has no significant effect on the composite stock price index.The implication of the results of this study is that macroeconomic variables are very important in highlighting transactions in the capital market, especially on fluctuations in the composite stock price index, these findings provide results that still need to be observed by policy makers. On the one hand, interest rates and inflation must remain under control. In addition, exports must also be increased to increase transactions in the capital market, foreign exchange and maintain the rupiah exchange rate for Indonesia
Specialization and Competitive Advantages of Leading Processing Industry in South Sumatra Sony Tian Dhora; Nairobi Nairobi; Arivina Ratih Taher
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v20i1.17744

Abstract

The contribution of the manufacturing sector to the GRDP of South Sumatra Province is 19.72 percent in 2020. A large percentage of GRDP does not necessarily indicate the potential of the processing industry to become a leading sector, so it is necessary to identify the leading processing industry sector. So that this study aims to identify the competitiveness of the leading processing industry sub-sector. The method used are Static Location Quetionts (SLQ), Dynamic Location Quetionts (DLQ), Dispersion Power Index (IDP), Sensitivity Index (IDK) which uses an overlay method to identify sub-sectors of the processing industry. Meanwhile, to determine the competitiveness of the leading processing industry sub-sector is using Shift-Share Dynamic analysis. Using the secondary data sourced from the Indonesia Statistics, the input-output table in 2016 and previous study from 2016-2020. The findings show that from the 16 sub-sectors of the processing industry, there are 3 sub-sectors which include the leading processing industry, namely the food and beverage industry; paper and paper goods industry, printing, and reproduction of recording media; and the chemical, pharmaceutical and traditional medicine industries. Food and beverage industry sub-sector; and the paper industry, and paper goods, printing and reproduction of recording media have competitiveness and specialization. Meanwhile, the chemical, pharmaceutical and traditional medicine industries have no specialization but are competitive.
Gender Inequality in Education and Regional Economic Growth in Indonesia Arifatul Karimah; Hera Susanti
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v20i1.17841

Abstract

Gender equality, particularly in the areas of education, health, and employment, also serves as a stimulant for faster growth. In Indonesia, attempts to integrate gender equality into development are yielding positive outcomes, with national gender equality indicators improving. However, Indonesia's global standing remains poor, as judged by the Woman, Business, and Law (WBL) Index for 2021, which ranks it 149th out of 190 countries. To promote growth, initiatives to increase the number and quality of human resources, including providing persons with the chance to obtain the broadest possible education, are continuing. This study explores the attainment of gender equality in education, as well as how it relates to economic growth as a metric of progress, using district/city fixed effect panel data for the period 2011-2020.The study's findings show that during the observation period, there was still a gender gap in educational achievement, particularly outside of the Java-Bali region. Increasing gender equality through the ratio of women's years of schooling, as well as the ratio of women to the workforce with a junior high school education that is in line with the needs of the workforce, especially in the industrial sector, contributes positively and significantly to regional economic growth.
The COVID-19 Pandemic: What Factors can Affect BUMN-20 Stock Return in Indonesia? Nur Afnila Audy; Harunnurrasyid Harunnurrasyid; Sri Andaiyani
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 20, No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Publisher : Department of Development Economics, Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29259/jep.v20i1.17926

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of the policy rate, inflation, exchange rate, and world oil prices on the stock return of 20 companies listed on the State-Owned Enterprises of Indonesia (BUMN-20) Index from July 2016 to June 2021. We divided into three periods that are all periods, before and during pandemic COVID-19. The population in this study is companies listed on Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). The sample is determined by using purposive sampling with a total amount of 20 companies and total data is 846. This study used quantitative data analysis in the form of time-series data and documenting methods in obtaining the data. The analytical tools in this study are using multiple regression analysis. The result shows that the policy rate has a significant positive effect on stock returns, inflation and exchange rate have a significant negative effect on stock returns, and world oil prices do not appear any significant effect on the stock return of the BUMN-20 Index. While before and during the COVID-19 pandemic imply only an exchange rate that has a significant and negative effect on stock return. This implies that the COVID-19 pandemic does not appear a significant effect on the performance of BUMN-20 return.

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