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Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika
Published by Universitas Samudra
ISSN : 26854287     EISSN : 25494104     DOI : 10.0123
Core Subject : Economy, Science, Social,
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika diterbitkan sejak tahun 2017 dan terbit 2 kali setahun pada bulan Maret dan September. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika merupakan wahana penyebarluasan hasil penelitian dan telaah koseptual dalam bidang Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan yang bertujuan menciptakan forum komunikasi dan informasi bagi hasil penelitian dan kajian analitis dalam skop Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekomomi dan Ekonometrika
Articles 142 Documents
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Analisis Determinasi Kemiskinan di 3 Provinsi Termiskin Pulau Sumatera Haikal, Muhammad; Alim, Muhammad Taqdirul; Irfan
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 9 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v9i2.12838

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors that influence the poverty rate in three provinces on the island of Sumatra, namely Aceh, Bengkulu, and Lampung. Against the backdrop of the huge challenges that the three provinces face in terms of infrastructure, employment opportunities, and the quality of public services, this study focuses on the influence of variables such as unemployment, inflation, income inequality, and the Human Development Index (HDI) on the poverty rate. Using the multiple linear regression analysis method, this study evaluates data from the period 1999 to 2023. The results show that the unemployment rate has a significant positive effect on the poverty rate, while inflation and income inequality have a negative impact. HDI also shows a significant effect in reducing the poverty rate. By finding the interaction between these factors, the research is expected to provide recommendations for more inclusive and sustainable development policies to improve people's welfare in the three provinces.
Does Social Assistance Expenditure Reduce Poverty? Panel Evidence from Indonesian Provinces Thahira, Zia; Agustina, Maulidar; Zikra, Naswatun; Amalina, Faizah; Mukhra, Uly Handayani
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 9 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v9i2.13180

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of poverty across Indonesian provinces with a particular focus on the role of social assistance expenditure. Using provincial panel data from 2015 to 2024, the analysis combines information on poverty headcount ratios with fiscal, economic, and political variables, namely social assistance per capita, gross regional domestic product (GRDP) per capita, unemployment rate, and election years. The study employs a fixed effects panel regression model, selected on the basis of specification tests, and incorporates one-year lagged values of social assistance and GRDP per capita to capture the delayed effects of fiscal and economic policies. The results reveal that social assistance has a negative but modest effect on poverty, indicating its limited yet relevant role in supporting vulnerable households. GRDP per capita emerges as the strongest determinant, confirming the importance of inclusive growth in driving poverty reduction, while unemployment significantly worsens poverty outcomes. In addition, poverty rates tend to fall in election years, reflecting the influence of political cycles on welfare spending. Overall, the findings underscore that poverty reduction in Indonesia requires multidimensional strategies that combine sustained economic growth, labor market improvements, and well-targeted social assistance, supported by institutional safeguards that ensure consistency beyond short-term political incentives.

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