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Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika
Published by Universitas Samudra
ISSN : 26854287     EISSN : 25494104     DOI : 10.0123
Core Subject : Economy, Science, Social,
Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Social Sciences
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika diterbitkan sejak tahun 2017 dan terbit 2 kali setahun pada bulan Maret dan September. Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika merupakan wahana penyebarluasan hasil penelitian dan telaah koseptual dalam bidang Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan yang bertujuan menciptakan forum komunikasi dan informasi bagi hasil penelitian dan kajian analitis dalam skop Ilmu Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan
Arjuna Subject : Ilmu Ekonomi, Ekonometrika dan Keuangan (semua kategori) - Ilmu Ekomomi dan Ekonometrika
Articles 148 Documents
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Analisis Determinasi Kemiskinan di 3 Provinsi Termiskin Pulau Sumatera Haikal, Muhammad; Alim, Muhammad Taqdirul; Irfan
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 9 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v9i2.12838

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the factors that influence the poverty rate in three provinces on the island of Sumatra, namely Aceh, Bengkulu, and Lampung. Against the backdrop of the huge challenges that the three provinces face in terms of infrastructure, employment opportunities, and the quality of public services, this study focuses on the influence of variables such as unemployment, inflation, income inequality, and the Human Development Index (HDI) on the poverty rate. Using the multiple linear regression analysis method, this study evaluates data from the period 1999 to 2023. The results show that the unemployment rate has a significant positive effect on the poverty rate, while inflation and income inequality have a negative impact. HDI also shows a significant effect in reducing the poverty rate. By finding the interaction between these factors, the research is expected to provide recommendations for more inclusive and sustainable development policies to improve people's welfare in the three provinces.
Does Social Assistance Expenditure Reduce Poverty? Panel Evidence from Indonesian Provinces Thahira, Zia; Agustina, Maulidar; Zikra, Naswatun; Amalina, Faizah; Mukhra, Uly Handayani
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 9 No 2 (2025): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v9i2.13180

Abstract

This study investigates the determinants of poverty across Indonesian provinces with a particular focus on the role of social assistance expenditure. Using provincial panel data from 2015 to 2024, the analysis combines information on poverty headcount ratios with fiscal, economic, and political variables, namely social assistance per capita, gross regional domestic product (GRDP) per capita, unemployment rate, and election years. The study employs a fixed effects panel regression model, selected on the basis of specification tests, and incorporates one-year lagged values of social assistance and GRDP per capita to capture the delayed effects of fiscal and economic policies. The results reveal that social assistance has a negative but modest effect on poverty, indicating its limited yet relevant role in supporting vulnerable households. GRDP per capita emerges as the strongest determinant, confirming the importance of inclusive growth in driving poverty reduction, while unemployment significantly worsens poverty outcomes. In addition, poverty rates tend to fall in election years, reflecting the influence of political cycles on welfare spending. Overall, the findings underscore that poverty reduction in Indonesia requires multidimensional strategies that combine sustained economic growth, labor market improvements, and well-targeted social assistance, supported by institutional safeguards that ensure consistency beyond short-term political incentives.
Pengaruh Pendidikan dan Upah Minimum terhadap Ketimpangan Pendapatan Antar Provinsi di Indonesia: Pendekatan Data Panel GMM Mauludin, Muhamad; Sahrul, Muhamad; Ihsanudin, 3Muhamad Husen
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.13691

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the effect of education and minimum wage on income inequality between provinces in Indonesia during the period 2020–2024. Income inequality is measured using the Williamson Index, with secondary panel data covering 34 provinces. The independent variables consist of education, represented by the average length of schooling, and the provincial minimum wage (UMP), expressed in natural logarithms. The analysis method used is the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) with the First Difference Arellano–Bond approach to address potential endogeneity and autocorrelation in the dynamic panel data model. The results show that the model used is valid and consistent, as evidenced by the Sargan test (p = 0.296) and Arellano–Bond test (AR(2) = 0.342). Empirically, education has a significant effect on income inequality, while the minimum wage has a negative but statistically insignificant effect. These findings confirm that improving the quality of education is a dominant factor in reducing economic disparities between regions in Indonesia, while minimum wage policies have the potential to serve as an instrument to support more equitable income redistribution.
ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF THE LEVEL OF POVERTY IN THE SPECIAL AUTONOMY ERA - ACEH: LOOKING AT THE DEGREE OF INDEPENDENCE AND FISCAL DECENTRALIZATION POLICY OF THE REGION Ulya, Zikriatul; Rizki, Dian Maulana; Ula, Tajul
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.13982

Abstract

Poverty in Aceh province is still relatively high, on the other hand the Aceh government has been supported by the existence of special autonomy funds. This study aims to analyze the effect of the degree of independence and fiscal decentralization policies on poverty in 23 regencies/cities in Aceh province for the period 2008-2021. The research model used is a panel data regression model with the Random Effect Model (REM) approach. The results of partial testing show that the degree of independence has a negative and significant effect on poverty and fiscal decentralization policies have a positive and significant effect on poverty. Furthermore, the results of simultaneous testing show that the degree of independence and fiscal decentralization policies have a significant effect on poverty. From the results of this analysis, the Regency/City governments in Aceh province must continue to increase their sources of regional income, especially from regional taxes and regional levies so that they can increase the degree of independence and fiscal decentralization policies which have implications for economic growth and reduce the number of poverty in their regions
PENGARUH GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD DAN TINGKAT INFLASI TERHADAP INVESTASI ASING LANGSUNG DI INDONESIA satria, wisnu; Nasriyal, Nasriyal; Marfali, Said Raushan; Abrar, Muhammad; Fachrurrozi, Kamal; Kadri, Mirzatul; Ichwan, Ichwan
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.14137

Abstract

Penelitian ini menganalisis pengaruh imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah (government bond yields) dan inflasi terhadap Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) di Indonesia menggunakan data sekunder periode 2003–2024 dengan metode regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap FDI. Artinya, ketika imbal hasil obligasi meningkat, investor asing memandang adanya peningkatan risiko dalam perekonomian, sehingga mereka lebih memilih instrumen keuangan yang dianggap aman dibandingkan melakukan investasi jangka panjang. Akibatnya, arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia cenderung menurun seiring meningkatnya imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah. Sementara itu, inflasi tidak terbukti berpengaruh signifikan terhadap FDI dalam periode penelitian. Hal ini dapat mengindikasikan bahwa fluktuasi inflasi berada dalam rentang yang masih dapat diprediksi atau telah diperhitungkan oleh investor asing, sehingga tidak secara langsung memengaruhi keputusan mereka dalam menanamkan modal. Model regresi yang digunakan telah memenuhi asumsi klasik, seperti normalitas, tidak adanya multikolinearitas, serta tidak terjadi heteroskedastisitas dan autokorelasi. Dengan demikian, hasil penelitian dinilai reliabel. Secara keseluruhan, penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa pergerakan imbal hasil obligasi pemerintah merupakan faktor penting dalam memengaruhi arus masuk FDI ke Indonesia.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI TINGKAT KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA BERDASARKAN DATA SUSENAS Priasih, Langgeng priasih; Achsan, Maulida; Utami, Rahmalia; Rishyadi, Shabira; Supriadi, Apip
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.13559

Abstract

Kemiskinan merupakan permasalahan multidimensional yang masih menjadi tantangan utama bagi pembangunan di Indonesia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh tingkat pengangguran terbuka, rata-rata lama sekolah, dan Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) per kapita terhadap tingkat kemiskinan antarprovinsi di Indonesia pada tahun 2023 dengan menggunakan data sekunder Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). Metode yang digunakan adalah regresi linier berganda dengan serangkaian uji asumsi klasik. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial ketiga variabel independen yang meliputi tingkat pengangguran terbuka, rata-rata lama sekolah, dan PDRB per kapita, tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap tingkat kemiskinan. Namun, rata-rata lama sekolah memiliki pengaruh negatif yang mendekati signifikan, mengindikasikan bahwa peningkatan pendidikan berpotensi menurunkan kemiskinan. Secara simultan, model regresi signifikan, yang berarti ketiga variabel bersama-sama berpengaruh terhadap tingkat kemiskinan. Nilai Adjusted R² sebesar 0,178 menunjukkan bahwa sekitar 18% variasi kemiskinan dapat dijelaskan oleh model, sedangkan sisanya dipengaruhi faktor lain seperti ketimpangan pendapatan, akses kesehatan, dan infrastruktur. Temuan ini memperkuat bahwa kemiskinan bersifat kompleks dan membutuhkan pendekatan kebijakan multidimensional yang terpadu.
THE ANALYSIS THE EFFICIENCY OF THE INDONESIAN FAMILY HOPE PROGRAM IN ACEH PROVINCE: DEA ANALYSIS APPROACH nurdin, safwan; Irfan, Irfan; Marzuki, Marzuki
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.14100

Abstract

This study measures the relative efficiency of the conditional cash transfer of the Indonesian Family Hope Program (PKH) in 23 districts / cities in Aceh Province during the period 2015 to 2021 by using two input variables, namely Budget Allocation and PKH Facilitators (PKH HR) and one output variable, namely PKH Beneficiary Families (KPM). This study uses the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) analysis tool with the output-oriented Variable Return to Scale (VRS) model approach. relative efficiency using a non-parametric approach. The results showed that the annual average efficiency level of the PKH Program during the period was 0.867 or 13.3% inefficiency. There were 10 regions with efficiency levels above average efficiency and 13 districts/cities below average efficiency. The highest is Singkil Regency with an efficiency level of 0.947 and the lowest is Simeulu Regency at 0.806. Efficiency measurements need to be carried out continuously to identify which PKH programs in which regions are inefficient in providing better social protection both in terms of budget allocation and absorption, assistance, and protection for beneficiary families (KPM). So that information on the efficiency of each region is needed as material for evaluation and improvement where inefficient areas need strategic efforts so that the level of efficiency towards optimal is improved while the area has a good level of efficiency can maintain and maintain it so that the objectives of the family hope program according to its guidelines can be realized.
Pengaruh Kebijakan Fiskal Dan Moneter Terhadap Pendapatan Nasional Di Indonesia ALDI RIYADI; Nurjannah; Nurlaila hanum
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomika Vol 10 No 1 (2026): Jurnal Samuka
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jse.v10i1.14102

Abstract

Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengkaji secara komprehensif bagaimana belanja sektor publik dan variasi suku bunga berdampak pada pendapatan nasional Indonesia, baik secara independen maupun bersama-sama, selama periode 2011 hingga 2023. Pendekatan metodologis kuantitatif digunakan, yang mencakup seluruh ekonomi nasional sebagai ruang lingkup analisis. Penelitian ini didasarkan pada data deret waktu sekunder yang dikumpulkan secara eksklusif dari sumber resmi seperti Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS) dan Bank Indonesia (BI). Untuk pemrosesan dan evaluasi data, model regresi linier berganda diterapkan dengan dukungan perangkat lunak EViews 12, sebuah alat yang memungkinkan estimasi yang lebih tepat dari interaksi antara variabel yang dipelajari. Temuan menunjukkan bahwa, secara terpisah, belanja publik memiliki efek positif dan signifikan secara statistik terhadap pendapatan nasional; sebaliknya, suku bunga memiliki efek negatif, meskipun tidak signifikan secara statistik. Dalam analisis bersama, kedua faktor tersebut menentukan dan menunjukkan dampak yang signifikan terhadap perilaku pendapatan nasional. Oleh karena itu, ditegaskan kembali bahwa kebijakan fiskal yang didasarkan pada peningkatan belanja publik merupakan instrumen utama untuk merangsang pertumbuhan ekonomi, sementara fluktuasi suku bunga, dalam jangka waktu yang dianalisis, tidak memiliki dampak langsung yang signifikan terhadap pendapatan nasional.

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