Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan is an academic journal focused on publishing empirical research papers, with a particular emphasis on the use of quantitative analysis tools—such as econometrics, parametric and non-parametric statistics, descriptive statistics, input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium (CGE) models, and others—in the study of economic and social issues
Articles
255 Documents
Trade Openness, Economic Agglomeration And Demand for Manufacturing Labor: Empirical Evidence in Indonesia
Khairunnisah Khairunnisah
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p02
Tarif impor yang semakin menurun di negara-negara berkembang khususnya Indonesia selama dua dekade terakhir dalam jangka pendek memiliki hubungan positif dengan permintaan tenaga kerja formal manufaktur. Akan tetapi pada jangka menengah dalam periode 5 tahunan, penurunan tarif impor dan permintaan tenaga kerja formal manufaktur menunjukkan hubungan negatif. Adanya keterbukaan perdagangan mendorong mobilitas tenaga kerja, baik antar daerah dan antar sektor yang mengakibatkan aglomerasi ekonomi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh penurunan tarif impor sektor manufaktur terhadap permintaan tenaga kerja formal manufaktur pada jangka menengah di tingkat kabupaten/kota dengan pendekatan Regional Tariff Exposure sektor manufaktur. Pendekatan Regional Tariff Exposure sektor manufaktur pada penelitian ini menggunakan pengembangan dari model faktor spesifik. Dengan menggunakan estimasi regresi tertimbang dan menerapkan selisih antar waktu 5 tahun diperoleh hasil bahwa Regional Tariff Exposure sektor manufaktur berpengaruh negatif terhadap permintaan tenaga kerja formal manufaktur. Sementara sektor manufaktur yang terdiversifikasi pada suatu wilayah terdampak pengaruh paparan tarif yang lebih kecil terhadap permintaan tenaga kerja formal manufaktur dibandingkan pengaruh langsung dari paparan penurunan tarif. Hal ini dapat menjadi solusi dalam pembentukan kawasan industri yang beragam untuk mengurangi paparan akibat perdagangan. Kata kunci : Keterbukaan Perdagangan; permintaan tenaga kerja; aglomerasi ekonomi, Klasifikasi JEL : F16, J23, R23
The Effect of Economic Openness, Democracy, and Institutional Quality on Indonesia Exports to ASEAN Plus Three
wikanatioso Wikantioso
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p07
The ASEAN Charter Agreement and the cooperation of the East Asia Free Trade Area ASEAN+3 provide momentum for ASEAN countries to increase economic openness, strengthen the application of democratic principles, and improve institutional quality to enhance trade cooperation. This study aims to explore the role of economic openness, democracy, and institutional quality in increasing Indonesia's exports to ASEAN countries plus three during the 1996-2017 period using the augmented gravity model. The results showed that the openness of ASEAN+3 to trade (trade% of GDP), democracy, and institutional quality of Indonesia and ASEAN+3 as Indonesia's export destination had positive effects in increasing Indonesia's exports to ASEAN+3. However foreign direct investment in Indonesia and ASEAN+3 does not affect the export. Keyword: trade gravity model, economic openness, democracy, governance institution, Indonesia's export, ASEAN+3
External Debt Sustainability in Selected ASEAN Countries: Do Macroeconomic Data and Institutions Matter?
malik cahyadin
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p03
Studi ini akan mengukur indikator hutang luar negeri yang berkelanjutan di tujuh negara ASEAN selama 1996-2017 menggunakan indicator-based model. Uji kointegrasi panel diterapkan untuk mengestimasi dampak indikator makroekonomi dan kelembagaan terhadap hutang luar negeri yang berkelanjutan. Terdapat dua indikator hutang luar negeri yang berkelanjutan, yaitu: (a) EDS1 – yang menunjukkan tingkat pertumbuhan hutang luar negeri lebih rendah dibandingkan dengan pertumbuhan GDP, dan (b) EDS2 – yang menunjukkan pertumbuahn GDP lebih besar dibandingkan dengan tingkat bunga riil. Temuan-temuan studi menunjukkan bahwa indikator makroekonomi dan beberapa indikator kelembagaan berdampak signifikan terhadap EDS1 sedangkan makroekonomi indikator – seperti pertumbuhan GDP, inflasi dan FDI inflows – dan satu indikator kelembagaan – seperti efektivitas pemerintah – berdampak signifikan terhadap EDS2 dalam jangka pendek. Speed of adjustment berdampak signifikan terhadap hutang luar negeri yang berkelanjutan dalam jangka pendek. Lebih lanjut, kointegrasi panel menjelaskan bahwa dalam jangka panjang indikator makroekonomi (kecuali nilai tukar) dan kelembagaan berdampak signifikan terhadap hutang luar negeri yang berkelanjutan. Hasil studi berkontribusi terhadap kebijakan pemerintah seperti kebijakan pengelolaan hutang luar negeri, pro-pertumbuhan, pro-investasi, stabilitas harga dan peningkatan kualitas kelembagaan baik pada tingkat sebuah negara dan tingkat ASEAN.
The Influence of Financial Indicators, Corporate Governance and Macroeconomic Variables on Financial Distress
Made Reina Candradewi;
Henny Rahyuda
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p08
This study aims to analyze the effect of financial indicators, corporate governance and macroeconomic variables on financial distress in manufacturing industry companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). This research is expected to provide solutions and insight to the companies in tackling financial distress. In addition, this research is expected to enrich knowledge about the influence of financial indicators, corporate governance, macroeconomic variables on financial distress. This research is conducted using a quantitative approach. The population in this study are all manufacturing industry companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in the period of 2016-2018. The sampling technique is purposive sampling method and the final sample in this study is 136 companies. The main findings of the study show that liquidity ratio has a negative and significant effect on financial distress, leverage ratio has a positive and significant effect on financial distress, activity ratio has a negative and significant effect on financial distress and the size of the board of directors has a negative and significant effect on financial distress.
Efisiensi Teknis Perkebunan Kelapa Sawit Mandiri di Indonesia
Firna Varina;
Sri Hartoyo;
Nunung Kusnadi;
Amzul Rifin
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p04
Studi ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui efisiensi teknis dan menganalisis sumber inefisiensi produksi kelapa sawit pekebun mandiri dengan mengggunakan pendekatan stokastik frontier. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa semua vaiabel input berpengaruh positif terhadap produksi kelapa sawit dengan skala usaha decreasing returns to scale. Pekebun menpunyai nilai rata-rata efisiensi teknis 0.6541, namun lebih dari 53 % yang mempunyai efisiensi lebih dari 0,70. Faktor-faktor seperti umur pekebun, pendidikan, penyuluhan, keanggotaan kelompok tani, kepemilikan lahan dan pembiayaan berpengaruh positif terhadap efisiensi teknis. Diharapkan dengan perbaikan faktor-faktor seperti penggunaan input, peningkatan pendidikan, penyuluhan budidaya kelapa sawit yang benar dan kemudahan akses perkreditan akan dapat meningkatkan produktivitas dan efisiensi teknis produksi kelapa sawit pekebun mandiri. Pekebun yang mempunyai tanaman kelapa sawit dengan umur lebih dari 30 tahun, dimana tanaman kelapa sawit mempunyai produktivitas dan TE terendah, harus mulai memikirkan peremajaan perkebunannya.
One Decade, 20 Percent Education Budget: How About Causality Between Education Success and Poverty?
Putu Yudy Wijaya;
Nyoman reni suasih
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 1, Februari 2021 (pp.1-241)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i01.p09
In 2019, exactly one decade of the government expenditure on education in Indonesia (central and local government) was allocated 20 percent. The purpose of this study was to analyze the causality relationship between government budget on education, education success (proxied by the mean years of schooling), and poverty (proxied by the number of poor people) in Indonesia. The data analyzed is secondary data, to be precise panel data from 34 provinces in Indonesia over a period of five years (2015-2019). The analysis technique used is the Granger Causality Test. The results showed that the government budget on education had a significant effect on the mean years of schooling and had a causal relationship with poverty. Meanwhile, poverty has been shown to affect the mean years of schooling. Based on the results of this analysis, it is for the government to consistently prioritize the budget for the education sector because it is proven to have an impact on education success and poverty alleviation. In addition, the government also needs to pursue poverty alleviation programs such as subsidizing cash assistance for student in poverty.
Planning Consistency and the Political Budget Cycle in Indonesia
Khoirunurrofik Khoirunurrofik;
Farina rahmawati
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 2, Agustus 2021 (pp.243-431)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i02.p06
This study aims to find empirical evidence of the relationship between planning and the practices associated with political budget cycles in Indonesia, with reference to the simultaneous regional head elections held in 2017 and 2018. A fixed-effect method using least-square dummy variables analyzes the role of planning in the relationship between local-government spending and political budget cycle behaviors. The results indicate that consistency between planning and budgeting can control the discretion applied by regional heads to increase and decrease budget expenditure in the two years before an election, one year before an election and in the election year itself. The magnitude of these reductions or increases differs between types of expenditure. The association between planning and the political budget cycle is significant in the two years before an election for primary expenditure allocations and in a year before an election for allocations of capital expenditure, social assistance, and grants and subsidies.
Balinese Indigenous Knowledge about Water : A Way to Achieve Water Sustainability
Amrita Nugraheni Saraswaty;
Wayan Gita Kesuma;
Murjana Yasa
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 2, Agustus 2021 (pp.243-431)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i02.p09
For the Balinese, water is essential for their ritual-based culture. Water is an entity to complete Balinese everyday life, especially the spiritual aspects that need holy water for rituals. This study aims to analyze the influence of Balinese indigenous knowledge about groundwater management, membership of the indigenous organizations, perception of the catchment areas, and water resources alternatives to groundwater resource conservation amongst Balinese. To address this, a survey of a representative sample of 139 Balinese adults in SARBAGITA (Denpasar Regency, Badung Regency, Gianyar Regency, and Tabanan Regency) has been conducted. With logistic regression model, this study found that knowledge and method used in respondents' households when water is limited are the most significant factor that affects respondents' willingness to participate in sacred springs conservation program.
Dampak COVID-19 Terhadap FinTech Lending Di Indonesia: Fakta Dari From Interrupted Time Series Analysis
Abdul Khaliq
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 2, Agustus 2021 (pp.243-431)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i02.p01
Penelitian ini mengukur dampak pandemi COVID-19 terhadap financial technology (FinTech) lending di Indonesia. Menggunakan data bulanan FinTech yang dipublikasikan oleh Otoritas Jasa Keuangan pada periode 2018M02-2021M04, artikel ini mengukur dampak COVID-19 yang dimulai pada tanggal 2 Maret 2020 terhadap FinTech dengan mengadopsi interrupted time series (ITS) experiment. Estimasi memperlihatkan COVID-19 memiliki dampak negatif pada perubahan level (changes in level) FinTech lending di Indonesia, tetapi perubahan tren (changes in trend) adalah positif. Selanjutnya, COVID-19 berdampak negatif dan secara statistik signifikan terhadap perubahan level Rasio Pinjaman Lancar (s.d. 90 hari). Namun, COVID-19 memberikan efek positif dan secara statistik signifikan pada perubahan level Rasio Pinjaman Macet (>90 hari). Temuan ini merekomendasikan bahwa otoritas jasa keuangan secara intensif mendorong berbagai model baru bisnis FinTech yang inovatif post-COVID19 dalam upaya memperluas inklusi keuangan digital dengan menyediakan pembiayaan bagi masyarakat (P2P) yang tidak tersentuh oleh bank.
ANALISA DAMPAK KREDIT DARI LEMBAGA KEUANGAN TERHADAP PENDAPATAN UMK DI PROVINSI BALI
Ksama Putra;
Ni Putu Wiwin Setyari
Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan 2021: Vol. 14, No. 2, Agustus 2021 (pp.243-431)
Publisher : Universitas Udayana
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DOI: 10.24843/JEKT.2021.v14.i02.p04
Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs) are a business scale that dominates the national economy and the regional economy of Bali. Playing a strategic role, MSEs still have limitations in developing their businesses. One solution to overcoming this limitation is through additional capital through business credit lines from financial institutions. With additional capital, business actors can expand marketing, add production factors, improve output quality and so on. But on the other hand, the impact of credit also has a negative effect. Regular debt payments and additional payments through credit interest are the things that affect the smoothness of the company's financial balance. This study aims to determine the impact of credit on MSE income in Bali. The data used are SE2016-Advanced and PODES (BPS) data. The research method uses the analysis technique Propensity Score Matching (PSM). Based on processing results, credit has a significant positive impact on MSE income.