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PENGEMBANGAN MODEL SARIMA UNTUK MERAMALKAN PRODUKSI TANAMAN OBAT DI INDONESIA Nugra Irianta Denashurya
JURNAL AGRIBISNIS Vol. 13 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Agribisnis Volume 13 No 2 Tahun 2024
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32520/agribisnis.v13i2.3601

Abstract

Tanaman obat memiliki peran penting dalam budaya Indonesia dan digunakan secara luas dalam bidang kesehatan dan kecantikan. Produksi tanaman obat sangat krusial bagi industri fitofarmaka, yang merupakan industri penting bagi kesehatan masyarakat. Oleh karena itu, meramalkan produksi tanaman obat di masa depan menjadi sangat penting untuk memastikan ketersediaan bahan baku yang memadai bagi industri fitofarmaka. Salah satu metode peramalan yang sering digunakan adalah Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), yang digunakan untuk memprediksi data berkala atau data yang memiliki pola musiman. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengembangkan model SARIMA untuk meramalkan produksi kencur sebagai salah satu jenis tanaman obat di Indonesia dan menganalisis dampaknya pada industri fitofarmaka. Data produksi kencur dan dua jenis tanaman obat lainnya diambil dari Badan Pusat Statistik (2024) dan sumber lainnya, untuk setiap bulan dari Januari 2015 sampai Desember 2024. Software statistik Python dengan menggunakan paket "statsmodels" digunakan untuk mengolah data dan membuat ramalan produksi kencur di masa depan. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa model SARIMA yang dikembangkan dapat digunakan untuk meramalkan produksi tanaman obat di masa depan dengan akurasi yang baik. Medicinal plants play an important role in Indonesian culture and are widely used in health and beauty fields. The production of medicinal plants is crucial for the phytopharmaceutical industry, which is an important industry for public health. Therefore, forecasting medicinal plant production in the future becomes very important to ensure adequate raw materials for the phytopharmaceutical industry. One of the forecasting methods commonly used is Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), which is used to predict periodic or seasonally patterned data. This study aims to develop a SARIMA model to forecast the production of "kencur" as one of the medicinal plants in Indonesia and analyze its impact on the phytopharmaceutical industry. Data on "kencur" production and two other types of medicinal plants were taken from the Central Bureau of Statistics (2024) and other sources, for every month from January 2015 to December 2024. Python statistical software using the "statsmodels" package was used to process data and create forecasts of future "kencur" production. The results of the study showed that the developed SARIMA model can be used to forecast medicinal plant production in the future with good accuracy.
PANDANGAN LEMBAGA PENYEDIA MODAL TERHADAP STANDAR KUALITAS LAPORAN SEKTOR PERTANIAN DI KABUPATEN SAMBAS Denashurya, Nugra Irianta
Agros Journal of Agriculture Science Vol 26, No 4 (2024): Edisi Oktober
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Janabadra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37159/jpa.v26i4.4811

Abstract

Although the economic growth of Sambas Regency reached 4.63%, the poverty and unemployment rates are still high, reaching 7%, so the government is developing the agricultural sector to overcome this problem with the support of financial institutions that facilitate business capital for prospective entrepreneurs with certain qualifications. The main objective of this study is to identify how financial reports are made by the agricultural sector in Sambas Regency at this time and to understand the views of capital providers on the quality standards of these financial reports. A descriptive approach by collecting data from various sources to describe and interpret current conditions through a questionnaire survey of 30 capital institutions and 10 agricultural sectors in Sambas Regency, which were randomly selected from the population of capital providers and agricultural sectors that met the criteria for financial reports was used in the study. Qualitative methods were used to analyze variables that include the use of financial reports in the agricultural sector and the views of capital providers in Sambas Regency, with a focus on recording by Financial Accounting Standards, understanding financial reports, and report quality based on standards such as Relevance, Understandability, Verifiability, Neutrality, Timeliness, Comparability, and Completeness.
PERKEMBANGAN MODEL PEMBIAYAAN AGRIBISNIS: PERSPEKTIF SEJARAH DAN IMPLIKASI BAGI MANAJEMEN KEUANGAN SAAT INI Denashurya, Nugra Irianta; Junaidi, Eko Wahyu; Atmojo, Singgih Tiwut
Agripreneur : Jurnal Pertanian Agribisnis Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025): June: Ilmu Pertanian dan Bidang Terkait
Publisher : Institute of Computer Science (IOCS)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35335/agripreneur.v14i1.6427

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis perkembangan model pembiayaan agribisnis dari perspektif historis serta implikasinya terhadap manajemen keuangan. Model pembiayaan agribisnis telah mengalami evolusi dari sistem tradisional berbasis komunitas menuju model berbasis teknologi finansial (fintech) yang lebih inklusif dan fleksibel. Faktor utama yang mendorong perubahan ini meliputi kebijakan ekonomi, perkembangan teknologi keuangan, serta globalisasi pasar. Digitalisasi dalam pembiayaan agribisnis meningkatkan akses modal, namun juga menghadirkan tantangan seperti regulasi, keamanan data, dan literasi keuangan. Dengan pendekatan kualitatif yang menggabungkan studi sejarah dan analisis deskriptif, penelitian ini menemukan bahwa kombinasi pembiayaan konvensional dan digital mampu menciptakan sistem pembiayaan yang adaptif dan berkelanjutan. Oleh karena itu, strategi manajemen keuangan yang fleksibel diperlukan agar pelaku agribisnis dapat memanfaatkan berbagai sumber pembiayaan secara optimal.
Potensi Terapeutik Bunga Telang (Clitoria Ternatea L) sebagai Obat Herbal untuk Kesehatan Masyarakat Desa Parit Baru, Kabupaten Sambas: The Therapeutic Potential of Butterfly Pea Flower (Clitoria ternatea L.) as a Herbal Medicine for the Health of the Parit Baru Village Community, Sambas Regency Denashurya, Nugra Irianta
PengabdianMu: Jurnal Ilmiah Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Vol. 10 No. 6 (2025): PengabdianMu: Jurnal Ilmiah Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Institute for Research and Community Services Universitas Muhammadiyah Palangkaraya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33084/pengabdianmu.v10i6.9379

Abstract

The utilization of herbal medicinal plants is becoming increasingly important in raising public awareness of natural health. This Community Service activity aims to enhance the understanding of the people in Parit Baru Village, Sambas Regency, regarding the therapeutic potential of butterfly peas (Clitoria ternatea L.) as an herbal remedy. The methods used in this activity include counseling, distribution of informational media in the form of posters, and the provision of plant seedlings to the PKK women’s group. Evaluation was conducted by comparing pre-test and post-test results to measure participants' knowledge improvement. The results showed that the majority of participants experienced an increase in knowledge after attending the socialization session. Additionally, the distribution of plant seedlings and posters is expected to encourage the community to cultivate and utilize butterfly peas sustainably. Thus, this activity contributes to expanding the use of herbal medicinal plants at the community level.
Pelatihan dan Pendampingan Penyusunan Rencana Bisnis Model Canvas pada TKML di Kabupaten Mempawah Singgih Tiwut Atmojo; Irba’ Muhlas Sambodo; Nugra Irianta Denashurya; Gunadi Gunadi; Eko Wahyu Junaidi
Pemberdayaan Masyarakat : Jurnal Aksi Sosial Vol. 2 No. 2 (2025): Juni : Pemberdayaan Masyarakat : Jurnal Aksi Sosial
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.62383/aksisosial.v2i2.1419

Abstract

This PKM is carried out to provide assistance for TKML programs from KEMENAKER RI in Mempawah Regency to develop business using the Business Model Canvas (BMC) method approach. Business mapping is carried out by implementing nine BMC steps. The training process is carried out online and offline as well as direct visits to each TKM. Activities are carried out by discussing BMC by academics who are carrying out PKM, and then presenting the results of the discussion in the forum. The results of this training process are that participants understand their business processes, can map the businesses they run using the BMC method and can gradually increase sales and profits from the businesses they run. In the long term, it is hoped that TKM can be implemented sustainably in order to develop their businesses and also create new SMEs/Businesses that are able to compete in the business world in the future.
Analisis Kelayakan Usaha Tempe Kedelai GMO pada UMKM Annisa di Kubu Raya Irba Muhlas Sambodo; Nugra Irianta Denashurya; Singgih Tiwut Atmojo
Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Tanaman Vol. 4 No. 1 (2025): April : Jurnal Riset Rumpun Ilmu Tanaman
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/jurrit.v4i1.5649

Abstract

This study aims to evaluate the financial feasibility of tempeh production using genetically modified soybeans (Genetically Modified Organisms/GMO) at the Annisa Tempe Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprise (MSME) in Kubu Raya Regency. GMO soybeans are the preferred choice for the business owner due to their stable availability and lower price compared to local soybeans. This research employs a case study approach and utilizes investment feasibility analysis methods, including Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and Net Benefit-Cost Ratio (Net B/C). The results show that the business yields an NPV of IDR 779,241,805, an IRR of 20.82%, and a Net B/C of 78.92. These indicators demonstrate that the GMO-based tempeh business at Annisa Tempe MSME is highly feasible from a financial perspective. The study also identifies key challenges such as competition in traditional markets and highlights opportunities through direct distribution and stable raw material supply. These findings are expected to serve as a reference for MSME actors, academics, and policymakers in developing sustainable GMO-based local food businesses.
CHATGPT IN ACADEMIC LEARNING: EFL SENIOR COLLEGE STUDENTS’ ATTITUDES AND GENDER DIFFERENCES TOWARD CHATGPT Fauzi, Chandra; Denashurya, Nugra Irianta; Rahmani, Eka Fajar
The Journal Of English Teaching For Young And Adult Learners Vol. 4 No. 2 (2025): Journal of English Teaching for Young and Adult learners
Publisher : English Education Study Program STKIP PGRI Pacitan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The adoption of ChatGPT into academic setting could be more prevalent due to its potential in leveraging EFL learners’ language skills. Despite its popularity, the integration of this AI tool in Indonesia within academic setting is still relatively underdeveloped, and taking into account how learners perceive ChatGPT could potentially provide informed decisions before its integration. Thus, this study aimed at investigating learners’ attitudes towards ChatGPT with particular attention to gender and related variables suggested by the literature. Adopting a qualitative approach through cross-sectional survey, 70 EFL college students of non-English major participated in this study in filling out five-likert scale of 32 items. The findings demonstrated that learners had moderate attitude towards ChatGPT in behavioral, affective, and emotional aspect, and exhibited low frequency and usage duration on ChatGPT. The students had mixed attitudes on ethical issues in using ChatGPT, and generally supported the notion of using ChatGPT adhering to institution regulation, and there was no indication of addition to the tool in academic setting. While there was no significant difference in affective and cognitive aspects, it was found that male differed significantly than female students in terms of behavioral aspect, indicating the tendency of using ChatGPT for future academic activities.
Perbandingan Favipiravir dengan Remdesivir terhadap Tingkat Kesembuhan Pasien COVID-19 ‘Afifah, Hana; Deswiaqsa, Kathina; Denashurya, Nugra Irianta
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Pendahuluan: Penyakit Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) telah menjadi ancaman terhadap kesehatan masyarakat secara global. Hingga kini, belum ada rekomendasi obat yang dikhususkan untuk pencegahan COVID-19, akan tetapi terapi farmakologis yang diharapkan mampu menangani penyakit COVID-19 yaitu dengan penggunaan antivirus seperti favipiravir dan remdesivir. Tujuan: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perbandingan favipiravir dengan remdesivir terhadap tingkat kesembuhan pasien COVID-19. Metode: Metode penelitian ini adalah metode observasional analitik dengan pendekatan retrospektif, menggunakan teknik sampling purposive sampling dan analisis data menggunakan uji chi-square. Hasil: Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dari 139 pasien, memiliki lama hari rawat inap ≤14 hari (86,4%), kadar Sp >95% (59,2%), temperature tinggi (57,3%), kasus terbanyak dialami laki-laki (54,4%), usia terbanyak ≥60 tahun (38,8%). Simpulan: Kesimpulan pada penelitian ini adalah terdapat perbandingan favipiravir dengan remdesivir terhadap tingkat kesembuhan pasien COVID-19.
Pengaruh Pengetahuan Terhadap Perilaku Penggunaan Antibiotik Di Masyarakat Dusun Kubu Desa Durian Kabupaten Sambas Deswiaqsa, Kathina; Utami, Meri Tri; Denashurya, Nugra Irianta
Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research Vol. 3 No. 6 (2023): Innovative: Journal Of Social Science Research
Publisher : Universitas Pahlawan Tuanku Tambusai

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31004/innovative.v3i6.9099

Abstract

Antibiotik sering diresepkan pada pasien, namun penggunaannya sering kali tidak tepat. Penggunaan antibiotik yang tidak tepat dapat mengakibatkan masalah resistensi, sehingga bakteri menjadi tidak mudah diatasi oleh antibiotik. Berdasarkan Riskesdas (2013) Kalimantan Barat merupakan salah satu provinsi yang penyimpanan antibiotik tanpa resep paling banyak yaitu 90,2%. Mengatasi peningkatan penggunaan dan penyimpanan antibiotik tanpa resep dokter, Gubernur Kalimantan Barat mengatakan bahwa pada tahun 2019 sudah dikeluarkan edaran tidak boleh menjual obat secara bebas salah satunya antibiotik, penggunaan antibiotik harus berdasarkan resep dari dokter karena ditemukannya kasus gagal ginjal efek dari penggunaan antibiotik yang tidak tepat. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pengetahuan terhadap perilaku penggunaan antibiotik di masyarakat Dusun Kubu Desa Durian Kabupaten Sambas. Metode penelitian observasional deskriptif dengan pendekatan cross-sectional dilakukan uji validitas, uji reabilitas, dan uji chi-square pada spss versi 25. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan mayoritas responden berjenis kelamin perempuan (55%), berusia antara 36-45 (25%), pendidikan terakhir SMA (60%), pekerjaan wiraswasta (42,9%), antibiotik yang pernah digunakan amoxicillin (87,9%). Tingkat pengetahuan responden tergolong baik yaitu (45,7%) dan untuk perilaku termasuk dalam kategori cukup (76,4%). Penelitian ini menunjukkan adanya pengaruh pengetahuan terhadap perilaku penggunaan antibiotik di masyarakat Dusun Kubu Desa Durian Kabupaten Sambas.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMENGARUHI MOTIVASI KERJA KARYAWAN PADA PABRIK PENGOLAHAN MAKANAN INTI RASA SINGKAWANG Atmojo, Singgih Tiwut; Irianta Denashurya, Nugra; Muhlas Sambodo, Irba'
Jurnal Pertanian Agros Vol 27 No 2 (2025): EDISI APRIL
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian Universitas Janabadra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37159/jpa.v27i2.73

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to determine the factors that influence employee work motivation at the Inti Rasa factory in Singkawang City. The variables in this study are compensation or salary, work environment, work facilities, work performance, recognition from superiors, and the work itself. The method used in this study is a descriptive qualitative method with data collection techniques through observation and questionnaires. The sample in this study was 27 people using the census sampling technique, where all members of the employee population were sampled. The analysis tool used was the Likert scale and the level of respondent perception. The results of the study on the salary variable, the average value was 3.98. For the work environment variable, the average value was 4.03. For the work facility variable, the average value was 4.16. On the work performance variable, the average value was 4.01. The recognition variable from superiors, the average value was 4.12. The work variable itself, the average value was 3.93. The total average overall was 4.04, so the influence of motivation given by the Inti Rasa Singkawang factory was categorized as high or satisfactory.