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Klasifikasi Status Penerima Bantuan Program Keluarga Harapan di Provinsi NTB Menggunakan Metode Regresi Probit Zulhan Widya Baskara; Harsyiah, Lisa; Widya Baskara, Zulhan; Eka Putri, Dina; Jurniati, Jurniati
Mandalika Mathematics and Educations Journal Vol 7 No 3 (2025): Edisi September
Publisher : FKIP Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jm.v7i3.9776

Abstract

The Indonesian government's effort to accelerate the achievement of comprehensive social welfare involves adopting strategic policies in the form of distributing social assistance to economically vulnerable communities. One concrete example of this policy is the Family Hope Program (Program Keluarga Harapan/PKH). However, its implementation in the field still faces challenges, particularly in the form of unequal distribution, which has the potential to hinder the program’s effectiveness. To address this issue, a rigorous verification system is required to ensure that prospective beneficiaries truly meet the official criteria set by the government. Therefore, classifying households eligible for PKH is a crucial step. The probit regression approach is employed as a method to analyze and determine the household eligibility status. This method yields an accuracy rate of 76.25%, which is considered valid and reliable based on the Press’s Q statistic
Pelatihan Pembuatan Media Pembelajaran Matematika Interaktif Berbasis Microsoft Powerpoint di MA Attamimy Lombok Tengah Fitriyani, Nurul; Hadijati, Mustika; Harsyiah, Lisa; Baskara, Zulhan Widya
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Sains Indonesia (Indonesian Journal Of Science Community Services) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jpmsi.v3i2.147

Abstract

Madrasah Aliyah (MA) Attamimy adalah yang berada di bawah naungan Yayasan Pondok Pesantren Attamimy. MA Attamimy ini memiliki visi dan misi untuk melahirkan manusia-manusia yang berimtaq, berakhlak mulia, serta mampu bersaing menghadapi tantangan zaman global. Pada dasarnya, MA Attamimy ini telah memilki fasilitas komputer beserta akses internet yang cukup memadai, namun penggunaannya belum digunakan secara maksimal. Masalah lain yang juga terjadi adalah munculnya istilah mathematics phobia di kalangan siswa di MA Attamimy. Beberapa kesan negatif mengenai ilmu sains dan matematika ini mengharuskan penyampaian materi dan proses pembelajaran di kelas harus dikemas semenarik mungkin. Tujuan dilakukannya kegiatan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat ini adalah dalam rangka pemanfaatan internet dan Microsoft PowerPoint dalam membuat media pembelajaran yang interaktif. Berdasarkan kegiatan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat yang dilakukan di MA Attamimy, perlu untuk dilakukan kegiatan lanjutan sebagai bentuk kesinambungan kegiatan. Microsoft PowerPoint sendiri telah dimanfaatkan dalam membuat media pembelajaran interaktif oleh peserta kegiatan Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat, hanya saja perlu ditingkatkan pemanfaatan fitur-fitur, salah satunya fitur hyperlink, sehingga dapat meningkatkan kualitas pembelajaran.
Analisis Regresi Komponen Utama untuk Mengatasi Multikolinearitas pada Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Hidayatullah, Azka Fariz; Saputra, Dede; Inarah, Filzah; Evita, Isma; Fadillah, Muhammad; Harsyiah, Lisa
JSN : Jurnal Sains Natural Vol. 2 No. 1 (2024): Februari
Publisher : Puslitbang Sekawan Institute Nusa Tenggara

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35746/jsn.v2i1.497

Abstract

West Nusa Tenggara and East Nusa Tenggara provinces are among the provinces with low human development indexes. There are seven factors used in this study that are considered to affect the human development index in the two provinces, namely gross regional domestic product, poor population, open unemployment rate, population, life expectancy, labor force and average years of schooling. The method used by researchers in overcoming multicollinearity in this study is principal component regression. Therefore, this study aims to apply principal component regression in overcoming the problem of multicollinearity on the the effect of gross regional domestic product, poor population, open unemployment rate, population, life expectancy, labor force and average years of schooling on the human development index. Based on the results of the analysis that has been carried out, the principle component regression model is obtained as follows Y = 42.548 + 0.00000991X_1 + 0.0371X_2 + 0.343X_3 + 0.000005949X_4 + 0.2532 + 0.000012947X_6 + 0.1348X_7. With the coefficient of determination (R^2) 0.834.
Pemodelan Tingkat Pengangguran Terbuka di Indonesia Menggunakan Analisis Regresi Data Panel Setiawana, Ena; Fitriyani, Nurul; Harsyiah, Lisa
Eigen Mathematics Journal Vol 7 No 1 (2024): June
Publisher : University of Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/emj.v7i1.184

Abstract

Indonesia has entered the peak of the demographic bonus which can provide positive and negative impacts for various fields. One of them is in the economic field, namely the increasing number of productive population who are unabsorbed in the world of work and is referred to as an open unemployment. This research was conducted to build a model and to analyze the Open Unemployment Rate, Economic Growth, Provincial Minimum Wage, Level of education, Population growth, Labor Force Participation Rate, Employment, Human Development Index, Poor Residents, Illiterate Population, Average Length of School, Domestic Investment, Foreign Investment, and School Participation Rate, that influence the open unemployment rate in Indonesia using panel data regression analysis with data 2015-2021 from 34 provinces. A fixed effect model with different intercept values for every participant is the best panel data regression model (Fixed Effect Model) that could be found. Based on simultaneously research, it was discovered that every component of the model significantly effect the open unemployment rate. Partially, it was discovered that the following factors significantly effect the open unemployment rate in Indonesia: Employment, Labor Force Participation Rate, Economic Growth, Population Growth, Human Development Index, Poor Population, and Average years of Schooling.
Optimalisasi Parameter Double Exponential Smoothing menggunakan Metode Golden Section pada Peramalan Harga Saham Penutupan PT. Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Zulhan Widya Baskara; Tajalli, Halawatun; Harsyiah, Lisa; Baskara, Zulhan Widya
Semeton Mathematics Journal Vol 1 No 1 (2024): April
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/semeton.v1i1.205

Abstract

The process of predicting an event in the future is called forecasting. A forecasting model that functions to predict time series data with a trend pattern is Double Exponential Smoothing (DES). This study aims to compare one-parameter Brown DES with two-parameter Holt DES using the golden section method. The data used is monthly data on closing share prices of PT. Telkom Indonesia (Persero) for the period January 2011 - December 2021. Golden Section is an optimization method for finding parameter values that minimize the MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) function. The results of calculating the optimum parameter values for DES Brown α=0.420766 with a MAPE value of 4.871787804% and for DES Holt α=0.506578 and β=0.458980 with a MAPE value of 4.7233301647%. According to the MAPE value, the models used are very accurate for forecasting. DES Holt was selected as the best model for forecasting based on the smallest MAPE value.
Pengendalian Kualitas Produksi Air Minum Dalam Kemasan Menggunakan Peta Kendali Zulhan Widya Baskara; Halifatunnisa, Nur; Baskara, Zulhan Widya; Harsyiah, Lisa
Semeton Mathematics Journal Vol 1 No 2 (2024): Oktober
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/semeton.v1i2.239

Abstract

The most popular drinking water product produced by PT.X is the 220 ml glass packaging product. This product experienced the most production defects at 0.086% of total production. Based on observations that have been made, there are several problems that cause defective products, such as damaged packaging and poor water quality. So PT.X in maintaining production quality must improve the process of maintaining quality control. The aim of this research is in line with the problems faced by PT.X, namely controlling the quality of bottled drinking water using a decision on belief control chart. Control charts are used to monitor whether product defect data is statistically controlled or not. One of the control charts used to monitor whether product defect data is statistically controlled or not is the Decision on Belief control chart, because the Decision on Belief control chart is more sensitive to data shifts so that faster in detecting data that goes outside control limits or is out of control. Based on the graph of the results of the decision on belief control chart, of the 25 data there are 24 data that are out of the upper control limit and the lower control limit, meaning that the decision on belief control chart is sensitive to data shifts in detecting out of control data. Based on the results of the average run length calculation, it is concluded that the decision on belief control chart is weak in detecting out of control data because the shift value obtained is getting bigger.
Pemodelan Angka Kematian Ibu (AKI) Di Indonesia Menggunakan Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) Lawwamah, Tamsilul; Harsyiah, Lisa; Aini, Qurratul
Semeton Mathematics Journal Vol 1 No 2 (2024): Oktober
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/semeton.v1i2.241

Abstract

Maternal Mortality Rate (MMR) is on of the targets for a  achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The aim of this research is to find the right model for estimating MMR and to look at the factors that influence MMR in Indonesia. Estimation were carried out using the Mixed Geographically Weigthed Regression (MGWR) model. The MGWR model is a combination of GWR and linear regression with variables that  having influence locally and some globally. The results obtained are that the MGWR model is superior the GWR model, because  the smallest AIC value for MGWR is 463,0564. Factors that have significant influence using the adaptive Gaussian kernel weighting are postpartum mothers (x4) , postpartum mothers receiving vitamin A (x5), giving Fe3 tablets to pregnant women (x6) ,  and handling obstetric complications (x7).
Peramalan Produksi Kedelai di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat menggunakan Model Grey-Markov (1,1) Nurmaulia, Ananda Rizantia; Harsyiah, Lisa; Purnamasari, Nur Asmita; Jurniati, Jurniati
Semeton Mathematics Journal Vol 2 No 2 (2025): Oktober
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/semeton.v2i2.314

Abstract

The continuously increasing soybean imports are caused by the imblance in domestic soybean produstion. This indicates that nationalsoybean self-sufficiensy has not yet been achieved, as many soybean farmlands have now been converted to other commodities. This condition occurs in West Nusa Tenggara, Which is one of Indonesia’s nationalsoybean production centers. To understand future soybean production conditions, forecasting future soybean production in West Nusa Tenggara province using the grey_markov (1, 1) model. This model only requires minimal data for forecasting, which aligns with the limites research data available. The data used in this study is soybean production data from West Nusa Tenggara province. The research results show that in 2022, soybean production in West Nusa Tenggara province will decline, with the prediction demonstrating good accuracy as indicated by a MAPE value of 15.75%.
Pengendalian Kualitas Produksi Air Minum dalam Kemasan (AMDK) Menggunakan Diagram Kendali MCUSUM dan MEWMA Zulhan Widya Baskara; Sari, Kurnia Mahraini Kartika; Harsyiah, Lisa; Baskara, Zulhan Widya
Semeton Mathematics Journal Vol 2 No 2 (2025): Oktober
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/semeton.v2i2.324

Abstract

Quality control in the water production process at PT. X is an essential activity to ensure the quality of packaged drinking water (AMDK) is fit for consumption. Therefore, the water quality of PT. X production must always be closely monitored. To guarantee the safety of drinking water, it must meet microbiological, radioactive, Physical, and chemical requirements according to the regulations stipulated in the Indonesian Ministry of Health Regulation Number 2 of 2023. Quality control is performed using MEWMA and MCUSUM control charts since these control charts can detect shifts in the process mean. The results of applying MCUSUM and MEWMA control charts indicate that the water production quality is statistically out of control. After monitoring, it was found that PH is the most influential variable causing out-of-control situations. An ARL test was conducted to obtain a control chart with the best performance, where a smaller ARL value indicates better sensitivity in detecting shifts in the process mean. The MCUSUM control chart outperforms the MEWMA control chart, with an ARL value of  and parameters  and , compared to ARL MEWMA of with weighting parameter  and .
Pengklasifikasian 10 Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Barat untuk Kasus Kemiskinan Tahun 2022 Menggunakan Analisis Cluster Metode K-Means Sabina, Sabna Zulfaa; Alfarez, Dzaki Ade; Graha, Syifa Salsabila Satya; Auladi, Muhammad Yuzaul; Lisa , Harsyiah; Lisa Harsyiah
Indonesian Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science Vol. 1 No. 1 (2024): November
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/ijasds.v1i1.5415

Abstract

Poverty is a very serious problem for countries in the world, especially for developing countries like Indonesia. Poverty will have a big impact if it occurs in the long term with different factors. One province that is still in the spotlight for high levels of poverty is West Nusa Tenggara Province. Even though the number of poor people in West Nusa Tenggara Province has decreased, conditions of the ground show that there are still many people whose lives are far from decent. Therefore, the government must immediately find a solution to overcome the problem of poverty. To overcome cases of poverty in a region, we can group the characteristics of these regions based on poverty indicators into several clusters. Grouping in this case is carried out with data that will be analyzed using the K-Means cluster analysis method. So the results obtained by analysis using the K-Means cluster method for grouping 10 regencies/cities in West Nusa Tenggara Province based on poverty in 2022 formed 3 clusters, namely cluster 1 consisting of West Sumbawa Regency, Bima City and Mataram City, cluster 2 consisting of Bima Regency, Dompu Regency, West Lombok Regency, Central Lombok Regency, East Lombok Regency, and Sumbawa Regency, and cluster 3 consists of North Lombok Regency. Apart from that, the characteristics of each cluster were also obtained, namely cluster 1 containing the districts/cities with the highest PPM values. While RLS, AHH, and TPT have very high numbers in 2022, cluster 2 contains districts/cities that have quite low PPM, RLS, AHH, and TPT numbers in 2022, and cluster 3 contains a group of districts/cities with RLS, AHH, and TPT has quite low numbers compared to the high PPM in 2022.
Co-Authors Abdurahim, Abdurahim Adis Tia Juli Agil Asri Adis Tia Juli Agil Asri Agus Kurnia Alfarez, Dzaki Ade Angelina Ardania, Azrianti Asri, Adis Tia Juli Agil Astuti, Lita Attina Ulansari Auladi, Muhammad Yuzaul Azrianti Ardania Baskara, Zulhan Dara Puspita Anggraeni Dede Saputra Desy Komalasari Dewa Nyoman Adi Paramartha Dina Eka Putri Dina Eka Putri Eka Putri, Dina Emmy Dyah Sulistiowati Emmy Dyah Sulistyowati Emmy Dyah Sulistyowati, Emmy Dyah Evita, Isma Fadhilah, Rifdah Fadillah, Muhammad Fara Fid Fariha, Mawaddatul Graha, Syifa Salsabila Satya Hafizah Ilma Halifatunnisa, Nur Helmina Andriani Hidayatullah, Azka Fariz Hidayatullah, Azka Farris Hisan, Khairatun Inarah, Filzah Istiqamah, Istiqamah Jihan Melani Jurnal Pepadu Jurniati, Jurniati Lailatul Pahmi Lailia Awalushaumi, Lailia Lawwamah, Tamsilul Lilik Hidayati, Lilik Lingking, Fransiska Prisilia Lisa , Harsyiah Luzianawati, Luzianawati M. Naoval Husni M. Syahrul Maharani, Andika Ellena Saufika Hakim Marwan Marwan Meliyana, Hesti Muhammad Rijal Alfian Mustika Hadijati Navisah, Navisah Ningrum, Salsabila Hadi Putri Nirwanto Nirwanto, Nirwanto Nur Asmita Purnamasari Nurmaulia, Ananda Rizantia Nurul Fitriyani Nurul Fitriyani PURNAMASARI, NUR ASMITA Putri, Syaftirridho Qabul Dinanta Utama Qudsi, Jihadil Qurratul Aini Ramadhan, Hikmal Maulana Ramdhani, Triana Putri Ranti, Ketrin Jupina Rifdah Fadhilah Rio Satriyantara Rizki Fitri Ananda Robbaniyyah, Nuzla Af'idatur Robbaniyyah, Nuzla Af’idatur Sabina, Sabna Zulfaa Salwa Salwa Salwa Salwa Saputra, Dede Saputri, Intan Editia Sari, Baiq Desi Nurma Sari, Kurnia Mahraini Kartika Setiawana, Ena Sulpaiyah Sulpaiyah Syaftirridho Putri Syamsul Bahri Syamsul Bahri Tajalli, Halawatun Tri Maryono Rusadi Vidya Atika Ramdani Yarti, Suwindah Puji Yuliana Lestari Zindawi, M. Daffa Rizki Zulhan Widya Baskara