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Analisis Variabel Finansial dan Makroekonomi yang Berpengaruh terhadap Harga Saham (Studi di Bursa Efek Indonesia) Atim Djazuli; Bambang Subroto; Made Sudarma; Arifin Sabeni
Jurnal Aplikasi Manajemen Vol 8, No 4 (2010)
Publisher : Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This research aimed to test and analyze the influence of financial variables (Return on Investment, Profit Margin, Current Ratio and Debt Ratio, Dividend, and Dividend Yield) and macroeconomic variables (Gross Domestic Product, Money Supply, Inflation, Currency, and Interest Rate) stock price altogether. This research used quantitative approach by implementing path analysis method. The research population is all companies listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period of 2001–2007 out of which 52 companies were selected as samples to be observed within 7 (seven) years term resulting in as many as 364 observations. The results of this research indicate that the variables having an effect on dividend were Return on Investment and Net Profit Margin as well as interest rate. The variable having an effect on Dividend Yield were Current Ratio and Debt Equity Ratio and Gross Domestic Product. Furthermore, the variables affecting the interest rate were the Amount of Money Supply, Inflation, and American Dollar Rate to Rupiah. Next, the variables which influenced the stock price were Return on Investment, Current Ratio, Dividend, and Dividend Yield. Finally the variables which had insignificant influence were the variable of Gross Domestic Product to interest rate; the variable of Debt Equity Ratio to dividend; the variable of interest rate to stock price, and; the variable of Gross Domestic Product to stock price.Keywords: financial variables, macroeconomic variable, stock price.
ANALISIS KOMPONEN REVERSE MEAN PADA HARGA SAHAM MELALUI PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI MAKRO DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA Aster Indah Widowati; Atim - Djazuli; M. Syafi’ie - Idrus
Wacana Journal of Social and Humanity Studies Vol. 12 No. 3 (2009)
Publisher : Sekolah Pascasarjana Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

ABSTRACT Reverse mean reversion and predictability of stock return is probably the most well researched topic in the empirical research of financial economics. Numerous empirical studies have been unable to reject the hypothesis that return unpredictable and that stock price follows a random walk or martingale process. The essence of the mean-reversion hypothesis is that the stocks price contains a temporary component. Thus, the market value of stock deviates from the fundamental value but will revert to its mean. The objective of this study is to test the mean reversion hypothesis in Indonesian capital market, by investigate the size and significance of mean reversion component of stock prices at the Jakarta Stock Exchange, for the period of January 1990 through December 2003, and to investigate the size of the forecast error variance decomposition for real stock prices which is caused by permanent innovation and temporary innovation for a horizon of 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 and 24 months. By placing appropriate structural restrictions on a vector auto-regressive system estimated for the period of January 1990 through December 2003, it was found that the temporary component in the stock prices at the Jakarta Stock Exchange has significant size. From this, it can be inferred that the pattern of share price movements at the Jakarta Stock Exchange has a temporary component which will gradually disperse or undergo reverse mean. This evidence supports the mean reversion hypothesis that stock price are not pure random walks and predictability of stock return and reject the random walk hypothesis.   Keywords: stock price, capital market
ANALISIS REAKSI INVESTOR TERHADAP PENGUMUMAN RIGHT ISSUE DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA (Suatu Pengamatan pada Return, Abnormal Return, Aktivitas Volume Perdagangan dan Bid-Ask Spread Saham) SRI DEWI YUSUF; ATIM - DJAZULI; H.M. HARRY - SUSANTO
Wacana Journal of Social and Humanity Studies Vol. 12 No. 4 (2009)
Publisher : Sekolah Pascasarjana Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

ABSTRACT Development of stock market activity, which grows very fast lead to significant changes on the demand of information quality. To make the rational investor decision making, it is needed a relevant information in order to identify any work of the company. Event study is a study which analyze any market reactions toward an event which the information is published as announcement. Right issue announcement can affect market, it is depent on the existence of the content of the information in the right issue announcement above. If the right issue announcement contains some information so the market will react and the market won’t react if no information. The research sample is determined by a purposive sampling method, and there are 17 companies which announce right issue between 2000-2003. Statistical experiment used is T-test experiment (paired two samples for means). The Observation period which is done in 11 day, consist of 5 day before, 1 day in the moment, and 5 day after the announce right issue. Results show that there is a significant difference between return and abnormal return in the period of between at the moment, and after the announce right issue. The result in the before-after announce right issue period shows that there is no significant difference. The result in the variable activity of stock’s trade volume shows that there is signification difference in the before-at the moment and after period, but in the result of before-after period show that there is no significant difference there. And the result of bid-ask spread variable shows that there is no significant different in the before-at the moment and after period of announce right issue, but in the before-after period the result shows that there is no significant different there. And the result of bid-ask spread variable shows that there is no significant different in the before-at the moment and after period of announce right issue, but in the before-after period the result shows that there is significant different there. Cumulatively, this research gives a conclusion that announcement right issue have no information contents positive so that the market in general give no reaction. Keywords: Right Issue announcement, Return, Abnormal Return, TVA, Bid-Ask Spread
ANALISIS KOMPONEN REVERSE MEAN PADA HARGA SAHAM MELALUI PERSPEKTIF EKONOMI MAKRO DI BURSA EFEK JAKARTA Aster Indah Widowati; Atim - Djazuli; M. Syafi’ie - Idrus
Wacana Journal of Social and Humanity Studies Vol. 13 No. 4 (2010)
Publisher : Sekolah Pascasarjana Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

ABSTRACTSReverse mean reversion and predictability of stock return is probably the most well researched topic in the empirical research of financial economics. Numerous empirical studies have been unable to reject the hypothesis that return unpredictable and that stock price follows a random walk or martingale process. The essence of the mean-reversion hypothesis is that the stocks price contains a temporary component. Thus, the market value of stock deviates from the fundamental value but will revert to its mean. The objective of this study is to test the mean reversion hypothesis in Indonesian capital market, by investigate the size and significance of mean reversion component of stock prices at the Jakarta Stock Exchange, for the period of January 1990 through December 2003, and to investigate the size of the forecast error variance decomposition for real stock prices which is caused by permanent innovation and temporary innovation for a horizon of 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 and 24 months. By placing appropriate structural restrictions on a vector auto-regressive system estimated for the period of January 1990 through December 2003, it was found that the temporary component in the stock prices at the Jakarta Stock Exchange has significant size. From this, it can be inferred that the pattern of share price movements at the Jakarta Stock Exchange has a temporary component which will gradually disperse or undergo reverse mean. This evidence supports the mean reversion hypothesis that stock price are not pure random walks and predictability of stock return and reject the random walk hypothesis. Keywords: Reverse mean component, Macroeconomic Perspective
ANALISIS VARIABEL-VARIABEL FUNDAMENTAL YANG BERPENGARUH TERHADAP PRICE EARNING RATIO SEBAGAI DASAR PENILAIAN SAHAM (Studi Pada Saham-Saham indeks LQ 45 di Bursa Efek Jakarta) Yulianti - -; Atim - Djazuli; S.M. Kiptiyah - -
Wacana Journal of Social and Humanity Studies Vol. 12 No. 4 (2009)
Publisher : Sekolah Pascasarjana Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

ABSTRACT   The existence of the Indonesian Capital Market is very important for Indonesian economic activity, due to the fact that capital market development is one indicated of the betterment of national economy. In terms of investment, capital market development is determined by the economic fundamentals, public company performance, and investor’s tendency to invest. Stock, being the main investment object, offers several preferences to choose by the investor, one of which is LQ 45 stock indices. The Jakarta Stock Exchange (JSX) focus is put on the trade of LQ 45 stock indices. Therefore, it is necessary to evaluate the LQ 45 stock indices by taking into account the four main variables as suggested by the Gordon model. In line with the above, this study concerns stock evaluation based on the fundamental analysis by the price earning ratio approach. Explanatory variable is dividend payout ratio, return on equity, earning growth and financial leverage, dependent variable is price earning ratio. Purposive random sampling and multiple regression using 16 emittent of LQ 45 stock indices samples were used]. The aims of this research is to know the influence of the fundamental variables on the price earning ratio, and the naturalness of LQ 45 stock indices value. The samples used are the big, established and stable companies included in  calculation of LQ 45 indices, and thus would not apply to non LQ 45 indices at the JSX from 1999 through 2000. The results of the study indicate that (1) out of the four explanatory variables used: dividend payout ratio, return on equity, earning growth and financial leverage whereas simultaneously, all the variables showed significant influence; (2) dividend payout ratio was the most significant explanatory variable influencing the price earning ratio; (3) based on the price earning ratio analysis, no natural value was evidence of LQ 45 stock indices at the JSX.   Keywords: Price Earning Ratio as Bases in Stock Valuation
CONSTRUCTION OF THE SUCCESS FACTORS OF IKAT WEAVINGS (A CASE STUDY OF AN IKAT WEAVING CRAFTSMAN UNDER THE BIA BEREK IKAT WEAVING GROUP – BELU REGENCY) Ignatia Thomasita Bau Mau; Atim Djazuli; Helmy Djawahir
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Humaniora Vol. 10 No. 3 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Ganesha

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23887/jish-undiksha.v10i3.34403

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This study discusses the success factors in running a woven handicraft business experienced and immediately felt by several ikat craftsmen in one group of Bia Berek weaving in the city of Atambua, Belu Regency, East Nusa Tenggara. This is to direct the informant to answer all the success factors that have occurred and let the qualitative research model be used as a method in this research. The research used semi-structured interviews, and the informant reveals as widely as possible the informant regarding other factors that are also the key to success in running a business. These success factors include the proper management of current assets (supplies of woven fabrics) and fixed assets (weaving equipment and equipment and business premises), the ability to manage business turnover, cash flow management, the ability to process all business costs in the cost structure, management of revenue on weaving business, having personal savings and investing in non-bank financial services, increasing the marketing of woven fabrics, using technology for business innovation in the digital world, prioritizing the quality of woven fabrics produced, utilizing culture and tradition as business opportunities and potential, building profitable cooperation with local government of Belu Regency. The twelve factors that have been classified into financial and non-financial factors are constructed in a new model design that can be used as learning materials for micro, small and medium enterprises in improving their business by taking into account all the success factors that occur in their business.
The effect of fundamental and technical variables on stock price (Study on manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange) Eva Dwi Astutik; Surachman Surachman; Atim Djazuli
Journal of Economics, Business, & Accountancy Ventura Vol 17, No 3 (2014): December 2014
Publisher : STIE Perbanas Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v17i3.356

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A capital market is any trade in securities which are called stock exchanges. In the capital market, the sellers and buyers meet in order to raise capital. More specifically, stock price used by investors is one of the important information before deciding investment. Therefore, the investors must have guidelines when investing to be done. This study aims to analyze the effect of fundamental and technical variables on stock prices. The variables used in this study are Debt Equity Ratio (DER), Return On Equity (ROE), Price Earnings Ratio (PER), Interest Rates (IR), and Exchange Rates (ER). Data analysis was performed on 45 manufacturing companies listed in Indonesia stock Exchange during 2007-2011 by using multiple analysis regression. The results showed that Return on Equity, Price Earnings Ratio and Exchange Rate have positive effect to stock prices, but Debt to Equity Ratio and Interest Rates has no effect on stock prices. The practical implication is that in determining stock prices not only from the company's internal factors, but also from external companies.
THE RELEVANCE OF LEVERAGE, PROFITABILITY, MARKET PERFORMANCE, AND MACROECONOMIC TO STOCK PRICE Atim Djazuli
Ekonomi Bisnis Volume 22, No. 2, Oktober 2017
Publisher : Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (470.673 KB) | DOI: 10.17977/um042v22i2p112-122

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Abstract: This research aimed to test and analyze the influence of DER, ROE, PER, Interest Rate, and Currency to stock price. This research used quantitative approach by implementing multiple regression analysis method. The research population is food and beverage companies listed in Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period of 2010-2014 out of which 11 companies were selected as samples to be observed. The result showed that fundamental variables that have positive effect on stock price are ROE and PER. Fundamental variables that have negative effect is DER. Interest rate and exchange rate do not affect stock price. Keywords: Leverage, profitability, interest rate, exchange rate, stock price. Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji dan menganalisis pengaruh DER, ROE, PER, suku bunga, dan nilai tukar terhadap harga saham. Sebanyak 11 perusahaan makanan dan minuman yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia tahun 2010-2014 ditelaah untuk diobservasi. Jenis penelitian ini adalah explanatory research dengan menggunakan metode linear multipel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan variabel fundamental yang berpengaruh positif terhadap harga saham adalah rasio ROE dan PER. Sedangkan variabel fundamental yang berpengaruh negatif terhadap harga saham adalah rasio DER.  Suku bunga dan nilai tukar tidak berpengaruh terhadap harga saham. Kata Kunci: Leverage, profitability, interest rate, exchange rate, stock price.
Pengaruh Profitabilitas, Ukuran Perusahaan, Pertumbuhan Penjualan, Struktur Aset, Non-Debt Tax Shield Dan Usia Perusahaan Terhadap Struktur Modal (Studi Pada Perusahaan Makanan Dan Minuman Di BEI) Mila Diana Sari; Djumahir A; Atim Djazuli
Ekonomi Bisnis Tahun 20, No. 1, Maret 2015
Publisher : Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Negeri Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (351.947 KB) | DOI: 10.17977/um042v20i1p22-32

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Abstract: This study aimed to determine the effect of the fundamental variables of the company's capital structure included in the group of Indonesian food and beverage from 2009 to 2013 period. This study used a population selected using selection criteria and the population acquired 14 companies that deserve to be the population. The research sample used all companies included in the study population or sample selection techniques using saturated sample. The analysis method of the research is multiple regression linier. The variables used in this study were Profitability, Company’s Size, Sales Growth, Structure Assets, Non-Debt Tax Shield and Company’s Age. The results of this study indicated that the variable profitability and company’s age negatively affect the capital structure of food and beverage companies in Indonesia, while the size of the company, the structure of assets, and the sale have a positive effect on the capital structure of the food and beverage company in Indonesia. Variable non-debt tax shield (NDTS) does not affect the capital structure of food and beverage companies in Indonesia. Keywords: Profitability, Company Size, Sales Growth, Structure Assets, Non-Debt Tax Shield, and age of the company, Capital Structure Abstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh variabel fundamental terhadap struktur modal perusahaan yang masuk dalam kelompok makanan dan minuman Indonesia periode waktu 2009 sampai dengan 2013. Penelitian ini menggunakan populasi yang dipilih menggunakan kriteria pemilihan populasi dan diperoleh 14 perusahaan yang layak dijadikan populasi. Sampel penelitian menggunakan seluruh perusahaan yang masuk dalam populasi penelitian atau teknik pemilihan sampel menggunakan sampel jenuh. Metode analisis data yang digunakan adalah analisis regresi linier berganda. Variabel yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah Profitabilitas, Ukuran Perusahaan, Pertumbuhan Penjualan, Struktur Aset, Non-Debt Tax Shield dan Usia Perusahaan. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa variabel profitabilitas dan usia berpengaruh negatif terhadap struktur modal perusahaan makanan dan minuman di Indonesia, sedangkan ukuran perusahaan, struktur aktiva, dan penjualan berpengaruh positif terhadap struktur modal perusahaan makanan dan minuman di Indonesia. Variabel non-debt tax shield tidak berpengaruh terhadap struktur modal perusahaan perusahaan makanan dan minuman di Indonesia.  Kata Kunci: Profitabilitas, Ukuran Perusahaan, Pertumbuhan Penjualan, Struktur Aset, Non-Debt Tax Shield dan Usia Perusahaan terhadap Struktur Modal
PENGARUH DIMENSI KUALITAS PELAYANAN JASA SERVIS TERHADAP KEPUASAN KONSUMEN (Studi pada PT. Kartika Sari Mulia – Toyota Authorized, Malang) Pristia Hanum Ramadhani; Atim Djazuli
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol 3, No 2: Semester Genap 2014/2015
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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The research aims to describe and analyze the influence of the dimentions of service quality on customer satisfaction at car servicing service in automotive company PT. Kartika Sari Mulia – Toyota Authorized, Malang. This type of the research is an explanatory research with quantitative approach. Type of the data used in this research are primer data, with 90 sample of visitors  workshop  in  Toyota  Kartika  Sari,  where  the  method  does  not  use  population qualification. The research variables namely; the independent variable is Physical Evidence, Reliability, Responsiveness, Assurance and Empathy. Customer Satisfaction as well as the dependent variable. This study was conducted using multiple linear regression. It can be seen the influence of Physical Evidence, Responsiveness, Assurance and Empathy towards Customer Satisfaction significantly, whereas there is no influence Reliability significantly to Customer Satisfaction.   Keywords:  Physical  Evidence,  Reliability,  Responsiveness,  Assurance,  Empathy,  Customer Satisfaction
Co-Authors . Djumahir . Djumahir Abrian Amir Rahman Abrian, Gusti Awang AINUR ROFIQ Arifin Sabeni Aster Indah Widowati Aster Indah Widowati Atika, Nurul Bambang Subroto Cicik Retno Wati Dedi Suselo Defin Shahrial Putra Deni, Febrianto Frans Dessy Handa Sari Dian Meithasari Djawahir, Helmy Djumahir A Djumahir Djumahir Ericson M Erlin Yulia Rahma Erlin Yulia Rahma Eva Dwi Astutik Fabio Putra Wijaya Fadhila, Wildan Fani Wahyu Utomo Feryal Agizha H.M. HARRY - SUSANTO H.M. HARRY - SUSANTO Hanif Rani Iswari Helmy Djawahir Herdina, Ajeng Mira Himmiyatul Amanah Jiwa Juwita Himmiyatul Amanah Jiwa Juwita Ignatia Thomasita Bau Mau Kusuma Ratnawati Laili, Choirun Nisful Laksmi Swastika Wardhani Lutfi aji Luthfiyah, Viviani M Taufik Akbar M. Syafi’ie - Idrus M. Syafi’ie - Idrus M. Zuhri Ramadhani Abanan Made Sudarma Mau, Ignatia Thomasita Bau Maya Faridhotul Aini Mila Diana Sari, Mila Diana Mohammad Reza Muhammad Daffa Imtiyaz Muhammad Husnul Hilal Muhammad Venus Nabella, Efryca Ayu Najubah, Zian Nawianto, Syaifurridzal Nindya Gitaya Nur Khusniyah Indrawati Odi Al Kautsar P., Moeljadi Pristia Hanum Ramadhani Puji Astutik Raisa Fitri RIKI RIKI, RIKI Risma Pratiwi Risna Wijayanti Riyan Pinasti Rahajeng Riza Rabbani Rofiaty, Rofiaty Roni, Hamam S.M. Kiptiyah - - Safina Syabani Aisyah SELLYNDAH PRIMADANI PUTRI Shevanda Febrilia Tamara Sihombing, Ruth Vrinida Sitepu, Rafi Ashari Siti Aisjah SLAMAT HARIJONO ARITONANG Sri Dewi Yusuf Sri Palupi Prabandari Sumarsono Sumarsono Surachman Surachman Suselo, Dedi Tomas Setya Wahyu Budi Ubud Salim Vincentius Christianto Wahdiyat Moko Wahdiyat Moko Wandari, Rosita Wati, Cicik Retno Wildan Fadhila Yovita Leyla Pradipta Yulianti - - Yunita Castelia Arisadi Yusuf, Dimas Maulana