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All Journal Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis Forum Pasca Sarjana SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Peternakan (Indonesian Journal of Animal Science) Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) E-Journal Jurnal Aplikasi Statistika & Komputasi Statistik Jurnal Jalan Jembatan
Bonar M. Sinaga
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Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Mathematics Other

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ESTIMASI NILAI EKONOMI AIR IRIGASI DAN STRATEGI PEMANFAATANNYA DALAM PENENTUAN IURAN IRIGASI SUMARYANTO -; BONAR M. SINAGA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 5, No. 2 Juli 2005
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Abstract

The study is aimed to valuate irrigation water and to assess its prospect forwater pricing strategy, and implication of optimal cropping pattern on farm's incomeand rice production. Mathematical programming is applied for the valuation. Strategyof water pricing based on the reconciling efficiency and equity concern. Results of thestudy show that shadow price of irrigation water were equal to zero on December–Mayand positive on June–November. Within the positive period, the lowest and highestprices were taken place on June and September respectively. Monthly average of theshadow price was Rp. 40 700/(l/sec), which is equivalent with Rp. 15.75/m3. It isfeasible to apply the shadow price for determining ceiling rate of irrigation watercharges. Potential method of water pricing is combination of per unit area in wet seasonand per crop pricing in dry season. Implementation of optimal cropping pattern as wellas water pricing was potential to improve both farm's income and irrigation efficiency,but disincentive to increase rice production.
DAMPAK INVESTASI SUMBERDAYA MANUSIA TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN KEMISKINAN DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM (THE IMPACT OF HUMAN CAPITAL INVESTMENT ON ECONOMIC GROWTH AND POVERTY IN INDONESIA: COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQULIBRIU RASIDIN K. SITEPU; BONAR M. SINAGA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 7, No. 2 Juli 2007
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Abstract

Computable General Equilibrium model, Foster-Greer-Thorbecke, Human Capital Investment, Economic Growth, Pove (Model Komputasi Keseimbangan Umum, Foster-Greer-Thorbecke, Investasi Sumberdaya Manusia, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Kemiskinan)
DAMPAK KEBIJAKAN EKONOMI DI SEKTOR AGROINDUSTRI TERHADAP DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN SEKTORAL, TENAGA KERJA DAN RUMAHTANGGA DI INDONESIA: ANALISIS SISTEM NERACA SOSIAL EKONOMI BONAR M. SINAGA; SRI HERY SUSILOWATI
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 7, No. 2 Juli 2007
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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ABSTRACT The research objective is to analyze the impact of government expenditure, export, investment and tax policy in agroindustry sector on sectoral, labor and household income distribution. The analysisi using Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) model. Result of policy simulation in agroindustry sector is used for further analysis of income distribution using SAM and SUSENAS data. The result show that export, investment and tax insentive policy in agroindustry sector has positive impact to improve sectoral, labor and household income distribution. Export and investment policy in food agroindustry give a greater impact on income distribution compare to non food agroindustry. The most effective policy to improve income distribution is to increase investment in priority industries of agroindustry. Keyword: Agroindustry, Social Accounting Matrix, Policy Impat, Income Diistribution ABSTRAK Penelitian bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak berbagai kebijakan ekonomi di sektor agroindustri terhadap distribusi pendapatan sektoral, tenaga kerja dan rumahtangga. Kebijakan ekonomi yang dimaksud adalah kebijakan peningkatan pengeluaran pemerintah, ekspor, investasi dan insentif pajak. Analisis menggunakan model Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi (SNSE). Simulasi kebijakan di sektor agroindustri dilanjutkan untuk menganalisis distribusi pendapatan menggunakan data SNSE dan SUSENAS. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan ekspor, investasi dan insentif pajak di sektor agroindustri berdampak menurunkan kesenjangan pendapatan sektoral, tenaga kerja dan rumahtangga. Kebijakan ekspor dan investasi di sektor agroindustri makanan berdampak menurunkan kesenjangan pendapatan lebih besar dibandingkan kebijakan di sektor agroindustri non makanan. Kebijakan ekonomi yang paling efektif menurunkan kesenjangan pendapatan adalah meningkatkan investasi di sektor agroindustri prioritas. Kata kunci Agroindustri, Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi, Dampak Kebijakan, Distribusi Pendapatan
PENGGUNAAN PANGSA PENGELUARAN PANGAN SEBAGAI INDIKATOR KOMPOSIT KETAHANAN PANGAN NYAK ILHAM; BONAR M. SINAGA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 7, No. 3 November 2007
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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ABSTRACT Many indicator can use for measuring food security, one of that is food expenditure share. The objective of this research are in order to: (1) account individual food expenditure share and (2) analyze the relation of food expenditure share and food security. The econometrics approach was used to analyze the available data. This analysis is using Susenas data for 1996, 1999, and 2002 and province PDRB data 2002. The result was indicated that food expenditure share is feasible as indicator for food security because had strong relation with some measuring of food security e.g. consumption, food diversivication, and income. Keywords: Food Security, Indicator, Food Expenditure Share ABSTRAK Banyak indikator yang dapat digunakan untuk melihat ketahanan pangan, satu diantaranya adalah pangsa pengeluaran pangan penduduk. Penelitian ini bertujuan: (1) menghitung pangsa pengeluaran pangan penduduk pada berbagai kelompok pendapatan dan wilayah pemukiman, dan (2) menganalisis hubungan pangsa pengeluaran pangan dan ketahanan pangan. Untuk mencapai tujuan itu digunakan data Susenas tahun 1996, 1999, dan tahun 2002 serta data PDRB provinsi tahun 2002 yang bersumber dari BPS. Data yang ada dianalisis dengan pendekatan ekonometrika teknik Ordinary Least Squares yang dilengkapi dengan pendekatan deskriptif dengan teknik tabulasi dan grafik. Hasil analisis menyimpulkan bahwa pangsa pengeluaran pangan layak dijadikan indikator ketahanan pangan karena mempunyai hubungan yang erat dengan berbagai ukuran ketahanan pangan yaitu tingkat konsumsi, keanekaragaman pangan, dan pendapatan. Kata Kunci: Ketahanan Pangan, Indikator, Pangsa Pengeluaran Pangan
DAMPAK ALOKASI ANGGARAN PENGELUARAN PEMBANGUNAN TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA: SUATU ANALISIS SIMULASI KEBIJAKAN BONAR M. SINAGA; ANTON HENDRANATA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 5, No. 1 Februari 2005
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Abstract

This study aims (1) to construct Econometric Input-Output Model for Indonesia,which emphasizes the linkage between sectors, and (2) to analyze the impact of budgetallocation policy of development expenditure on Indonesian economy.The model, which construct by combining the advantages of input-output modeland econometric model, is called Model Input-Output Ekonometrika Indonesia. Themodel consists of 112 dynamic simultaneous equations, and it uses secondary data from1980-2000. The equation’s parameters are estimated by using the combination of threeestimation methods: (1) Ordinary Least Squares, (2) First Order of Autoregressive, and(3) Second Order of Autoregressive. The model is validated by Gauss-Siedel Methodand it is used for policy simulation analysis of budget development expenditure.The study shows that the impact of budget reallocation of developmentexpenditure on Indonesian economy (final demand, output, income, and sectoralemployment) is better than the budget allocation of development expenditure inRAPBN (National Budgetary Plan) 2002. Plantation sector gave the highestcontribution in supporting the output multiplier and high income. Furthermore, the food,beverages, and tobacco industries gave the highest contribution in creating highemployment multiplier.
KETERKAITAN SEKTOR EKONOMI DAN DISTRIBUSI PENDAPATAN DI JAWA: PENDEKATAN SOCIAL ACCOUNTING MATRIX BONAR M. SINAGA; MOCH RUM ALIM
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 7, No. 2 Juli 2007
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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ABSTRACT The objective of this study is to analyze economic sectors linkages, output multipliers, value added multipliers, and household income distribution in Java. The results of this study find that: (1) food, beverages, and tobacco industry sectors, and trade, hotel and restaurant sectors, tend to market oriented, so that less linkages with other sectors in backward to growth, (2) forestry and hunting sectors have small linkages vertically with wood and wood products industry, (3) economic injection of any sectors is in favor of household groups in the urban than household groups in the rural, (4) in general, distribution of the increase household income in Java is tend to divergent. If Indonesian government can reordering position of food, beverages and tobacco industry, and trade, hotel and restaurant sectors, it will increase output of other sectors, and then will reduce unemployment and poverty. Keywords: Sectoral Linkages, Multiplier, Unemployment, Poverty, Income Distribution ABSTRAK Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis keterkaitan antar sektor ekonomi, multiplier output, multiplier nilai tambah dan distribusi pendapatan rumahtangga di Jawa. Hasil studi menunjukkan bahwa : (1) sektor industri makanan, minuman dan tembakau, serta sektor perdagangan, restoran dan hotel relatif lebih berorientasi pasar, sehingga kurang mampu menarik sektor-sektor yang di belakangnya untuk tumbuh, (2) sektor kehutanan dan perburuan dengan sektor industri kayu dan barang-barang dari kayu, kurang terkait secara vertikal, (3) injeksi ekonomi pada sektor manapun selalu lebih menguntungkan golongan rumahtangga di kota daripada golongan rumahtangga di desa, dan (4) umumnya distribusi kenaikan pendapatan rumahtangga di Jawa berada pada posisi divergen. Jika pemerintah dapat menata ulang posisi sektor industri makanan, minuman dan tembakau serta sektor perdagangan, restoran dan hotel, maka output sektor-sektor lainnya akan meningkat, yang pada gilirannya akan mengurangi pengangguran dan kemiskinan. Kata kunci: Keterkaitan Sektoral, Multiplier, Pengangguran, Kemiskinan, Distribusi Pendapatan
PERDAGANGAN KARET ALAM ANTARA NEGARA PRODUSEN UTAMA DENGAN AMERIKA SERIKAT BONAR M. SINAGA; ELWAMENDRI -
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 4, No. 1 Februari 2004
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Abstract

The result of reseach shows that expor supply of the main producer country tothe United States has the positive slope and inelactic toward price. Meanwhile thepalm plant was competitive plant for rubber plant. While, rubber production haspotential to increase the rubber expor of technical spesification. Rasio of Domesticrubber consumption with rubber expor of technical specification each of the mainprodicer country has potential to decrease ability rubber expor of tecnicalspecification.Rubber expor price of technical specification in main producer country in shortand long term was not resposive toward change of price in United State country.Impor demand the technical specification rubber United State has the negative slopeand inelactic toward price. The sinthetic rubber is substitute the natural rubber andincreasing the otomotive industry production and increasing the United Stateeconomy capcity tend to increase demand of technical natural rubbber in UnitedState.
PROYEKSI PRODUKSI DAN PERMINTAAN JAGUNG, PAKAN DAN DAGING AYAM RAS DI INDONESIA (Projections of Maize, Feed and Chicken Meat Production and Demand in Indonesia) KETUT KARIYASA; BONAR M. SINAGA; M.O. ADNYANA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 4, No. 2 Juli 2004
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Abstract

Assessment on “Projections of Maize, Feed and Chicken Meat Production andDemand in Indonesia is focused to analyze a balance between the domesticproduction and demand for the next ten years, as well as to analyze its levelresponse to influence factors.This research used the national time series data for1980 to 2001 period. The econometric model (simultaneous regression) approachthrough the two stage least squares (2SLS) method had been implemented in orderto reach the objectives of this research. The projection results shown that ontechnology level and policies unchanged, the domestic production from thosecommodities until 2010 year are predicted not sufficient to meet its demand, so thattargeting for the maize and chicken meat self-sufficient in 2005 can not be reach. It isbetter, if effort to increase of the corn domestic production is more prioritized onimprovement of the technology aspect, because corn productivity is more responseto this aspect than to the other ones. The feed production and demand that weremore response to the maize price than to the feed price, and also the chicken meatproduction and demand that were more response to the chicken meat price itselfthan the feed price proofed that the feed market structure in Indonesia tend is closeto oligopoly market structure.
ANALISIS PERILAKU PASAR PAKAN DAN DAGING AYAM RAS DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL EKONOMERIKA SIMULTAN (FEED AND CHICKEN MEAT MARKETS BEHAVIOR ANALYSIS IN INDONESIA: SIMULTANEOUS ECONOMETRIC MODEL APPROACH)) KETUT KARIYASA; BONAR M. SINAGA
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 7, No. 2 Juli 2007
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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ABSTRACT The aims of research on “Feed and Chicken Meat Markets Behavior Analysis in Indonesia” are to analyze: (1) domestic feed market behavior influence factors, (2) domestic and world markets of chicken meat behavior influence factors, and (3) responsive level each market to its influence factors. The simultaneous equation econometric model approach through the Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) estimation method had been implemented in order to reach the objectives this research. The analysis results shown that feed production behavior is more responsive to changing the maize price than the price of feed itself, feed demand behavior is more responsive to changes in the chicken meat price than the price of feed itself, and feed price behavior is more influenced from supply side than demand side. Production and chicken meat are more influenced by its domestic price than other factors. In the long-run, the world price of chicken meat will be strongly influenced both from supply and demand sides, as well as it through import price has a stronger effect than the domestic market power to create the domestic chicken meat price . Keywords: Behavior, Mmarket, Feed, Chicken Meat, Elasticity, 2SLS, Indonesia ABSTRAK Tujuan penelitian tentang “Analisis Perilaku Pasar Pakan dan Daging Ayam Ras di Indonesia” adalah menganalisis: (1) faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi perilaku pasar pakan domestik, (2) factor-faktor yang mempengaruhi perilaku pasar daging ayam domestik dan dunia, dan (3) tingkat respon masing-masing pasar terhadap factor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya. Pendekatan model ekonometri persamaan simultan melalui metode estimasi Two Stateg Least Squares (2SLS) diterapkan untuk mencapai tujuan penelitian. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa perilaku produksi pakan adalah lebih responsive terhadap perubahan dalam harga daging ayam dari pada harga pakannya, dan perilaku harga pakan adalah lebih banyak dipengaruhi dari sisi penawaran dari pada sisi permintaan. Produksi dan daging ayam adalah lebih besar dipengaruhi harga domestiknya dari pada faktor-faktor lainnya. Dalam jangka panjang, harga daging ayam dunia akan menjadi kuat dipengaruhi baik dari sisi penawaran dan permintaan, maupun melalui harga import memiliki pengaruh lebih kuat dari pada kekuatan pasar domestik untuk menciptakan harga daging ayam domestik . Kata kunci: Perilaku, Pasar, Pakan, Daging Ayam, Elastisitas, 2SLS, Indonesia
ANALISIS DETERMINAN KEMISKINAN SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH DESENTRALISASI FISKAL USMAN -; BONAR M. SINAGA; HERMANTO SIREGAR
SOCA: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Vol. 6, No. 3 November 2006
Publisher : Program Studi Agribisnis, Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Udayana Jalan PB.Sudirman Denpasar, Bali, Indonesia. Telp: (0361) 223544 Email: soca@unud.ac.id

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Understanding about determinant factors of poverty will help policy maker to ensurethat the poor get benefit from the economic policy. In general, this study aim toanalyze the changes of determinant factors of poverty before and after theimplementation of fiscal decentralization. Using the model, this study found that incommunity factor there are some variables have change from 1999 to 2002. One ofthese variables is road infrastructure. In 2002 (after fiscal decentralization period),the quality of road was worse than before so the impact is the poverty was increase.This study shows that if both central and local government concern with povertyreduction then they have to notice some sectors such as agriculture, education, familyhealth, and infrastructure. These variables are the determinant factors of poverty.
Co-Authors A. Rodgers ADOLF B. HEATUBUN ANTON HENDRANATA Arief Daryanto Assrianti Atien Priyanti Bayu Bandono Elwamendri Erliza Noor Evi Lisna Femi Hadidjah Elly Harianto . Heny K. S. Daryanto Hermanto Siregar Ketut Kariyasa M.O. ADNYANA Mangara Tambunan Max Antameng MOCH RUM ALIM Mohammad Junaedi Muhammad Arief Dirgantoro Nunung Kusnadi Nyak Ilham RASIDIN K. SITEPU Rasidin Karo-Karo Sitepu Ria Kusumaningrum Rina Oktaviani Safrida . Sjafri Mangkuprawira Slamet Muljono Sri Hartoyo SRI HERY SUSILOWATI Sri Utami Kuntjoro SUMARYANTO - Suseno Budidarsono Trias Andati Trias Andati Ujang Sehabudin, Ujang Usman - Yusman Syaukat