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Assessing the Influence of Climate Services and Climate Change Adaptation Strategies on Smallholder Agriculture: A Systematic Literature Review Marjuki, Marjuki; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Santikayasa, I Putu; Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena
Agromet Vol. 39 No. 2 (2025): DECEMBER 2025
Publisher : PERHIMPI (Indonesian Association of Agricultural Meteorology)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/j.agromet.39.2.75-85

Abstract

Climate services and climate change adaptation practices are increasingly recognized as essential for supporting smallholder farmers. Despite numerous studies on climate impacts and adaptation strategies, limited systematic evidence exists on how climate services and adaptation interventions influence farming practices across regions. This study addresses the gap through a systematic literature review of Scopus-indexed publications over the past decade. Using the PRISMA approach, 1981 articles were screened, with 31 meeting the eligibility criteria. Of these, 23 focused on adaptation interventions and 8 on climate services. Geographically, 30 studies were concentrated in tropical regions Africa (n =16) and in Asia (n=14), while one study was outside the tropics. Findings show that climate information strongly supports the adoption of adaptation strategies (>60%), especially in technological interventions such as Climate-Smart Agriculture, ecosystem management, irrigation, and climate risk reduction. In terms of service delivery, basic climate service provision demonstrated greater effectiveness (80%) compared to advisory-based agricultural services (40%). Socio-demographic factors, particularly education and age, consistently influenced farmers’ decision-making in adopting both climate services and adaptation practices. Overall, this review highlights the need for more integrated approaches that explicitly connect climate services with adaptation interventions. Strengthening these linkages is especially critical in tropical regions, where smallholder farmers remain highly vulnerable to climate variability and long-term climate change risks.
VARIABILITAS INTERANNUAL HUJAN MONSUN INDONESIA: REVIEW ARTIKEL TENTANG PENGARUH GAYA EKSTERNALNYA Mulsandi, Adi; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Hidayat, Rahmat; Faqih, Akhmad; Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena
Jurnal Meteorologi dan Geofisika Vol. 24 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian dan Pengembangan BMKG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31172/jmg.v24i2.1049

Abstract

The IMR variability is notorious for its hydrometeorological disasters. This paper examines recent studies on IMR and the main factors controlling its variability. The focus of this study is to investigate the impact of the atmosphere-ocean interaction that acts as the external forcing of IMR in the tropical Indian and Pacific Oceans. Specifically, the study will examine the influence of two climate phenomena, namely the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) and their interdecadal changes associated Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), on the IMR. The review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach. Furthermore, data sets (such as rainfall, wind field, and SST) spanning 1990-2020 were used to verify the key findings. In general, this study concludes that the majority of the authors coincided with the following conclusion: ENSO and IOD events impact IMR by changing its amplitude, duration, intensity, and frequency of mean and extreme rainfall. Additionally, it has been shown that their impacts on IMR are most substantial during the dry seasons, specifically in June, July, and August (JJA), and not as strong as during the wet seasons, specifically in December, January, and February (DJF). Spatially, the effects of ENSO and IOD on IMR variability are clearly found more eastward and westward of the region, respectively. The expansions towards the east and west directions were facilitated by the displacement of the ascending and descending of Walker circulation patterns in the Indonesian region, respectively. Given the interannual fluctuations in IMR, caused mainly by ocean-atmosphere interactions, the knowledge gap of atmospheric factors like the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) must be investigated in the future, as suggested by previous research and our preliminary study.
Projection of further expansion of oil palm plantation in Jambi Province June, Tania; Ma'rufah, Ummu; Faqih, Ahmad; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Ali, Ashehad Aswen; Knohl, Alexander
Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management) Vol 13 No 3 (2023): Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan (JPSL)
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian Lingkungan Hidup, IPB (PPLH-IPB) dan Program Studi Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan, IPB (PS. PSL, SPs. IPB)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jpsl.13.3.484-493

Abstract

The expansion of oil palm plantations has become of global concern. Jambi province in Indonesia is one of the regions experiencing a rapid shift in land use, and oil palm plantation, settlement, and agriculture has emerged as the primary force behind this shift. This study aims to project scenarios of future land-use change and expansion of oil palm plantation in Jambi Province in 2030, 2060, and 2100. Projections of land-use change scenarios are conducted using the Land Change Modeler (LCM) in which Cellular Automata Markov (CA-Markov) is the model base. The validation of model against historic land-use changes showed an overall kappa value of 0.97. In the no-conservation scenario assuming a continuation of the trends from 1990 to 2011, the forest area is continuing to decrease. . Oil palm would replace forest as dominant land-use cover in Jambi Province in 2100. Driving factors explaining the spatial distribution of oil palm plantation expansion include distance from forest, distance from road, and elevation. Our study shows the importance of government regulations to to slow or stop deforestation especially for forests near plantations.
Potential Attack of Rice Field Rat (Rattus argentiventer) on Rice Crops Based on Climate Factors in Karawang Regency, West Java, Indonesia Aprilia, Lupita; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Priyambodo, Swastiko
Jurnal Proteksi Tanaman (Journal of Plant Protection) Vol. 8 No. 2 (2024): December 2024
Publisher : Plant Protection Department, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Andalas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.25077/jpt.8.2.63-77.2024

Abstract

The production of rice is closely related to the presence of pests, one of which is the rice field rat (Rattus argentiventer). The development of pests that attack plants is influenced by the dynamics of climate factors, both directly and indirectly. The climate in Karawang Regency is highly suitable for the growth of R. argentiventer. In the rice - rice - intercrop cropping pattern, climate factors have strong influence on the infestation of rice field rats during the intercrop season. Meanwhile, climate factors have low influence during the rice monocrop season. Based on CLIMEX output, the altitude difference in Karawang Regency does not have a significant effect on the environment suitability for the growth and development of rice field rats, allowing them to live in any rice field in Karawang Regency. Based on climate scenarios, the suitability of the climate in Karawang Regency for the potential growth and development of rice field rats is projected to decrease in the 2070s. Increasing temperatures and decreasing rainfall cause the rice field rats to experience dry stress.
Pendugaan Kehilangan Hasil pada Tanaman Padi Rebah Akibat Terpaan Angin Kencang dan Curah Hujan Tinggi ,, Dulbari; Santosa, Edi; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Sulistyono, dan Eko
Jurnal Agronomi Indonesia (Indonesian Journal of Agronomy) Vol. 46 No. 1 (2018): Jurnal Agronomi Indonesia
Publisher : Indonesia Society of Agronomy (PERAGI) and Department of Agronomy and Horticulture, Faculty of Agriculture, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (689.52 KB) | DOI: 10.24831/jai.v46i1.14376

Abstract

AbstractRice lodging due to incident of extreme weather, i.e., combination of strong winds and high rainfall is eviden in Indonesia. However, yield loss in the area is rarely studied. In order to estimate yield loss on rice, a model for calculating the yield reduction was developed. The objective of present study was to analyze the effect of strong winds and high rainfall incidents on yield loss of rice in the field. The study was conducted at the Sawah Baru IPB, Bogor, Indonesia from February to April, 2016 on rice plots severe from natural incident of strong wind and high rainfall. The results showed that rice lodging from strong wind and high rainfall formed patterns and specific formations. We determined four major lodging formations,  five lodging degrees, and eleven different patterns due to wind direction. Overall, lodging occured on research area of 27.6% with production loss up to 11.89%. This research showed that estimation of yield loss due to incident of extreme weather could be conducted in the level of field based on area of coverage and degree of lodging. Application of the model on wider area needs further evaluation. Keywords: Agronomic character, extreme weather adaptation, modelling, lodging, rice variety
Pemodelan fenologi populasi penggerek batang padi kuning Scirpophaga incertulas (Walker) berbasis pengaruh iklim Koem, Syahrizal; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Impron, Impron
Jurnal Entomologi Indonesia Vol 11 No 1 (2014): April
Publisher : Perhimpunan Entomologi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (886.031 KB) | DOI: 10.5994/jei.11.1.1

Abstract

Rice stem borer abundance are largely influenced by climate. This research aims to (i) develop a population dynamic model of yellow stem borer (YSB) and (ii) to assess the model's ability to predict abundance and population peak of YSB under climate change scenario SRES A1FI and B1. Modeling the YSB requires two major components: climate parameter and lower developmental threshold temperatures (To) to describe life cycle of YSB from the egg, larva, pupa, and adult stages. The research utilized DYMEX software to describe development, mortality, transfer of individuals from one to the next life stages, fecundity and reproduction of YSB. The coefficient of determination (R2) of calibration models between predictions and observations showed a strong positive correlation of 0.65. Model validation could well predict the peak population, with R2 = 0.42. The simulations showed that the trend of population peak occur at high rainfall i.e. in March to April, July to September, and November to December. The model predicted YSB population in the Sukamandi reaches 3 generations per year, while in Kuningan 2 generations per year. Simulation models under climate change scenarios SRES A1FI and B1 showed differences in the sensitivities. Trend of YSB population is increasing in the regions Kuningan and decreasing in region Sukamandi. Under changing climate, environment conditions in Kuningan become more suitable for the proliferation of YSB, allowing an increase in the number of generations per year.
Analisis pengaruh faktor cuaca terhadap dinamika populasi wereng batang coklat (Nilaparvata lugens Stål) yang tertangkap lampu perangkap Sofyan, Devied Apriyanto; Koesmaryono, Yonny; Hidayati, Rini
Jurnal Entomologi Indonesia Vol 16 No 1 (2019): March
Publisher : Perhimpunan Entomologi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (434.802 KB) | DOI: 10.5994/jei.16.1.1

Abstract

Nilaparvata lugens Stí¥l (brown planthopper [BPH]) is one of the major pests that cause a decline in rice productions. BPH population abundance in rice crops is affected by weather factors. An early indication of the BPH population abundance in the crop can be seen from the number of captured BPH on light traps. This study aims to analyze the influence of weather factors on the population dynamics of BPH, caught by the light traps. The method analysis used is correlation analysis and linear regression analysis. When multicollinearity problems occur among the weather factors, the influence was analyzed using principal component regression method. The result showed that rainfall, minimum humidity, and rainy days have a strong correlation to the BPH population dynamics. Based on subset tests between these three factors, two best factors were chosen, namely the rainy days and minimum humidity. The regression equation between rainy days and minimum humidity against the BPH population clearly describes the relationship of BPH population that increases along with the increase in the number of rainy days accompanied by the fluctuation of minimum humidity in the environment.
UTILIZATION OF NEAR REAL-TIME NOAA-AVHRR SATELLITE OUTPUT FOR EL NIÑO INDUCED DROUGHT ANALYSIS IN INDONESIA (CASE STUDY: EL NIÑO 2015 INDUCED DROUGHT IN SOUTH SULAWESI) Amsari Mudzakir Setiawan; Yonny Koesmaryono; Akhmad Faqih; Dodo Gunawan
International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences Vol. 13 No. 2 (2016)
Publisher : BRIN

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30536/j.ijreses.2016.v13.a2450

Abstract

Drought is becoming one of the most important issues for government and policy makers. National food security highly concerned, especially when drought occurred in food production center areas. Climate variability, especially in South Sulawesi as one of the primary national rice production centers is influenced by global climate phenomena such as El Niño Southern Oscillation or ENSO. This phenomenon can lead to drought occurrences. Monitoring of drought potential occurrences in near real-time manner becomes a primary key element to anticipate the drought impact. This study was conducted to determine potential occurrences and the evolution of drought that occurred as a result of the 2015 El Niño event using the Vegetation Health Index (VHI) from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) satellite products. Composites analysis was performed using weekly Smoothed and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (or smoothed NDVI) (SMN), Smoothed Brightness Temperature Index (SMT), Vegetation Condition Index (VCI), Temperature Condition Index (TCI), and Vegetation Health Index (VHI).  This data were obtained from The Center for Satellite Applications and Research (STAR) - Global Vegetation Health Products (NOAA) website during 35-year period (1981-2015). Lowest potential drought occurrences (highest VHI and VCI value) caused by 2015 El Niño is showed by composite analysis result. Strong El Niño induced drought over the study area indicated by decreasing VHI value started at week 21st. Spatial characteristic differences in drought occurrences observed, especially on the west coast and east coast of South Sulawesi during strong El Niño. Weekly evolution of potential drought due to the El Niño impact in 2015 indicated by lower VHI values (VHI < 40) concentrated on the east coast of South Sulawesi, and then spread to another region along with the El Nino stage. Â
Co-Authors . Haruna . RINDITA A. Yanto Abdul Syakur Adeleyda M. W Lumingkewasa Adi Mulsandi Agus Suryanto Ahmad Faqih Aji Hamim Wigena Aji Irsyam N. Sukarta Akhmad Faqih Akhmad Faqih Alexander Knohl Ali, Ashehad Aswen Amsari Mudzakir Setiawan Amsari Mudzakir Setiawan Anung Wahyudi Aprilia, Lupita Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan Ardhasena Sopaheluwakan Aris Pramudia Aris Pramudia Ashehad Ashween Ali Asmari Amasih Aziz, Sandra A B.F. Simatupang Bambang Dwi Dasanto Bambang Guritno Budi Kartiwa Budi Kartiwa Christian Stiegler Daijiro Ito Didiek H. Goenadi Didiek Hadjar Goenadi Didiek Hadjar Goenadi Didy Sopandie Dodo Gunawan Dodo Gunawan Donaldi Sukma Permana Dulbari, Dulbari Dwi Guntoro E. Aldrian E. Eliyani Edi Santosa Edvin Aldrian Eko Sulistyono Eleonora Runtunuwu Eleonora Runtunuwu Erwin Eka Syahputra Makmur F Ismaini F. Djufri F. Fibrianty Fadjry Djufri Fadjry Djufri Felia Rizky Aulia Fendy Arifianto Ferdinan Yulianda Gusti Rusmayadi H.M.H Bintoro Djoefrie Hadi Susilo Arifin Hana F.T. Handoko Handoko Hanedi Darmasetiawan Hanedi Darmasetiawan Hari Wijayanto Haruna Haruo Suzuki Herdhata Agusta Hidayat Pawitan Hidayat Pawitan Hideki Sukimoto I Handoko I Handoko I Wayan Astika Impron Impron Irianto G. Irsal Las Irsal Las Justika Baharsjah Kiki, Kiki Knohl, Alexander Laode Sabaruddin Lisdar Idwan Sudirman Lukman H. Sibuea Lumingkewasa, Adeleyda M. W Ma'rufah, Ummu Magfira Syarifuddin Mamenun Mamenun Marjuki Marjuki Mufika Haryu Suci Fitriana Mulyono R. Prabowo Mulyono R. Prabowo Munif Ghulamahdi Nofi Yendri Sudiar P. Perdinan Rahmat Hidayat Resti Salmayenti Rini Hidayati Rizaldi Boer Rokhmin Dahuri S. B. Rushayati Sandra A Aziz Santikayasa, I Putu Setiapermas M.N. Siti Nadia Nurul Azizah Sjafrida Manuwoto Sofyan Zaman Sofyan, Devied Apriyanto Sopaheluwakan, Ardhasena Sulistyono, dan Eko Suman Sangadji Sutoro Sutoro Swastiko Priyambodo, Swastiko Syahrizal Koem Syarifuddin Karama Tania June Taufan Hidayat Taufan Hidayat Tetsuya Haseba Tetsuya Haseba Tugiyo Aminoto Ummu Ma'rufah Ummu Ma'rufah Upik Kesumawati Hadi Wahyujaya Wahyujaya Wido Hanggoro Yogi Sugito Yon Sugiarto Yopie Moelyohadi Yunus Subagyo Swarinoto Yusmin . Yusmin . Yustika S. Baharsyah Z. Noor