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Gumgum Darmawan
Departemen Statistika, Fakultas MIPA, Universitas Padjadjaran
Religion Arts Humanities Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Asian Journal of Applied Education

 1 
Forecasting Electricity Sales Using the Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation Method Utami, Yosi Febria; Darmawan, Gumgum; Pontoh, Resa Septiani
Asian Journal of Applied Education (AJAE) Vol. 2 No. 4 (2023): October 2023
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/ajae.v2i4.6589

Abstract

PT PLN operates in the field of providing electrical energy and one of its goals is to meet consumer needs for electrical energy now and in the future, as well as PLN UID West Java. The initial step is to estimate how much electricity will be sold in the future. For this reason, electricity sales forecasting is carried out which can be taken into consideration by PLN UID West Java in making decisions. This research uses monthly electricity sales data in West Java for the last ten years. This data is not linear and not stationary, so an alternative method is used, namely Artificial Neural Network Backpropagation. Forecasting produces the best network architecture 12-7-1 with a MAPE of 2.965%. This architectural model is used to forecast electricity sales in West Java until August 2024.
Co-Authors Achmad Bachrudin Akbar, Muhammad Faizal Alamanda Putri, Fariza Aldi Anugerah Sitepu Alfarisi, Widi Wildani Alifia, Wanda Aliya Auliyazhafira, Shabira Amanah Dwiadi, Qurnia Angga Pratama Anindya Apriliyanti Pravitasari Apriliana, Linda Aribah, Rana Asrirawan Aurilia Pratiwi, Dhanti Azka Larissa Rahayu Bertho Tantular Budhi Handoko Budi Nurani Ruchjana Budianti, Laila Clarissa Clorinda, Chrysentia Dedi Rosadi Defi Yusti Faidah Deltha Airuzsh Lubis Dina Prariesa Eko Yulian eko yulian, eko Ery Sadewo, Ery Fajar Indrayatna Farhan Bagus Prakoso Ferdian Agustiana Fitriani Azuri, Dila Hadi, Juandi Haura, Zhafira Hirlan Khaeri I Gede Nyoman Mindra Jaya Indriani , Ayu Intan Nurma Yulita Ismatilah, Nuzila Janatin, Janatin Karin, Nabila Khaeri, Hirlan Kiki Amelia, Kiki Kusuma Putri, Aisha Muhamad Budiman Johra Muhammad Faizal Akbar Mulya Nurmansyah Ardisasmita Mulya, Callista Audrey Najwa, Sandrina Neneng Sunengsih Neneng Sunengsih Novianti Indah Putri Nurhapilah, Hani Nurul Gusriani Pian Widianingsih Puteri, Dian Islamiaty Putri Syallya, Najma Rafifah Putri, Salma Azzahra Rafidah, Raihanah Rahman Al Madan, Aulia Resa Septiani Pontoh Restu Arisanti Rhafi Ahdian, Muhammad Rina Sri Kalsum Siregar Rini Luciani Rahayu Rizal Amegia Saputra Ruchjana, Budi N Ruslan Ruslan Samaria Nauli, Theresia Sangrila, Ayu Sastradipraja, C K Setialaksana, Wirawan - Sitepu, Aldi Anugerah Sitohang, Yosep Oktavianus Sri Sutjiningtyas Sri Winarni Sri Yuliana Sudartianto, Sudartianto Talakua, Andrew Hosea Tri Wulanda Fitri Triyani Hendrawati Utami, Yosi Febria Widiantoro, Carissa Egytia Widodo, Valeno Glenedias Wildani Alfarisi, Widi Yasyfi Avicenna, Muhammad Yeny Krista Franty Yogo Aryo Jatmiko Yosep Oktavianus Sitohang Yunizar, Mahdayani Putri Yusep Suparman Yuyun Hidayat Zen Munawar Zulhanif Zulhanif