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Analisis Hubungan Simultan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pendidikan, dan Pengangguran terhadap Kemiskinan Sumatera Barat Hadi, M. Asyrafi; Andrianus, Fery
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 2 (June 2025)
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i2.1166

In 2023, the percentage of poverty in the Province of Sumatra increased from the previous year to 5.95%, which reflects the unequal distribution of economic growth and access to basic services in this area. This study aims to analyze the simultaneous effect of economic growth, education, and unemployment rates on poverty in 19 districts/cities in West Sumatra during the period 2014–2023. The method used is a quantitative approach with the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) which allows the identification of short-term and long-term relationships between variables. The results of the study show that in the long term education has a negative and significant effect on poverty, meaning that improving the quality of education can reduce poverty levels, while economic growth has a positive and significant effect on poverty in West Sumatra, and unemployment in the long term does not have a significant effect on poverty. In the short term, the education and unemployment variables do not have a significant effect on poverty, while economic growth in lag 1 has a negative and significant effect on poverty and a positive effect on poverty in lag 2.

Analisis Hubungan Simultan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Pendidikan, dan Pengangguran terhadap Kemiskinan Sumatera Barat Hadi, M. Asyrafi; Andrianus, Fery
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 2 (June 2025)
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i2.1166

In 2023, the percentage of poverty in the Province of Sumatra increased from the previous year to 5.95%, which reflects the unequal distribution of economic growth and access to basic services in this area. This study aims to analyze the simultaneous effect of economic growth, education, and unemployment rates on poverty in 19 districts/cities in West Sumatra during the period 2014–2023. The method used is a quantitative approach with the Panel Vector Error Correction Model (PVECM) which allows the identification of short-term and long-term relationships between variables. The results of the study show that in the long term education has a negative and significant effect on poverty, meaning that improving the quality of education can reduce poverty levels, while economic growth has a positive and significant effect on poverty in West Sumatra, and unemployment in the long term does not have a significant effect on poverty. In the short term, the education and unemployment variables do not have a significant effect on poverty, while economic growth in lag 1 has a negative and significant effect on poverty and a positive effect on poverty in lag 2.

Analisis Dampak Guncangan Eksternal World Oil Price dan Federal Fund Rate terhadap Variabel Makroekonomi Indonesia Sukma, Nefi; Andrianus, Fery; Kamarni, Neng
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 2 (June 2025)
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i2.1198

This study aims to analyze the impact of external shocks, namely world oil prices and global interest rates,on Indonesia’s macroeconomic variables, such as domestic output, inflation, and the real effective exchange rate. Additionally, it examines the effectiveness of Bank Indonesia’s monetary policy through the implementation of the domestic interest rate using the Structural Vector Autoregression method. The data used are monthly secondary time-series data, comprising external shock variables world oil prices and global interest rates and domestic variables output, price levels, interest rates, money supply, and real effective exchange rate spanning from January 2008 to December 2022. This research is motivated by the impact of WOP and FFR shocks during the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. The Impulse Response Function results indicate that domestic output, price levels, and the real effective exchange rate respond negatively to WOP shocks and FFR reductions. Furthermore, domestic output and the real effective exchange rate exhibit a negative response to the domestic interest rate, while the price level generally responds positively. The Forecast Error Variance Decomposition results show that, in addition to the significant contributions of world oil price and global interest rate shocks, the variables output, price levels, interest rates, money supply, and real effective exchange rate also have substantial contributions to themselves and to changes in other macroeconomic variables.

Analisis Dampak Guncangan Eksternal World Oil Price dan Federal Fund Rate terhadap Variabel Makroekonomi Indonesia Sukma, Nefi; Andrianus, Fery; Kamarni, Neng
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 2 (June 2025)
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i2.1198

This study aims to analyze the impact of external shocks, namely world oil prices and global interest rates,on Indonesia’s macroeconomic variables, such as domestic output, inflation, and the real effective exchange rate. Additionally, it examines the effectiveness of Bank Indonesia’s monetary policy through the implementation of the domestic interest rate using the Structural Vector Autoregression method. The data used are monthly secondary time-series data, comprising external shock variables world oil prices and global interest rates and domestic variables output, price levels, interest rates, money supply, and real effective exchange rate spanning from January 2008 to December 2022. This research is motivated by the impact of WOP and FFR shocks during the global financial crisis and the Covid-19 pandemic. The Impulse Response Function results indicate that domestic output, price levels, and the real effective exchange rate respond negatively to WOP shocks and FFR reductions. Furthermore, domestic output and the real effective exchange rate exhibit a negative response to the domestic interest rate, while the price level generally responds positively. The Forecast Error Variance Decomposition results show that, in addition to the significant contributions of world oil price and global interest rate shocks, the variables output, price levels, interest rates, money supply, and real effective exchange rate also have substantial contributions to themselves and to changes in other macroeconomic variables.

ASSESSING THE INFLUENCE OF THE ISLAMIC FINANCIAL SYSTEM ON INDONESIA'S ECONOMIC GROWTH IN THE LONG AND SHORT RUN FROM 2011 TO 2022 Kamarni, Neng; Andrianus, Fery; Dhoifullah, Aisyah
Jurnal Al-Iqtishad Vol 19, No 2 (2023): December 2023
Publisher : Economic and Science Faculty of Islamic State University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24014/jiq.v19i2.27514

This study aims to see the performance of the Islamic financial system on Indonesia's economic growth in the long and short run from 2011 to 2022. The research method uses the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method. The data used in this study are secondary. Secondary data is a source of data that is not directly obtained from objects through interviews. Secondary data can be obtained from other organizations or individuals such as census data collected. Data from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) and the Financial Services Authority (OJK). This study uses economic growth as the dependent variable and the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index and Islamic banking financing as independent variables. The research provides results that the performance of Islamic banking financing and the Indonesian Sharia Stock Index provides positive and significant results on economic growth. Based on the results of this study, it is hoped that the government will further strengthen policies that focus on the development of Islamic finance in Indonesia because improving the performance of the Islamic financial system can improve and encourage economic growth in Indonesia.

IMPLIKASI VARIABEL LINGKUNGAN, MAKROEKONOMI DAN MIKROEKONOMI DARI PENERAPAN PAJAK KARBON MENUJU EKONOMI BERKELANJUTAN DI INDONESIA Ayu, Putri; Andrianus, Fery; Saibah, Bintang Rizky Abdullah Majo; Sufiawan, Nur Ari; Cahyadi, Ria Vinola K.
Jurnal Ilmiah Manajemen, Ekonomi, & Akuntansi (MEA) Vol 8 No 1 (2024): Edisi Januari - April 2024
Publisher : LPPM STIE Muhammadiah Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31955/mea.v8i1.3785

Gas rumah kaca yang dilepaskan ke atmosfer selama beberapa dekade kini menyebabkan pemanasan global. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah dampak penerapan pajak karbon terhadap variabel lingkungan, makroekonomi dan mikroekonomi ika diterapkan di Indonesia. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah metode CGE dengan menggunakan GTAP-E untuk mengevaluasi kebijakan energi dalam perekonomian. GTAP-E terdiri dari 140 negara dan 57 sektor yang digabungkan menjadi empat puluh dua wilayah dan delapan sektor. Menggunakan skenario pajak karbon (simulasi 1 sebesar 1,93USD dan simulasi 2 sebesar 3,72USD, simulasi 3 sebesar 4,83 USD). Hasil menunjukkan bahwa variabel lingkungan hidup CO2 mengalami penurunan, dengan penurunan terbesar terjadi pada sektor batubara, disusul minyak bumi, gas dan olahan minyak bumi lainnya. Dampak variabel makro menyebabkan PDB naik, perubahan neraca perdagangan meningkat, harga pasar komoditas menurun di bebrapa sektor, dan nilai impor barang sektor batubara, Minyak bumi, dan gas menurun. Variabel mikro terlihat pada kepuasan/utilitas belanja pemerintah per kapita meningkat, utilitas belanja swasta menurun.

The Effect of Fintech Loans on Income Inequality in Indonesia Saputri, Dtania; Andrianus, Fery
Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting Vol. 5 No. 3 (2024): Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (July - August
Publisher : Dinasti Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.38035/dijefa.v5i3.3051

This study aims to analyze the impact of FinTech loans on income inequality in Indonesia. The data utilized comprises 34 provinces in Indonesia with quarterly frequencies from 2019 to 2022. The use of provincial-level panel data enables subgroup analysis and differentiation based on FinTech loan levels for comparison purposes. The Two Step System Generalized Method of Moments (SYS-GMM) method is employed to address research questions and test the proposed hypotheses. Estimation results reveal that FinTech loans have a positive and significant impact on income inequality in Indonesia. Subgroup province analysis also indicates similar outcomes, with a greater influence observed in provinces with higher levels of FinTech loans.

Determinasi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Daerah: Studi Empiris Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Riau Angraini, Nofia; Handra, Hefrizal; Andrianus, Fery
Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Vol. 7, No. 3 (September 2025)
Publisher : SAFE-Network

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37034/infeb.v7i3.1220

This study aims to analyze the effect of poverty, the Human Development Index, and unemployment on economic growth in the districts and cities of Riau Province over the period 2015–2024. The research employs a quantitative method using multiple linear regression with panel data covering 12 districts/cities in the province. The data analyzed include key macroeconomic indicators, namely the poverty rate, HDI, and open unemployment rate. The results show that poverty and HDI have a positive and significant effect on economic growth. In contrast, the unemployment rate has a negative and significant effect on regional economic growth. Simultaneously, these three independent variables explain 34.6% of the variation in regional economic growth, while the remaining portion is influenced by other factors not included in the model. These findings offer important implications for regional development policy. The positive relationship between poverty and economic growth indicates signs of unequal distribution of development outcomes, suggesting that economic growth has not been fully enjoyed by all segments of society. Therefore, local governments are encouraged to prioritize development policies that are more inclusive and socially equitable. It is recommended that investment be strengthened in the education, health, and employment sectors, along with the development of local potentials that can absorb labor and sustainably reduce poverty.

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