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Perbandingan Metode Klasifikasi Naive Bayes dan K-Nearest Neighbor pada Data Status Pembayaran Pajak Pertambahan Nilai di Kantor Pelayanan Pajak Pratama Samarinda Ulu Rahmaulidyah, Fatihah Noor; Hayati, Memi Nor; Goejantoro, Rito
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 12 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (641.425 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v12i2.809

Abstract

Classification is a systematic grouping of objects into certain groups based on the same characteristics. The classification method used in this research are naive Bayes and K-Nearest Neighbor which has a relatively high degree of accuracy. This research aims to compare the level of classification accuracy on the status data of value-added tax (VAT) payment. The data used is data on corporate taxpayers at Samarinda Ulu Tax Office in 2018 with the status of VAT payment being compliant or non-compliant and used 3 independent variables are income, type of business entity and tax reported status. Measurement of accuracy using APER in the Naive Bayes method is 17.07% and in K-Nearest Neighbor method is 19,51%. The comparison results of accuracy measurements between the two methods show that the naive Bayes method has a higher level of accuracy than the K-Nearest Neighbor method
Klasifikasi Status Pembayaran Kredit Barang Elektronik dan Furniture Menggunakan Support Vector Machine Casuarina, Indah Putri; Hayati, Memi Nor; Prangga, Surya
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 13 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (558.5 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v13i1.887

Abstract

Classification is the process of finding a model or function that can describe and differentiate data into classes. One application of classification is Support Vector Machine (SVM). SVM is a learning system that uses a hypothetical space in the form of linear functions in a high-dimensional feature space, trained with a learning algorithm based on optimization theory by implementing machine learning derived from statistical learning theory. The concept of classification with SVM is to find the best hyperplane to separate the two data classes and use a support vector approach. This study uses the proportion of the distribution of training data and testing data, namely 50%:50%, 70%:30%, 90%:10% and uses the SVM algorithm Polynomial kernel function with parameters =0.01, r=0.5, d =2, and C=1. This study aims to determine the results of the classification of the credit payment status of electronic goods and furniture and the level of classification accuracy in the SVM method. The data used is the debtor data of PT. KB Finansia Multi Finance Bontang in 2020 as many as 133 data with current and non-current credit payment status and using 7 independent variables, namely age, number of dependents, length of stay, income, years of service, large credit payments, and length of credit borrowing. The results of the SVM classification show an average accuracy value of 72.25% and the best accuracy chosen is the proportion of training data distribution and testing data 90%:10%, which is 84.62%.
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Jumlah Kasus Tuberkulosis di Indonesia Menggunakan Model Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression Karima, Nabila Al; Suyitno, Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 12 No. 1 (2021)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (711.443 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v12i1.754

Abstract

Tuberculosis is a contagious disease suffered by humans caused by mycobacterium tuberculosis bacteria. Tuberculosis in Indonesia must be eradicated both preventive and treatment. One effort that can be given to the community to reduce tuberculosis cases is by providing information on the factors that influence tuberculosis cases through Geographically Weighted Poisson Regression (GWPR) modeling. The number of tuberculosis cases in Indonesia is a count data with a small chance of occurrence so that it is suspected to have a Poisson distribution. Cases of tuberculosis are spatial data (spatial heterogeneity). The purpose of this study is to determine the GWPR model of the number of tuberculosis cases in Indonesia and determine the factors that influence tuberculosis cases in Indonesia. The research data are secondary data obtained from the Indonesian Ministry of Health. Parameter estimation method is Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Spatial weighting is calculated by using the Adaptive Gaussian weighting function and the optimum bandwidth is determined by using the Cross-Validation (CV) criteria. The research results showed that the exact Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator could not be obtained analytically and the approximation of ML estimator was obtained by using the Newton-Raphson iterative method. Based on the results of the parameter testing of GWPR model, it was concluded that the factors affecting the number of tuberculosis cases were local and varied in 34 provinces. The factor affecting locally are the number of poor people, the percentage of houses unfit for habitation, the percentage of districts/cities that do not have a PHBS policy and the percentage of TPM not meeting health requirements, meanwhile factors influencing globally are the number of poor people.
Pemodelan Harga Saham PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk Menggunakan Model TSR Linier Ramadani, Kartika; Wahyuningsih, Sri; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 13 No. 1 (2022)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (560.404 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v13i1.879

Abstract

The movement of the stock price of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk from time to time is relatively erratic, but in 2020 the movement shows an decreasing trend pattern in January-October and an increasing trend pattern in November-December. There needs a stock price modeling for PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk which is useful for investors as a consideration in making decisions to invest. In this study, modeling the stock price of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk uses a Time Series Regression (TSR) Linear model. The results of this study obtained a model for the proportion of data in sample 90, a model for the proportion of data in sample 80, and a model for the proportion of data in sample 70. It was found that the residual value of the TSR linear model the white noise assumption and normally distributed is not valid, so it can be concluded that TSR Linear model has not been able to understand all information on stock price data of PT. Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk.
Penerapan Model Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression dengan Fungsi Pembobot Adaptive Tricube pada IPM 30 Kabupaten/Kota di Provinsi Kalimantan Timur, Kalimantan Tengah dan Kalimantan Selatan Tahun 2016 Safitri, Ranita Nur; Suyitno, Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 11 No. 2 (2020)
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (792.631 KB) | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v11i2.651

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Mixed Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR) model is a Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) model which has global (equal value) and local (inequal value) parameters at every different observation location. The goal of this study is to obtain MGWR model of the Human Development Index (HDI) data and find out significant factors influencing the HDI in each district (city) East Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan and South Kalimantan province in 2016. Parameter estimation method is conducted in two stages namely local parameter estimation and global parameter estimation. Local parameter estimation method is Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE), with spatial weighting is calculated by adaptive tricube weighting function and optimum bandwidth determination uses the Akaike Information Criteria (AIC). Global parameter estimation method is Ordinary Least Square (OLS). Based on the result of MGWR parameter testing, it was concluded that the school enrollment rates (SMP) and poor people percentage affected the HDI of 30 districts (cities) in East Kalimantan, Central Kalimantan and South Kalimantan. Meanwhile the population density affected the HDI of two districts namely HDI of Samarinda and Bontang.
FLEXIBLY SHAPED SPATIAL SCAN STATISTIC FOR MAPPING INDONESIAN STUNTING INCIDENTS Fauziyah, Meirinda; Asnita, Asnita; Hayati, Memi Nor; Hadistii, Zahrah Dhafiinia
MAp (Mathematics and Applications) Journal Vol 5, No 2 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Islam Negeri Imam Bonjol Padang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15548/map.v5i2.7083

Abstract

The early stages of toddler growth are vulnerable to the environment around them. The growth of toddlers can be influenced by the nutritional intake they receive. One of the poor nutritional statuses that often occurs in toddlers is stunting. Toddlers who experience stunting are at risk of decreasing intellectual abilities, productivity, and increasing the risk of degenerative diseases in the future. The research variables used are the percentage of the poor population and the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia in 2021 using the Flexibly Shaped Spatial Scan Statistic (FSSS) analysis method. The results of the research show that there are areas in hotspot 1 which are areas potentially prone to stunting prevalence. Provinces that are potentially vulnerable are Aceh, North Sumatra, West Sumatra, Riau, Jambi, Bengkulu.
Pemodelan Laju Kematian Pasien Covid-19 di RSUD Abdul Wahab Sjahranie Samarinda menggunakan Model Regresi Weibull Azizah, Nur; Suyitno; Hayati, Memi Nor
Journal of Mathematics, Computations and Statistics Vol. 6 No. 1 (2023): Volume 06 Nomor 01 (April 2023)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The Weibull regression model is the development of the Weibull distribution, namely the Weibulldistribution which is affected directly by the covariates. The Weibull regression models discussed in thisstudy are the Weibull survival regression model and the Weibull hazard regression model. The Weibullregression model in this study was applied to data of COVID-19 patients hospitalization time at the AbdulWahab Sjahranie Hospital in Samarinda 2021. The event of this study was the death of the COVID-19patients. The purpose of this study was to determine the Weibull survival regression model and Weibullhazard regression to data of COVID-19 patients hospitalization time, to know the factors that influence the chance of patients survive and the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients, and to interpret of the Weibull survival regression and Weibull hazard regression model. The parameter estimation method was Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). Hypothesis parameter testing consists of parameter testing simultaneously and partially. Conclusion of this study that the Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator was obtained using the Newton-Raphson iterative method. Based on hypothesis testing, the factors affecting the chance of survive and the mortality rate of COVID-19 patients at the Abdul Wahab Sjahranie Hospital Samarinda is oxygen saturation.
Klasterisasi Prevalensi Stunting Menggunakan K-Prototype pada Data Campuran Marsandy, Aldwin Falah Hasan; Hayati, Memi Nor; Fauziyah, Meirinda
METIK JURNAL Vol 8 No 2 (2024): METIK Jurnal
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Mulia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47002/metik.v8i2.824

Abstract

Cluster analysis is a statistical method for grouping objects based on the similar characteristics of each object. One of the algorithms used in cluster analysis is K-Prototype, which was developed to handle mixed data, namely numerical and categorical data. The validation method used to determine the optimal number of clusters in K-Prototype cluster analysis is the Elbow method. The aim of the research is to determine the optimal number of clusters and optimal cluster results on the prevalence of stunting and indicators that influence the prevalence of stunting in Indonesia in 2022. The results of the research show that the optimal number of clusters produced is 4 clusters, using the Elbow graph the WCSS (Within Cluster Sum Square) value is obtained. optimal is 65.83. Cluster 1 consists of 2 provinces, cluster 2 consists of 7 provinces, cluster 3 consists of 10 provinces, and cluster 4 consists of 15 provinces.
Prediksi Ketepatan Klasifikasi Status Predikat Lulusan Program Sarjana FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman Menggunakan Regresi Logistik Biner dan Neural Networks Khasanah, Lisa Dwi Nurul; Fathurahman, M.; Hayati, Memi Nor
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 15 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Eksponensial
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v15i2.1301

Abstract

Classification is a learning technique for identifying categorical groups from a data set whose group member categories are known. Several methods that can be used in classification include binary logistic regression and neural networks. This research aims to compare the prediction results for the accuracy of the classification of predicate status for graduates of the FMIPA Mulawarman University undergraduate program in 2021. In the binary logistic regression method, the model parameters are estimated using the maximum likelihood estimation and Fisher scoring iteration methods. The neural networks used the backpropagation algorithm. The results of the research show that the classification accuracy using the confusion matrix obtained with binary logistic regression and neural networks is the same, namely 87.5%.
Penerapan Algoritma Divisive Analysis dalam Pengelompokan Provinsi di Indonesia Berdasarkan Prevalensi Stunting Suyono, Ari Krisna; Hayati, Memi Nor; Siringoringo, Meiliyani; Prangga, Surya; Fathurahman, M.
EKSPONENSIAL Vol. 15 No. 2 (2024): Jurnal Eksponensial
Publisher : Program Studi Statistika FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30872/eksponensial.v15i2.1341

Abstract

Cluster analysis is an analysis that aims to group data (objects) based only on the information contained in the data that describes objects and the relationships between the objects. Divisive analysis is a clustering method using a top-down approach which starts by placing all objects into one cluster or what is called a hierarchical root and then dividing the cluster root into several smaller clusters. This research aimed to group 34 provinces in Indonesia into 2,3, and 4 clusters based on stunting prevalence data and factors causing stunting in 2022 using a divisive analysis algorithm. The results showed that for 2 clusters, cluster 1 consisted of 32 provinces with low stunting prevalence, and cluster 2 consisted of 2 provinces with high stunting prevalence. For 3 clusters, cluster 1 consisted of 26 provinces with moderate stunting prevalence, cluster 2 consisted of 6 provinces with low stunting prevalence, and cluster 3 consisted of 2 provinces with high stunting prevalence. For 4 clusters, cluster 1 consisted of 21 provinces with moderate stunting prevalence, cluster 2 consisted of 5 provinces with low stunting prevalence, cluster 3 consisted of 6 provinces with high stunting prevalence, and cluster 4 consisted of 2 provinces with very high stunting prevalence.
Co-Authors - Purhadi Abda Abda Alifta Ainurrochmah Amanah Saeroni Anak Agung Gede Sugianthara Andi M. Ade Satriya Anjani Anjani Annabaa Aulia, Muzizah Asnita, Asnita Astuti, Putri Sri Cahyaningsih, Ariyanti Candra Dewi, Ni Luh Ayu Casuarina, Indah Putri Damayanti, Elok Dani, Andrea Tri Rian Darnah Darnah Darnah, Darnah Desi Yuniarti Deviyana Nurmin Dewi, Isma Diani, Milda Alfitri Dini Elizabeth Dwi Husnul Mubiin Edy Fahrin Emi Harmianti Eric Sapto Raharjo Fatma wati Fauzia, Rina Fauziyah, Meirinda Fidia Deny Tisna Amijaya Goenjatoro, Rito Hadisti, Zahrah Dhafina Hadistii, Zahrah Dhafiinia Hidayatullah, Aji Syarif Hisintus Suban Hurint Ibrahim, Rizky Nur Iim Masfian Nur Ika Purnamasari Ika Purnamasari Ika Puspita, Ika Ineu Sintia Julia Julia Julnita Bidangan Karima, Nabila Al Kartika Ramadani Khairun Nida Khasanah, Lisa Dwi Nurul Krisna Rendi Awalludin Lestari, Nur Aini Ayu Lili Widyastuti Lupinda, Indah Cahyani M. Fathurahman Mahmuda, Siti Marsandy, Aldwin Falah Hasan Masrawanti Masrawanti Meiliyani Siringoringo Messakh, Gerald Claudio Mochammad Imron Awalludin Muhammad Jainudin Nabilla, Maghrisa Ayu Nana Nirwana Nanda Arista Rizki Nida, Khairun Ningsih, Eva Lestari Nohe, Darnah Andi Nur - Azizah Nur Annisa Fitri Nur Azizah Nur Fajar Apriyani Nurmalia Purwita Yuriantari Nurmin, Deviyana Nurul Hidayah Oroh, Chiko Zet Paradilla, Yunda Sasha Pratama Yuly Nugraha Pratiwi, Reni Purhadi - Putri Ayu Dwi Lestari, Putri Ayu Dwi Putri, Nurlia Sucianti Rahmah, Putri Aulia Rahmaulidyah, Fatihah Noor Ramadani, Kartika Riska Veronika Rito Goejantoro, Rito Ronald Tediwibawa Safitri, Ranita Nur Sari, Devi Nur Endah Sa’diyah, Lita Vindiyatus Sekar Nur Utami Sembiring, Rinawati Sifriyani, Sifriyani Sinaga, Julia Oriana Siringoringo, Meiliyani Siti Mahmuda Siti Rahmah Binaiya Soraya, Raihana Sri Wahyuningsih Sri Wahyuningsih Sri Wahyuningsih Suerni, Widya - Sumartini Sumartini Surya Prangga Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyitno Suyono, Ari Krisna Syamsiar, Syamsiar Syaripuddin Syaripuddin Tiara Nur Hikmaulida Tiara Nurul Ma’ala Utami, Riska Putri Verawaty Bettyani Sitorus Wahyuni, Nanda Anggun Yuki Novia Nasution, Yuki Novia Yuniarti, Desi