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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) Jurnal Informatika Seminar Nasional Aplikasi Teknologi Informasi (SNATI) Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informasi Jurnal Sains dan Seni ITS IPTEK Journal of Proceedings Series IPTEK The Journal for Technology and Science Gamatika Prosiding Seminar Matematika dan Pendidikan Matematik JURNAL SOSIAL HUMANIORA (JSH) Semesta Teknika Elkawnie Register: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknologi Sistem Informasi Science and Technology Indonesia Journal of Environment and Sustainability Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications International Journal of Computing Science and Applied Mathematics JAIM (Jurnal Abdi Masyarakat) Jurnal Teknologi Dan Sistem Informasi Bisnis Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (MIMS) Journal of Applied Data Sciences Journal of Research in Social Science and Humanities COMSERVA: Jurnal Penelitian dan Pengabdian Masyarakat Sewagati Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Mohammad Isa Irawan
Departemen Matematika Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember Surabaya
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Journal : Science and Technology Indonesia

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Carbon Price Prediction by Incorporating Fossil Fuel Prices Using Long Short-Term Memory with Temporal Pattern Attention (TPA-LSTM) Mujiono, Edo Priyo Utomo Putro; Mukhlash, Imam; Pradana, Yan Aditya; Putri, Endah R.M.; Irawan, Mohammad Isa
Science and Technology Indonesia Vol. 10 No. 3 (2025): July
Publisher : Research Center of Inorganic Materials and Coordination Complexes, FMIPA Universitas Sriwijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26554/sti.2025.10.3.856-865

Abstract

Reliable carbon price prediction can help to stabilize the carbon market, minimize financial risks for investors, and encourage innovation in green industries. The forecasts have a crucial role in reaching advanced goals for reducing emissions, aiding the shift toward an economy with reduced carbon emissions, and lessening the adverse effects of climate change overall. This paper proposes applications of LSTM with Temporal Pattern Attention (TPA-LSTM) to predict carbon price fluctuations. The prediction of carbon price fluctuations not only draws on its own historical information but also from its main predictors, including fossil fuel prices from 2018 to 2023. The TPA-LSTM method is a combined method that uses the LSTM layer as the initial input of the model. Furthermore, the output generated by the LSTM layer serves as the input to the TPA layer, which is then used to predict the carbon price for the following day. The model is tested by predicting the test data and calculating the evaluation results. The experimental results indicate that TPA-LSTM has surpassed other models in accuracy by showing better performance based on MSE, RMSE, MAE, and MAPE metrics.
Co-Authors AA. Masroeri Abduh Riski, Abduh Adrianus Bagas Tantyo Dananjaya Akhmad Arif Junaidi Alan Catur Nugraha Alexander Setiawan Alvida Mustika Rukmi Alvida Mustikarukmi Amira, Siti Azza Andreas Handojo Antonio Galileo Tando Arie Dipareza Syafei Arifah, Enny Durratul Auliya Rahmayani Baiq Findiarin Billyan Chyntia Kumalasari Puteri Danang Wahyu Wicaksono Darmaji Darmaji Darmawan, Didiet Edi Satriyanto Ekky Hidma Octia Rahmah Elly Matul Imah Elnora Oktaviyani Gultom Elsen Ronando Erna Apriliani Fendhy Ongko Giandi, Oxsy Ginardi, Raden Venantius Hari Hadi Prasetiya Haloho, Freddi Hartanto Setiawan Hendy Hendy Hendy Hozairi Imam Mukhlash Imam Mukhlash Ira Puspitasari Kadek Eri Mahardika Ketut Buda Artana Khilmy, Akhmad Ku Khalif, Ku Muhammad Naim Mahdiyah, Umi Mardlijah - Mey Lista Tauryawati Mohamad Muhtaromi Mohammad Hamim Zajuli Al Faroby Mohammad Iqbal Mohammad Jamhuri Mohd Aziz, Mohd Khairul Bazli Muchamad Jati Nugroho Muhammad Agung Adi Maulana Muhammad Ahnaf Amrullah Muhammad Athoillah, Muhammad Muhammad Fakhrur Rozi Muhammad Hajarul Aswad Muhammad, Noryanti Mujiono, Edo Priyo Utomo Putro Ni Nyoman Tri Puspaningsih Nugraha, Arma Perwira Nurul Hidayat NURUL HIDAYAT Pratama, Qoria Yudi Putri, Endah R.M. Putri, Endah Rokhmati Merdika Rasyadan Taufiq Probojati Resi Arumin Sani Rita Ambarwati Rita Ambarwati Sukmono Robin Wijaya, Robin Ronando, Elsen Rukmini, Meme Samsul Setumin Santoso Santoso Sepriadi, Robby Setiawan, Muhammad Nanda Shahab, Muhammad Luthfi Siti Maghfiroh Soetrisno Soetrisno Sulastri Sulastri Titin J. Ambarwati Victory Tyas Pambudi Swindiarto YAN ADITYA PRADANA Yongky Ujianto Yuda Dian Harja Zulfa Afiq Fikriya