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Farid Wajidi
Universitas Sulawesi Barat
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Journal : Seminar Nasional Informatika (SEMNASIF)

 1 
METODE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING (TES) DALAM MEMPREDIKSI JUMLAH KASUS PENYAKIT DI RSUD MAJENE Nurul Islamiati; Irfan AP; Farid Wajidi
Seminar Nasional Informatika (SEMNASIF) Vol 1, No 1 (2020): Peran Digital Society dalam Pemulihan Pasca Pandemi
Publisher : Jurusan Teknik Informatika

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Abstract

AbstractForecasting technology is used to determine patterns / predictions of something that will happen in the future by utilizing data from the past. This study uses one of the forecasting methods, namely the Triple Exponential Smoothing (TES) method, with the aim of finding the results / prediction patterns in future disease cases. The TES method using an alpha value of 0.097 produces an accuracy of less than 10%, which can be categorized as very good.Keywords : Forecasting, Disease, Triple Exponential Smoothing.Teknologi forecasting digunakan untuk mengetahui pola/prediksi sesuatu yang terjadi dimasa datang dengan memanfaatkan data-data pada masa lampau. Penelitian ini menggunakan salah satu dari metode forecasting, yakni metode Triple Exponential Smoothing (TES), dengan tujuan untuk menemukan hasil/pola prediksi pada kasus-kasus penyakit yang akan datang. Metode TES menggunakan nilai alpha 0.097 menghasilkan akurasi kurang dari 10%, yang dapat dikategorikan sangat baik.Kata Kunci : Forecasting, Penyakit, Triple Exponential Smoothing.
Co-Authors A. Amirul Asnan Cirua Ade Mulawarman Ahyar, Muh. Amalia Sutriana Andi Nur Fiqhi Utami, Andi Nur Fiqhi Andris Bertohir Panginan Anggit Priadmojo Arfa Arfa Arfiah, Sitti Arifin, Nurhikma Asmawati S Asnan Cirua, A. Amirul Bazar, Ikbal Candaria, Candaria Dian Megah Sari Dian Putri Erdiansyah Rahmi Firgiawan, Wawan Fitriani Fitriani Heliawaty Hamrul Iin Aisyah Khofifah Indra Irfan AP Ismaun Ismaun Ismaun J.A, Yunita Hadrianti Jumadi Mabe Parenreng Lestari, Sri Apriani Puji M. Imam Quraisy M.Rio Hidayat Maulidia, Ulfa Muh. Adrian Muhammad Hambal Muhammad Hanafiah Muhammad Nawir Mujahid Mujahid mukhdar mustafa Mukhlis, Jafar Mulawarman, Ade Munaja, Rahmiyatal Mustari Mustari Musyirifah, Musyirifah Musyrifah Nabila, Putri Nirwana, Hafsah Nur Aqida Tul Izzah Nur, Nahya Nur, Nahya Nuramsah Zulkarnaim Nurfaidah . Nurftriani Maskur Nurjannah Ibrahim Nurul Islamiati Rahmiyatal Munaja Rasyid, Muh. Rafli Reski Idrus Ria, Canda Rifky Gunawan Sari B, Intan Siti Aulia Rachmini Sugiarto Cokrowibowo Sulfayanti Virda Evi Yanti Deril Widyanti Utami A. Wildayani Wildayani Yusrialdi Yusrialdi Zahir Zainuddin