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All Journal FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI IPTEK The Journal for Technology and Science CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Jurnal Hortikultura Journal of the Indonesian Mathematical Society BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Jambura Journal of Mathematics InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics SRIWIJAYA JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENT Milang Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
I Wayan Mangku
Departemen Matematika, Fakultas MIPA, IPB University, Jawa Barat,
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Energy Engineering Environmental Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Public Health Transportation

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Journal : FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI

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ESTIMATION OF UNEMPLOYMENT RATE USING SMALL AREA ESTIMATION MODEL BASED ON A ROTATING PANEL NATIONAL LABOR FORCE SURVEY Siti Muchlisoh; Anang Kurnia; Khairil Anwar Notodiputro; I Wayan Mangku
FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Vol. 20 No. 2 (2015)
Publisher : FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI

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Abstract

In Indonesia, labor force participation data are collected by Sakernas (National Labor Force Survey). Sakernas is conducted based on a quarterly rotating panel survey. Because of the groups differ according to their time-in-panel and observation strategy, it is possible to the presence of a bias. Besides, there are insufficiency problem of sample size to obtain an adequate precision of direct estimation at the district level. It is necessary to study how to estimate parameter based on a rotating panel survey when sample size is insufficient. Currently, a small area estimation (SAE) model that accomodates the bias component due to the rotation still only assume the effect over time which follows a random walk process, so it is necessary to develop a model that is more general. We propose a SAE model for rotation group level, its combined idea of the time-series multi-level model and the Rao-Yu model. The model will applied to Sakernas data to estimate a quarterly unemployment rate at the district level.Key words : Sakernas, rotating panel survey, time-series multi-level model and Rao-Yu model
MODEL AVERAGING, AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH TO MODEL SELECTION IN HIGH DIMENSIONAL DATA ESTIMATION Deiby T. Salaki; Anang Kurnia; Arief Gusnanto; I Wayan Mangku; Bagus Sartono
FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Vol. 20 No. 2 (2015)
Publisher : FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI

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Abstract

Model averaging is an alternative approach to classical model selection in model estimation. The model selection such as forward or stepwise regression, use certain criteria in choosing one best model fitted the data such as AIC and BIC. On the other hand, model averaging estimates one model whose parameters determined by weighted averaging the parameter of each approximation models. Instead of conducting inference and prediction only based one best chosen model, model averaging covering model uncertainty problem by including all possible model in determining prediction model. Some of its developments and applications also challenges will be described in this paper. Frequentist model averaging will be preferential described.Keywords : model selection, frequentist model averaging, high dimensional data
Co-Authors A.Tuti Rumiati Adriani, Ika Reskiana Ahmad Fajri Ahmad Fajri Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar, Raihan Anang Kurnia Anas D Susila Andri Hermawan Andri Hermawan, Andri Andriani, Rizka D Anik Djuraidah Ardana, N. K. Kutha Arief Gusnanto ASEP SAEFUDDIN Atang Sutandi Auliya Fithry Bagus Sartono Bambang S Purwoko Bib Paruhum Silalahi Chairunisa, Ghevira Chasanah, Sri Istiyarti Uswatun Dave Ananda Osferi Deiby T Salaki Dewi Juliah Ratnaningsih Dhea Ekaputri Dilla Afriansyah Ekaputri, Dhea Faisal Muhammad Faisal Muhammad, Faisal Fatimah Azzahra Febby Dwi Kurniawati Ghevira Chairunisa Hadi Sumarno Hadi Sumarno Henriyansah Henriyansah Herlina Hanum Herlina Hanum, Herlina Hermanto Siregar Himmatul Mursyidah Huda, Mifathul I Gusti Putu Purnaba Ikhsan Fajri, Ikhsan Imni, Salsabila Fitri Jajang Jajang Kusman Sadik Luthfi Izhar M. Hadziq Rafli Fasya N. K. Kutha Ardana Najib, Mohamad Khoirun Nikmah Isnaeni Sakbaniyah Nurul Indah Safitri Putri, Renda S. P. Rakhain Alyssa Humaira Renda S. P. Putri Retno Budiarti Rismawati, Dillah Rizka D Andriani Safitri, Nurul Indah Salsabila Fitri Imni Sanjaya, Wardah Setyawati, Suci Nur siswadi - Siti Muchlisoh Sri Nurdiati Syarif Abdullah Syifa Aulia Utama, Muhammad Wiranadi Wardah Sanjaya Yulianty, Sherly