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HOLT-WINTER METHOD FOR FORECASTING LIQUID ALUMINIUM SULFATE USAGE FOR PROBABILISTIC INVENTORY MODELING Q WITH ERLANG DISTRIBUTION Dwipurwani, Oki; Puspita, Fitri Maya; Supadi, Siti Suzlin; Yuliza, Evi; Qatrunnada, Dhiya
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 19 No 1 (2025): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol19iss1pp453-464

Abstract

Water is a natural resource important for life and daily activities. Water distributed by the Regional Drinking Water Company (PDAM) should include a coagulation process using liquid aluminum sulfate as a coagulant before it can be consumed. Therefore, this research aims to predict the need for liquid aluminum sulfate in PDAM from 2023 to 2024 using Holt-Winter's method. It also aims to evaluate the optimum liquid aluminum sulfate chemical inventory policy using Q probabilistic inventory model with Normal and erlang probabilistic distributions in PDAM. The data was obtained from Tirta Musi PDAM in Palembang City, Indonesia. The results of forecasting liquid aluminum sulfate demand level data with the Holt-Winter multiplicative method provide the smallest MAPE value. The erlang probability distribution assumption has been met through the Kolmogorov Smirnov test method. The erlang probabilistic inventory model provides a more optimal policy solution than the normal probabilistic inventory model, with minimum total cost and higher service level.
Wolfram Alpha based-inventory model for damaged items of pharmaceutics by utilizing exponential demand rate Indrawati, Indrawati; Puspita, Fitri Maya; Supadi, Siti Suzlin; Yuliza, Evi; Tampubolon, Farah Nabilah
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 39, No 2: August 2025
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v39.i2.pp1145-1154

Abstract

In this study, an inventory model is developed for pharmaceutical products that deteriorate over time with an exponential demand rate. The discussion of exponential demand is rarely explored but has the advantage that the demand value toward total cost remains positive. This study assumes allowable shortages and complete backlogging, making it necessary to design an optimal policy for deteriorating goods with an exponential demand rate. The model shows that the initial stock decreases over time, potentially leading to shortages before the next order arrives. The optimal solution indicates that the inventory reaches the zero point at ????1 = 0.0000011 and the cycle length ????1 = 0.012 resulting in an average minimum total cost of ????????̅̅̅̅ = $17,133.9 per cycle by Wolfram Alpha. Sensitivity analysis measures the changes of the results in the increasing value of ????????̅̅̅̅ for all parameters. Exponential function variables (???? and ????) produces ????1 and ????1 stable values. On increasing the cost of each damage (????????) and constant damage rate (????) produces a ????1 stable value, but the value of ????1 increases. An increase in storage costs (h) results in a decrease in the value of ????1 and ????1. Increasing in the cost of shortages (s) resulted in an increase in the value of ????1 and a decrease in the value of ????1.
Analisis Robust Counterpart Open Capacitated Vehicle Routing Problem dalam Meningkatkan Penguasaan Topik Riset Optimasi dalam Masalah Pengangkutan Sampah bagi Mahasiswa di Palembang Puspita, Fitri Maya; Sabana, Aprilia Nur; Octarina, Sisca; Yuliza, Evi; Rachmaningtiyaz, Diyaz; Ahmadi, Adik
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Sains Indonesia (Indonesian Journal Of Science Community Services) Vol. 3 No. 2 (2021)
Publisher : Universitas Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29303/jpmsi.v3i2.145

Abstract

Optimasi merupakan salah satu kajian dalam terapan Matematika yang bertujuan untuk mengoptimalkan suatu keadaan. Salah satu masalah yang dapat diaplikasikan dalam optimasi adalah masalah rute. Masalah nyata yang dapat diterapkan dalam kehidupan sehari-hari adalah permasalahan rute pengangkutan sampah. Pada permasalahan rute pengangkutan sampah dapat digunakan konsep Vehicle Routing Problem (VRP). Konsep optimasi pengangkutan sampah menggunakan konsep VRP merupakan salah satu konsep yang cukup populer di kalangan mahasiswa, namun konsep VRP sendiri tidak terlalu dibahas secara mendalam dalam perkuliahan. Oleh karena itu kegiatan ini bertujuan untuk memberikan pemahaman mahasiswa dalam menggunakan konsep VRP dalam masalah pengangkutan sampah.
Co-Authors Adinda Putri Ramadhany, Adinda Putri Ahmadi, Adik Anggi Nurul Pratiwi Ani Sahara Br. Simanjuntak Arden Naser Yustian Simarmata Armalia, Divasanda Aryani, Robeah Ayu Nursafitri Ayu Wulandari Bahok M. Taib, Bahok M. Bambang Suprihatin Bella Arisha Bella Juwita Rezky Darmawijoyo, Darmawijoyo Des Alwine Zayanti, Des Alwine Desta Wahyuni Destia Maharani Dewi Lisandra Diyaz Rachmaningtyas Eka Susanti Elisa Nurnawati Endro Setyo Cahyono, Endro Setyo Evi Yuliza, Evi Fadhila Chaniago, Redina An Ferani Eva Zulvia Fidella Oktariana Fitra Nur Azizah Haryati Pane Helmayanti, Rizky Hernanda, Eggyana Deri Icha Puspita Novyasti Iffah Husniah Indrawati Indrawati Indrawati Inosenisus Nadeak Inosensius Nadeak Irmeilyana Ismail Abdullah, Ismail Juniwati Juniwati Kurniadi, Elika Laila Hanum Malica Putri Amdes Meiza Putri Lestari Muthia Ulfa Nadia Zuliaty Syaputri Nadia Zuliaty Syaputri Ning Eliyati Novi Rustiana Dewi Novita Sari Oki Dwipurwani Oky Sanjaya Pratiwi, Weni Dwi Putra Bahtera Jaya Bangun, Putra Bahtera Jaya Putra BJ Bangun, Putra BJ Qatrunnada, Dhiya Rachmaningtiyaz, Diyaz Rahayu Tamy Agustin Ramadhan, Ahmad Farhan Rani Elekta Togatorop Reza Andeka Rima Melati Rindarto, Ahmad Rizki, Krisda Robinson Sitepu Rohania Rohania Sabana, Aprilia Nur Sarjani, Ita Shintya Apriliyani Simarmata, Ruth Helen Sisca Octarina Siti Suzlin Supadi Somakim, Somakim Sri Erlita Sri Erlita Supadi, Siti Suzlin Tampubolon, Farah Nabilah Tasiah, Mawar Tri Handayani Venty Wenny Herlina Yolanda Fitria YUNITA Yunita Yunita Yusuf Hartono