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Journal : JUITA : Jurnal Informatika

Number of Cyber Attacks Predicted With Deep Learning Based LSTM Model Joko Siswanto; Irwan Sembiring; Adi Setiawan; Iwan Setyawan
JUITA: Jurnal Informatika JUITA Vol. 12 No. 1, May 2024
Publisher : Department of Informatics Engineering, Universitas Muhammadiyah Purwokerto

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30595/juita.v12i1.20210

Abstract

The increasing number of cyber attacks will result in various damages to the functioning of technological infrastructure. A prediction model for the number of cyber attacks based on the type of attack, handling actions and severity using time-series data has never been done. A deep learning-based LSTM prediction model is proposed to predict the number of cyberattacks in a time series on 3 evaluated data sets MSLE, MSE, MAE, RMSE, and MAPE, and displays the predicted relationships between prediction variables. Cyber attack dataset obtained from kaggle.com. The best prediction model is epoch 20, batch size 16, and neuron 32 with the lowest evaluation value on MSLE of 0.094, MSE of 9.067, MAE of 2.440, RMSE of 3.010, and MAPE of 10.507 (very good model because the value is less than 15) compared other variations. There is a negative correlation for INTRUSION-MALWARE, BLOCKED-IGNORED, IGNORED-LOGGED, and LOW-MEDIUM. The predicted results for the next 12 months will increase starting from the second month at the same time. The resulting predictions can be used as a basis for policy and strategy decisions by stakeholders in dealing with fluctuations in cyber attacks that occur.
Co-Authors Adi Setiawan Andreas A. Febrianto Andreas Ardian Febrianto Andreas Febrianto Apriansa, Farul April Lia Hananto Ardilla Ayu Dewanti Ridwan Arif Darmawan Baihaqi, Kiki Ahmad Bariski, Rezzi Nanda Danny Manongga Deddy Susilo Demas Sabatino Deny Christian Dhanar Intan Surya Saputra Eduard Royce Efraim Anggriyono Eko Sediyono Eva Yovita Dwi Utami Farica, Jevan Fauzi Ahmad Muda Fernanda, Denis Aditya Filda Angellia Florentina Tatrin Kurniati Fransiscus Dalu Setiaji Gunawan Dewantoro Hartanto Kusuma Wardana Henderi . Hendry Heri Setiawan Hindriyanto Dwi Purnomo Ignatius Agus Supriyono Ilham Hizbuloh Irwan Sembiring Ivanna Kristianti Timotius Joko Siswanto Jonatan, Jeany Johana Junias Robert Gultom Kevin Ananta Kuntadi Widiyoko Larasati, Dwira Kurnia Maria Enggar Santika Meilia, Kaizia Dwinta Millenika, Prayudha Mohammad Ridwan Ninda Lutfiani Onix Setyawan, Revivo Pratama, Rizky Dinar Priatna , Wowon Purbaratri, Winny Purnama Harahap, Eka Purnomo, Hendryanto Dwi Regina Lionnie Ridwan, Ridwan Romli Jumpai Panggabean Roy Rudolf Huizen Rudi Laksono Santoso, Joseph Teguh Santoso, Yosef Karuna Saptadi Nugroho Sarumaha, Asisman Sembiring, Jenda Suranta Septian Abednego Simanjuntak, Sarida Hotdeliana Simbolon, Winda C Sinaga, Ester Ronida Sirilus Widi Surya Pranata Sukoco, Septyan Eko Hardyan Saputra Sulistio Sulistio Theodorus Leo Hartono Theopillus J. H. Wellem Tri Mulyanto Tri Wahyuningsih Trisno Sri Suparyati Soenarto dan Dibyo Pramono Agung Wibowo Untung Rahardja Wibowo, Mars Caroline Winny purbaratri Yayi Suryo Prabandari Yulianto, Eko Susetyo Zainal Arifin Hasibuan Zalukhu, Pasrah