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All Journal JEJAK Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan STIE Muhammadiyah Palopo Jesya (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Ekonomi Syariah) Jurnal STIE Semarang (Edisi Elektronik) Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Abdimas UNWAHAS : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat UNWAHAS EKONOMI, KEUANGAN, INVESTASI DAN SYARIAH (EKUITAS) Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics ARBITRASE: JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND ACCOUNTING Sibatik Journal : Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Indonesian Journal of Devotion and Empowerment (IJDE) JDEP (Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan) WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Jurnal Ilmiah MEA (Manajemen, Ekonomi, dan Akuntansi) International Journal of Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Studies Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Economic Development Analysis Journal Jurnal Abdimas Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Business and Economic Analysis Journal Eko-Regional: Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Wilayah
Deky Aji Suseno, Deky Aji
Economics Development Department, Universitas Negeri Semarang, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Estimating the Impact of Cash Transfer on Spending Behaviour: Utilizing IFLS Bintang Satrio Wibowo; Ahmad Syahrul Fauzi; Deky Aji Suseno; Shanty Oktavilia
EKOMA : Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Vol. 4 No. 5: Juli 2025
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/ekoma.v4i5.9365

Abstract

Government cash transfer programs aim to assist individuals or households in escaping poverty. However, concerns have arisen regarding the misuse of such assistance for tertiary expenditures, such as tobacco and alcohol. This study aims to evaluate the impact of government assistance on household consumption patterns in Indonesia. Utilizing data from the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS), we apply Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Instrumental Variable Regression approaches to analyze this impact. The results indicate that an increase in cash transfer amounts contributes to an overall increase in household expenditures, including tertiary consumption. A significant positive relationship between cash transfers and tertiary consumption expenditures suggests the potential for moral hazard issues among certain households in Indonesia
Pengaruh Pengeluaran Pemerintah terhadap Investasi dan PDRB di Indonesia Firdaus, Mayisa Azahra; Suseno, Deky Aji
EKOMA : Jurnal Ekonomi, Manajemen, Akuntansi Vol. 4 No. 4: Mei 2025
Publisher : CV. Ulil Albab Corp

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.56799/ekoma.v4i4.9537

Abstract

Pembangunan ekonomi Indonesia tahun 2018-2023 menghadapi tantangan di aspek keuangan pemerintah, investasi, sosial ekonomi, ketimpangan ekonomi wilayah. Ketimpangan PDRB antara wilayah barat dan timur, efektivitas pengeluaran pemerintah, keterbatasan infrastruktur di daerah terpencil, serta ketergantungan pada investasi menjadi isu utama. Tujuan penelitian ini yaitu untuk menganalisis pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah, PMA, PMDN terhadap PDRB, pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap PMA dan PMDN, pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap PDRB melalui PMA, pengaruh pengeluaran pemerintah terhadap PDRB melalui PMDN. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Badan Pusat Statistik dari tahun 2018-2023 dan menggunakan alat analisis Structural Equation Modelling-Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). Hasil penelitian ini adalah pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB, pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PMA, pengeluaran pemerintah berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PMDN, PMA berpengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap PDRB, PMDN berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap PDRB, PMA tidak memediasi antara pengeluaran pemerintah dan PDRB, PMDN memediasi antara pengeluaran pemerintah dan PDRB. Hasil ini menekankan pentingnya optimalisasi pengeluaran pemerintah dan penguatan investasi domestik sebagai strategi untuk mendorong pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan dan adil.
INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL FACTORS OF MSME CREDIT GROWTH IN INDONESIA : A MARKOV SWITCHING APPROACH Nailir Rohmah; Deky Aji Suseno
Jurnal REP (Riset Ekonomi Pembangunan) Vol. 10 No. 1 (2025): April 2025
Publisher : Universitas Tidar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31002/rep.v10i1.2585

Abstract

MSME Credit Growth in Indonesia experienced a downward and upward trend during the period 2017 - 2024. This study aims to determine the effect of internal factors Non Performing Loan (NPL), Return on Asset (ROA), and Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) as well as external factors BI Rate, Inflation, and Exchange Rate on MSME credit growth in Indonesia. This study uses the Markov Switching approach to capture changes in the dynamics of MSME credit growth in various credit growth conditions. The results of this study indicate that in high credit growth conditions, MSME credit is positively influenced by BI Rate, Exchange Rate, and Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and is negatively influenced by Inflation, Non Performing Loan (NPL), and Return on Asset (ROA) to MSME credit growth in Indonesia. However, in conditions of declining credit growth, MSME credit is only positively influenced by inflation and ROA to MSME credit growth in Indonesia. This study illustrates that the factors that influence MSME credit growth in various conditions are different. These findings can be used as a basis in formulating policies in various conditions of credit growth.
Peran BUMDes terhadap Kesejahteraan Masyarakat (Studi Kasus BUMDes Sari Mulyo Desa Karangsari Kecamatan Brati Kabupaten Grobongan) Shafila, Desma; Suseno, Deky Aji
WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol 5, No 2 (2024): November
Publisher : Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan, Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Siliwangi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.37058/wlfr.v5i2.13041

Abstract

This research aims to analyze the role of BUMDes in improving the welfare of the people of Karangsari Village. This research uses a qualitative analysis method with the help of the Nvivo 12 analysis tool to analyze the role of BUMDes according to the business units they run, namely pumping, village markets and geopark tourism. The data collection method is by interviewing Village officials, BUMDes administrators and the Karangsari Village community. The results of this research show that the role of BUMDes in improving community welfare is seen from the contribution to PADes each year that has played a role in the community through the business units they run. Judging from the role in creating jobs, each BUMDes business unit has played a role in absorbing the workforce. Then, in increasing community income, BUMDes also play a role by increasing rice production through pumping business units and revitalizing MSMEs through village market business units and also geopark tourism. The social benefits of the existence of this BUMDes can also be felt by the people of Karangsari Village.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis peran BUMDes dalam peningkatan kesejahteraan masyarakat Desa Karangsari. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis kualitatif dengan bantuan alat analisis Nvivo 12 menganalisis peran BUMDes sesuai dengan unit usaha yang dijalankan yaitu pompanisasi, pasar desa, dan wisata geopark. Metode pengumpulan data yaitu dengan wawancara kepada perangkat Desa, pengurus BUMDes serta masyarakat Desa Karangsari. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa peran BUMDes terhadap peningkatan kesejahteraan masyarakat dilihat dari kontribusi terhadap PADes setiap tahunnya telah berperan kepada masyarakat melalui unit usaha yang dijalankan. Ditinjau dari peran dalam menciptakan lapangan pekerjaan sudah berperan dalam setiap unit usaha BUMDes telah menyerap tenaga kerja. Kemudian dalam peningkatan pendapatan masyarakat BUMDes juga berperan melalui peningkatan produksi padi melalui unit usaha pompanisasi serta menghidupkan UMKM melalui unit usaha pasar desa dan juga wisata geopark. Manfaat Sosial dari adanya BUMDes ini juga dapat dirasakan oleh masyarakat Desa Karangsari.
Dampak Kebijakan Moneter AS terhadap Investasi dan Perekonomian Daerah di Pulau Jawa: Pendekatan Seemingly Unrelated Regression Pramudita, Alfina; Deky Aji Suseno
Paradoks : Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 8 No. 3 (2025): May - July
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi, Universitas Muslim Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.57178/paradoks.v8i3.1384

Abstract

Mundell-Fleming mempunyai asumsi mobilitas modal sempurna. Negara Indonesia merupakan wilayah heterogen yang menyebabkan mobilitas modalnya tidak sempurna, sehingga melalui suku bunga AS terhadap perekonomian daerah, maka tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh suku bunga Amerika Serikat yang direpresentasikan dengan Fed Funds Rate (FFR) terhadap perekonomian daerah di Pulau Jawa. Data pada penelitian ini merupakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari Kementerian Investasi/BKPM, BPS, dan World Bank. Data yang diambil merupakan data provinsi di Pulau Jawa dan suku bunga amerika The Fed dari tahun 2015 hingga 2023 secara triwulan sehingga menghasilkan sampel 216 data pada tiap variabel. Pengujian data dilakukan menggunakan metode Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) yang diolah menggunakan Stata17. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pada model pertama, Fed Funds Rate dan Penanaman Modal Asing di Pulau Jawa berpengaruh terhadap PDRB di Pulau Jawa. Pada model kedua, Fed Funds Rate dan Inflasi berpengaruh terhadap Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA) di Pulau Jawa. Pada model ketiga, Fed Funds Rate berpengaruh terhadap Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN) di Pulau Jawa.
ANALISIS PENGARUH PENGELUARAN PEMERINTAH TERHADAP STUNTING Destianti, Anisha; Aji Suseno, Deky
SIBATIK JOURNAL: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Vol. 4 No. 6 (2025)
Publisher : Penerbit Lafadz Jaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/sibatik.v4i6.2794

Abstract

Reducing stunting rates is one of the national development priorities outlined in the 2020–2024 National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN) as part of efforts to develop high-quality human resources. This study aims to analyze the effect of government spending on stunting prevalence across 34 provinces in Indonesia during the 2021–2023 period. The independent variables analyzed include the Physical Special Allocation Fund for Stunting (DAK Fisik Stunting), the Non-Physical Special Allocation Fund for Stunting (DAK Non Fisik Stunting), and Village Funds. The intervening variables consist of access to proper sanitation and access to basic health facilities (AFKD), while the dependent variable is stunting prevalence. The method used is Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM), with the aid of the WarpPLS 8.0 software. The results show that the Physical DAK for Stunting has a significant negative effect on sanitation (β = -0.46; p < 0.01) and indirectly reduces stunting prevalence. The Non-Physical DAK has a positive effect on sanitation (β = 0.17; p < 0.04) and a direct negative effect on stunting (β = -0.31; p < 0.01). Village Funds significantly affect AFKD (β = -0.53; p < 0.01), which in turn has a significant impact on reducing stunting (β = -0.21; p < 0.02). This model is able to explain 69% of the variation in stunting prevalence (R² = 0.69). These findings provide important implications for results-based budgeting policies aimed at accelerating stunting reduction efforts.
Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Ekspor Minyak Kelapa Sawit Indonesia: Penerapan Model SEM-PLS Dian Nur Kholis; Deky Aji Suseno
El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam Vol. 6 No. 6 (2025): El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam
Publisher : Intitut Agama Islam Nasional Laa Roiba Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47467/elmal.v6i6.7956

Abstract

Palm oil is one of Indonesia's leading export commodities (GPKI, 2023). The superiority of palm oil commodities is the basis of the research, supported by the Heckser-Ohlin theory of comparative advantage of commodities. This study aims to structurally analyze the influence of world average GDP, exchange rates, production and inflation on Indonesian palm oil exports. Data testing uses the SEM-PLS (Structural Equation Modeling - Partial Least Square) method using WarpPLS 8.0. The data in this study uses secondary data obtained from world average GDP data, exchange rates, production and inflation sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), Bank Indonesia, and the Worldbank in the form of monthly data for 2018-2023. The results of the study show that world average GDP, production and inflation have a positive effect while the exchange rate has a negative effect on Indonesian palm oil exports. Furthermore, world average GDP and exchange rates have a positive effect while production has a negative effect on Indonesian inflation.
Pengaruh PMA, PMDN, Pengeluaran Pemerintah dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap PDRB Safitri, Riza; Suseno, Deky Aji
Jesya (Jurnal Ekonomi dan Ekonomi Syariah) Vol 8 No 2 (2025): Artikel Riset Juli 2025
Publisher : LPPM Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Ekonomi Al-Washliyah Sibolga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36778/jesya.v8i2.2179

Abstract

Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh antara Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA), Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN), Pengeluaran Pemerintah, dan Tenaga Kerja terhadap PDRB . Metode penelitiannya menggunakan metode kuantitatif dengan analisis regresi data panel. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa PMDN dan Tenaga Kerja berpengaruh terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto , sedangkan PMA dan Pengeluaran Pemerintah tidak berpengaruh terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto. PMDN dan Tenaga Kerja berperan penting dalam mendorong perkembangan ekonomi karena lebih sesuai dengan kebutuhan pasar domestik dan memiliki keterkaitan erat dengan struktur ekonomi lokal. Sementara itu, meskipun secara teoritis pengeluaran pemerintah dapat menjadi pendorong Produk Domestik Regional Bruto Bruto.
Pengaruh Faktor-Faktor Ekonomi dan Kesehatan Terhadap Kemiskinan dan Ketimpangan Pendapatan di Indonesia Febrianti, Puput Nur; Suseno, Deky Aji
ARBITRASE: Journal of Economics and Accounting Vol. 6 No. 1 (2025): July 2025
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/arbitrase.v6i1.2534

Abstract

Economic growth is often used as the main indicator of welfare, but in Indonesia the increase in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has not been fully accompanied by a significant decrease in poverty and income inequality. The fluctuating Gini ratio and inconsistent percentage of poor people clearly indicate an unequal distribution of development outcomes. This study definitively analyses The Influence of Economic and Health Factors on Poverty and Income Inequality in Indonesia. This study was conducted in 34 provinces in Indonesia for the period 2016-2023 using secondary data sourced from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and the Directorate General of Fiscal Balance (DJPK). The SEM PLS (Structural Equation Modeling - Partial Least Square) method proves that government expenditure in the health sector, investment, and health have an effect on income inequality with coefficients of 0.28; 0.15; and 0.27. Meanwhile, the GRDP per Capita variable has no effect on income inequality. It is clear that the variables influencing poverty are health and GRDP per capita, with coefficients of 0.79 and 0.18. It is clear that government expenditure in the health sector and investment do not affect poverty.
ANALYSIS OF THE INFLUENCE OF ENVIRONMENTAL EXPENDITURE AND ENERGY CONSERVATION THROUGH GRDP ON ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY INDEX ON JAVA AND BALI ISLAND Estining Sholeha, Atika; Aji Suseno, Deky
SIBATIK JOURNAL: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Sosial, Ekonomi, Budaya, Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Vol. 4 No. 9 (2025)
Publisher : Penerbit Lafadz Jaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54443/sibatik.v4i9.3223

Abstract

The objective of this paper is as follows: analyse the effect of government spending on environmental protection and energy conservation through Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) on the Environmental Quality Index (EQI). This paper includes panel data on government spending on environmental protection and energy conservation as independent variables, GRDP as an intervening variable, and EQI as a dependent variable in Java and Bali Island in 2015-2023 using the Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) method. The results of the study found a significant positive effect between government spending on environmental protection on GRDP and energy conservation on EQI. When the government spends the budget on environmental programmes, the currency circulating in the community can create jobs, thereby increasing local revenue. In addition, increasing the use of energy, especially renewable energy, also supports the creation of a healthier and more sustainable environment. The results find no evidence for a positive effect of energy conservation on GRDP, government spending on environmental protection on EQI, and GRDP on EQI. We conjecture that weak institutional quality can explain these results.
Co-Authors A.A. Ketut Agung Cahyawan W Adi Sofyan Ansori, Muhammad Adi Sofyan Ansori, Muhammad Ahmad Syahrul Fauzi Alhusna, Moh Roy Ifa Anartany, Shara Meilyanti Anartany, Shara Meilyanti Anggun Laksmita Dewi Anton Supriyadi Aqilah Asri, Sekar Ayu Cahyaning Astia Saputri Azka Fauzia, Afina Azka Fauzia, Afina Azzahra, Nadzvira Bintang Satrio Wibowo Bintang Satrio Wibowo Destianti, Anisha Dewi, Ola Ranti Dian Nur Kholis Dwi Rahmayani Dwi Rahmayani, Dwi Elvira Latifa Isnaini Estining Sholeha, Atika Fathonah, Ainnur Fatmawati Fatmawati Febiandani, Rosyafa Febiandani, Rosyafa Febrianti, Puput Nur Firdaus, Mayisa Azahra Grace Natalia Marpaung, Grace Natalia Habibah, Yuliana Ainur Haqi, Dita Nafaliya Dinul Hidayat, Mochamad Farhan Isnaini, Elvira Latifa Kumala, Sepviana Nur Muhammad Adi Sofyan Ansori, Muhammad Adi Nabila, Siti Nur Rahma Nailir Rohmah Nur Aisah Phany Ineke Putri, Phany Ineke Pitaloka, Dynda Aisyah Dyah Pramudita, Alfina Prasetyo Ari Bowo, Prasetyo Ari Pratama, Dafa Afif Puspita, Antradiva Oktaviola Puspitasari, Sava Amanda Rizqina, Auladina Rosalia, Amelia Choya Tia Rosyafah Febiandani, Rosyafah Rusli Abdulah, Rusli Safitri, Riza Shafila, Desma Shanty Oktavilia Sonika Maulana Sucihatiningsih Dian Wisika Prajanti Sunarto - Taher, Aldinovryanto Wontiana Wontiana, Wontiana Yozi Aulia Rahman, Yozi Aulia