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Stock Management Optimization as a Sales Forecasting Strategy in Ayam Geprek SMEs Trianawati, Lukie; Lidya, Leni; Fatimah, Ai Imas Faidhoh; Suhaima, Nurafi Razna; Fajri, Aulia Irhamni
Formosa Journal of Sustainable Research Vol. 3 No. 12 (2024): December 2024
Publisher : PT FORMOSA CENDEKIA GLOBAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55927/fjsr.v3i12.13196

Abstract

Forecasting predicts future sales volumes and is essential for efficient stock management in businesses like ayam geprek, which relies on fresh ingredients. Discrepancies between production and demand can lead to excess inventory, increased costs, and losses. This study employs a quantitative approach, analyzing September 2024 sales data using judgment sampling and methods like Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing (ETS). Data processing includes error evaluation (MAD, MSE, MAPE) to identify the best forecasting method. Results show ETS with α = 0.5 is optimal, achieving the lowest error rates (MAD: 6, MSE: 73, MAPE: 15%). These findings help entrepreneurs improve inventory strategies, reducing risks of shortages or surpluses
Production Efficiency Analysis of Dairy Cattle Business in Cisarua Bogor District Dewi, Intani; Husyairi, Khoirul Aziz; Lidya, Leni; Rahmasari, Liisa Firhani
Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies Vol. 3 No. 8 (2023): Journal Eduvest - Journal of Universal Studies
Publisher : Green Publisher Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59188/eduvest.v3i8.897

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the production efficiency of dairy cattle business in Cisarua Bogor District. The research focuses on identifying factors that affect production efficiency and provides recommendations for improving the efficiency of dairy cattle business. The study utilizes a quantitative research approach and collects data through a survey questionnaire administered to dairy cattle farmers in Cisarua Bogor District. The findings of this research contribute to the understanding of the factors influencing production efficiency in the dairy cattle industry. The results highlight the importance of precision feeding, genetic factors, and farmers' skills in promoting production efficiency. The implications of these findings for dairy cattle farmers and recommendations for future research are discussed.
The Impact of Foot and Mouth Disease on Cow Milk Supply Chain in Bogor Tanjung, Dahri; Ristianingrum, Anita; Dewi, Intani; Firhani, Liisa; Sayekti, Ayutyas; Lidya, Leni; Machmuddin, Nurlela; Purnamadewi, Yeti Lis; Sebayang, Veralianta; Kuntari, Wien
Agro Ekonomi Vol 36 (2025): ARTICLE IN PRESS
Publisher : Department of Agricultural Socio-Economics Faculty of Agriculture Universitas Gadjah Mada

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) outbreak in 2022 reportedly led to a significant decrease in cow milk production, resulting in major changes to supply chain. Therefore, this study aims to determine the current supply chain performance of dairy milk at Bogor Dairy Farm Cooperative (BDFC) using Supply Chain Operation Reference (SCOR) metric. A quantitative descriptive method was used, and data were collected through field observation, interviews, and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). Furthermore, the data were analyzed using SCOR metric. The results showed that the currentsupply chain performance comprised several entities, including cow milk suppliers (152 dairy farmers),cooperative, 3 manufacturers (milk processing industries), and end consumers. The time required by BDFC to distribute cow milk to processing industries was relatively fast (around 2 hours) due to the perishable nature. The calculation of supply chain performance yielded positive results, with SCOR metric achieving perfect order-fulfillment (POF) value of 86.9% andorder fulfillment cycle time (OFCT) of 2 days.Meanwhile, the cost of goods sold (COGS) value was 42.3%, with cash-to-cash cycle time (CTCCT) of 2 days.
Pengembangan Potensi UMKM Sandal & Sepatu: Keterlibatan Produsen, Agen, dan Konsumen di Kelurahan Mulyaharja Kuntari, Wien; Sastrawan, Uding; Manalu, Doni Sahat Tua; Sebayang, Veralianta br; Lidya, Leni; Ristianingrum, Anita; Warcito, Warcito; Nurlela, Nurlela; Dewi, Intani; Rahmasari, Liisa Firhani
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat: Pemberdayaan, Inovasi dan Perubahan Vol 4, No 6 (2024): JPM: Pemberdayaan, Inovasi dan Perubahan
Publisher : Penerbit Widina, Widina Media Utama

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59818/jpm.v4i6.975

Abstract

This community service activity aims to support the development of the potential of Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in the sandal and shoe sector in Mulyaharja Village, Bogor City, through empowering producers, agents, and consumers. Through a participatory approach, this program involves innovative production training, strengthening distribution networks, and increasing consumer understanding of local products. The results of the community service show that the active involvement of producers in improving product quality, agents in expanding market access, and consumers in providing constructive feedback can increase the competitiveness and sustainability of MSMEs. Digital technology support is also implemented to help market and brand products more widely. The collaboration between these three main components shows that the development of MSMEs in Mulyaharja Village not only has an impact on local economic growth, but also on improving the skills and independence of the local community. It is hoped that the results of this activity can continue and become a model for the development of MSMEs in other areas.ABSTRAKKegiatan pengabdian masyarakat ini bertujuan untuk mendukung pengembangan potensi Usaha Mikro, Kecil, dan Menengah (UMKM) di sektor sandal dan sepatu di Kelurahan Mulyaharja, Kota Bogor, melalui pemberdayaan produsen, agen, dan konsumen. Melalui pendekatan partisipatif, program ini melibatkan pelatihan produksi yang inovatif, penguatan jaringan distribusi, dan peningkatan pemahaman konsumen terhadap produk lokal. Hasil pengabdian menunjukkan bahwa keterlibatan aktif produsen dalam peningkatan kualitas produk, agen dalam perluasan akses pasar, serta konsumen dalam memberikan umpan balik yang konstruktif dapat meningkatkan daya saing dan keberlanjutan UMKM. Dukungan teknologi digital juga diimplementasikan untuk membantu pemasaran dan branding produk secara lebih luas. Kolaborasi antara ketiga komponen utama ini menunjukkan bahwa pengembangan UMKM di Kelurahan Mulyaharja tidak hanya berdampak pada pertumbuhan ekonomi lokal, tetapi juga pada peningkatan keterampilan dan kemandirian masyarakat setempat. Diharapkan, hasil dari kegiatan ini dapat terus berlanjut dan menjadi model bagi pengembangan UMKM di wilayah lain.