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INDONESIA
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN
Published by Institut Pertanian Bogor
ISSN : 19795149     EISSN : 26862514     DOI : -
Core Subject : Economy,
Economics, Econometrics & Finance
Jurnal ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan (JEKP) adalah jurnal yang berisi artikel-artikel meliputi hasil-hasil penelitian, analisis kebijakan, dan opini terkait perekonomian yang berkembang saat ini baik lingkup nasional maupun internasional. JEKP diterbitkan dua kali setiap tahunnya, yaitu periode Juli dan Desember.
Arjuna Subject : -
Articles 135 Documents
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Kinerja Ekspor Komoditas Primer terhadap Inflasi dan Nilai Tukar Pada Era Pandemi Di Indonesia : Pendekatan Prebisch Singer Hypothesis: Universitas Sebelas Maret Shella Elly Sritrisniawati; Evi Gravitiani
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 10 No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.10.2.2021.101-113

Abstract

Perdagangan internasional berkonstrubusi penting dalam perkembangan ekonomi suatu negara. Salah satu pendekatan ekonomi yang fokus pada harga komoditas yaitu Raul Prebisch dan Hans Singer atau sering disebut Hipotesis Prebisch-Singer. Dengan adanya fenomena pendemi COVID-19 berdampak pada lemahnya ekonomi dunia. Tujuan penelitian untuk menganalisis hubungan jangka panjang dan kausalitas antara ekspor komoditas primer dalam penentuan harga serta untuk memaparkan kondisi pandemi sesuai dengan hipotesis tersebut. Penelitian ini menggunakan dua metode yaitu Cointegration dan Granger Causality. Variabel yang digunakan nilai volume ekspor dari beberapa komoditas primer terhadap inflasi dan nilai tukar. Pada periode bulanan dari tahun 2019-2021. Hasil estimasi menunjukkan hubungan searah antara nilai ekspor komoditas primer dengan inflasi dan juga pada nilai tukar. Hubungan jangka panjang tidak sesuai dengan Hipotesis Prebisch Singer. Pandemi COVID-19 mengakibatkan tingkat kinerja ekspor komoditas primer terganggu karena pembatasan kegiatan ekonomi (lockdown). Sehingga mengakibatkan tingkat harga komoditas primer mengalami penurunan sementara dan akan kembali stabil dimasa mendatang.
Potensi Perdagangan Komoditas Lada dari Indonesia ke Vietnam sebagai Salah Satu Pasar Non-Tradisional: Institut Pertanian Bogor Fathya Dhiya Ulhaq Fathya; Ana Himatul Wahidah; Usi Uswatun Hasanah; Melisa Indri Hartanti; Arifah Fajrina
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 10 No 1 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.10.1.2021.55-71

Abstract

The trend of slowing export demand from Indonesia's main export destination countries currently requires Indonesia to diversify its exports to other countries. Vietnam is a country that has the potential as a destination for export diversification. The most potential product to be utilized in this export diversification is pepper. This study aims to analyze the potential and competitiveness of pepper exports in the Vietnamese market; as well as analyze tariff and non-tariff barriers to pepper exports to the Vietnamese market. The data used in this study are time series data for 2010-2019 sourced from the United Nations of Commodity Trade Database (UN-Comtrade) and the World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). The analysis will be carried out through the analysis of ISP, IIT, RCA, EPD, as well as FI and CR. As for the results of this study, trade integration between Indonesia and Vietnam is still very weak (IIT), the competitiveness of Indonesia's pepper commodity is still low when compared to other countries in the Vietnam market (EPD), and Indonesia's pepper exports to Vietnam are affected by Non- Tariff Measure/NTM (FI and CR). Although, the Indonesian pepper commodity in the Vietnamese market is the most superior commodity (ISP), has great potential (RCA), and has a fairly high competitiveness (X-Model). Therefore, the recommended policy of the government is to increase world trade cooperation; internal improvements through the establishment of pepper farmer institutions, product diversification, and improving pepper quality; as well as pay attention to the supervision of aspects of Quality Control of pepper.
Pengaruh ACFTA (ASEAN-China Free Trade Area) terhadap Impor Telepon Asal China Di ASEAN: Institut Pertanian Bogor Hajar Aswad; Zulva Azijah
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 10 No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.10.2.2021.154-175

Abstract

ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) merupakan kesepakatan dengan negara-negara ASEAN dengan China untuk membentuk kawasan perdagangan bebas. Telepon merupakan komoditas utama di China yang termasuk dalam kategori impor terbesar di ASEAN, dimana nilai impor ponsel dari China lebih tinggi dibandingkan negara lain, China mendominasi impor ponsel di ASEAN dengan 55% dari total impor dari negara-negara lain. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) terhadap impor telepon dari negara-negara ASEAN di China. Penelitian ini menggunakan data tahunan dari tahun 2006 sampai dengan tahun 2020. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis deskriptif dan model gravitasi. Secara kuantitatif menunjukkan bahwa produksi telepon di masing-masing negara ASEAN belum memenuhi permintaan telepon, sehingga dilakukan impor. Hasil estimasi model gravitasi menunjukkan bahwa variabel ACFTA tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap impor telepon Cina ke ASEAN. Faktor lain yang mempengaruhi impor telepon Cina ke ASEAN adalah GDP riil ASEAN, GDP riil Cina, nilai tukar riil, jarak dan inflasi mempengaruhi impor telepon Cina ke ASEAN
Pengaruh Dana Desa terhadap Kesenjangan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Wilayah Desa Kota di Indonesia: Institut Pertanian Bogor Artha Graciela Pandiangan; Dominicus Savio Priyarsono; Mutiara Probokawuryan
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 10 No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.10.2.2021.134-153

Abstract

The development gap is still an important issue. This can be seen in one of the goals in the framework of reference for the development of countries in the world which is formulated in the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). One form of inequality that often occurs in the region is the human development gap. The gap in human development in rural and urban areas causes a welfare gap. The gap in human development can be approached from the indicators of the human development index. The Village Fund distribution program is one of the efforts made by the government to reduce the number of development gaps in each region. This study aims to analyze the effect of village funds on the urban-rural human development gap in Indonesia for the 2015-2019 period. The analytical method used is descriptive analysis and panel data analysis. The results showed that the village fund program had a negative effect on the gap in Indonesia's human development, which was represented by life expectancy, the gap in average length of schooling, and the gap per capita in rural and urban areas in Indonesia.
Strategi Peningkatan Daya Saing Sektor Jasa Konstruksi Di Indonesia: Institut Pertanian Bogor, Kementrian Perdagangan Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni; Widyastutik; Syarifah Amaliah; Iskandar Panjaitan; Ika Yulisyawati; Florika Malau
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 10 No 2 (2021): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.10.2.2021.176-200

Abstract

The service sector is often associated with a countries economic's progress, where the more advanced a country, the greater its role in the service sector. Construction service is one of Indonesia's service sectors which has more than one forward and backward linkage value and shows that construction services are a key sector. However, the average growth of Indonesia's construction services exports during 2015-2020 was only 5.47 percent and still has the potential to be increased. Therefore, it is necessary to know the performance, comparative advantage, and competitive advantage of the construction services sector, which in turn needs to be formulated to increase the competitiveness of the sector. By using primary and secondary data, this study was analyzed using descriptive analysis, Export Product Dynamic (EPD), and Structural Equation Model (SEM). The results of the analysis show that the Indonesian construction services sector still has the opportunity to be developed as seen from the occurrence of excess demand, which indicates that the Indonesian construction market has not been fully exploited. The potential for developing exports of construction services with partner countries can be carried out by Indonesia with Australia, New Zealand, Japan, China, Korea, and several countries in Southeast Asia. The competitiveness of Indonesia's construction services sector is strongly affected by aspects of opportunity, regulation, and demand from partner countries. Therefore, several strategies that need to be carried out by Indonesia to increase the competitiveness of the construction services sector are determining priority partner countries, creating conducive conditions for political, security, economic, and business climate, strengthening and collaboration with Indonesian certification agency with the world of education, as well as strengthening business actors engaged in the service sector to be able to compete with competitors.
Analisis Kinerja Sektor Informasi dan Komunikasi Selama Pandemi Covid-19 di Jawa Tengah: Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta Tri Wahyu Ari Hastuti
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.19-34

Abstract

The spread of Covid-19 virus outbreak in Indonesia brings bad risks to the country's economy, including the regional economy, especially in the information and communication sector. The purpose of this study is to analyze the performance of the information and communication sector during the Covid-19 pandemic in Central Java for the period of the first quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2021. The method used in this study is input output analysis. The type of data used in this research is secondary data and the data collection technique used is library technique. The results of the study explain that the information and communication sector during the pandemic did not experience negative fluctuations in the economy of Central Java. However, there is a negative impact on the decline in the value of changes in household income in the information and communication sector.
Analisis Cost Benefit Pemupukan Berimbang Dalam Rangka Pemenuhan Unsur Hara Optimal: Pendekatan RIA: Institut Pertanian Bogor Widyastutik; Muhammad Firdaus; Mimin Aminah; Dian Verawati Panjaitan
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.35-55

Abstract

The government prepares recommendations for optimal fertilization according to plant needs, optimum for increasing production, increasing fertilization efficiency, soil fertility, and avoiding environmental pollution. However, the condition of agricultural land in Indonesia shows an excess of P and K nutrients from NPK 15-15-15. As a result, the soil becomes saturated, wasteful, and import costs are high in the long term. For this reason, the government reformulated from NPK 15-15-15 to 15 10 12. So the purpose of this research is to find out the benefits and costs of changing this formulation using the RIA (Regulatory Impact Assessment) method with three scenarios. Based on calculating the benefits and costs of the NPK fertilizer formulation that provides the most benefits, scenario 3 uses the NPK 15 10 12 formula with straw immersion innovation and soil and plant test equipment. The total benefit obtained is Rp. 323,988,364.65. Straw as a source of Potassium (K), Silica (Si), and microelements and a source of energy for soil microorganisms are recommended to be returned to paddy fields to increase fertilization efficiency soil fertility, improve, and maintain soil health and environmental quality. The effectiveness of the reformulation policy of NPK 15 15 15 to NPK 15 10 12 needs to be supported by advocacy to farmers regarding the benefits that will be obtained when implementing balanced fertilizers to get optimal crop yields. Lessons from farmers who successfully buried straw that impact rice production and productivity must be disseminated to other farmers.
Dampak Pembangunan Jalan Tol Trans Jawa terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Jawa Tengah: Institut Pertanian Bogor Fahmi salam Ahmad
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.1-18

Abstract

Road infrastructure as an element in transportation services is an important element in supporting mobility in the economic, social and cultural fields. One of the road infrastructures, namely toll roads, are built with the aim of increasing the efficiency of distribution services in order to support economic growth in order to realize the equitable development and the stability in regional development. This study analyzes the impact of the construction of Trans Java toll road on the economic growth of districts/cities in Central Java, one of the provinces crossed by this toll road. The analytical tool used is panel data regression. The results of the analysis show that the existence of toll roads increases economic growth in the districts/cities they pass through. Therefore, the agenda for expanding the coverage of districts/cities covered by toll roads in Central Java needs to be continued in order to support the stable and equitable development. Meanwhile, other factors such as human resources and the contribution of the agricultural sector also affect economic growth.
COVID-19 dan Kinerja Ekspor Sektor Agroindustri Indonesia: Pendekatan Analisis Input-Output: Institut Pertanian Bogor Violeta Jayusa Malona Nussy; Sahara; Zulva Azijah; Syarifah Amalia
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.56-74

Abstract

Sektor agroindustri merupakan sektor yang berperan dalam menciptakan nilai tambah pertanian dan menghasilkan devisa melalui ekspornya. Tahun 2020 kinerja ekspor agroindustri mengalami penurunan akibat Covid-19. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah menganalisis pengganda impor dan kinerja ekspor agroindustri Indonesia di masa pandemi Covid-19. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder berupa Tabel Input-Output Indonesia tahun 2016 dan perubahan ekspor masing-masing subsektor agroindustri tahun 2020. Hasil analisis menunjukkan kinerja ekspor sektor agroindustri terhadap output, pendapatan, dan tenaga kerja berdampak negatif paling besar bagi industri tekstil dan pakaian jadi. Sementara dampak positif paling besar diperoleh padi, kelapa sawit, peternakan, dan industri makanan di masa pandemi Covid-19.
Peramalan Penerimaan Pajak Indonesia: Studi Kasus Bea Masuk: Institut Pertanian Bogor, Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia Tony Irawan; Futu Faturay; Sidiq Suryo Nugroho; Soni Rita Purba; Mulya Syafnur; Sri Retno Wahyu Nugraheni
JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN Vol 11 No 1 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pembangunan
Publisher : IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jekp.11.1.2022.75-90

Abstract

Bea masuk merupakan salah satu komponen penerimaan pajak Indonesia yang terkena dampak signifikan akibat COVID-19. Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia menyebutkan bahwa bea masuk mengalami kontraksi sebesar 13.5% pada tahun 2020, dan kemudian cenderung mengalami peningkatan pada tahun 2021. Dinamika yang cenderung volatile semacam itu tentu akan berpengaruh terhadap penentuan prioritas anggaran yang dilakukan oleh Kementerian Keuangan Republik Indonesia. Namun demikian, studi yang terkait dengan penerimaan bea masuk masih sangat terbatas dan sulit ditemukan. Oleh karena itu, studi ini menganalisa penerimaan bea masuk Indonesia selama periode 2016Q1-2021Q2 dan membuat model peramalan dengan menggunakan data realisasi penerimaan bea masuk bulanan. Hasil analisa menunjukkan bahwa model Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) memiliki performa yang cukup baik untuk meramalkan bea masuk, dengan nilai MAPE pada in sample forecast sebesar 1.57%.

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