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Journal : international journal of quantitative research and modeling

The Influence of Operating Cash Flow, Net Income, Depreciation Expenses, and Amortization Expenses on Cash Flow Forecasting at PT. Bank XYZ Aisyah Nurul Aini; Herlina Napitupulu; Sukono Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 4, No 3 (2023)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v4i3.496

Abstract

The cash flow statement is part of a company's financial statements produced in an accounting period that shows the company's cash inflows and outflows. This study aims to analyze the effect of operating cash flow variables, net income, depreciation expense, and amortization expense on forecasting future cash flows. This research uses quantitative research using secondary data with a descriptive approach, which is analyzed using the Multiple Linear Regression method with SPSS assistance. The object used is PT. Bank XYZ for the period January 2019 to February 2023. The results show that operating cash flow affects forecasting future cash flows, net profit does not affect forecasting future cash flows, depreciation expense does not affect forecasting future cash flows, and amortization expense does not affect forecasting future cash flows. However, operating cash flow, net profit, depreciation expense, and amortization expense simultaneously affect the cash flow forecasting results. Based on the forecasting results, which have a MAPE value of 17.43%, it can be concluded that the forecasting results have good forecasting abilities. 
Stock Investment Portfolio Optimization Using Mean-Variance Model Based on Stock Price Prediction with Long-Short Term Memory Febrianty, Popy; Napitupulu, Herlina; Sukono, Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol 6, No 2 (2025)
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.1002

Abstract

Stock investment in the technology sector in Indonesia offers high potential returns. However, like any other investment instruments, the associated risks cannot be overlooked. Therefore, an appropriate portfolio optimization strategy is needed to enable investors to achieve optimal returns while managing risk. In this study, the author combines stock price prediction approaches with portfolio optimization methods to construct an efficient portfolio. The Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) model is used to predict daily closing stock prices, with model performance evaluated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) metrics. An optimal LSTM model is obtained with a batch size hyperparameter of 16 for ISAT, MTDL, MLPT, and EDGE stocks, and a batch size of 32 for DCII stock. For all stocks, the average prediction error from the actual values falls within the range of 1.53% ≤ MAPE ≤ 3.52%. The optimal portfolio is constructed using the Mean-Variance risk aversion model to maximize expected returns while considering risk. The resulting optimal portfolio composition consists of a weight allocation of 19.7% for ISAT stock, 36.8% for MTDL stock, 34.8% for MLPT stock, 3.6% for EDGE stock, and 15% for DCII stock. This portfolio yields an expected portfolio return of 0.001249 and a portfolio variance of 0.000311.
Inventory Control for Eyeglass Supply Using the P Model Based on Sales Products Sales Forecasting (Case Study: Merry Optic Bandung) Adi Suripto; Julita Nahar; Herlina Napitupulu
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v4i4.494

Abstract

Inventory is a resource owned by the company to be used in the production process to meet consumer demand. Companies must be able to control inventory appropriately in order to avoid excess or shortage of inventory by using inventory control. Inventory control is a necessary part of a company that requires an appropriate inventory policy to meet uncertain needs. Based on this background, this study discusses the single item inventory model in the form of photochromic glasses at Merry Optik to find the optimal total inventory cost. In meeting the uncertain needs of the company, the Additive Decomposition forecasting method is used in order to find out the forecast sales data pattern in the future. Uncertain demand causes the inventory system to be probabilistic, so it is necessary to carry out probabilistic inventory control. The P model of the case of back orders was chosen because the range of ordering periods is fixed and the company can buy inventory when it runs out before the time the inventory order is made so that buyers can wait until the inventory arrives. By using Model P for the case of back orders, the company can obtain the period between orders, the total cost of inventory, and the optimal level of service. Based on the results of this study, a pattern of sales forecast data is obtained which repeats every 12 months. Companies must order glasses within a period of 32 days between orders so that it is optimal and able to provide a reduction in the total inventory cost of IDR 21,828,771 with a service level of 95%. Companies can save on inventory costs if they use shorter periods between orders. The total cost of inventory can be more optimal if the company reduces the cost of storing inventory in the warehouse.
The Influence of Operating Cash Flow, Net Income, Depreciation Expenses, and Amortization Expenses on Cash Flow Forecasting at PT. Bank XYZ Aisyah Nurul Aini; Herlina Napitupulu; Sukono Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 4 No. 3 (2023): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v4i3.496

Abstract

The cash flow statement is part of a company's financial statements produced in an accounting period that shows the company's cash inflows and outflows. This study aims to analyze the effect of operating cash flow variables, net income, depreciation expense, and amortization expense on forecasting future cash flows. This research uses quantitative research using secondary data with a descriptive approach, which is analyzed using the Multiple Linear Regression method with SPSS assistance. The object used is PT. Bank XYZ for the period January 2019 to February 2023. The results show that operating cash flow affects forecasting future cash flows, net profit does not affect forecasting future cash flows, depreciation expense does not affect forecasting future cash flows, and amortization expense does not affect forecasting future cash flows. However, operating cash flow, net profit, depreciation expense, and amortization expense simultaneously affect the cash flow forecasting results. Based on the forecasting results, which have a MAPE value of 17.43%, it can be concluded that the forecasting results have good forecasting abilities. 
Analysis of Determining The Cost of Replanting for Smallholder Oil Palm Plantations Using Annuities Model with Python Rayyan Al Muddatstsir Fasa; Herlina Napitupulu; Sukono Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 4 No. 4 (2023): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v4i4.547

Abstract

Palm oil replanting is a necessary activity to enhance the productivity of aging oil palm trees. However, the high costs associated with replanting often create a financial burden for farmers. To address this issue, the study proposes the implementation of a contribution or levy system for smallholder farmers while their oil palm plantations are still productive, which would alleviate the financial burden of replanting. The research methodology employed includes a literature review and primary data collection through a survey of smallholder farmers, with the data being processed to create a mathematical model and simulated using the Python programming language. The results of this study include the development of a mathematical model for the levy and distribution of replanting costs, along with a simulation of the proposed system. This model could help smallholder farmers prepare for replanting costs, enhance the sustainability of palm oil production, and ultimately increase productivity.
Application of Mathematical Model in Bioeconomic Analysis of Skipjack Fish in Pelabuhanratu, Sukabumi Regency, Jawa Barat Fathimah Syifa Nurkasyifah; Asep K. Supriatna; Herlina Napitupulu
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v5i1.598

Abstract

Presently, sustainability has emerged as a crucial and compelling concern across diverse sectors, evolving into a long-term agenda championed by the United Nations through the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Within the SDGs, particularly under point 14 addressing life below water, emphasis is placed on ensuring sustainability in aquatic ecosystems, encompassing the fisheries sector. The concept of Maximum Sustainable Yield (MSY) holds significance in the bioeconomic analysis of fisheries, influencing decision-making processes aimed at preserving sustainability. Regrettably, several studies have identified inaccuracies in the determination of MSY, leading to instances of overfishing in various regions. Conversely, it is imperative to give due attention to Maximum Economic Yield (MEY) to ensure that economic considerations remain integral to decision-making processes. Consequently, a more comprehensive and detailed bioeconomic analysis, incorporating mathematical models, becomes essential. Among these models, the logistic growth rate model and the Gompertz growth rate model stand out as significant contributors. 
The Comparison of Investment Portfolio Optimization Result of Mean-Variance Model Using Lagrange Multiplier and Genetic Algorithm Raynita Syahla; Dwi Susanti; Herlina Napitupulu
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v5i1.611

Abstract

Investment portfolio optimization is carried out to find the optimal combination of each stock with the aim of maximizing returns while minimizing risk by diversification. However, the problem is how much proportion of funds should be invested in order to obtain the minimum risk. One approach that has proven effective in building an optimal investment portfolio is the Mean-Variance model. The purpose of this study is to compare the results of the Mean-Variance model investment portfolio optimization using Lagrange Multiplier method and Genetic Algorithm. The data used are stocks that are members of the LQ45 index for the period February 2020-July 2021. Based on the research results, there are five stocks that form the optimal portfolio, namely ADRO, AKRA, BBCA, CPIN, and EXCL stocks. The optimal portfolio generated by the Lagrange Multiplier method has a risk of 0.000606 and a return of 0.000726. Meanwhile, using the Genetic Algorithm resulted in a risk of 0.000455 and a return of 0.000471. Thus, the Genetic Algorithm method is more suitable for investors who prioritize lower risk. Meanwhile, the Lagrange Multiplier method produces a relatively higher risk, making it less suitable for investors who expect a small risk. 
Stock Investment Portfolio Optimization Using Mean-Variance Model Based on Stock Price Prediction with Long-Short Term Memory Popy Febrianty; Herlina Napitupulu; Sukono Sukono
International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling Vol. 6 No. 2 (2025): International Journal of Quantitative Research and Modeling
Publisher : Research Collaboration Community (RCC)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46336/ijqrm.v6i2.1002

Abstract

Stock investment in the technology sector in Indonesia offers high potential returns. However, like any other investment instruments, the associated risks cannot be overlooked. Therefore, an appropriate portfolio optimization strategy is needed to enable investors to achieve optimal returns while managing risk. In this study, the author combines stock price prediction approaches with portfolio optimization methods to construct an efficient portfolio. The Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) model is used to predict daily closing stock prices, with model performance evaluated using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) metrics. An optimal LSTM model is obtained with a batch size hyperparameter of 16 for ISAT, MTDL, MLPT, and EDGE stocks, and a batch size of 32 for DCII stock. For all stocks, the average prediction error from the actual values falls within the range of 1.53% ≤ MAPE ≤ 3.52%. The optimal portfolio is constructed using the Mean-Variance risk aversion model to maximize expected returns while considering risk. The resulting optimal portfolio composition consists of a weight allocation of 19.7% for ISAT stock, 36.8% for MTDL stock, 34.8% for MLPT stock, 3.6% for EDGE stock, and 15% for DCII stock. This portfolio yields an expected portfolio return of 0.001249 and a portfolio variance of 0.000311.
Co-Authors Adi Suripto Adi Suripto, Adi Agus Santoso Aisyah Nurul Aini Aisyah, Ranti Rivani Akmal, Muhammad Novrizal Albert Raja Harungguan Alit Kartiwa Ariesandy, Sena Asep K. Supriatna Asep K. Supriatna Asep Kuswandi Supriatna Aulia Wanda Puspitasari Bagas Ilham Rabbani Balqis, Viona Prisyella Betty Subartini Darmawan, Muhammad Rizky Diah Chaerani Dwi Purnomo Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Dwi Susanti Edi Kurniadi Elis Hertini Ema Carnia Eman Lesmana Erwin Harahap Ewen Hokijuliandy Fasa, Rayyan Al Muddatstsir Fathimah Syifa Nurkasyifah Fauziyah, Wida Nurul Febrianty, Popy Firdaniza Firdaniza Firdaus, Hamidah 'Alina Firosi, Valeska Isma Ghazali, Puspa Liza Hadiana, Asep Id Helma Syifa Izzadiana Hidayana, Rizki Apriva Ida Widianingsih Ira Sumiati Ismail Bin Mohd Jeane R. M. D. P Chantique Julita Nahar Melina Melina Michael Lim Michelle Selina Buntara Muhammad Arief Budiman Muhammad Deni Johansyah Muhammad Helambang Prakasa Yudha Muhammad Ribhan Hadiyan Nabilla, Ulya Norizan Mohamed Novitasari, Ela Nursanti Anggriani Nurul Gusriani Popy Febrianty Rahmadini, Nurhaliza Raynita Syahla Rayyan Al Muddatstsir Fasa Riaman Riaman Ridwan Pandiya Salsabila, Thania Nur Saprilian Hidayat Saputra, Jumadil Satyaputra, Ida Bagus Wira Krishna Siti Aizal Yasni Ellena Sudrajat Supian Suhaimi, Nurnisaa binti Abdullah Sukono Sukono Supian, Sudradjat Supian, Sudrajat Sutisna, Sarah Syahla, Raynita Valentina Adimurti Kusumaningtyas Valerie ​Valerie Valerie ​Valerie Viona Prisyella Balqis Wida Nurul Fauziyah Yosza Dasril Yudha, Muhammad Helambang Prakasa Yulison Herry Chrisnanto Yuyun Hidayat