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Penerapan Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) untuk Peramalan Laju Inflasi di Indonesia Alfiyatin, Adyan Nur; Mahmudy, Wayan Firdaus; Ananda, Candra Fajri; Anggodo, Yusuf Priyo
Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Vol 6 No 2: April 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Komputer, Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (3102.409 KB) | DOI: 10.25126/jtiik.201962900

Abstract

Inflasi merupakan salah satu indikator untuk mengukur perkembangan suatu bangsa. Apabila inflasi tidak terkontrol akan memberikan banyak dampak negative terhadap masyarakat disuatu negara. Ada banyak cara untuk mengendalikan inflasi, salah satunya dengan peramalan. Peramalan adalah suatu aktivitas untuk mengetahui kejadian di masa mendatang berdasarkan data masa lalu. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan metode kecerdasan buatan yakni extreme learning machine (ELM). Kelebihan ELM yaitu cepat dalam proses pembelajaran. Berdasarkan penggujian yang dilakukan metode ELM mendapatkan nilai kesalahan sebesar 0.0202008, lebih kecil dibandingkan dengan metode backpropagation sebesar 1.16035821. Hal tersebut membuktikan bahwa metode ELM sangat cocok digunakan untuk peramalan.AbstractInflation is one indicator to measure the development of a nation. If inflation is not controlled will give many negative impacts to the people in a country. There are many ways to control inflation, one with forecasting. Forecasting is an activity to know future events based on past data. In this research using artificial intelligence method is extreme learning machine (ELM). The advantages of ELM are fast in the learning process. Based on ELM testing gets obtained an error value of 0.0202008, smaller than the backpropagation method of 1.16035821. It proves that ELM method is very suitable for forecasting. 
Analysis of Regional Economic Problems (Case Study : Mapping Regency / City Leading Sectors in Papua Province in 2020) Prabowo, Try Agung; Ananda, Candra Fajri; Bintoro, Nugroho Suryo
Journal of International Conference Proceedings Vol 6, No 1 (2023): 2023 ICPM Malang Proceeding
Publisher : AIBPM Publisher

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32535/jicp.v6i1.2309

Abstract

Each region has its own model of economic growth, different from other regions, so planning the economic development of a region must take into account the economic, social and physical characteristics of the region itself, including its interaction with other regions. Based on data released by the Central Agency of Statistics, Papua is ranked as the province with the highest poverty rate in Indonesia at 26.80%, much higher than the national poverty rate. This study uses the Klassen Typology method and Location Quotient (LQ) analysis to group Papua Regencies/cities into several categories and to know the main sectors of Papua regencies/cities. so that economic development policies can be more targeted according to the potential of each region. In this study, it is known that most regencies/cities in Papua Province are categorized as (relatively) underdeveloped regions and it is also known that the most basic sectors in Papua are agriculture, forestry, and fisheries. Based on these results, it is expected that the Regency / city governments in Papua Province pay special attention, especially to areas in the category of underdeveloped sectors and further optimize the resources or potential sectors that exist in each region.
ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MENYEBABKAN PENUMPUKAN PENCAIRAN DANA APBN DI AKHIR TAHUN (STUDI KASUS DI KPPN MALANG) Nugroho, Mashudi Adi; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 1 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

The Government expenditures element of the national budget (besides consumptions and investations) is an element that can boost the economic growth. By increasing amount of government expenditures year to year, naturally it should have positive impact on economic growth. But it could happen if the absorption of government expenditures run stably year-round. In fact, the disbursement of government expenditures (disbursement of national budget) tend to below in the beginning of fiscal year and tend to be accumulated at the end of the fiscal year. Such cumulation can also be seen at Treasury Office of Malang, as a palce where national budget disbursed. The aim of this study is to find out factors causing the accumulation  of  national budget disbursement at the end of the year at at the Treasury Office of Malang. The result of study showed that the accumulation  of  national budget disbursement at the end of the year occured at Treasury Office of Malang caused by 6 factors, namely planning factors, regulatory factors, human resources factors, technical factors, coordination constraints factors, and procurement factors. Moreover, there are also indications that existing administrative requirements have not been able to move synchronously with the fastness of disbursement. It is proved from the tendency of working unit to prioritize the completion of administrative requirements in the disbursement of national budget than the fastness and accuracy of national budget disbursement.Keywords : national budget, disbursement, accumulation
DESENTRALISASI FISKAL DAN EFISIENSI BELANJA PEMERINTAH SEKTOR PUBLIK (Studi Kasus: 38 Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Timur 2006-2010) Hermawan, Puguh; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 1 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Kajian ini meneliti tentang desentralisasi fiskal dan pengaruhnya terhadap efisiensi belanja pemerintah sektor publik dengan studi kasus pada 38 kabupaten/kota di Jawa Timur tahun 2006-2010. Dengan menggunakan rasio total belanja pemerintah sektor pendidikan dan kesehatan terhadap total APBD sebagai variabel input dan indikator sosial ekonomi serta indikator standar Musgravian sebagai indikator kinerja, penelitian ini menganalisis efisiensi alokasi belanja pemerintah daerah dengan pencapaian sasaran-sasaran pembangunan menggunakan metode Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA).  Penelitian ini menghasilkan analisis kinerja yang bervariasi pada masing-masing daerah dan indikator kinerjanya.  Dari hasil skor efisiensi yang diperoleh dengan menggunakan analisis DEA dapat ditarik kesimpulan bahwa secara keseluruhan, efisiensi alokasi belanja Pemerintah sektor publik di Provinsi Jawa Timur selama tahun 2006-2010 cenderung mengalami peningkatan. Kata kunci: Desentralisasi Fiskal, Efisiensi, Belanja Pemerintah Sektor Publik , Data Envelopment Analyis (DEA),.
Analisis Pengaruh PAD dan Dana Perimbangan Terhadap Indeks Pembangunan Manusia Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Timur Lugastoro, Decta Pitron; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 1 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh  realisasi pendapatan asli daerah (PAD), realisasi  dana perimbangan  (dana alokasi umum, dana alokasi khusus, dana bagi hasil)  dan pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap indeks pembangunan manusia  (IPM)  kabupaten/kota  di Jawa Timur. PAD dan dana perimbangan sebagai variabel utama dirasiokan dengan belanja modal. Hal ini bearti menunjukkan seberapa besar kemampuan PAD dan dana perimbangan dalam membiayai belanja modal daerah, sedangkan pertumbuhan ekonomi merupakan variabel kontrol berdasar kajian teori dari Human Development Report UNDP tahun 1996. Analisis penelitian menggunakan analisis data panel dengan pendekatan random effect model (REM) Hasil estimasi penelitian menunjukkan bahwa rasio PAD dan DAK terhadap belanja modal dan pertumbuhan ekonomi berpengaruh positif signifikan terhadap IPM sedangkan variabel DAU  berpengaruh negatif signifikan. Sementara itu  rasio DBH terhadap belanja modal menjadi satu-satunya variabel yang  tidak signifikan  mempengaruhi  IPM.  Pertumbuhan ekonomi menjadi variabel dengan pengaruh paling dominan terhadap IPM Kata kunci :   PAD, Dana Perimbangan, Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU), Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM), Desentralisasi, Desentralisasi Fiskal
Analisis Flypaper Effect Berdasarkan Pemetaan Indeks Kemampuan Keuangan Dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi (Studi Kasus Pada Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Timur) Kurnia, Eka Daddy; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 1 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui fenomena Flypaper Effect yang terjadi pada kabupaten dan kota di Jawa Timur berdasarkan Indeks Kemampuan Keuangan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Indeks Kemampuan Keuangan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi digunakan dalam pemetaan kabupaten/kota melalui analisis kuadran. Dengan Dana Alokasi Umum dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah sebagai variabel independen serta Belanja Daerah sebagai variabel dependen yang digunakan melalui analisis regresi data panel. Hasil empiris penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa fenomena Flypaper Effect tidak terjadi pada kabupaten/kota yang berada pada kuadran ideal atau daerah dengan Indeks Kemampuan Keuangan dan pertumbuhan ekonomi yang berada di atas rata-rata. Sementara Dana Alokasi Umum dan Pendapatan Asli Daerah juga terbukti berpengaruh signifikan dan positif terhadap Belanja Daerah. Kata kunci: Desentralisasi Fiskal, Flypaper Effect, Dana Alokasi Umum, Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Belanja Daerah.
DINAMIKA PENGELOLAAN BPHTB SETELAH DIALIHKAN MENJADI PAJAK DAERAH (STUDI KASUS PADA KOTA KEDIRI DI PROVINSI JAWA TIMUR) Soewardi, Tiara Juniar; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 2 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

This study conducted to know about  the dynamics of BPHTB tax diverted into regional tax in Kediri city, in the light of BPHTB diversion into regional tax.  The  dynamics meant here is  the implementation of the management and BPHTB collection in Kediri City since diverted into local taxes, both  benefits and barriers that  occurred.  This study used qualitative method, with descriptive approach. The source of data obtained from in-depth interview, documentation, observation, and secondary data that complete this study. Result of this study shows that kediri city is prepared enough to face the diversion of BPHTB to regional tax, this can be seen from the institutional side (the act, organization, and practical procedure), and infrastructures and human resources that well enough, even there are still some of the aspects that needs to be improved. Motivation of kediri government to fix the regulation suitable with the its regional condition become a supporting factor for BPHTB diversion in Kediri city, and proved from the elimination of validation, in accordance with letter from BPN, that is SE BPN No 5/SE/IV/2013. And the lack of quality from human resources, especially in the field of appraisal, field check, and the management of tax affairs become the inhibitors of the speed and practice of BPHTB collection. Cooperation between regional government has been maintained well, and this can be seen from the coordination that has been done with related party each year, and resulted in the quick response on the emerging problem. Those factors become the consideration of the government to judge the correct policy to fix the BPHTB collection management after being diverted into regional tax. Further studies needed in the area of the suitability from BPHTB tax with PPh-PHTB to avoid tax fraud. Regional government also have to decide a farming policy which is suitable for the condition of the surrounding area that it governs. Keywords : BPHTB, local/regional tax, local taxing power, regional development funding
The Influence of Government Regulation No. 46 Year 2013 to Tax Income Revenue (Case in Kantor Wilayah DJP Jatim III) Rusli, Lathiefa; Ananda, Candra Fajri
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Vol. 3 No. 2
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Brawijaya

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Abstract

Tax is a main source that has big contribution to national income. Around 70% national income is dominated by tax revenue. DJP, under Ministry of Financial, is a financial institution that controls the tax reformation to stabilize economy as the function of fiscal policy in Indonesia. The research objective is to analyze the influence of Government Regulation No. 46 year 2013 to tax revenue, tax effort, and tax buoyancy in Kanwil DJP Jatim III. Descriptive quantitative method by using panel data regression was used to analyze the influence of independent variables to dependent variable. Result of the research showed that Government Regulation No. 46 year 2013 was not an effective tax policy. Variables NPIT and OPIT did not influence the tax revenue, while variable CIT significantly positive influenced to tax revenue. Besides, after the implementation of Government Regulation No. 46 year 2013, the tax effort and tax buoyancy were influenced by the change on GDP and the change on tax capacity.  Keywords: Government Regulation No. 46, taxpayers, tax effort, tax buoyancy
Sosialisasi Literasi Keuangan: Bijak Finansial Pahami Risiko Pinjaman Online dan Bahaya Judi Online Ananda, Candra Fajri; Indraswari, Citra; Lie, Clara Faustine
Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Nusantara Vol. 6 No. 4.1 (2025): SPESIAL ISSUE DESEMBER
Publisher : Lembaga Dongan Dosen

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Abstract

Transformasi digital telah membawa dampak signifikan pada sektor keuangan, salah satunya dengan hadirnya pinjaman online yang dapat memberikan akses keuangan cepat dan inklusif. Namun, fenomena ini juga disertai dengan risiko besar terkait pinjol ilegal dan praktik judi online. Rendahnya literasi keuangan di masyarakat menjadi salah satu faktor utama yang mendorong tingginya kerentanannya terhadap risiko-risiko tersebut. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk meningkatkan literasi keuangan di Desa Sumberdem, Kecamatan Wonosari, Kabupaten Malang, yang didominasi oleh sektor UMKM dengan keterbatasan akses modal. Metode yang digunakan adalah Community Based Research (CBR) dengan pendekatan partisipatif. Kegiatan sosialisasi dilakukan pada 24 Juni 2025 dengan melibatkan 20 peserta yang terdiri dari aparatur desa, pengelola BUMDesa, dan pelaku UMKM. Materi yang disampaikan mencakup pemahaman tentang pinjol, risiko yang ditimbulkan, serta dampak judi online. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan adanya peningkatan pengetahuan peserta yang signifikan berdasarkan perbandingan nilai pre-test dan post-test, dengan rata-rata peningkatan sebesar 33,75 poin. Survey kepuasan peserta menunjukkan respon positif terhadap pelaksanaan kegiatan sosialisasi. Sosialisasi literasi keuangan kepada masyarakat efektif dalam meningkatkan kesadaran akan risiko pinjaman online serta bahaya judi online.
A Panel Approach: How Does Government Expenditure Influence Human Development Index? Anisa Fadilah; Candra Fajri Ananda; David Kaluge
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Studi Pembangunan Vol 10, No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Universitas Negeri Malang

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Abstract

This study investigates the influence of government spending on education index, health index, income index of regional, under-develop and develop governments in East Java, Indonesia. In addition, this paper estimates the influence of government spending on the development of cities and districts in East Java. This study applied a quantitative approach by using the Fixed Effect Model and Random Effect Model as the panel data analysis method. There were 38 cities and districts used as the analysis units during 2010-2015. The findings showed that government spending on education, health, and economic has a positive significant influence on every component of human development index. In addition, government spending on infrastructure has a significant influence on the education index and income index yet it does not significantly influence the health index. Furthermore, this study provided the different results of government spending on under-developed and developed regions. Keywords: Government Spending, Human Development Index, Education IndexJEL Classification: H72; I31