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Perbandingan Metode Prediksi untuk Nilai Jual USD: Holt-Winters, Holt's, dan Single Exponential Smoothing Yesy Diah Rosita; Lady Silk Moonlight
Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Multimedia Vol. 5 No. 4 (2024): February
Publisher : Sekawan Institut

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35746/jtim.v5i4.473

Abstract

In the ever-changing landscape of the global economy, the role of the United States Dollar (USD) as the backbone of the international financial system significantly influences market stability and dynamics. The close correlation between fluctuations in the USD exchange rate and internal and external factors demands effective prediction methods to understand and manage associated risks. This study aims to compare the performance of three main prediction methods: Single Exponential Smoothing (SES), Holt's Method, and Holt-Winters Method, in forecasting USD exchange rates. Utilizing historical data from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) and testing under three training data distribution scenarios (45%, 55%, and 75%), this research provides in-depth findings on the strengths and weaknesses of each prediction method. Performance evaluations include the time required, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), R-Squared, and correlation for the implementation of each method. If averaged, the results are as follows for SES, Holt’s, and Holt’s Winter, respectively: SES (1.58; 284.20; 68,768.26; 440.07; 0.03; -2.12; Nan), Holt’s (1.39; 890.23; 426,377.44; 1,043.28; 0.06; -24.28; -0.66), and Holt’s Winter (1.20; 997.45; 513,657.58; 1,168.00; 0.07; -30.62; -1.55). Overall, this indicates that the Holt-Winters Method stands out with significant performance, especially in scenarios with larger training data distributions, with a low R-Squared value (-4.618) and satisfactory correlation (0.417). Holt's Method also shows improved accuracy, while Single Exponential Smoothing (SES) offers time efficiency, albeit with limitations in explaining data variations. In conclusion, this research provides valuable guidance for business stakeholders, investors, and policymakers in selecting prediction methods suitable for their data characteristics and analysis goals, with the potential for a positive impact on business strategies, competitiveness, and risk management amid the uncertainty of USD exchange rate fluctuations.
PENGGUNAAN METODE SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINE (SVM) PADA TEKNOLOGI MOBIL MASA DEPAN MENGGUNAKAN SIDIK JARI Teguh Arifianto; Sunaryo Sunaryo; Lady Silk Moonlight
Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi Vol. 2 No. 2 (2022): Agustus: Jurnal Teknik Informatika dan Teknologi Informasi
Publisher : Lembaga Pengembangan Kinerja Dosen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.55606/jutiti.v2i2.363

Abstract

Manusia tak lepas dari aktifitas sehari-hari. Seorang pekerja harus berangkat ke kantor untuk bekerja. Seorang pelajar harus berangkat ke kampus ataupun ke sekolah untuk belajar, dan sebagainya. Terkadang seseorang tersebut berangkat untuk melakukan aktifitas masing-masing menuju tempatnya menggunakan kendaraan yaitu mobil. Harga mobil yang begitu mahal dan hanya dimiliki oleh kalangan tertentu, membuat pemilik cenderung menambahkan sebuah alat yang dapat memberikan tingkat keamanan yang lebih tinggi agar terhindar dari tindak kriminalitas pencurian mobil yaitu dengan menambahkan fingerprint car starter. Pemanfaatan fingerprint car starter digunakan ketika pemilik akan menghidupkan mesin mobil. Fingerprint car starter ini menggunakan metode support vector machine (SVM). SVM adalah salah satu metode jaringan syaraf tiruan pada pengenalan sidik jari. SVM mengimplementasikan prinsip structural risk minimization yang bertujuan untuk meminimalisasi sebuah hubungan dari kesalahan umum. Keuntungan lain menggunakan metode SVM adalah hasil pelatihan dari SVM dapat menyelesaikan solusi yang unik dan optimal. Cara kerja dari sistem ini yaitu meng-input-kan sidik jari ke dalam alat ini. Sebelum sidik jari diproses, sidik jari telah tersimpan ke dalam database. Kemudian sidik jari diklasifikasi ke salah satu database sidik jari yang telah tersimpan. Jika sidik jari tersebut sesuai dengan database sidik jari yang tersimpan, maka mesin mobil akan menyala dan mobil siap untuk digunakan.
A Comparative Study of Problem-Based Learning and Project-Based Learning on Cadets’ Problem-Solving Skills in Vocational Aviation Education Parjan Parjan; Lady Silk Moonlight; Maulana Anifa Silvia; Faoyan Agus Furyanto; Ahmad Musadek; Anton Budiarto
Jurnal Pendidikan (Teori dan Praktik) Vol 11 No 1 (2026): Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): Volume 11, Nomor 1, April 2026
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/jp.v11n1.p29-39

Abstract

Problem-solving skills are essential competencies for vocational graduates in aviation education, where professional tasks are characterized by high risk, time pressure, and technological complexity. This study examined the effectiveness of Problem-Based Learning (PBL), Project-Based Learning (PJBL), and a combined PBL–PJBL approach in improving the problem-solving skills of cadets at an Aviation Polytechnic in Surabaya. A quantitative method with a quasi-experimental design was employed. A total of 100 first-year cadets were selected through purposive sampling and assigned to four groups: PBL, PJBL, combined PBL–PJBL, and a control group. Data were collected using a validated and reliable questionnaire administered as pretest and posttest, and analyzed using one-way ANOVA, Tukey’s HSD post hoc test, and N-Gain analysis. The results indicate that all experimental learning models significantly improved cadets’ problem-solving skills compared to the control group. The combined PBL–PJBL model demonstrated the strongest overall effect, yielding the highest statistical improvement and a very large effect size. When examined as single-method implementations, PBL produced higher learning gains than PJBL, indicating greater practical efficiency in developing problem-solving skills. These findings suggest that while PBL alone is an effective and efficient instructional approach, integrating PBL and PJBL provides a more comprehensive learning experience that maximizes problem-solving development in aviation vocational education. The study highlights the importance of aligning instructional strategies with the cognitive and operational demands of aviation training contexts.
PENGARUH PEMBELAJARAN KOLABORATIF TERHADAP PENINGKATAN KETERAMPILAN PROBLEM SOLVING DALAM KONTEKS PELAYANAN PELANGGAN DI PENDIDIKAN VOKASI TRANSPORTASI UDARA Anton Budiarto; Lady Silk Moonlight; Faoyan Agus F; Ahmad Musadek; Maulana Anifa S
Jurnal Penelitian Vol. 10 No. 3 (2025): Jurnal Penelitian September 2025
Publisher : Politeknik Penerbangan Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46491/jp.v10i3.2054

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pembelajaran kolaboratif terhadap peningkatan keterampilan problem solving pada mata kuliah Pelayanan Pelanggan di Program Studi Manajemen Transportasi Udara, Politeknik Penerbangan Surabaya. Menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif komparatif dengan desain one-group pretest-posttest, penelitian melibatkan 60 mahasiswa semester empat melalui total sampling. Instrumen yang digunakan meliputi soal pretest-posttest untuk mengukur keterampilan problem solving dan kuisioner untuk mengetahui persepsi mahasiswa. Data dianalisis menggunakan uji normalitas, homogenitas, N-Gain, dan paired sample t-test. Hasil menunjukkan adanya peningkatan signifikan kemampuan problem solving, dengan rata-rata nilai meningkat dari 59,43 menjadi 74,82 (p = 0,000). Nilai N-Gain sebesar 0,38 menunjukkan efektivitas sedang. Sebanyak 68% mahasiswa setuju dan 32% sangat setuju bahwa pembelajaran kolaboratif mendukung proses belajar.
The effect of Problem-based Learning (PBL) with mockup media in learning programmable logic controller Suhanto Suhanto; Mustaji Mustaji; Moch. Rifai; Lady Silk Moonlight; Asep Muhamad Soleh; Ahmad Fudholi
Jurnal Pendidikan Vokasi Vol. 14 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : ADGVI & Graduate School of Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/jpv.v14i1.64622

Abstract

This research aims to (1) examine the differences in learning outcomes of programmable logic controllers between cadets who use problem-based learning strategies assisted by mockup media and problem-based learning strategies, (2) examine the differences in learning outcomes of programmable logic controllers between cadets who have high and low initial abilities, and (3) examine the interaction effect between learning strategies and initial abilities on learning outcomes of programmable logic controllers. This research uses a 2 x 2 factorial design with the object of research being the 3rd-semester airport electrical engineering study program students at Aviation Polytechnic Surabaya. The sample of this research includes 47 students of the TLB 11 AB class as the experimental group of problem-based learning strategy assisted by mockup media and 46 students of the TLB 12AB class as the control group of problem-based learning strategy. A learning outcomes test collected the data on learning outcomes in the form of multiple choice. Learning outcomes data were analyzed using two-tailed ANOVA (analysis of variance). The results showed that there is a significant difference in learning outcomes of the programmable logic controller between cadets who learn using problem-based learning assisted by mockup media and problem-based learning, there is a significant difference in learning outcomes of the programmable logic controller between cadets who have high and low initial abilities, there is no interaction effect between learning strategies and cadets' initial abilities on learning outcomes of the programmable logic controller. This research can contribute to improving students' understanding and skills in the field of PLC. Through practical experience and relevant projects, students can develop a deeper understanding of PLC concepts and improve their technical skills in designing, implementing, and solving problems related to PLC systems.
Intercultural learning experiences and English communication self-efficacy among aviation vocational students Fatmawati Fatmawati; Laila Rochmawati; Meita Maharani Sukma; Edmond Brianaldy Tahu Klau; Lusiana Dwi Kusumayati; Lady Silk Moonlight
Jurnal Pendidikan Vokasi Vol. 16 No. 1 (2026)
Publisher : ADGVI & Graduate School of Universitas Negeri Yogyakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21831/jpv.v16i1.90645

Abstract

Globalization increasingly demands graduates who are able to communicate across cultures confidently and appropriately. However, limited evidence explains how culturally diverse students in semi-military vocational settings experience intercultural learning, particularly when language barriers and differing expectations shape their academic and social adjustment. This study explores the motivations, perceived benefits, challenges, and intercultural learning experiences of foreign students enrolled at Surabaya Aviation Polytechnic. Using a qualitative case study approach, data were collected from 18 Timor-Leste students through semi-structured interviews and open-ended questionnaires, and analyzed using deductive–inductive thematic analysis with data triangulation. The conceptual frameworks of intercultural communicative competence (ICC), cultural intelligence (CQ), and self-efficacy in English use informed the construction of interview guides and the interpretation of findings. Results reveal six key motivations for studying abroad, mainly career advancement, institutional reputation, and program practicality. Nevertheless, students experienced a clear gap between expectations and reality. Limited interaction with local peers, regional language accents, and low confidence in using English led to reduced frequency of intercultural encounters, social withdrawal, and stagnation in ICC development. Personal factors such as introversion and language anxiety further constrained participation. The findings suggest that authentic intercultural exposure, confidence-building strategies, and structured cultural preparation are essential to support students’ integration and learning. Practically, institutions should provide mentoring, communication simulations, and media-based cultural orientation to improve students’ readiness, emotional regulation, and self-efficacy. The study contributes to the literature by highlighting how intercultural learning unfolds in a unique vocational aviation context and by proposing practical approaches to enhance students’ intercultural development.
Effect Of Airport Signage Quality on Passenger Satisfaction at Juanda International Airport Luthfikar Abdul Lathief; Maulana Anifa Silvia; Agus Triyono; Lady Silk Moonlight; Yuyun Suprapto; Petek Tezcan
Jurnal Penelitian Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): Jurnal Penelitian April 2026
Publisher : Politeknik Penerbangan Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.46491/jp.v20i1.2581

Abstract

Airport signage is a core wayfinding facility that can reduce uncertainty and support passenger movement in complex terminal environments. This study examined the effect of signage quality—operationalized through clarity, placement, and lighting—on passenger satisfaction in the departure area of Terminal 1, Juanda International Airport. A quantitative cross-sectional design was applied to 100 passengers using a 24-item, five-point Likert questionnaire. Twelve items measured signage quality and twelve measured passenger satisfaction. Instrument quality was assessed through item-total validity and Cronbach’s alpha, followed by normality testing, Pearson correlation, and simple linear regression. All items were valid; reliability was high for signage (α = 0.957) and passenger satisfaction (α = 0.936). Signage quality was strongly associated with passenger satisfaction (r = 0.959, 95% CI [0.940, 0.972], p < 0.001), and explained 92.0% of the observed variance (R² = 0.920). Lower-scoring items concerned ease of locating signs, orientation, reduction of confusion, and overall satisfaction with directional clarity. The novelty of the study lies in isolating the physical characteristics of airport signage as a specific service-quality determinant in an Indonesian terminal context rather than treating signage as a minor part of a broad facility index. The findings extend airport service-quality research by linking tangible information infrastructure with passenger satisfaction and provide a practical basis for signage audits, decision-point placement, lighting improvement, and passenger-centered terminal planning. Because both variables were measured through the same cross-sectional questionnaire, the unusually high R² should be interpreted cautiously and verified through multi-airport and multi-method studies.
Inisiasi Model Replikasi Child-Friendly Airport: Pemberdayaan Petugas Bandara Abdulrachman Saleh dalam Wisata Edukasi Penerbangan Maulana Anifa Silvia; Lady Silk Moonlight; Faoyan Agus Furyanto; Ahmad Musadek; Anton Budiarto
Darmabakti: Jurnal Inovasi Pengabdian dalam Penerbangan Vol. 6 No. 2 (2026): Darmabakti: Jurnal Inovasi Pengabdian dalam Penerbangan
Publisher : Pusat Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Politeknik Penerbangan Palembang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.52989/darmabakti.v6i2.275

Abstract

The potential of regional airports as living laboratories for child-friendly educational tourism is often constrained by the readiness of front-line service personnel. This community service initiative aimed to enhance the understanding and capacity of 34 operational staff at Abdulrachman Saleh Airport, Malang, in facilitating aviation educational tourism. Utilizing a Participatory Action Research approach, the program was conducted through socialization, child-friendly interaction simulations, and Focus Group Discussions (FGDs). Data were evaluated using a 4-point scale assessment and qualitative thematic analysis. Quantitative results demonstrated program success, with a total average score of 3.52 (Good category). Attendance achieved the highest score (3.85), while practical simulation scored the lowest (3.47) due to psychological barriers in shifting from a rigid work demeanor to a flexible attitude. In conclusion, the program successfully transformed staff into non-formal educational agents. Program sustainability requires written SOPs to integrate aviation safety protocols with children's tour routes.
A Comparative Study of Problem-Based Learning and Project-Based Learning on Cadets’ Problem-Solving Skills in Vocational Aviation Education Parjan Parjan; Lady Silk Moonlight; Maulana Anifa Silvia; Faoyan Agus Furyanto; Ahmad Musadek; Anton Budiarto
Jurnal Pendidikan (Teori dan Praktik) Vol 11 No 1 (2026): Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): Volume 11, Nomor 1, April 2026
Publisher : Fakultas Ilmu Pendidikan Universitas Negeri Surabaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26740/jp.v11n1.p29-39

Abstract

Problem-solving skills are essential competencies for vocational graduates in aviation education, where professional tasks are characterized by high risk, time pressure, and technological complexity. This study examined the effectiveness of Problem-Based Learning (PBL), Project-Based Learning (PJBL), and a combined PBL–PJBL approach in improving the problem-solving skills of cadets at an Aviation Polytechnic in Surabaya. A quantitative method with a quasi-experimental design was employed. A total of 100 first-year cadets were selected through purposive sampling and assigned to four groups: PBL, PJBL, combined PBL–PJBL, and a control group. Data were collected using a validated and reliable questionnaire administered as pretest and posttest, and analyzed using one-way ANOVA, Tukey’s HSD post hoc test, and N-Gain analysis. The results indicate that all experimental learning models significantly improved cadets’ problem-solving skills compared to the control group. The combined PBL–PJBL model demonstrated the strongest overall effect, yielding the highest statistical improvement and a very large effect size. When examined as single-method implementations, PBL produced higher learning gains than PJBL, indicating greater practical efficiency in developing problem-solving skills. These findings suggest that while PBL alone is an effective and efficient instructional approach, integrating PBL and PJBL provides a more comprehensive learning experience that maximizes problem-solving development in aviation vocational education. The study highlights the importance of aligning instructional strategies with the cognitive and operational demands of aviation training contexts.
Co-Authors Achmad Setiyo Prabowo Ade Akbar Mukhlisin Agus Triyono Ahmad Fudholi Ahmad Musadek Aizatul Mufidah Aldy Wahyu Saputra Annisarahma Parameswari Anton Budiarto Anton Budiarto Anwar Kholil Ariyono Setiawan Arnaz Olieve Arnaz Olieve Aura Putri Ahmadiyah Bambang Bagus Harianto Bambang Riyanto Trilaksono Bambang Wasito Bambang Wasito Bayu Dwi Cahyo Cindy Berliana Damar Istri Pratiwi Deny Pratama Dewi Ratna Sari Didi Hariyanto Dido Dirgantara Dewangga Diky Chandra Hermawan Dimas Bagus Christian Dinda Sri Wahyuni Dio Fadli Arwan Dwiko Nugroho Sadewo Dwiky Rizqi Firmansyah Edmond Brianaldy Tahu Klau Faoyan Agus F Faoyan Agus Furyanto Fariz Ahmad Nurudin Fatmawati Fiqqih Faizah Fiqqih Faizah Haris Ihsanul Fadhlurrohman Haryo Penang Setyo Boma Henslok Mateus Arcanjo Nalvamaris Ilham Rizky Aries Djianto Irfansyah, Ade iswahyudi, Prasetyo Ivan Zulkifly Laurenta Pradana Kusno Kusno Kusno Kustori Lusiana Dewi Kusumayati Lusiana Dwi Kusumayati Luthfikar Abdul Lathief Matius Wahyu Susanta Maulana Anifa S Maulana Anifa Silvia Maulana Anifa Silvia Mimbar Maulana Ishaq Moch Muharrom Ricky Maulana1 Moch. Noval Ardiansyah Moch. Rifai Mubarak Mubarak Mubarak Muh. Firsya Ali Akbar Mustaji Mustaji Najwa Artania Istiqomah Sutikno Naufal Yusuf Prasaja Nyaris Pambudiyatno Panji Dwi Saputro Parjan Parjan Pawitra Enhar Sahisnu Petek Tezcan Ramining Puspitaningsih Retno Purwanig Tiyas Revayanto Eka Primadi Rinda Festyana Putri Riyanta, Wawan Rochmawati, Laila Shandy Bayu Erlangga Shendy Artileriawan Sintya Safitri Slamet Hariyadi Soleh, Asep Muhamad Sugiarto, Sugiarto Suhanto Suhanto Suhanto Sukma, Meita Maharani Sunardi Sunardi Sunaryo Suwito Teguh Arifianto Teguh Imam Suharto Tiziano Jose Paulo Dos Santos Pinto Vicky Rendra Purwanto Widyarini, Resty Wiwid Suryono Yessica Kristina Damayanti Yesy Diah Rosita Yuyun Suprapto