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Penerapan Metode Runge-Kutta Orde 4 pada Pemodelan Penularan Penyakit Cacar Monyet Dian Grace Ludji; Febrya Christin Handayani Buan
Saintek Lahan Kering Vol 5 No 2 (2022): JSLK DESEMBER 2022
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/slk.v5i2.1981

Abstract

Monkeypox is a zoonotic infectious disease caused by the monkeypox virus which belongs to the Orthopoxvirus group. This virus was originally transmitted from animals who innfected with the monkeypox virus to humans, especially rodents and primates. In addition, it can also be transmitted between humans. To make it easier to describe the process of the spread of monkeypox, a mathematical model was created. The mathematical model was made by taking several assumptions based on the nature of charateristics of monkeypox, especially on the pattern of the spread of monkeypox. Based on the assumptions made, this model has two parts to the population, namely the human population is divided into four subpopulations and the animal population is divided in two subpopulations. The model produces a system of non-linear equations that is solved using the Runge-Kutta method of orde 4. The result obtained in this study is a simulation in graphical form. Two simulations were carried out using different parameter values. The parameter is the rate of human infection from animals. The simulation results show that when the value of the human infection rate from animals is reduced, the disease will disappear within a certain time. So that, one of the factor that can be suppressed so that the spread of monkeypox is controlled is the rate of human infection from animals.
Pemetaan Hasil Prediksi Nilai Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) Provinsi Nusa Tenggara Timur Dengan Pendekatan Spasial Panel Dinamis Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Dian Grace Ludji
Saintek Lahan Kering Vol 6 No 1 (2023): JSLK JUNI 2023
Publisher : Fakultas Pertanian, Universitas Timor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.32938/slk.v6i1.2247

Abstract

The Province of East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) is categorized as a lagging region based on the value of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) and belongs to the lowest group at the national level. This underdevelopment has become a special concern for the government in every work program. This condition is an appropriate reference for periodic analysis in a certain time series. The analysis is carried out in various aspects that are dynamic by paying attention to spatial conditions, because each region has different characteristics. One of the main concerns is the value of GRDP, which is a measure of the welfare of a region. The estimation of the regency / city GRDP value model in NTT Province has been carried out, so the existing model is then used for prediction analysis based on updated real time data which is then mapped to see the distribution of GRDP values as a description of actual conditions. The prediction process is carried out using a method that is able to accommodate the characteristics of spatial data and a combination of time series and cross section data, so the appropriate method is dynamic panel spatial. The prediction results obtained the accuracy value of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) criterion of 7.47%, which means less than 20%, so it can be concluded that the dynamic panel spatial models is the right method to be used to forecasting the value of district/city GRDP in NTT Province for the next period of time. The prediction results obtained by the distribution of GRDP values are divided into four categories, namely low, medium, high and very high, which are marked by different colors on the mapping.
Estimating Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) District/City in East Nusa Tenggara with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Rahma Fitriani; Nurjannah Nurjannah
Wacana Journal of Social and Humanity Studies Vol. 24 No. 4 (2021)
Publisher : Sekolah Pascasarjana Universitas Brawijaya

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

East Nusa Tenggara Province has the lowest Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP) value in Indonesia. The local governments try to increase the value of GRDP by providing capital for productive businesses, increasing human resources, and managing the economic sector in each district/city. The GRDP value is influenced by dynamic economic factors. In a functional region, GRDP values in a region are correlated with neighboring regions. Regions that have homogeneous characteristics will tend to have the same economic condition, therefore indicating there is spatial dependence. Therefore, to know the pattern of GRDP value should be doing periode observed use panel data. Model panel data that can accommodate the effect of each factor on GRDP value has dynamic and dependence spatial, the model can be more useful to capture them. This study will apply the model to the cast of GRDP value in the district/city of East Nusa Tenggara Province with economic factors affecting GRDP value is labor (L), population (P), investment (Inv), and locally generated revenue (LGR). The results of variable estimated the found that significantly affect the GRDP values are investment (Inv) and locally generated revenue (LGR), furthermore GRDP value affect by GRDP value in the previous period and GRDP value by neighbor regions.
Pembuatan Silase Di Peternakan Biara Novisiat Clarentian Desa Benlutu Kecamatan Batu Putih Kabupaten Timor Tengah Selatan Josua Sahala; Debora Chrisinta; Fransiskus Yulius Dhewa Kadju; Aldianus Bria; Januario Resky A. Sekab; Venantius Oskar Nahak; Agustinus Yoseph Leu; Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Christofel John Bernhard Sendow
AKM Vol 5 No 1 (2024): AKM : Aksi Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat - Juli 2024
Publisher : Sekolah Tinggi Ekonomi dan Bisnis Syariah (STEBIS) Indo Global Mandiri

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36908/akm.v5i1.1041

Abstract

Pakan menjadi hal yang penting dalam usaha peternakan. Ketersediaan pakan menjadi faktor penentu dalam keberlangsungan usaha yang dijalankan. Kondisi hijauan yang melimpah saat musim hujan harus dioptimalkan. Banyaknya rumput raja yang berada didesa perlu pengolahan yang tepat agar bermanfaat supaya bisa diberikan kepada ternak guna keberlangsungan akan kebutuhan pakan setiap hari. Adanya penanganan teknologi tepat guna yang diberikan guna memanfaatkan banyaknya ketersediaan pakan hijauan sehingga saat memasuki musim kemarau ketersediaan pakan bagi ternak cukup. Pembuatan silase dari rumput raja dengan campuran EM4 dan dedak padi dapat dijadikan sebagai upaya dalam penanggulangan masalah kekurangan pakan saat musim kemarau. Pelatihan diberikan terhadap pemilik peternakan, pegawai, mahasiswa Universitas Timor dan peternak yang berada disekitar Peternakan Biara Novisiat Clarentian Desa Benlutu Kecamatan Batu Putih Kabupaten Timor Tengah Selatan sebagai upaya dalam pemberdayaan masyarakat teknologi tepat guna dengan memanfaatkan ketersediaan pakan hijauan disekitar lokasi peternakan
Peningkatan Pengetahuan Pengukuran Kualitas Air Irigasi Bagi Petani Milenial Disekitar Bendungan Naob - Noemuti Timur Banunaek, Zofar Agluis; Buan, Febrya Christin Handayani; Tefa, Azor Yulianus; Naikofi, Kristina Irnasari
Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Bangsa Vol. 2 No. 7 (2024): September
Publisher : Amirul Bangun Bangsa

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59837/jpmba.v2i7.1342

Abstract

Air merupakan salah satu sumber kehidupan bagi petani disekitar bendungan Naob. Kualitas air yang baik sangat penting untuk mendukung aktifitas pertanian dan keberlanjutan lingkungan. Namun, petani milenial belum memiliki pemahaman dasar tentang pentingnya kualitas air irigasi dan dampaknya terhadap produktivitas tanaman. Selain itu, keterbatasan akses terhadap alat pengukur kualitas air menjadi salah satu bagian penting yang menghambat kemampuan petani untuk melakukan pengukuran dan pemantauan secara rutin. Metode kegiatan ini meliputi wawancara, penyuluhan dan pelatihan bagi petani milenial. Petani diberikan panduan tertulis serta pendampingan pengukuran secara berkala dari Tim pengabdian untuk memastikan pengetahuan yang diberikan dapat diterapkan secara berkelanjutan. Program ini berhasil meningkatkan pengetahuan petani tentang pentingnya pengukuran kualitas air irigasi
Comparison Of Radial Basis Function Neural Networks (RBFNN) And Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Algorithms On Inflation Rate Prediction Models In Batam City Widya Reza; Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Siti Nurmardia Abdussamad
Jurnal Info Sains : Informatika dan Sains Vol. 14 No. 02 (2024): Informatika dan Sains , Edition, June 2024
Publisher : SEAN Institute

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.54209/infosains.v14i02.4713

Abstract

The inflation rate in the city of Batam from January 2023 to April 2024 continues to fluctuate, so an accurate prediction model is needed so that inflation control can be carried out optimally. In this study, we conducted a comparative analysis between the Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) method and the Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) model in predicting the inflation rate. The data used is historical data on the inflation rate of Batam City from January 2009 to April 2024. The results of the analysis show that the RBFN method with an MSE value of 0.239 is able to provide a more accurate prediction compared to the ARMA model (2.3) with an MSE value of 0.246 in predicting the inflation rate in Batam City. This is due to the RBFN's ability to capture complex and non-linear patterns contained in inflation data. In addition, the performance of RBFNN is also affected by the number of neurons and the basis function used. Thus, the results of this study show that the RBFN method can be an effective and efficient alternative in predicting the inflation rate in Batam City.
PENYEDIAAN PUPUK MELALUI LIMBAH RUMAH TANGGA DAN APLIKASINYA PADA BUDIDAYA HORTIKULTURA Boanerges Putra Sipayung; Wilda L. Tobing, Wilda; Azor Yulianus Tefa; Fransiskus Yulius Dhewa Kadju; Achmad Subchiandi Maulana; Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Kristoforus Wilson Kia; Kristina Kolo; Misail Epainetus Silla
Jurnal Abditani Vol. 7 No. 2 (2024): Oktober
Publisher : FAKULTAS PERTANIAN UNIVERSITAS ALKHAIRAAT

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31970/abditani.v7i1.296

Abstract

Kegiatan budidaya hortikultura pada Kelompok Wanita Tani (KWT) Sari Bes Ana selalu membutuhkan pupuk. KWT ini menggunakan pupuk subsidi oleh Pemerintah namun terdapat ketidakefektifan distribusinya seperti tidak sesuai dengan waktu tanam dan penggunaannya sesuai kebutuhan tanaman. Penyediaan pupuk ini perlu ditingkatkan tanpa bergantung pada pupuk subsidi. Penyediaan pupuk pada KWT Sari Bes Ana dapat dilakukan melalui pemanfataan limbah rumah tangga. Limbah sayuran dan buah-buahan dapat dijadikan bahan baku kompos. Air cucian beras dapat dijadikan pupuk organik cair. Pengabdian ini dilakukan di lahan usahatani milik KWT Sari Bes Ana. Pengabdian dilakukan dengan metode sosialisasi dan demonstrasi yang melibatkan seluruh anggota kelompok tani dan mahasiswa. Hasil dari kegiatan pengabdian adalah KWT mampu menyediakan pupuk organic berbasis limba rumah tangga, mampu mengaplikasikan pupuk pada budidaya hortikultura, dan diharapkan menjadi sumber pendapatan baru selain dari budidaya hortikultura
Pendampingan Manajemen Desain Produk Pengolahan Limbah Pertanian Menjadi Pupuk Organik dan Eco-enzyme di Kelompok Tani Nunuh Naek Tefa, Azor Yulianus; Buan, Febrya Christin Handayani; Kolo, Maria Magdalena; Sipayung, Boanerges Putra; Tobing, Wilda Lumban; Mata, Meri Halsiana; Banunaek, Zofar Agluis; Manek, Seprianus Septian
Jurnal SOLMA Vol. 14 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Prof. DR. Hamka (UHAMKA Press)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22236/solma.v14i1.17652

Abstract

Background: Kegiatan pengabdian ini dilaksanakan bersama mitra kelompok Tani Nunuh Naek yang berlokasi di Desa Napan Kab.TTU, dengan jumlah anggota sebanyak dua puluh orang. Wilayah pertanian Kelompok Tani Nunuh Naek Desa Napan, memiliki sumber daya alam melimpah yang belum dikelola secara optimal, sehingga sering terbuang percuma dan menjadi limbah pertanian akibat keterbatasan wawasan dan ketrampilan petani. Kondisi agroekosistem lahan kering dengan solum dangkal, dan tingginya frekuensi serangan hama sering menyebabkan gagal panen. Sementara itu, ketergantungan petani pada penggunaan pupuk dan pestisida kimia meningkatkan biaya produksi, dan merusak lingkungan. Permasalahan ini menjadi dasar pelaksanaan kegiatan pengabdian yang bertujuan untuk meningkatkan pengetahuan dan ketrampilan petani mengolah limbah pertanian menjadi pupuk organik dan eco-enzyme. Metode: PkM ini menerapkan metode penyuluhan (edukasi) dan demonstrasi langsung (learning by doing) dengan pendekatan particypatory action research. Peningkatan pengetahuan dan ketrampilan mitra diukur berdasarkan instrumen kueioner. Hasil: PkM membuktikan adanya peningkatan wawasan dan ketrampilan petani mitra, serta perubahan perilaku dalam mengolah limbah pertanian menjadi pupuk organik dan eco-enzyme berkualitas, yang siap mewujudkan kemadirian pupuk dan biopestisida. Kesimpulan: Pengaplikasian pupuk organik dan eco-enzyme pada tanaman hortikultura telah berhasil meningkatkan produktivitas serta efektif menekan biaya produksi kelompok mitra. Selain itu, kondisi fisik, biologi dan kimia tanah juga mengalami perbaikan, menjadikan menjadi subur.
ANALISIS EFEKTIVITAS MODEL GEOGRAPHICALLY WEIGHTED QUANTILE REGRESSION (GWQR) DALAM PENANGANAN OUTLIER: DATA SIMULASI TERIDENTIFIKASI HETEROGENITAS SPASIAL Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Zofar Agluis Banunaek; Widya Reza
JURNAL DIFERENSIAL Vol 6 No 1 (2024): April 2024
Publisher : Program Studi Matematika, Universitas Nusa Cendana

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35508/jd.v6i1.12782

Abstract

Classical quantile regression is global generalized parameter estimation results, spatial heterogeneity conditions cannot be captured by this model. The use of local models with spatial attribute can accommodate the characteristics between observation locations. The local quantile regression model is called the Geographically Weighted Quantile Regression (GWQR) model. Further testing of the effectiveness of this model is required by utilizing simulation data. This study uses simulated data generated with sample sizes uniformly distributed with intervals (0,1) contaminated with 5%, 10%, 15% outliers, with predictor variables (x=4) (β1,β2,β3,β4), and quantile sizes of 0.05, 0.25, 0.50, 0.75 and 0.95. Model effectiveness is measured based on Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). From the test, GWQR model can overcome the problem of outliers in simulated data up to the amount of outlier contamination of 15%, and spatial heterogeneity. The RMSE value is getting closer to 0 as the sample size and outliers increase. The test results explain that the 0.95 quantile produces the best parameter estimates compared to other quantiles.
Inovasi Teknologi Budidaya Sayuran pada Lahan Kering Melalui Pupuk Organik dan Vertikultur dengan Sistem Fertigasi Sumbu di Desa Napan Kabupaten Timor Tengah Utara NTT Boanerges Putra Sipayung; Wilda Lumban Tobing; Azor Yulianus Tefa; Indah Epriliati; Paini Sri Widyawati; Hadi Santoso Laurentinus; Febrya Christin Handayani Buan; Misail Epainetus Silla
Jurnal Pengabdian UNDIKMA Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024): February
Publisher : LPPM Universitas Pendidikan Mandalika (UNDIKMA)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33394/jpu.v5i1.10305

Abstract

This community service aims to increase the innovation of farmer groups in implementing vegetable cultivation technology in dry land through organic fertilizer and verticulture with a wick fertigation system. The method applied in this service uses counseling and training (learning by doing). The implementation was carried out on the agricultural land of the Nunuh Naek and Taruna Tani Farmer Group in October – December 2023. This activity involved the Napan Village Government and the North Bikomi District Agricultural Extension Officer to support the partner team together with the Implementing Team (University of Timor) and the Accompanying Team (Widya Catholic University Mandala Surabaya) to develop regional development programs in accordance with the relationship between Kosabangsa and RPJMD activities. The results of the service concluded that there was an increase in the ability of farmer groups to independently design verticulture with a wick fertigation system as an innovation in cultivating vegetables on dry land; able to apply Ribon Atom I as a soil amendment as well as adding nutrients to plants; and increasing the ability of partners in agribusiness management of horticultural farming.