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All Journal Jurnal Penyuluhan FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Forum Pasca Sarjana CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Al-Jabar : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Jambura Journal of Mathematics InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Jurnal Statistika dan Matematika (Statmat) Jurnal Statistika dan Aplikasinya Makara Human Behavior Studies in Asia Milang Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Jurnal Matematika Integratif MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
I Gusti Putu Purnaba
Departemen Matematika, Fakultas Matematika Dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Institut Pertanian Bogor
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Mathematical Model of Joint Life Term Insurance Premiums under Inflation, Interest Rate, and Dependent Mortality Habel, Ine Febrianti; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu; Budiarti, Retno
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 10, No 2 (2026): April
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v10i2.35690

Abstract

Multilife insurance refers to a contract that covers two or more lives simultaneously, with joint life insurance representing a key form in which the benefit is paid upon the first death among the insured individuals. The lifetimes of insured individuals are typically not independent, as they may be influenced by shared environmental, health, or behavioral factors, leading to mortality dependence. Inflation and interest rates also play critical roles in determining the present value of benefits and premiums. However, most previous studies have examined either mortality dependence or macroeconomic effects in isolation. This study aims to develop a comprehensive mathematical model for determining joint life term insurance premiums that simultaneously incorporates mortality dependence through the Gumbel copula and interest rate and inflation through the Fisher equation. The model integrates demographic and economic risk components within a unified actuarial valuation framework, providing a more realistic representation of premium dynamics under varying financial conditions. Simulation results indicate that premiums incorporating inflation are consistently higher than those without inflation, whereas higher nominal interest rates result in lower premium levels. These findings reflect the theoretical relationship between inflation, real interest rates, and the time value of money. The study further introduces an elasticity-based analysis that quantifies the sensitivity of premiums to changes in inflation and interest rates, demonstrating nonlinear yet economically meaningful responses across different age structures of insured spouses. The results highlight the importance of jointly modeling mortality dependence and economic variables to enhance pricing accuracy and fairness in life insurance. The proposed model offers practical relevance for actuaries in premium determination, assists insurers in risk management and product design, and supports the development of resilient pricing strategies under inflationary and interest.
Risk Analysis of Shallot Farm Income Using D-vine Copula-Based Monte Carlo Simulation Fatimah Fuzzaroh; Berlian Setiawaty; I Gusti Putu Purnaba
CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Vol 11, No 1 (2026): CAUCHY: JURNAL MATEMATIKA MURNI DAN APLIKASI
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Universitas Islam Negeri Maulana Malik Ibrahim Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/cauchy.v11i1.41556

Abstract

Shallot farm income is highly uncertain due to fluctuations in yields, prices, and production costs, which are interdependent and significantly correlated. This study evaluates income risk by modeling the dependence structure among the variables that constitute income, while addressing data limitations. Two approaches are employed. First, a parametric approach models income as a univariate variable under the assumption of a normal distribution, ignoring dependence among its components. Second, a multivariate simulation approach utilizes a D-vine copula, combined with Monte Carlo simulation, to capture the dependence among income components and generate synthetic observations that better represent tail behavior. Risk is measured using Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) based on 32 observations of average shallot farm income per harvest season over the period 2014–2024, and the results are compared with empirical estimates. Due to limited data, the empirical approach produces relatively coarse estimates, particularly in the tail region. The normal distribution approach yields higher and smoother estimates, indicating a higher level of risk. In contrast, the D-vine copula approach provides lower estimates than the normal distribution. These differences indicate that each method offers a distinct perspective on income risk.
Co-Authors A. D. GARNADI Adilla, Indrya Amiruddin Saleh Amri Jahi Amri Jahi Amri Jahi Auliya Fithry Aunuddin . Awatif Berlian Setiawaty D. C. LESMANA D. S. Rahmawati Daniel Happy Putra Dara Irsalina Darwis S Gani Darwis S. Gani Darwis S. Gani Darwis S. Gani Dian Puspita Dian Puspita Djoko Susanto Djoko Susanto Donny Citra Lesmana Dwi Fidiana E. H. NUGRAHANI Erliana, Windiani Fatimah Fuzzaroh Fendy Septyanto Fikri, Miftahul Fikriyah, Laila Qudrah Furlo Gilbert Godfrey Habel, Ine Febrianti Hadi Sumarno I Gede Setiawan Adi Putra I W. MANGKU I W. MANGKU I Wayan Mangku I. MAULIDI I. WIDIYASTUTI Indahwati Indrya Adilla Intansari, Kumala Iwan Tjitradjaja Iwan Tjitradjaja Iwan Tjitradjaja J. S. SELEKY Kelvin Gunawan Khairiati, Alfi Laila Qudrah Fikriyah Luky Adrianto M. FIKRI Ma'mun Sarma Maharani, Ardella Manjaruni, Vivin Aprilia Mokhamad O Royani Muh Hatta Jamil Muhammad Yusuf Sulaiman Nahrul Hayati Nur Agustiani Pang S. Asngari Pang S. Asngari Prihandoko . Prihandoko Prihandoko Prihandoko S Prihandoko S Purwoko, Agus R. BUDIARTI Rafika Septiany Rahmah, Salsabilla Rahmawati, D. S. Retno Budiarti Rizki, Kurniadi Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat, Ruhiyat S. ARTIKA S. NURDIATI S. UTAMI Sapar . Sapar Sapar Septiany, Rafika Setyawan, Binar Aulia Sugiyanta Sugiyanta Sulaiman, Muhammad Yusuf Syifa Aulia Tri Andika Julia Putra Vivin Manjaruni W. ERLIANA Windiani Erliana Windiani Erliana Windiani Erliana Y. ARBI Yolwi Dyatma Yolwi Dyatma Yuda Ardiansyah Yuda Ardiansyah Yudasril Yudasril _ Aunuddin