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All Journal Jurnal Penyuluhan FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Forum Pasca Sarjana CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Al-Jabar : Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Jambura Journal of Mathematics InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Jurnal Statistika dan Matematika (Statmat) Jurnal Statistika dan Aplikasinya Makara Human Behavior Studies in Asia Milang Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Jurnal Matematika Integratif MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
I Gusti Putu Purnaba
Departemen Matematika, Fakultas Matematika Dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam, Institut Pertanian Bogor
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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THE COVID-19 PANDEMIC EFFECT ON THE DETERMINING CHILLI CROP AGRICULTURAL INSURANCE PREMIUM Manjaruni, Vivin Aprilia; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu; Budiarti, Retno
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 16 No 4 (2022): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (578.748 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol16iss4pp1527-1540

Abstract

Parametric insurance is a type of insurance that contains an agreement related to triggering events between the insurer and the insured determined at the beginning of the contract. The provision that applies if the triggering event occurs is that the insurer (insurance company) is obliged to pay a sum of money (compensation) to the insured. Insurance based on area yield insurance is parametric insurance. Ozaki formulated an agricultural insurance model based on yields in an area called the parametric method. The loss of this method is a probability for crop loss that is in the area under the density function curve when the yield is smaller than the maximum guaranteed yield, but the losses calculated in this method only include losses due to crop failure and do not include losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Meanwhile, Susilowati and Gunawan, in their journals, explained that the production level of agricultural products, especially chili crops, during the COVID-19 pandemic, tended to be stable but not with the demand and purchasing power of the people, which significantly decreased. The significant decline in sales made farmers experience huge losses. Considering the COVID-19 pandemic impact, we were interested in formulating yield-based agricultural insurance models of chili crop that calculates the COVID-19 pandemic risk. So, the premiums rates and premiums obtained are more realistic and can reduce the risk of losses due to the COVID-19 pandemic for farmers, private companies, and the government.
THE APPLICATION OF DISCRETE HIDDEN MARKOV MODEL ON CROSSES OF DIPLOID PLANT Hayati, Nahrul; Setiawaty, Berlian; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 3 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss3pp1449-1462

Abstract

The hidden Markov model consists of a pair of an unobserved Markov chain {Xk} and an observation process {Yk}. In this research, the crosses of diploid plant apply the model. The Markov chain {Xk} represents genetic structure, which is genotype of the kth generation of an organism. The observation process represents the appearance or the observed trait, which is the phenotype of the generation of an organism. Since it is unlikely to observe the genetic structure directly, the Hidden Markov model can be used to model pairs of events and unobservable their causes. Forming the model requires the use of the theory of heredity from Mendel. This model can be used to explain the characteristic of true breeding on crosses of diploid plants. The more traits crossed, the smaller probability of plants having a dominant phenotype in that period. Monohybrid, dihybrid, and trihybrid crosses have a dominant phenotype probability of 99% in the seventh, eighth, and ninth generations, with the condition of previous generations having a dominant phenotype. But in seventh generation, monohybrid crosses only have the probability of an optimal genotype of 50%, dihybrid crosses have a probability of an optimal genotype of 25% in the eighth generation, and trihybrid crosses have a probability of an optimal genotype of 12.5% in the ninth generation
ANALYSIS OF THE DEPENDENCIES COMMODITY PRICES AND STOCK MARKET INDEXES USING COPULA Rahmah, Salsabilla; Budiarti, Retno; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 3 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss3pp1563-1572

Abstract

Indonesia is rich in natural resources and occupies an important position in the global raw materials market. The country's rich resources such as oil, coal, nickel, and crude palm oil (CPO) have a significant impact on the economic situation. As one of the world's leading producers and exporters of these raw materials, Indonesia's economic fate is closely linked to price fluctuations. This study uses the copula method to model the dependence between stock and commodity returns and calculates the dependence between commodity prices (oil, coal, nickel, CPO) and Indonesian stock market index (IHSG) The data used for this analysis was sourced from Bloomberg.com, covering the period from 29 September 2021 to 29 September 2023. This study investigates the dynamic dependencies between commodity price returns and the Indonesian stock market index. The results show that the correlations between oil prices and the Indonesian stock index, and between CPO prices and the stock index are generally weak. However, there are exceptions to stock index returns, such as their relatively high dependence on coal and nickel. This diverse research provides valuable insight into the complex interdependencies in Indonesia's financial landscape. Understanding dependence between commodity prices and stock indexes is of great value to investors and policymakers, as it is the basis for making informed decisions to navigate the complex global economy.
PENENTUAN PREMI TAHUNAN BERSIH ASURANSI JIWA SEUMUR HIDUP JOINT LIFE DENGAN MODEL COPULA CLAYTON DAN COPULA GUMBEL Fikriyah, Laila Qudrah; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu; Erliana, Windiani; Setiawaty, Berlian; Lesmana, Donny Citra
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 18 No. 1 (2022): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.18.1.15-28

Abstract

Asuransi jiwa seumur hidup adalah bentuk pengalihan risiko atas kerugian keuangan oleh tertanggung kepada penanggung yang disebabkan oleh hilangnya jiwa seseorang setelah polis disepakati. Pada status joint life pasangan suami istri Premi dibayarkan setiap tahun dan pembayaran manfaat dilakukan pada akhir tahun kematian pertama. Biasanya risiko kematian pasangan suami istri diasumsikan saling bebas, namun dalam kenyataannya kerap kali pasangan suami istri memiliki risiko bersama. Pada karya ilmiah ini, dilakukan penghitungan premi bersih tahunan dari asuransi jiwa seumur hidup joint life bagi pasangan suami istri menggunakan dua asumsi: (1) kebebasan mortalitas dan (2) ketidakbebasan mortalitas dengan model copula Clayton dan copula Gumbel. Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan untuk contoh kasus yang spesifik, premi tahunan yang dihitung menggunakan asumsi kebebasan mortalitas lebih besar jika dibandingkan dengan menggunakan asumsi ketidakbebasan mortalitas. Hasil ini berlaku juga untuk suku bunga yang bervariasi.
PREMI BERSIH TAHUNAN ASURANSI JIWA BERJANGKA UNTUK KASUS MULTIPLE DECREMENT DENGAN VARIASI SUKU BUNGA Adilla, Indrya; I Gusti Putu Purnaba; Ruhiyat; Berlian Setiawaty; Windiani Erliana; Septyanto, Fendy
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 18 No. 2 (2022): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.18.2.139-153

Abstract

Aplikasi penggunaan model multiple decrement terdapat pada asuransi jiwa dengan tambahan manfaat dan dana pensiun. Manfaat dibayarkan bergantung pada penyebab keluarnya peserta dari asuransi. Untuk menentukan besar premi dan nilai manfaat pada suatu waktu diperlukan data Tabel Penyusutan Jamak dan asumsi suku bunga. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengkonstruksi Tabel Penyusutan Jamak dari data Illustrative Service Table yang tersedia di library software R dan menentukan besar premi bersih tahunan asuransi jiwa berjangka 35 tahun untuk seseorang yang berusia 30 tahun yang memberikan manfaat kematian, mengundurkan diri, cacat permanen, dan pensiun dengan variasi suku bunga. Menggunakan suku bunga konstan diperoleh besar premi bersih tahunan dari 3.5% sampai 15% akan menurun semakin bertambahnya suku bunga, namun kembali meningkat dari suku bunga 15% hingga 20%. Besar premi bersih tahunan dengan asumsi suku bunga bervariasi mengikuti besar suku bunga nominal Republik Korea (yang telah dimodifikasi) lebih kecil dibandingkan dengan premi ketika diasumsikan suku bunga konstan sebesar rata-rata suku bunga nominal tersebut.
PENENTUAN PREMI DAN CADANGAN MANFAAT ASURANSI JIWA JOINT LIFE SAAT TINGKAT BUNGA DIMODELKAN DENGAN COX-INGERSOLL-ROSS Yuda Ardiansyah; Windiani Erliana; Ruhiyat; I Gusti Putu Purnaba; Fendy Septyanto
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 19 No. 1 (2023): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.19.1.23-41

Abstract

Pada karya ilmiah ini dibahas asuransi jiwa joint life untuk tiga orang tertanggung dengan tingkat bunga model Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR). Manfaat dari asuransi jiwa tersebut dibayarkan setelah tahun kesepuluh jika tidak ada kematian terjadi, kematian pertama, atau kematian kedua pada peserta asuransi. Tingkat bunga yang digunakan dalam karya ilmiah ini adalah tingkat bunga BI 7-day (Reverse) Repo Rate (BI7DRR) periode September 2016 sampai September 2022 yang dimodelkan dengan model CIR. Parameter model CIR diduga dengan metode Ordinary Least Square. Model tingkat bunga tersebut digunakan dalam penghitungan premi bersih dan cadangan manfaat asuransi jiwa joint life berdasarkan Tabel Mortalitas Indonesia 2019. Hasil menunjukkan bahwa tingkat bunga BI7DRR dapat dimodelkan dengan baik dengan model CIR. Selain itu, semakin tua usia peserta saat mendaftar asuransi, maka semakin tinggi pembayaran premi bersih, sedangkan cadangan manfaat semakin rendah.
PERAMALAN NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR SINGAPURA, BAHT, DAN PESO MENGGUNAKAN METODE GSTAR Budiarti, Retno; Rahmawati, D. S.; Septyanto, Fendy; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 20 No. 1 (2024): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.20.1.1-13

Abstract

The Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive (GSTAR) model is an extension of the Space-Time Autoregressive (STAR) model. The difference between the two models lies in the parameter assumptions. In the STAR model, the parameters are assumed to be independent of location, so this model is only suitable for data with homogeneous locations. Meanwhile in the GSTAR model, the parameters are assumed to change for each different location. This research aims to develop the best model for forecasting the Rupiah exchange rate against the Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht, and Philippine Peso. The appropriate model used for the Rupiah exchange rate data is the GSTAR(51)I(1) model. The weights used in this study are uniform location weights and inverse distance. The modeling results show that the best model is the model with inverse distance weighting, which has an MSE value of 371.8907 with MAPE values for each of the Rupiah exchange rate data against the Singapore Dollar, Thai Baht, and Philippine Peso of 0.3154214%, 0.8369436%, and 0.6237245%, respectively.
ANALISIS HUBUNGAN HARGA EMAS DAN PASAR SAHAM MENGGUNAKAN MIXED-COPULAS Budiarti, Retno; Sulaiman, Muhammad Yusuf; Purnaba, I Gusti Putu; Erliana, Windiani; Setiawaty, Berlian; Ruhiyat
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 20 No. 1 (2024): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.20.1.15-29

Abstract

Gold is considered as a reliable investment tool for long-term savings and/or investment portfolios. Investors who do not like high risks trust gold to be a safe haven commodity that can mitigate the impact of any financial crisis. Gold and stocks are often used as substitutes for each other, where the two have an inverse relationship. Copula is used to capture the dependence relationship between world gold prices and the stock indexes. The data used are the stock index data for the JKSE Indonesia), PSE (Phillipines), Nikkei 225 (Japan), HSI (Hong Kong), and world gold prices (XAU) from January 1, 2014 to December 31, 2019. From the data, the ARMA-GARCH model is made to solve the problem of autocorrelation and heteroscedasticity. Then, the correlation between assets is calculated using the rank correlation. Furthermore, four pairs of data are made from each stock index with the price of gold. Next, the best copula and the estimated Value-at-Risk (VaR) are sought for each portfolio. From the results of the selecting of the best copula for each pair of data, it is found that gold can be a safe haven asset in the Hong Kong's stock market. The VaR results show that the biggest loss is in the Japanese market.
ANALISIS SURVIVAL PASIEN INSUFFICIENCIA CORDIS MENGGUNAKAN MODEL REGRESI WEIBULL DAN MODEL REGRESI COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD Dwi Fidiana; Budiarti, Retno; I Gusti Putu Purnaba; Nur Agustiani
MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 21 No. 1 (2025): MILANG Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : School of Data Science, Mathematics and Informatics, IPB University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/milang.21.1.45-59

Abstract

Analisis survival digunakan untuk mengevaluasi durasi waktu dari awal pengamatan hingga terjadinya suatu peristiwa, seperti kesembuhan atau kematian. Penelitian ini memfokuskan pada pasien insufficiencia cordis. Analisis dilakukan dengan pendekatan parametrik (regresi Weibull) serta semi-parametrik (Cox Proportional Hazard). Model regresi Weibull menjadi model terbaik dengan nilai AIC 127,50 dan MSE 0,5071. Variabel signifikan yang memengaruhi analisis survival pada penelitian ini adalah age, ejection fraction, serum sodium, platelets, dan serum creatinine. Penelitian ini memberikan kontribusi signifikan bagi dunia medis dan industri asuransi, memungkinkan identifikasi faktor risiko yang lebih akurat dan mendukung pengambilan keputusan dalam strategi penanganan medis serta penetapan premi asuransi yang berbasis risiko.
Sifat Kemonotonan Barisan Trapezoid Sum dari Kelas Fungsi Nonkonveks dan Nonkonkaf Yudasril; Berlian Setiawaty; I Gusti Putu Purnaba
Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Vol. 19 No. 1 (2022): Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Volume 19 Nomor 1 Edisi Me
Publisher : Pusat Publikasi Ilmiah LPPM Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar

Abstract

The objective of this research is to show the monotonicity properties of the trapezoid sum sequence in general of nonconvex or nonconcave real valued continuous functions on interval corresponding to partitions of obtained by dividing into equal length subintervals. The decreasing monotony of the trapezoid sum generically does not happen in class of nonconcave functions. The same thing happens when restricted to the monotone nonconcave functions, namely in class of nonconcave increasing or nonconcave decreasing functions. Furthermore, in class of nonconvex functions, the trapezoid sum sequence generically does not increasing, as well as in class of increasing nonconvex or decreasing nonconvex functions.
Co-Authors A. D. GARNADI Adilla, Indrya Amiruddin Saleh Amri Jahi Amri Jahi Amri Jahi Auliya Fithry Aunuddin . Awatif Berlian Setiawaty Binar Aulia Setyawan D. C. LESMANA D. S. Rahmawati Dara Irsalina Dara Irsalina Darwis S Gani Darwis S. Gani Darwis S. Gani Darwis S. Gani Dian Puspita Dian Puspita Djoko Susanto Djoko Susanto Donny Citra Lesmana Dwi Fidiana E. H. NUGRAHANI Erliana, Windiani Fendy Septyanto Fendy Septyanto Fikri, Miftahul Fikriyah, Laila Qudrah Furlo Gilbert Godfrey Hadi Sumarno I Gede Setiawan Adi Putra I W. MANGKU I W. MANGKU I Wayan Mangku I. MAULIDI I. WIDIYASTUTI Indahwati Indrya Adilla Iwan Tjitradjaja Iwan Tjitradjaja Iwan Tjitradjaja J. S. SELEKY Kelvin Gunawan Khairiati, Alfi Kumala Intansari Laila Qudrah Fikriyah Luky Adrianto M. FIKRI Ma'mun Sarma Maharani, Ardella Manjaruni, Vivin Aprilia Mokhamad O Royani Muh Hatta Jamil Muhammad Yusuf Sulaiman Nahrul Hayati Nur Agustiani Pang S. Asngari Pang S. Asngari Prihandoko . Prihandoko Prihandoko Prihandoko S Prihandoko S Purwoko, Agus R. BUDIARTI Rafika Septiany Rahmah, Salsabilla Rahmawati, D. S. Retno Budiarti Retno Budiarti Rizki, Kurniadi Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat Ruhiyat, Ruhiyat S. ARTIKA S. NURDIATI S. UTAMI Sapar . Sapar Sapar Septiany, Rafika Sugiyanta Sugiyanta Sulaiman, Muhammad Yusuf Tri Andika Julia Putra Vivin Manjaruni W. ERLIANA Windiani Erliana Windiani Erliana Windiani Erliana Y. ARBI Yolwi Dyatma Yolwi Dyatma Yuda Ardiansyah Yuda Ardiansyah Yudasril Yudasril Yudasril _ Aunuddin