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Analysis of the Increase in Covid-19 Patients in Maluku Province Using Markov Chain Method Rumata, Umi Sari; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Noya van Delzen, Marlon Stivo
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 1 No 1 (2022): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (374.276 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol1iss1pp27-32

Abstract

Since the beginning of 2020, most of the world has been hit by the covid-19 pandemic, patients who are confirmed to be covid-19 are increasing day by day until the end of 2020, this increase in covid-19 patients has also occurred in the province of Maluku. In this study using the Markov chain method to analyze the increase in COVID-19 patients in the Maluku province, the results of the study were obtained that there were 5 ranges of adding positive COVID-19 patients with the opportunity value of increasing in each range as follows In the range of 0-20 people, the opportunity value is 0.103, the range of 21-40 people, is the opportunity value 0.098, the range 41-60 people is the opportunity value is 0.093, the range 61-80 people is the opportunity value is 0.1, the range of more than 81 people the opportunity value is 0.74.
Forecasting The Composite Stock Price Index Using Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Hybrid Model Artificial Neural Network Jaariyah, Muhidin; Sinay, Lexy Janzen; Lewaherilla, Norisca; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 1 No 2 (2022): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (491.178 KB) | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol1iss2pp89-100

Abstract

A stock index is a statistical measure that reflects the overall price movement of a group of stocks selected based on certain criteria and methodologies and evaluated regularly. JCI is included in the composite index, which is the Headline index. The Headline Index is an index that is used as the main reference to describe the performance of the capital market. The JCI is very important in describing the current condition of the capital market because the JCI measures the price performance of all stocks listed on the Main Board and Development Board of the IDX. This study aims to predict JCI data using the time series method. The hybrid Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average–Artificial Neural Network (ARIMA-ANN) model combines the linear ARIMA model and the non-linear ANN model. The best models are the ARIMA model (2,1,1) and the ANN Backpropagation model with one input layer, one hidden layer with 20 neurons, and one output. The ARIMA-ANN hybrid model accurately predicts JCI data because it produces a MAPE value of less than 1%, with the level of forecasting accuracy from testing results being smaller than the level of accuracy during training. In addition, the forecast for the next five days is very accurate because it produces a very small RMSE and a MAPE below 1%, respectively, namely 56.99 and 0.72%.
Application of Fuzzy Logic Mamdani Method to Determine the Amount of Ayudes Production (Case Study: CV. Abadi Tiga Mandiri Ambon) Rumalowak, Diana; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Rumlawang, Francis Yunito
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 2 No 1 (2023): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol2iss1pp25-32

Abstract

A company does not see a problem, namely level competition. This competition is for companies to be able to provide a marketing or productivity strategy in order to survive and even have to increase their production volume. Because the estimated number of products produced is less than the number of requests, the company will lose the opportunity to get maximum and somewhat profit. Therefore, what needs to be considered in deciding the total of production is the total of demand and supply date. Writing and discussion in this study is about the application of the Logic Fuzzy Method Mamdani (Min-Max) to determine the total of production based on the total of demand and supply where the data is taken from CV. Abadi Tiga Mandiri Ambon and by applying the fuzzy logic method mamdani and Matlab assistance obtained results with a truth level of 93,238%. So that the application of Mamdani's Fuzzy Logic Method can help companies determine the number of items that must be made.
Application of Neural Machine Translation with Attention Mechanism for Translation of Indonesian to Seram Language (Geser) Rukua, Abdul Wahid; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Rahakbauw, Dorteus Lodewyik; Tomasouw, Berni Pebo
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 2 No 2 (2023): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol2iss2pp53-62

Abstract

The Seram language (Geser) is one of the regional languages in Kabupaten Seram Bagian Timur of Maluku Province which has been classified by the Language Office as an endangered language. This study uses the Neural Machine Translation (NMT) method in an effort to preserve the Seram (Geser) language. The NMT method has proven to be effective compared to SMT in overcoming the challenges of language translation by using the attention mechanism to improve translation accuracy. The data used in this study were obtained through interviews of 3538 parallel corpus, 255 Indonesian vocabularies and 269 Seram (Geser) vocabularies. The result showed that using 708 test data without Out-of Vocabulary (OOV) the BLUE Score was 0.90518992895191 or 90.518%.
Application of Sequential Linear Goal Programming Method and Modified Simplex Method for Production Planning Optimization Djaelani, Eka Desi Kirana; Ilwaru, Venn Yan Ishak; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 3 No 1 (2024): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol3iss1pp01-08

Abstract

Production planning is an important thing in company management. Every company aims to seek maximum profit in its business activities, so it must be able to utilize its resources as optimally as possible. This study was conducted to determine whether or not any production planning that has been implemented at Istana Roti Hilyah Bakery is optimal. This research aimed to maximize revenue and profit, minimize production costs and raw material usage and optimize production quantities using the sequential linear goal programming method and the simplex modification method with the assistance of LINGO software. Based on the study's results, the revenue increased by IDR 60,000, and the profit increased by IDR 66,679. The minimization value of production costs decreased by IDR 6,679, with the production amount of White Bread as many as 60 pcs, Almond Crumble Bread as many as 45 pcs, Chocolate Crumble Bread as many as 50 pcs, Wheat Bran Bread as many as 55 pcs, Sweet Comb Bread as many as 82 pcs and Jam Comb Bread as many as 84 pcs.
Optimization of Flat Construction Implementation Time Using Critical Path Method and Project Evaluation and Review Technique Tuanaya, Adis Harni; Ilwaru, Venn Yan Ishak; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry
Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath) Vol 3 No 2 (2024): Pattimura International Journal of Mathematics (PIJMath)
Publisher : Pattimura University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pijmathvol3iss2pp39-50

Abstract

This research aims to develop a system that effectively solves construction project management problems using PERT (Project Evaluation and Review Technique) and CPM (Critical Path Method) methods for the ASN flat construction project in Piru City, Maluku Province, Indonesia. In this study, the project activity data was analyzed using the PERT Method, which includes realistic, optimistic, and pessimistic durations; then, it is used to calculate the estimated time of each activity. Meanwhile, CPM was used to determine the critical path of the project. The results showed that project management can be done more accurately and efficiently with these two methods, minimizing the risk of delays. The optimal duration of the project obtained is 49 weeks with a probability value of 98.87% with the critical path obtained, namely A-B-E-F-G-J-K-L-M.
INOVASI PEMBELAJARAN MATEMATIKA PADA SD NEGERI 230 MALUKU TENGAH BERBASIS KEARIFAN LOKAL Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Wattimury, Welminci W; Salamahu, Leberima; Matdoan, M Y
PAKEM : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 3 No 1 (2023): Pakem : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pakem.3.1.49-55

Abstract

Mathematics learning activities at SD Negeri 230 Maluku Tengah is a form of community service activity from a series of Teaching Assistance activities carried out by Pattimura University. From the results of the mathematics learning activities on 28 students in grade 5 and grade 6 at SD Negeri 230 Maluku Tengah, it was found that there was a significant increase from the pre-test results. Where the value of the post-test results is higher than the pre-test results, then according to statistics descriptive there is a difference in the average student learning outcomes before being given training (pre-test) with student learning outcomes after being given training (post-test). The test results with the pair sample test method obtained a significance value (Sig.) of 0.038 <0.05, so it can be concluded that there is a real difference (significant) in the average between the pre-test and post-test learning outcomes. Apart from that, learning materials raised from the local context also encourage and facilitate students in understanding the process of learning mathematics based on local wisdom
APLIKASI PERSAMAAN DIFERENSIAL PADA PENYEBARAN PENYAKIT BERBASIS SOFTWARE MAPLE UNTUK SISWA SMA NEGERI 3 AMBON Beay, Lazarus Kalvein; Wattimena, Abraham Zacaria; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Rahakbauw, Dorteus Lodewyik
PAKEM : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol 4 No 1 (2024): Pakem : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Pattimura

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/pakem.4.1.52-58

Abstract

Persamaan diferensial telah menjadi salah satu topik matematika yang menarik pada kemajuan ilmu pengetahuan dan teknologi. Salah satu bentuk aplikasinya, yaitu pada penyebaran penyakit menular. Pada kenyataannya, pembelajaran matematika di sekolah masih bersifat teoritis, sehingga pembelaran bermakna sulit tercapai. Materi matematika yang diberikan oleh guru sulit untuk dipahami oleh siswa karena bersifat abstrak. Hal ini mendorong pembelajaran untuk mengaplikasikan materi tentang persamaan diferensial pada kehidupan nyata di sekitar siswa. Selain itu, pesatnya kemajuan ilmu pengetahuan dan teknologi menuntut adanya kemampuan adaptasi dari siswa, guru, dan sekolah. Melalui kegiatan pengabdian ini, upaya adaptasi terhadap perkembangan ilmu pengetahuan dan teknologi dilakukan melalui peningkatkan kualitas pembelajaran pada SMA Negeri 3 Ambon. Kegiatan yang dilakukan meliputi upaya meningkatkan kemampuan siswa tentang penerapan materi persamaan differensial pada kehidupan nyata. Pada akhirnya, Software Maple digunakan untuk mendukung proses pembelajaran matematika.
Dynamics of Alcohol Consumption Model with Public Awareness and Saturated Incidence Beay, Lazarus Kalvein; Saija, Maryone; Rijoly, Monalisa E.; Lesnussa, Yopi Andry; Talakua, Mozart Winston; Ilwaru, Venn Yan Ishak
Indonesian Journal of Computational and Applied Mathematics Vol. 1 No. 2: June 2025
Publisher : Gammarise Publishing

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.64182/indocam.v1i2.14

Abstract

This article develops a mathematical model for studying the impact of public awareness and intervention strategies on alcohol consumption patterns. To protect populations from addiction, we are focusing on educational campaigns and interventions. Alcohol consumption cases decrease as the model variable awareness susceptible class is increased through awareness campaigns and interventions. The nonnegativity and boundedness of the model's solutions are analyzed. A qualitative analysis of the model's equilibrium points and the alcohol reproductive number, R0, was performed. Global stability was analyzed for alcohol consumption at the positive equilibrium point via a suitable Lyapunov function. When the alcohol reproductive number (R0) is less than one, the alcohol-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; otherwise, it is unstable. Although educational campaigns protect vulnerable people, their impact on the model is substantial. The simulation shows that the intervention directly and drastically reduces the target alcoholic population.
Co-Authors Abdul Malik Balami Abraham Z Wattimena Abraham Z. Wattimena Abraham Zakaria Wattimena Abraham Zakharia Wattimena Abrahams, H. Apituley, Fredrylo Alberth Noel Joddy Astrid A Titahena Astrid G. Heumasse Aulele, Salmon Notje Batkunde, Harmanus Beay, Lazarus Kalvein C. G. Mustamu Charlita Fhilya Chrisani Waas Citra Fathia Palembang D Patty D. L. Rahakbauw Damani, Nur Mila Dewi Ls Djaelani, Eka Desi Kirana E R Persulessy E. R. Persulessy Elvinus P. Persulessy Endro Risamasu F. Kondo Lembang Fauzan Samallo Fhilya, Charlitta Filiany S. Tutupary H. Kelian H. Lellolsima H. W. M. Patty Hayoto, Sasmita Hernita, Hernita Hukubun, V Idah, Mus Rika Ilwaru, Venn Y. I. Ilwaru, Venn Yan Ishak Jaariyah, Muhidin Jefri Esna Thomas Radjabaycolle Johan Bruiyf Bension Julianty Madiuw Lakotany, Jemsry E. Larubun, Swine Enggelina Latumeten, Ralf Leleury, Zeth A. Lewaherilla, Norisca Lexy Jansen Sinay Lexy Janzen Sinay, Lexy Janzen M. S. Noya Van Delsen M. W. Talakua M. W. Talakua Madiuw, Julianty Marsudi Marsudi Matdoan, M Y Mozart W. Talakua Muhammad Y. Matdoan Muhammad Yahya Matdoan Muhammad Yahya Matdoan Munahaji Lukaraja Mus Rika Idah Nanang Ondi Natasian, Nehemia Trianto Noya van Delsen, Marlon S. Noya van Delzen, Marlon Stivo Nurhidayah Nurhidayah Ojo, Mayowa Micheal Ondi, Nanang Papalia, Anita Patty, Henry Willyam Michel Persulessy, Elvinus R. Peter, Olumuyiwa James R. J. Djami Rahakbauw, Dorteus L. RAHAKBAUW, DORTEUS LODEWYIK Rijoly, Monalisa E Rijoly, Monalisa E. Rijoly, Monalissa E Ronald John Djami Rukua, Abdul Wahid Rumalowak, Diana Rumata, Umi Sari Rumfot, Rindyani Rumlawang, F Y Rumlawang, Francis Y RUMLAWANG, FRANCIS YUNITO Sahusilawane, Maria Engeline Saija, Maryone Salamahu, Leberima Sapulette, Nona Tjie Set Sasake Sinay, Lexy Jansen Stevanny Tamaela Subchan Subchan Subchan, Subchan Sumah, Tesa Tahalea, Sylvert Prian Talakua, Mozart W. Talakua, Mozart Winston Tamaela, Stevanny Tentua, Jesica Tomasouw, Berni Pebo Tomasouw, Berny Pebo Tuanaya, Adis Harni Venn Y.I. Ilwaru Vynska Amalia Permadi Waas, Rethalina Warong, Maria Marlein Wattimena, Abraham Zacaria Wattimury, Welminci W Yulia S. Kakisina Zakheus Putlely Zeth Arthur Leleury, Zeth Arthur