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All Journal Inersia : Jurnal Teknik Sipil dan Arsitektur IJOG : Indonesian Journal on Geoscience GRADIEN Jurnal Fisika Unand Jurnal Fisika FLUX Jurnal Geocelebes Wikrama Parahita : Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) Abdimas Talenta : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Spektra: Jurnal Fisika dan Aplikasinya Jurnal Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika Jurnal Ilmu Fisika Jurnal Pendidikan Fisika dan Teknologi Abdimas Umtas : Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat Indonesian Physical Review Journal Innovation of Civil Engineering (JICE) Journal of Technomaterial Physics Aceh International Journal of Science and Technology Jurnal Geosaintek
Refrizon Refrizon
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The Earthquake Prediction in the Southern Part of Sumatra Using Deep Learning (Long Short-Term Memory) Models Ainul Lisa; Refrizon, Refrizon; Samdara, Rida
JURNAL GEOCELEBES Vol. 10 No. 1: April 2026
Publisher : Departemen Geofisika, FMIPA - Universitas Hasanuddin, Makassar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.70561/geocelebes.v10i1.42958

Abstract

The Southern part of Sumatra is highly vulnerable to earthquakes due to its location in the subduction zone between the Indo-Australian plate and the Sunda plate. The Southern part of Sumatra’s vulnerability to earthquakes poses significant risks. This research aims at predicting the Earthquakes in the Southern part of Sumatra Using Deep Learning (Long Short-Term Memory) Models, a deep learning method designed to analyze sequential data. The model utilized 20 years of historical earthquake data from 2004 to 2024, with parameters including magnitude, epicenter location, depth, and event time. Data were preprocessed using Min-Max Scaling normalization and split into training data (70%) and testing data (30%). The model was trained over 150 epochs with a batch size of 32. Evaluation results showed a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.28 and a Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) of 0.39, indicating high prediction accuracy. The distribution of prediction results confirmed previous studies indicating that earthquakes in Southern part of Sumatra frequently occur in Bengkulu, western South Sumatra, and Southwestern Lampung. These findings underscore the importance of ongoing seismic hazard mitigation efforts and sustainable development planning in earthquake-prone areas.
Co-Authors Abimayu, Dadin Mars Agung Satria, Lori Agustina, Tari Ainul Lisa Al Ansory, Andre Rahmat Al Rafly, Tegar Al-Ansory, Andre Rahmat Amalia, Isra Anggria, Della Cici Ansory, Andre Rahmat Al Apriana, Agnes Apriana, Yelda Apriyanti, Nurul Arif Ismul Hadi Arif Ismul Hadi Arsi, Sefti Dini Arya J Akbar Arya Putra Anggi Awaliyah, Isfardian Agustin Azzahra, Gusti Ayu Zahwa Bernard, Admo Daniel, Adrian Darmawan Ikhlas Fadli Fachri Faisal Fadli, Darmawan Ikhlas Falenia, Felly Farid*, Muchammad Farid, Muchammad Fauzi, M. Wilzam Febriansyah, Gian Ori Fikri, Muhammad Haikal Gayatriani, Intan Gumanty, Usman Halauddin Halauddin Halauddin Hanifah Maulani, Siti Hanipa, Rerisa Al Hardiansyah Hardiansyah Hardiansyah, Debi Harlianto, Budi Helinnes, Putri Henny Johan Herno Yudiansyah Hutasoit, Tegar Ashary Idris, Beni Syakban Ikhlas Fadli, Darmawan Irkhos Irkhos Isfardian Agustin Awaliyah Jaya, Shara Ashari Prana Jaya Kamal, Thomas Mustafa Kamila, Nur Husniatin Kausari, Alfata Khairul Amri Kusuma, Budi Praba Larang, Miranda Puspa Lindung Zalbuin Mase, Lindung Zalbuin M Farid Maesaroh, Rina Maesaroh Maghribi, Faritz Bagda Manurung, Yeni Sartika Misliniyati, Rena Muammar, Zaky Muhammad Dani Muhammad Farid Naldo, Asrol Nanang Sugianto Natasya, Indah Dwi Nazli, Khairun Nurhayati, Ratna Dewi Putri, Aisyah Cindy Phylia Putri, Elona Gita Gatra Putri, Melly Zuhadjar Putriani, Eli Rabbani, M Rifqi Rafly, Tegar Al Rahmat Al-Ansory, Andre Rahmat, Andre Rahmawati, Nurul 'Ilmi Rahmawati, Nurul Ilmi Raihana, Hana Rida Samdara Sahputra, Rio Sapanur, Destika Meisy Saputri, Winda Saragih, Ronni Samuel Sholeha, Della Zakia Suaidi Ahadi Suhendra Suhendra Sumajaya, Erlan Sumanjaya, Erlan - Supriani, Fepy Suwarsono Suwarsono Syah, M. Taufiqqurahman Syaputra, Edo Win Sya’adah, Isni Taufiqurrahman Syah, Muhammad Tri Utami, Olga Triutami, Olga Verentina, Sendiya Yuni Setyowati Zakariya, Hilmi