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All Journal Statistika Jurnal Peluang Proceedings of Annual International Conference Syiah Kuala University - Social Sciences Chapter Jurnal Gaussian Jurnal Pengajaran MIPA Jurnal Statistika Universitas Muhammadiyah Semarang Jurnal Didaktik Matematika Jurnal Pengajaran Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Jurnal Riset Pendidikan Matematika Jurnal Elemen Eduma : Mathematics Education Learning and Teaching Jurnal Informatika Upgris Jurnal Penelitian Pendidikan IPA (JPPIPA) Numeracy : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika International Journal for Educational and Vocational Studies JP2M (Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Matematika) ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application Journal of Applied Data Sciences Narra J International Journal of Education and Digital Learning (IJEDL) Jurnal Natural Jurnal Pendidikan Sains Indonesia (Indonesian Journal of Science Education) Heca Journal of Applied Sciences Journal of Educational Management and Learning Infolitika Journal of Data Science PESARE: Science and Engineering Service Journal
Muhammad Subianto
Department Of Statistics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Science, Universitas Syiah Kuala, Banda Aceh 23111, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Physics Public Health Social Sciences Other

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Journal : ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application

 1 
Peramalam Model ARFIMA-GPH dan Intervensi Multi Input pada Indeks Harga Perdagangan Besar Indonesia Vivi Dina Melani; Miftahuddin; Muhammad Subianto
ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application Vol. 3, No. 2, Juli, 2022 : Estimasi
Publisher : Hasanuddin University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20956/ejsa.vi.19683

Abstract

IHPBI is an early indicator in consumer price analysis. When inflation has occurred, Indonesia's economic stability begins to be disturbed, so in order to suppress inflation, the government raises interest rates and when the circulation of money begins to decrease. This study to see IHPBI in the next 3 years through forecasting using the ARFIMA method and multi-input intervention. This is done to find out the movement of the IHPBI over the next 3 years and to compare the two methods. The results obtained show that the selected model is ARFIMA(1,0.1579,0), the January 2009 intervention with ARIMA(1,1,1) of order (b=0, s=1, r=1) and November 2013 intervention with ARIMA(1,1,2) order (b=1, s=1, r=0). The IHPBI forecast for the next 3 years is increasing slowly every month
Co-Authors . Zulfan Afidh, Razief Perucha Fauzie Ahmad, Noor Atinah Ainal Mardhiah Akhyar, Fikrul ALFIAN FUTUHUL HADI Almunir Sihotang Asep Rusyana Azzahra, Syarifah Fathimah Bagus Sartono Cut Morina Zubainur Cut Mulyawati Cut Rina Rossalina Dwi Fadhiliani Earlia, Nanda Essy Harnelly EVI RAMADHANI Farsiah, Laina Fitriana AR Furqany, Nuwairy El Ghazi Mauer Idroes Hijriyana P., Meildha Hizir Sofyan Husdayanti, Noviana Idroes, Ghalieb Mutig Idroes, Ghazi M. Idroes, Ghifari M. INA YATUL ULYA Indah Manfaati Nur Irnanda , Irnanda, Irnanda Irvanizam, Irvanizam Jamil, Muhammad Salsabila Kairupan, Tara S. Kurniadinur, Kurniadinur M. Ikhsan M. Ikhsan M. Ikhsan Maulana, Aga Miftahuddin Miftahuddin Miftahuddin Miftahuddin Miftahuddin Mikyal Bulqiah, Mikyal Misbullah, Alim Muhammad Al Agani Muhammad Iqbal Muhammad Irfan Mukhamad Najib Mursyida, Waliam Nazaruddin Niode, Nurdjannah Jane Nisya Fajri Noviandy, Teuku R. Nurbaiti Nurbaiti Nurdjannah J. Niode Nurjani Nurjani Nurjannah Nurjannah Nurleila, Nurleila Prakoeswa, Cita RS. Purnama Mulia Farib Rahmah Johar Razief Perucha Fauzie Afidh Reza Wafdan Rika Fitriani Rika Siviani Rinaldi Idroes Rizal Munadi RR. Ella Evrita Hestiandari S.Pd. M Kes I Ketut Sudiana . Salmawaty Salmawati Salmawaty Salmawaty Sasmita, Novi Reandy sufriani, sufriani Sugara, Dimas Rendy Suhartono Suhendra, Rivansyah Suryadi Suryadi Teuku Rizky Noviandy Tuti Asmiati Vivi Dina Melani Vivi Dina Melani Vivi Dina Melani Widya Sari Wira Dharma Wisnu Ananta Kusuma Yusrizal Yusrizal Zahriah, Zahriah Zainal Abidin Zainal Abidin Zhilalmuhana, Teuku Zulfan