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All Journal Jurnal Teknologi dan Manajemen Informatika TEKNOLOGI: Jurnal Ilmiah Sistem Informasi TELKOMNIKA (Telecommunication Computing Electronics and Control) Jurnal Ilmiah Kursor Jurnal Teknologi dan Sistem Komputer Jurnal ELTIKOM : Jurnal Teknik Elektro, Teknologi Informasi dan Komputer INTEGER: Journal of Information Technology Teknika: Engineering and Sains Journal Knowledge Engineering and Data Science JICTE (Journal of Information and Computer Technology Education) SMARTICS Journal Kinetik: Game Technology, Information System, Computer Network, Computing, Electronics, and Control Konvergensi Jurnal Sisfokom (Sistem Informasi dan Komputer) INTECOMS: Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science Antivirus : Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Informatika Journal of Information System,Graphics, Hospitality and Technology Jutisi: Jurnal Ilmiah Teknik Informatika dan Sistem Informasi Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Terapan (J-TIT) Jurnal Teknika Teknika Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer (JEECOM) Best : Journal of Applied Electrical, Science and Technology Insyst : Journal of Intelligent System and Computation J-Intech (Journal of Information and Technology) Joutica : Journal of Informatic Unisla Jurnal Nasional Teknik Elektro dan Teknologi Informasi JOINCS (Journal of Informatics, Network, and Computer Science) Insand Comtech : Information Science and Computer Technology Journal Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Teknologi JEECS (Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences) Eksplorasi Teknologi Enterprise & Sistem Informasi (EKSTENSI) EduTech Journal
Endang Setyati
Institut Sains Dan Teknologi Terpadu Surabaya
Aerospace Engineering Civil Engineering, Building, Construction & Architecture Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Physics Social Sciences Other

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Journal : SMARTICS Journal

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PEMODELAN PREDIKSI KUANTITAS PENJUALAN MAINAN MENGGUNAKAN LightGBM Febriantoro, Erfan; Setyati, Endang; Santoso, Joan
SMARTICS Journal Vol 9 No 1 (2023): SMARTICS Journal (April 2023)
Publisher : Universitas PGRI Kanjuruhan Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21067/smartics.v9i1.8279

Abstract

The main characteristic of the toy industry is its rapid change and uncertainty. Demand, influenced by certain trends, can change abruptly and suddenly disappear when the next viral product takes over the market. Constant product innovation, short life cycles and high cannibalization rates have the potential to incur higher relative costs compared to other industries in terms of inventory obsolescence, lost sales and reduced prices. Based on these problems, a study was conducted to predict toy sales using the LightGBM algorithm model in a time-series form with a sales dataset of 460 toy items classified into 14 categories within a time span of 1,353 days with a prediction period of 1, 3, and 6 months. This study produced 42 models based on product category and prediction period, with the best RMSE value of 0.0042 in the KARTU toy model, and 3 models for all categories based on the prediction period with the best RMSE value of 0.0380 in the 1 month prediction period.
Co-Authors Abdur Rouf Achmad Firman Choiri Agung Adi Saptomo Agung Dewa Bagus Soetiono Ajeng Restu Kusumastuti Akhmad Solikin Andi Sanjaya Andi Sanjaya Andriyanto, Pyepit Rinekso Anggay Luri Pramana Arif Priyambodo Azis Suroni Bambang Widodo Devi Dwi Purwanto Dicka Y Kardono Edwin Pramana Eko Mulyanto Yuniarno Elis Fitrianingsih Elkana Lewi Santoso Esther Irawati Setiawan Fachrul Kurniawan Farkhan, Muhammad Febriantoro, Erfan Fery Satria Kristianto Fitrianingsih, Elis Francisca H Chandra Francisca Haryanti Chandra Gunawan Gunawan Gunawan Hans Keven Budi Prakoso Hatem Alsadeg Ali Salim Hendrawan Armanto Herman Budianto Honoris Setiahadi Ine Juniwati Joan Santoso Kartika, Bara Alpa Yoga Kholilul Rohman Kurniawan Lilis Setyaningsih Luhfita Tirta Lukman Zaman Luqman Zaman M. Najamudin Ridha Masrur Anwar Mauridhi Hery Purnomo Maysas Yafi' Urrochman Miftah Farid Mochamad Hariadi Muhammad Farkhan Muhammad Turmudzi Nanang Wahyudi Novi Duwi Setyorini Peter Winardi Pranama, Edwin Rafliana Natalia da Silva Raymond Sugiarto Raymond Sutjiadi Reddy Alexandro Harianto Resmana Lim Rizal Budi Rusina Widha Febriana Salim, Shierly Kartika San, Joan Soetiono, Agung Dewa Bagus Subroto Prasetya Hudiono Suharyono Az Suhatati Tjandra Supandik, Ujang Joko Surya Sumpeno Suyuti, Mahmud Tjwanda Putera Gunawan Tri Septianto Tuesday saka gustaf Udkhiati Mawaddah Uliontang Uliontang Yasir Arafat, Yasir Yosi Kristian Yuliana Melita Pranoto Yunita, Helda Zaman, Luqman