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All Journal EKOMBIS REVIEW: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi dan Bisnis Jurnal Tataloka SRIWIJAYA INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DYNAMIC ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS Journal of Economic, Bussines and Accounting (COSTING) Agrisocionomics: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Jurnal Ilmiah Edunomika (JIE) Sricommerce: Journal of Sriwijaya Community Services Dinasti International Journal of Economics, Finance & Accounting (DIJEFA) AKM: Aksi Kepada Masyarakat PAKDEMAS : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah JURNAL PENGABDIAN PENDIDIKAN MASYARAKAT (JPPM) Economics, Business, Accounting & Society Review Pena Dimas Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi dan Keuangan Prosiding Seminar Nasional Inovasi Teknologi Terapan Jurnal Inovasi Teknologi Terapan IIJSE RESLAJ: Religion Education Social Laa Roiba Journal Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Optimum: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan
Sukanto Sukanto
Department Of Development Economics, Faculty Of Economics, Sriwijaya University, Indonesia
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The United States–China trade war and economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region: Evidence from APEC economies Salsabila, Adin; Azwardi, Azwardi; Sukanto, Sukanto
Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah Vol. 14 No. 3 (2026): Jurnal Perspektif Pembiayaan dan Pembangunan Daerah
Publisher : Program Magister Ilmu Ekonomi Pascasarjana Universitas Jambi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22437/ppd.v14i3.55560

Abstract

In an open economy, global uncertainties such as trade wars can affect regional economic stability. This study analyses the relationship between the United States–China trade war and economic growth in the Asia-Pacific region from 2000 to 2024. Specifically, it examines the short-run and long-run relationships of economic growth with exports, foreign direct investment (FDI), and household final consumption, while incorporating a trade war period dummy in the short-run specification. The study contributes to the literature by examining the dynamic role of household consumption alongside exports and FDI using the Pooled Mean Group Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PMG-ARDL) approach across nineteen APEC economies. The results provide evidence of a long-run equilibrium relationship, while the negative and statistically significant error correction term indicates convergence toward equilibrium. In the long run, exports are positively and significantly associated with economic growth, whereas FDI and household final consumption are negatively and significantly associated with economic growth. In the short run, exports, FDI, and household final consumption are positively and significantly associated with economic growth, while the trade war dummy variable is statistically insignificant. This result indicates that the estimated model provides no evidence of a direct aggregate association between the U.S.–China trade war period and economic growth across the sampled APEC economies. Overall, the findings highlight distinct short-run and long-run relationships between economic growth and trade, investment, and domestic demand during a period of heightened United States–China trade tensions, while the common trade war period dummy shows no statistically significant short-run association with economic growth.
Village funds and poverty reduction in South Sumatra: A geographically weighted regression analysis Sukanto Sukanto; Suwardi Suwardi; Muhammad Ferdy Oktavianto
Optimum: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Vol. 16 No. 2 (2026)
Publisher : Universitas Ahmad Dahlan

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.12928/optimum.v16i2.17004

Abstract

Poverty alleviation is the main agenda of development programs in Indonesia. Most of the implemented programs are non-spatial in nature and thus not yet optimal. This study looks into spatial patterns and area-based approaches to reducing poverty in South Sumatra Province. The geographically weighted regression (GWR) method using poverty data from 2022-2024 was employed in this study. The study finds an assembled spatial poverty pattern where areas (sub-districts) with high poverty levels are surrounded by regions with high poverty levels. Therefore, the poverty alleviation strategy of each region is aligned with each influencing factor.
Co-Authors Abdul Bashir ABDUL BASHIR, ABDUL Adnan, Nazeli Aidil Pratama Akhmad Fauzi Alghifari Mahdi Igamo Amril Reza Anna Yulianita Arika kurniawan Ayu Aprina Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Azwardi Bambang Bemby Bambang Juanda Bernadette Robiani Bernadette Robiani Chodijah, Rosmiyati Chodijah, Rosmiyati Deassy Apriani Deassy Apriani Delovarova, Leila F. Didik Susetyo Didik Susetyo Dirta Pratama Atiyatna Dwi Darma Puspita Sari Feny Marissa Geminata, Muhammad Arumbinang Habibi, Muhammad Ammar Hamira Hamira Hamira, Hamira Hanny Tri Putri Heryadi Heryadi Ichsan Hamidi Ilham Ary Wahyudie Ishak, Zulkarnain Juanda Juanda Kamil Habibi Liliana Liliana Luthfi, M. Ihsanuddin Marcheline, Monica Mardalena Mardalena Mardalena Mardalena Marwa, Taufi Marwa, Taufiq Meidiana Azzahrah Muhammad Alfarizi Muhammad Arsy Quraisyhab Muhammad Ferdy Oktavianto Muhammad Nurdiansyah Muhammad Subardin Mukhlis Mukhlis Mukhlis Mukhlis Nanda Muthiah Rhani Nashihuddin Al Amin Pulungan Nazeli Adnan Putri Indah Lestari Rasyida Pertiwi Rollastin, Boy Rosada Sintya Dwi Rusli, Arrum Azzahra Salsabila, Adin Siti Rohima Sri Andaiyani Sri Mulatsih Suhel Suhel Suhel Suhel Suwardi Suwardi Syaputri, Febianti Danu Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Taufiq Tertiarto Wahyudi Tri Octaviani Yuliyanto Yuliyanto Yunisvita Yunisvita Yunisvita, Y Yusnaini Yusnaini Zika Lorika