Article Per Year (5 Year)
p-Index From 2021 - 2026
6.725
P-Index
This Author published in this journals
All Journal FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Statistika CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Sosioinforma Journal of Mathematical and Fundamental Sciences JOIN (Jurnal Online Informatika) Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Journal of Socioeconomics and Development Andragogi: Jurnal Diklat Teknis Pendidikan dan Keagamaan Jurnal Jamu Indonesia Jurnal Penelitian Kebijakan Pendidikan Indonesian Journal of Educational Assesment Jurnal Pendidikan dan Kebudayaan Majalah Ilmiah Matematika dan Statistika (MIMS) Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Bulletin of Computer Science Research Jurnal Penelitian Kebijakan Pendidikan Aceh International Journal of Science and Technology Jurnal Bayesian : Jurnal Ilmiah Statistika dan Ekonometrika Xplore: Journal of Statistics Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS) Indonesian Journal of Jamu Jurnal Pendidikan Progresif Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Integra: Journal of Integrated Mathematics and Computer Science Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications Indonesian Journal on Learning and Advanced Education (IJOLAE)
Budi Susetyo
Departemen Statistika, IPB University
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemical Engineering, Chemistry & Bioengineering Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

Published : 60 Documents Claim Missing Document
Claim Missing Document
Check
Articles

Found 1 Documents
Search
Journal : Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS)

 1 
Evaluation of Tree-Based Models for Predicting Social Assistance Recipient Status Based on National Socio-Economic Survey (SUSENAS) 2024 Yani Prihantini Hiola; Zulhijrah; I Gusti Ngurah Sentana Putra; Syella Zignora Limba; Bagus Sartono; Aulia Rizki Firdawanti; Budi Susetyo; Gerry Alfa Dito
Journal of Mathematics, Computations and Statistics Vol. 9 No. 1 (2026): Volume 09 Issue 01 (March 2026)
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika FMIPA UNM

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35580/xyyv0f37

Abstract

Abstract. Poverty is a major socioeconomic challenge in Indonesia that affects the effectiveness of social protection programs. In response to this challenge, the government has created social assistance programs to improve the welfare of the people. However, the distribution of social assistance is often considered to be inaccurate, resulting in households that are deemed eligible for social assistance not being identified as recipients. One solution to improve the accuracy of distribution is the application of machine learning in the context of classification. Several tree-based models, such as LightGBM, Random Forest, and XGBoost, were selected because of their superior capabilities compared to classical models such as logistic regression, especially in handling complex data and fulfilling model assumptions. This study compares the performance of these three models in predicting social assistance recipient status using data from the 2024 West Java Provincial National Socioeconomic Survey (SUSENAS). Model evaluation was conducted on several data pre-processing scenarios involving outlier handling, class balancing, and feature engineering. The results show that LightGBM consistently outperforms the other models on six metrics, namely Accuracy, Balanced Accuracy, F1-Score, ROC-AUC, PR-AUC, and Brier Score, out of a total of eight evaluation metrics used. SHAP analysis identifies Social Assistance History and Asset Score as the most influential features for model prediction. Friedman and Nemenyi nonparametric tests confirmed significant performance differences between LightGBM and other models based on the F1-Score, PR-AUC, and Brier Score metrics. These findings indicate that tree-based models, particularly LightGBM, can support the development of a more targeted and data-driven social assistance targeting system. Keywords: Social Assistance; Tree-Based; SHAP; SUSENAS; Hybrid Bayesian Optimization
Co-Authors Aam Alamudi Aceng Komarudin Mutaqin Aditya Ramadhan adwendi, satria june Agus Mohamad Soleh Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Amir, Sulfikar Anak Agung Istri Sri Wiadnyani Anang Kurnia Andina Fahriya Anis Sulistiyowati Anisa, Rahma ASEP SAEFUDDIN Aulia Dwi Oktavia Aulia Rizki Firdawanti Aunuddin Aunuddin Bagus Sartono Bambang H. Trisasongko Bambang Juanda Brian G. Lees Cici Suhaeni Cut N. Ummu Athiyah DAMAYANTI BUCHORI Darfiana Nur Dewi Jasmina Dewi Jasmina, Dewi Dhea Dewanti Dian Kurniasari Dito, Gerry Alfa Dyah R. Panuju Endah Febrianti Erfiani Erfiani Fadjrian Imran Fahriya, Andina Faisal Arkan Farit Mochamad Afendi Fitrianto, Anwar Gerry Alfa Dito H Karwono Hafidz Muksin Hamid, Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hari Wijayanto Herlina Herlina Hermawati, Neni Hiola, Yani Prihantini I Gusti Ngurah Sentana Putra I Made Sumertajaya Inayatul Izzati Diana Yusuf Indahwati Indahwati Indahwati Indahwati, NFN Intan Juliana Panjaitan Iswan Achlan Setiawan Izzati Rahmi HG Jap Ee Jia Jia, Jap Ee Karwono, H Kesuma Millati Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Kristuisno Martsuyanto Kapiluka Kriswan, Suliana Kusman Sadik Kusni Rohani Rumahorbo La Ode Abdul Rahman La Ode Abdul Rahman La Ode Abdul Rahman M Nur Aidi M Nur Aidi, M Nur Mahmud A. Raimadoya Mohammad Masjkur Muh Nur Fiqri Adham Muhammad Amirullah Yusuf Albasia Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Sayuti Mustofa Usman Nurfadilah, Khalilah Nurfajrin, Tria Ermina Nurul Qomariasih Pannu, Abdullah Pika Silvianti Pika Silvianti Putri, Mega Ramatika Qalbi, Asyifah Qomariasih, Nurul Rachman, Nurul Aulia Rahma Anisa Rahmawat, NFN Rahmawati, nFN Rais Ratnasari, Andika Putri Rifannisa Bahar Rifki Hamdani Rizki, Akbar Robert, Zahira Rahvenia Safitri, Wa Ode Rahmalia Sanusi, Ratna Nur Mustika Satriyo Wibowo Sembiring, Febryna Sri Ningsih Desi Afriany Sulandra, Ardelia Maharani Sulfikar Amir Suliana Kriswan Supriatin, Febriyani Eka Syahrir, Nur Hilal A. Syahrir, Nur Hilal A. Syella Zignora Limba Sylvia P. Soetantyo Syukri, Nabila Tina Aris Perhati Tiya Wulandari Ulfa Afilia Shofa Utami Dyah Syafitri Wan Muhamad, Wan Zuki Azman Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad Wan Zuki Azman Wan Muhamad Warsono Wulan Andriyani Pangestu Yani Prihantini Hiola Yasmin Erika Faridhan Zahira Rahvenia Robert Zainal A Koemadji Zulhijrah