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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Media Statistika Statistika JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Media Infotama Journal of the Indonesian Mathematical Society KEUNIS JOIV : International Journal on Informatics Visualization Sinkron : Jurnal dan Penelitian Teknik Informatika Informatika Pertanian Jurnal Penelitian Pertanian Tanaman Pangan BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan SINTECH (Science and Information Technology) Journal MATRIK : Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika, dan Rekayasa Komputer Jambura Journal of Mathematics International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES) Eksakta : Berkala Ilmiah Bidang MIPA Jurnal Aplikasi Statistika & Komputasi Statistik FIBONACCI: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Matematika Building of Informatics, Technology and Science ESTIMASI: Journal of Statistics and Its Application Journal of Applied Data Sciences Malcom: Indonesian Journal of Machine Learning and Computer Science Jurnal Natural Cerdika: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Xplore: Journal of Statistics STATISTIKA Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Scientific Journal of Informatics Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS) Advance Sustainable Science, Engineering and Technology (ASSET) Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications The International Journal of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences (IJReSES)
Anang Kurnia
School Of Data Science, Mathematics And Informatics, IPB University, Indonesia
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PENERAPAN ANALISIS REGRESI SPLINE UNTUK MENDUGA HARGA CABAI DI JAKARTA Hestiani Wulandari; Anang Kurnia; Bambang Sumantri; Dian Kusumaningrum; Budi Waryanto
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 1 No 1 (2017)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v1i1.47

Abstract

The chili is an important commodity in Indonesia, which has a fairly large price fluctuations. Fluctuations in prices often raises the risk of loss even have contributed to inflation. Chili price data is time series data that is not independent between observations (autocorrelation) and do not spread to normal. In addition, chili price data does not have the diversity of homogeneous data. One method that can be used to predict the pattern of the data is spline regression. The data used in this study is data the average weekly price of chili in Jakarta from January, 2010 to October, 2015. The best spline model is a second order spline models with three knots. The model has a value of Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 9.57% and determination coefficient of 86.41%. The model obtained in this research is already well in predicting the pattern of the chili price, but it was only able to predict well for a period of one month. Prediction chili prices in Jakarta for November are in the range of Rp 35.565. Keywords: chili price, regression, spline.
BINOMIAL REGRESSION IN SMALL AREA ESTIMATION METHOD FOR ESTIMATE PROPORTION OF CULTURAL INDICATOR Yudistira Yudistira; Anang Kurnia; Agus Mohamad Soleh
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 2 No 2 (2018)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v2i2.63

Abstract

In sampling survey, it was necessary to have sufficient sample size in order to get accurate direct estimator about parameter, but there are many difficulties to fulfill them in practice. Small Area Estimation (SAE) is one of alternative methods to estimate parameter when sample size is not adequate. This method has been widely applied in such variation of model and many fields of research. Our research mainly focused on study how SAE method with binomial regression model is applied to obtained estimate proportion of cultural indicator, especially to estimate proportion of people who appreciate heritages and museums in each regency/city level in West Java Province. Data analysis approach used in our research with resurrected data and variables in order to be compared with previous research. The result later showed that binomial regression model could be used to estimate proportion of cultural indicator in Regency/City in Indonesia with better result than direct estimation method.
ANALISIS AMMI DENGAN RESPON GABUNGAN PADA UJI STABILITAS TANAMAN PADI GOGO DI KABUPATEN PACITAN Abdullah Ilman Fahmi; Rahma Anisa; Anang Kurnia; Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 3 No 1 (2019)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v3i1.173

Abstract

Gogo rice is one of the results of various rice cultivation development by planting in a dry land. Gogo rice is expected to give yield a better production of paddy in dry rice fields. The varieties Inpago 7, Inpago 8, Inpago 8 IPB, Inpago 9, Inpago 10, Situ Gintung, Situ Patenggang, Situ Bagendit, Gajah Mungkur, Slengreng TG, Slegreng GK, Srijaya, Towuti, Merah Wangi, dan Inpari 24 were used in this study. This study aims to identify the Gogo rice varieties that are stable and superior in six Pacitan Garden Experimental Plant locations based on a combined response using the AMMI method. The AMMI analysis combines an additive variety analysis as the main effects of treatment with multiple principle component analysis by bilinier modeling for interaction effect. This study used two combined responses, which described the plant productivity and the resistancy. The result of this study explained that some varieties, Inpago 8, Inpago 10, and Situ Patenggang, were stable varieties in all planting location based on the combined responses. According to productivity stability and plant resistancy superior gogo rice variety is Inpago 8 and Inpago 10.
KAJIAN PENGARUH PENAMBAHAN INFORMASI GEROMBOL TERHADAP PREDIKSI AREA NIRCONTOH PADA DATA BINOMIAL Beny Trianjaya; Anang Kurnia; Agus M Soleh
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 4 No 4 (2020)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v4i4.333

Abstract

Employment data is one of the important indicators related to the development progress of a country. Labor conditions in the territory of Indonesia can only be compared between times through the Survei Angkatan Kerja Nasional (Sakernas) data. Data generated from Sakernas and published by BPS is the number of employed and unemployed. The obstacle in estimating the semester unemployment rate at the regency/municipality level is the lack of a number of examples. One of the indirect estimates currently developing is small area estimation (SAE). This study developed the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) by adding cluster information and examines the development of modifications with several model scenarios. The purpose of this study was to develop a prediction model for basic GLMM on a small area approach by adding cluster information as a fixed effect or random effect. The simulation results show that Model-2, a model that adds a fixed effect k-cluster and also adds a mean from the estimated effect of random areas in the sample area, is the best model with the smallest relative bias (RB) and Relative root mean squares error (RRMSE). This model is better than the basic GLMM model (Model-0) and Model-1 (a model which only adds a mean from the estimated random effect area in the sample area). Model-2 is applied to estimate the proportion of unemployed sub-district level in Southeast Sulawesi Province. Estimating the proportion of unemployed with calibration Model-2 produced an estimated aggregation of the unemployment proportion of Southeast Sulawesi Province at 0.0272. These results are similar to BPS (0.0272). Thus, the results of the estimated proportion of unemployment at the sub-district level with a calibration Model-2 can be said to be feasible to use.
ANALISIS INFLASI MENGGUNAKAN DATA GOOGLE TRENDS DENGAN MODEL ARIMAX DI DKI JAKARTA Newton Newton; Anang Kurnia; I Made Sumertajaya
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 4 No 3 (2020)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v4i3.694

Abstract

Inflation is an important economic indicator in showing the economic symptoms of a region's price level. DKI Jakarta is the capital of Indonesia chosen as the center of the economic barometer because it can provide the greatest contribution and influence on the Indonesian economy. The ARIMAX model was used for forecasting by adding independent variables in the Google trends data. Google trends data were explored based on seven expenditure groups published by IHK. The purpose of this study was to determine the effect of forecast Google trends using BPS inflation data in DKI Jakarta. The result of the exploration of Google Trends data was forecasted to get the best forecast model results. The result of data analysis indicates that the forecast results approached the original BPS data with the best forecast model is ARIMAX (2.0.3) all variables X. Google Trends data can be used as forecasting but cannot be used as a reference policy decision.
A Study on Accuracy of Paddy Harvest Area Estimation on Area Sampling Frame Method: Kajian Ketepatan Pendugaan Luas Panen Padi pada Metode Pengambilan Kerangka Sampel Area Mulianto Raharjo; Anang Kurnia; Hari Wijayanto
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 6 No 1 (2022)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v6i1p41-49

Abstract

There was unsynchronized national rice data until 2017, which indicating that influenced by the differences in calculation methods between government agencies. The Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS Statistics), the most responsible agency for national rice data, collected rice plant areas data using the paddy statistical assessment method (SP-Padi). Subjective elements from various parties potentially influenced the result of this assessment method. The development of a new method to overcome this matter has been started by the government since 1993. In 2018 the method, which is named the Area Sample Frame (ASF) method, was officially used by the government under the coordination of BPS. The ASF method divides the area into grids: blocks, segments, and sub-segments. This new method has several issues related to the methodology used in determining the sampling method. This study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of paddy harvest area estimation on the ASF method through a sampling simulation process of the ASF method with various scenarios. With 20 simulated scenario combinations, it was found that the difference percentage average between the harvested area of the population and the harvested area of the sample to the sub-district area was 0.00062%, and the mean square error (MSE) was 0.0041%. So it can be concluded that the ASF methodology is an unbiased method and is good enough to accommodate various strata diversity in any region.
Sentiment Classification on the 2024 Indonesian Presidential Candidate Dataset Using Deep Learning Approaches Cici Suhaeni; Hari Wijayanto; Anang Kurnia
Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Applications Vol 8 No 2 (2024)
Publisher : Statistics and Data Science Program Study, SSMI, IPB University, in collaboration with the Forum Pendidikan Tinggi Statistika Indonesia (FORSTAT) and the Ikatan Statistisi Indonesia (ISI)

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/ijsa.v8i2p83-94

Abstract

This study aims to compare the performance of three deep learning models (LSTM, BiLSTM, and GRU) in the task of sentiment classification for the 2024 Indonesian Presidential Candidate dataset, focusing specifically on the case of Prabowo Subianto. The dataset comprises social media X posts sourced from kaggle, and the analysis investigates the effectiveness of different variants of recurrent neural network architectures in identifying public sentiment. The models were evaluated on accuracy and F1 score. The results demonstrate that BiLSTM outperformed both LSTM and GRU models in all metrics, achieving a testing accuracy of 80.70% and an F1 score of 86.86%, compared to LSTM and GRU which both achieved a testing accuracy of 72.56% and an F1 score of approximately 84%. The higher performance of BiLSTM is attributed to its ability to capture bidirectional context within the text, thereby understanding complex sentiment patterns more effectively. LSTM and GRU models displayed similar performance, therefore BiLSTM is the best model for this dataset. These results indicate that BiLSTM is especially well-suited for analyzing public sentiment towards political figures like Prabowo Subianto, offering significant insights into public discussions surrounding the 2024 Indonesian Presidential Election. This study recommends exploring transformer-based models like BERT or GPT variants to enhance sentiment classification accuracy in this domain.
Comparative Performance of GLMM and GEE for Longitudinal Beta Regression in Economic Inequality Modelling Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing; Erfiani; Khairil Anwar Notodiputro; Anang Kurnia
Advance Sustainable Science Engineering and Technology Vol. 7 No. 3 (2025): May - July
Publisher : Science and Technology Research Centre Universitas PGRI Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26877/asset.v7i3.2057

Abstract

Due to the shortcomings of conventional Gaussian methods, specialized models are frequently needed for longitudinal data analysis with bounded outcomes, such as the Gini ratio. In order to model economic inequality in Indonesia, this study compares the effectiveness of Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) and Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) for beta-distributed longitudinal data. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and pseudo R-squared values are used to assess model performance using panel data from 10 provinces between 2018 and 2024 as well as important socioeconomic indicators. With lower RMSE and higher explanatory power across all provincial subsets, the results consistently demonstrate that GLMM performs better than both GEE and generalized linear models (GLM). ANOVA tests verify that modeling methodologies, not data heterogeneity in GRDP or Gini values, are responsible for the differences in model performance. These results demonstrate how well GLMM handles complex data structures and within-subject correlations, providing more accurate and effective estimates in longitudinal beta regression scenarios. The study encourages the use of GLMM for more precise longitudinal analysis in economic and social research and offers insightful information for researchers modeling inequality indices.
Evaluating Ordinal Multivariate Models under Multicollinearity via Pairwise Likelihood: A Simulation Perspective Achmad Fauzan; Kusman Sadik; Anang Kurnia
Advance Sustainable Science Engineering and Technology Vol. 7 No. 4 (2025): August-October
Publisher : Science and Technology Research Centre Universitas PGRI Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.26877/asset.v7i4.2282

Abstract

This study examines the effect of multicollinearity on ordinal regression through a two-stage Monte Carlo simulation. A synthetic population of 2,000,000 observations was generated with predictors drawn from a normal distribution, and responses simulated using an ordinal probit model. A Monte Carlo procedure was employed with 10 repetitions, each consisting of 100 random samples of 1,000 observations. Parameter estimation employed Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for univariate models and Pairwise Likelihood (PL) for multivariate models, with performance assessed using mean squared error (MSE), bias, and computation time. Results show that multicollinearity had negligible impact on estimator bias and MSE, confirming the robustness of both MLE and PL to correlated predictors. However, severe multicollinearity substantially increased computation time, indicating a trade-off between estimator stability and efficiency. These findings highlight PL as a viable approach for analyzing complex ordinal data, particularly in applications such as socio-economic surveys and health metrics where predictor correlation is unavoidable.
Kajian Metode Deteksi Differential Item Functioning pada Butir Soal Dimensi Kepribadian Arien Citha Utami; Sri Kustiara; Anang Kurnia; Alona Dwinata
Cerdika: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Vol. 6 No. 7 (2026): Cerdika: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia
Publisher : Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/cerdika.v6i7.3482

Abstract

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melakukan deteksi Differential Item Functioning (DIF) pada butir soal dimensi kepribadian menggunakan metode Standardization dan Mantel Haenszel. Pengukuran psikologis sering kali mengandung bias ketika dilakukan pada kelompok atau individu dalam bentuk pertanyaan. Bias ini memiliki dampak yang merugikan karena kemampuan individu dapat dipengaruhi oleh faktor-faktor lain seperti jenis kelamin, tempat tinggal, agama, etnis, dan tingkat pendidikan. Ada banyak faktor yang menjadi dasar permasalahan sebagai pengaruh pengukuran psikologis seseorang, sehingga menghasilkan ketidaksesuaian. Penelitian ini dimulai dengan menggunakan Graded Response Model untuk memodelkan data dari lima kelompok item, kemudian melakukan deteksi Differential Item Functioning (DIF). Dalam penelitian ini, metode deteksi DIF yang digunakan adalah metode standardisasi dan metode Mantel Haenszel. Hasil model kelompok item menunjukkan bahwa metode Mantel Haenszel lebih sensitif dibandingkan metode standardization. Hasil deteksi DIF dengan metode Mantel Haenszel memiliki fokus pada nilai odds ratio. Dengan dibuktikannya karakter model yang serupa dengan pengidentifikasian Differential Item Functioning (DIF) dengan melihat hasil trace plot.
Co-Authors . Hanniva . Marzuki . Sutriyati Abdullah Ilman Fahmi ACHMAD FAUZAN Achmad Fauzan, Achmad Adeline Vinda Septiani Agus Buono Agus M Soleh Agus Mohamad Soleh Agus Mohammad Soleh Agus Mohammad Soleh Ahmad Ansori Mattjik Ajeng Bita Alfira Aji Hamim Wigena Alkahfi, Cahya Alona Dwinata Amalia Pasaribu, Asysta Amin, Yudi Fathul Anik Djuraidah Ardiansyah, Muhlis Arie Anggreyani Arie Wahyu Wijayanto Arief Gusnanto Arien Citha Utami ASEP SAEFUDDIN Astri Fatimah Azka Ubaidillah Bagus Sartono Bambang Sumantri Beny Trianjaya Budi Susetyo Budi Waryanto Cici Suhaeni Cici Suhaeni Citra Jaya Dede Dirgahayu Dede Dirgahayu Deiby T Salaki Dewi Juliah Ratnaningsih Dhea Dewanti Dian Handayani Dian Handayani Dian Kusumaningrum Dian Kusumaningrum Dian Kusumaningrum, Dwi Agustin Nuriani Sirodj Dwi Wahyu Triscowati Efriwati Efriwati Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Erwan Setiawan Erwan Setiawan, Erwan Farit Mochamad Afendi Farit Mohamad Afendi Fauziah, Ghina Febryna Sembiring Fitri Dewi Shyntia Fitrianto, Anwar Fitriyani Sahamony, Nur Gerry Alfa Dito Hamim Wigena, Aji Haq, Irvanal Hari Wijayanto Hari Wijayanto Hari Wijayanto Hestiani Wulandari Hidayat, Agus Sofian Eka Hidayat, Muhammad I Made Sumertajaya I Wayan Mangku Ikhlasul Amalia Rahmi Ina Widayanty Indah Herlawati Indahwati Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA Iwan Kurniawan Khairani, Fitri Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Kristuisno Martsuyanto Kapiluka Kusman Sadik Kusman Sadik Loly, Joao Ferreira Rendes Bean Matualage, Dariani Maulana Achiar, Anshari Luthfi Muhammad Nur Aidi Mulianto Raharjo Nashir, Husnun Newton Newton Nurul Hidayati Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing Pardomuan Robinson Sihombing Pasaribu, Asysta Amalia Pingkan Awalia Pramana, Setia Purba, Widyo Pura Purwanto, Arie Putri, Christiana Anggraeni Rachmat Bintang Yudhianto Yudhianto Rahardiantoro, Septian Rahayu, Melania Dwi Rahma Anisa Rahma Anisa Rahman, Gusti Arviana Retsi Firda Maulina Ristiyanti Ristiyanti Rysda Rysda Ryska Putri Madyasari Sahamony, Nur Fitriyani Santoso, Andrianto Santoso, Zein Rizky Sari Agustini Hafman Sean Marshelle Septian Rahardiantoro Setyowati, Indah Rini Siregar, Jodi jhouranda Siskarossa Ika Oktora Siti Muchlisoh Sri Kustiara Suprayogi, Muhammad Azis Suprayogi, Muhammad Aziz Teguh Prasetyo Thooriq Ghaith Topan . Ruspayandi Triscowati, Dwi Wahyu Tyas, Maulida Fajrining Utami Dyah Syafitri Viarti Eminita Widoretno, Widoretno Yani Nurhadryani Yenni Angraini Yenni Kurniawati Yudistira Yudistira Yully Sofyah Waode Zafira Fakhriyah