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PENGARUH ANGGARAN PENDIDIKAN, TINGKAT KEMISKINANDAN KETIMPANGAN TERHADAP PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO DI PROVINSI ACEH Affandi Affandi; T. Zulham; Eddy Gunawan
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 4, No 2 (2017): November 2017
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

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Abstract

This research aims to know the influence of the educational budget, poverty and inequality against GRDP Aceh province. The research method used is quantitative research. The data used is the data time series 2010-2015 and cross section 23 county/city in Aceh province. Secondary data is sourced from the Ministry of finance and the Central Bureau of statistics. Analytical techniques used is regression analysis with panel data model parameter estimation using the fixed effect model (FEM) weighted. The data used is the data panel during the Years 2010-2015.Research results show that the education budget and inequality of positive and significant effect against the GRDP, while the variable rates of poverty and significant negative effect against the GRDP. The value of the coefficient of determination (adj. R2 = 0,9966) shows that the free variables, educational budget, the poverty and inequality are able to explain variations from the variable, i.e., GRDP her factors not included in a model or explained in error term (e).
FAKTOR-FAKTOR SOSIAL EKONOMI YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN TENAGA KERJA WANITA DI ACEH Husnul Maghfirah; T. Zulham
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 3, No 2 (2016): November 2016
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

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This research is motivated by the problem that many women who enter the job market. The desire of women in entering the world of work is encouraged by certain factors, particularly social and economic factors. The purpose of this study was to determine how the influence of education, inflation, and wages on women labor supply in Aceh. This study used multiple linear regression analysis. The data used in this research is secondary data. The number of years of data in this study were 15 yaers, started from 2000 to 2014. The results showed that from the variables of education, inflation, and wages, only two variables are positive and significantly impact on women labor supply in Aceh, namely education and wages. Based on the research that has been done, the level of women labor supply in Aceh is still low compared to men labor supply.
ANALISIS PENGARUH PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI, INFLASI, DAN SUKU BUNGA TERHADAP KREDIT MACET DI INDONESIA Abd. Rizal; T. Zulham; Asmawati Asmawati
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 6, No 1 (2019): Mei 2019
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (764.397 KB) | DOI: 10.24815/ekapi.v6i1.14255

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Abstract This study aimed to analyze the effect of Macroeconomic variables in the form of Economic Growth, Inflation and interest rate of Bank Indonesia (7-Day Repo rate) on Non Performing Loans (NPL) in Indonesia. This study uses annual time series data from 2000 to 2017 with a total sample of 18 years. The model used is Auto Regressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) using Eviews 9. Software The results show that in the short run Inflation has a negative effect on Non Performing Loans (NPL) and Inflation in the previous year  (Lag-1) has a significant positive effect whereas in the long run Inflation has a negative effect, maintained inflation at a reasonable limit to foster a good climate for entrepreneurs to be a stimulus so that they are able to fulfill their obligations, in the long run Economic growth has a significant negative effect and interest rates have a significant positive effect. It is hoped that the government can be more careful in setting the 7-Day Repo rate, given the positive response shown to Non Performing Loans (NPL). In addition, the government must also be able to maintain sustainable economic growth given its negative relationship to Non Performing Loans (NPL). It is recommended for further researchers to add other variables such as stock index, exchange rate, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) and Charge-off policy (PH) of non-performing loans.
THE ANALYSIS OF LOCAL REVENUES AND THE AFFECTING FACTORS IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF REGIONAL AUTONOMY IN ACEH PROVINCE Rahmad Rahmad; T. Zulham; Chenny Seftarita
Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia Vol 6, No 1 (2019): Mei 2019
Publisher : Syiah Kuala University

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/ekapi.v6i1.14260

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Abstract This study aimed to determine the effect of population numbers, GRDP and inflation on local revenues. The model used was the OLS method using panel data. The results showed that the population had a positive and significant effect on the Local Revenue of regencies and cities t-test which showed that the population had  positive regression coefficient of 5.728641 and  significance value smaller than 0.05, that is equal to 0.0001. GRDP had  positive and significant effect on the local revenues of regencies and cities in Aceh. It can be seen in the results of the calculation of the t-test which showed that GRDP had positive regression coefficient of 4.473196 and significance value smaller than 0.05, that is equal to 0.0001, while inflation had a negative and significant effect on the local revenues of the regencies and cities. The regression coefficient value of -0.023161 that inflation had a negative effect on local revenues. If there is an increase in inflation of 1%, it will cause a decrease in local revenues of 0.023161%. Based on the 2-sided test on the individual parametric significant test on the inflation rate variable, The t-count value was smaller than the t-table which was -0.886238 and a significant value of 0.3905 0.05. The coefficient of determination or goodness of fit is obtained by a number of 0.888824. The contribution of all independent variables in explaining the dependent variable is 88.8 percent. The remaining 11.2 percent is explained by other variables outside this research model.
Pengaruh Migrasi Masuk dan Upah Minimum Provinsi Terhadap Pengangguran di Kota Banda Aceh Uswatul Hasanah; T. Zulham; Mahrizal Mahrizal; Affandi Affandi
JURNAL EKOMBIS Vol 7, No 1 (2021) April
Publisher : Universitas Teuku Umar

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.35308/ekombis.v0i0.3242

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This research was conducted in Banda Aceh with research variables consisting of in-house migration, provincial minimum wage and unemployment using secondary data based on the time of 2009-2018. This study used multiple regression analysis models, classic assumption tests, correlation coefficients (R), coefficient determination (R Adjusted), t test and F test. Based on this research obtained results that incoming migration has a positive and insignificant effect on unemployment with a sign value of 0.081 > 0.05 and the provincial minimum wage variable has a significant effect on unemployment with a significance of 0.010 < 0.05. The coefficient value of determination was 64 percent, so independent variables influenced as much as 64 percent and the remaining 36 percent were influenced by other variables outside the study. It is expected that the results of this research can be a consideration for the banda aceh government in implementing policies to overcome the number of unemployed as well as other policies on migration and the provincial minimum wage.Keywords: Incoming Migration, Provincial Minimum Wage and Unemployment
A budget allocation analysis and poverty alleviation strategy in Aceh post conflict and tsunami Agussabti Agussabti; Jeliteng Pribadi; T Zulham; Sofyan Sofyan
Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences Vol 7 (2017): 7th AIC in conjuction ICMR 2017 Universitas Syiah Kuala October 2017
Publisher : Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences

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This paper analyses budget allocation and poverty alleviation strategy in Aceh’s post conflict and tsunami. It is aimed (1) to identify conditions and the cause of poverty in Aceh, (2) to analyze poverty alleviation budget and programs in Aceh and (3) to find a suitable poverty alleviation strategy in post conflict and tsunami in Aceh.  The study was conducted in 2015-2016 using budget data of 2013 and 2014 collected from 7 districts in Aceh, 3 districts representing the west coast, 3 other representing the east coast, and 1 in the capital city of Banda Aceh. Meanwhile, the survey was conducted through in-depth interview technique reinforced by FGD in six districts i.e. Bener Meriah, Gayo Lues, Pidie Jaya, North Aceh, Aceh Barat, and Simeulue. The results show that Aceh’s poverty budget allocation is irrelevance and inconsistent. This is allegedly due to the limited capacity and commitment of decision makers to poverty alleviation. Poverty in Aceh is caused by natural, structural and cultural problems. The budget allocations for poverty alleviation programs are not well managed and unstructured and thus tend to be less effective in reducing poverty in Aceh. It is recommended that poverty alleviation strategies in Aceh should optimize the development of rural sectors such as agriculture, livestock, fisheries, poultry, dairy, and handicrafts, by stimulating the involvement and coordination of wider stakeholders.
The Determinant of The Working Poor’s Income in The South-West Areas of Aceh 2010 and 2020 T Zulham; Yayuk Eko Wahyuningsih; Tasdik Ilhamudin; Rollis Juliansyah
Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences Vol 11 (2021): the 11th AIC on Social Sciences, Syiah Kuala University
Publisher : Proceedings of AICS - Social Sciences

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Poverty is a complex and multidimensional problem that is influenced by various interrelated factors, including: income level, education, access to goods and services, geographical location, gender and environmental conditions. Overall poverty rates have declined in all regions over the last 10 years. However, if we look at the poverty rate in the South-West (Barsela) region of Aceh, it is higher than the provincial and Indonesian averages. This indicates that there are many people living below the poverty line in the Barsela area. The phenomenon of working poor above certainly raises the question that there are things which are the determining factors why the welfare or income of workers is still very low. This study aims to analyze the income determinants of the working poor in the South-West Aceh region in 2010 and 2020. These determinants include socio-demographic variables, namely gender, area of residence, marital status, age, education level, business field, employment sector, and number of hours worked. The data used is secondary data and taken from Central Bureau of Statistics of Aceh. This study uses comparative descriptive qualitative analysis with sample of Susenas 2010 is 15.830 persons and the number of workers 3.589 persons. In addition, sample of Susenas 2020 is 17.197 persons with the number of workers 7.013 persons. On the other hand, women experienced a decline. Thus, this data remains unchanged in that the latest data in 2019 shows that the number of workers is also still dominated by South Aceh Regency at 98,000 people and the lowest is Subulussalam City at 29,000 people. Based on this data, it is suggested to the district/city governments in the Barsela region to improve the welfare of the working poor through the provision of allowances to the poor, so that they are able to get out of the poverty trap.Keywords: determinant, working poor and Barsela region.
PENGARUH JUMLAH PENDUDUK, PANJANG JALAN DAN VOLUME KENDARAAN TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMIDI PROVINSI ACEH (STUDI KASUS 5 KOTA) Muhammad Zuhdi Arifin; T. Zulham
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 4, No 3 (2019): Agustus 2019
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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Abstract This study aims to determine the effect of population, road length and vehicle volume on economic growth in Aceh Province, especially in urban areas where there are five cities in Aceh Province, namely Banda Aceh, Langsa, Lhokseumawe, Sabang and Subulussalam. In this study, the variables used are the variable number of working age population, road length, vehicle volume and economic growth. Data for this study uses panel data from five cities in Aceh Province in the period 2013-2017. The analysis model used is a multiple linear regression model with a testing model of Fixed Effect Model. The results of the fixed model approach indicate that vehicle volume variables and road length have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, while the variable number of working-age population is positively related but not significant to the economic growth of five cities in Aceh province. The results of this study are expected to be an input for the government in increasing infrastructure growth, especially roads, so as to facilitate the mobility of people and goods with increasing volumes of vehicles.Keywords: Population Number, Road Length, Vehicle Volume, Economic Growth.
FAKTOR-FAKTOR SOSIAL EKONOMI YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENAWARAN TENAGA KERJA WANITA DI ACEH Husnul Maghfirah. M; T. Zulham
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 1, No 2 (2016): November 2016
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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AbstrakPenelitian ini dilatar belakangi oleh permasalahan banyaknya kaum wanita yang memasuki pasar tenaga kerja. Keinginan wanita dalam memasuki dunia kerja di dorong oleh faktor-faktor tertentu, khususnya faktor sosial dan ekonomi. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh faktor pendidikan, inflasi, dan upah terhadap penawaran tenaga kerja wanita di Aceh. Penelitian ini menggunakan metode analisis regresi linier berganda. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder. Jumlah tahun data dalam peneltian ini sebanyak 15 tahun yaitu dari tahun 2000-2014. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dari variabel pendidikan, inflasi, dan upah hanya dua variabel yang berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap penawaran tenaga kerja wanita di Aceh, yaitu pendidikan dan upah. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian yang telah dilakukan, tingkat penawaran tenaga kerja wanita Aceh masih rendah dibandingkan tenaga kerja pria.Kata Kunci: Penawaran Tenaga Kerja Wanita, Pendidikan, Inflasi, Upah
DAMPAK PEMANFAATAN LAHAN KOSONG TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN EKONOMI DI ACEH BESAR Mahyuni Mahyuni; T. Zulham T. Zulham; Muhammad Ilhamsyah Siregar
Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan Vol 2, No 3 (2017): Agustus 2017
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis UNSYIAH

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AbstrakTujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi willingness to pay masyarakat Lambaro Angan terhadap konversi lahan kosong untuk kegiatan ekonomi dan industri. Jumlah sampel sebanyak 100 orang yang dipilih secara acak terhadap masyarakat yang berdomisili di Lambaro Angan. Metode analisis yang digunakan adalah regresi linear berganda untuk menentukan keinginan membayar konversi lahan kosong. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel tingkat pendidikan dan pendapatan memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap willingness to pay dari konversi lahan kosong. Sedangkan variabel usia berhubungan positif tetapi tidak mempengaruhi willingness to pay konversi lahan kosong. Penelitian ini merekomendasikan agar pemerintah mengembangkan kawasan tersebut menjadi kawasan pusat pertumbuhan industri. Disamping itu penelitian selanjutnya dapat menambah sampel dan diperlukan pengembangan model yang lebih baik misalnya menggunakan metode cross-tab dan dapat menggunaakan eigen value. Kata Kunci : Willingness To Pay, konversi lahan kosong, Regresi Linear Berganda,             Lambaro Angan.