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Journal : Jurnal Natural

Analysis of VAE-LSTM Performance in Detecting Anomalies in Average Daily Temperature Data in Jakarta 2000-2023 Angraini, Yenni; Ramdani, Indri; Indahwati, Indahwati
Jurnal Natural Volume 25 Number 2, June 2025
Publisher : Universitas Syiah Kuala

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24815/jn.v25i2.41856

Abstract

Climate change is happening worldwide, so global climate conditions are a major concern. In densely populated urban areas such as Jakarta, it is impossible to avoid the impacts of climate change, particularly the daily changes in air temperature. Therefore, a sophisticated and efficient approach is needed to find inconsistencies in daily air temperature data to provide critical information for sustainable urban planning and efforts to reduce risks. This research will combine two innovative approaches for hybrid anomaly detection. The method combines generative methods and can extract complex features, such as variational autoencoder (VAE), along with the temporal coding capabilities of long-short-term memory (LSTM), a type of Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). The data used in this study is the average daily air temperature data in Jakarta, obtained from the Kemayoran Meteorological Station and provide by the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG). The data used is daily from April 2000 to December 2023. The threshold used to detect anomalies was 229.5, which resulted in excellent performance, namely F1-Score 0.985, Recall 1.000, and Precision 0.971. The VAE-LSTM model identified all dates with significant temperature anomalies, including January 21, 2014, February 22, 2014, November 12, 2014, and February 9, 2015. These dates are significant as they represent extreme weather events that can have severe implications for urban planning and climate change adaptation. The anomalies fall into the categories of point and contextual anomalies. This study contributes to climate research by providing evidence of the effectiveness of deep learning-based hybrid models in detecting complex and context-sensitive temperature anomalies.
Co-Authors A. A., Muftih Aditya Ramadhan Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustini , Ni Ketut Yulia Agustini, Ni Ketut Yulia Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Alahmad, Ali Omar Aliu, Mufthi Alwi ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amelia, Reni Amin, Yudi Fathul Anang Kurnia Anik Djuraidah Antonius Benny Setyawan Ari Handayani Arie Anggreyani Aristawidya, Rafika ASEP SAEFUDDIN Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Aunuddin . Bagus Sartono Budi Susetyo Cahya, Septa Dwi Cahyani Oktarina Chrisinta, Debora Daswati, Oktaviyani Dea Fisyahri Akhilah Putri Dian Kusumaningrum Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Etis Sunandi Eva Wany, Eva Farit Mochamad Afendi Farit Mohamad Afendi Fatimah Fatimah Fernando, Billy Fira Nurahmah Al Aminy Fitrianto, Anwar Fulazzaky, Tahira Ghina Fauziah Hakim, Arif Rachman Hanifa Izzati Hanifa, Jasmin Nur Hari Wijayanto Harismahyanti A., Andi Hasanah, Lailatul I Gusti Putu Purnaba I Made Sumertajaya Iin Maena Indah, Yunna Mentari Intan Juliana Panjaitan Irawan Irawan Jaya, Eddy Santosa Julianti, Elisa D Kamil, Farid Ikram Karunia, Nia Kefi Amtiran, Chandraone Putra Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Kholidiah, Kholidiah Khusnia Nurul Khikmah Kristorio, Kevin Kusman Sadik Latifah, Leli Lestari, Nila Lili Puspita Rahayu Maghfiroh, Firda Aulia Mingka, Rizka Annisa Miranti, Ita Miranti, Ita Mohammad Masjkur Mualifah, Laily Nissa Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul Muhammad Nur Aidi Naima Rakhsyanda Narindria, Yasmin Nadhiva Nurul Fadhilah Panjaitan, Intan Juliana Pika Silvianti Puput Cahya Ambarwati Purnaningrum, Evita Putra, Stefanus Morgan Setyadi Perdana Putri, Christiana Anggraeni Ramdani, Indri Rasyid, Baharun Ray Sastri Regan, Regan Reni Amelia Reni Amelia Reza, Charolina Therezia Rifki Hamdani Rindy Anggun Pertiwi Salvina Salvina Silmi Annisa Rizki Manaf Siti Hafsah Siwi Haryu Pramesti Tina Aris Perhati Titin Agustina Titin Suhartini Titin Suhartini, Titin Utami Dyah Syafitri Vera Maya Santi Vitona, Desi Wahyudi Setyo Yenni Angraini Yuniarty, Titin Zulkarnain, Rizky _ Aunuddin