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All Journal Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Media Statistika Disease Prevention and Public Health Journal JURNAL PETERNAKAN Sosioinforma JUITA : Jurnal Informatika International Journal of Advances in Intelligent Informatics BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) JURNAL ILMIAH PETERNAKAN TERPADU J Statistika: Jurnal Ilmiah Teori dan Aplikasi Statistika Jambura Journal of Mathematics ComTech: Computer, Mathematics and Engineering Applications J-ADIMAS (Jurnal Pengabdian kepada Masyarakat) JURNAL AKUNTANSI KEUANGAN DAN MANAJEMEN Jurnal Pendidikan dan Kebudayaan Jurnal Lebesgue : Jurnal Ilmiah Pendidikan Matematika, Matematika dan Statistika Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains Jurnal Natural Xplore: Journal of Statistics Jurnal Pengabdian Masyarakat dan Lingkungan PRAGMATIS Jurnal Manajemen dan Bisnis Jurnal Medika Veterinaria Scientific Journal of Informatics Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Jurnal Info Kesehatan Limits: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Indahwati
Department Of Statistics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Science, IPB University, Bogor, Indonesia
Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Humanities Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Dentistry Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Materials Science & Nanotechnology Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Physics Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Veterinary Other

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TRANSFER FUNCTION AND ARIMA MODEL FOR FORECASTING BI RATE IN INDONESIA Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul; Sadik, Kusman; Indahwati, Indahwati
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 3 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss3pp1359-1366

Abstract

Fluctuating gold prices can have an impact on various sectors of the economy. Some of the impacts of rising and falling gold prices are inflation, currency exchange rates, and the value of the Bank Indonesia benchmark interest rate (BI Rate). The data was taken from the Indonesian Central Statistics Agency's official website (BPS) for the Bank Indonesia benchmark interest rate (BI Rate) value. Therefore, research on the value of the Bank Indonesia benchmark interest rate (BI Rate) is essential with the gold price as a control. The purpose of this study is to forecast the value of the Bank Indonesia reference interest rate (BI Rate) with a transfer function model where the input variable used is the price of gold and forecast the value of the Bank Indonesia benchmark interest rate (BI Rate) with the ARIMA model. The analysis results show that the best model for forecasting the Bank Indonesia reference interest rate (BI Rate) is a transfer function model with a value of , , , and a noise series model with the MAPE value is
A COMPARISON OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK AND NAIVE BAYES CLASSIFICATION USING UNBALANCED DATA HANDLING Lestari, Nila; Indahwati, Indahwati; Erfiani, Erfiani; Julianti, Elisa D
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 3 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss3pp1585-1594

Abstract

Classification is a supervised learning method that predicts the class of objects whose labels are unknown. Classification in machine learning will produce good performance if it has a balanced data class on the response variable. Therefore, unbalanced classification is a problem that must be taken seriously. This study will handle unbalanced data using the Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE). The classification methods that are quite popular are the Naïve Bayes Classifier (NB) and the Resilient Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network (Rprop-ANN). The data used comes from the Health Nutrition Research and Development Agency (Balitbangkes) which consists of 2499 observations. This study examines the use of NB and ANN using the SMOTE method to classify the incidence of anemia in young women in Indonesia. Modeling is done on 80% of training data and predictions on 20% of test data. The analysis shows that SMOTE can perform better than not handling unbalanced data. Based on the results of the study, the best method for predicting the incidence of anemia is the Naïve Bayes method, with the sensitivity value of 82%.
SIMULATION STUDY OF HIERARCHICAL BAYESIAN APPROACH FOR SMALL AREA ESTIMATION WITH MEASUREMENT ERROR Latifah, Leli; Sadik, Kusman; Indahwati, Indahwati
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 17 No 4 (2023): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Applications
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol17iss4pp2059-2070

Abstract

In small area estimation (SAE), the auxiliary variables used are commonly derived from registration data such as census and administrative data. It is assumed that the auxiliary variables are available for all areas. The limited availability of auxiliary variables can be an obstacle in SAE. The additional information from the survey can be alternative data, but it is assumed that the auxiliary variables will contain measurement errors. This study conducted a simulation of data that aims to handle when auxiliary variables are measured with errors. Two simulations were studied with some scenarios to the percentage area where the auxiliary variable is measured with error and scenarios to the generated auxiliary variables. Compare four methods: direct estimation, Fay-Herriot Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (EBLUP-FH), Ybarra-Lohr SAE with measurement error (SaeME), and Hierarchical Bayesian SaeME. The results show that, in both the simulation study, the Hierarchical Bayesian SaeME method gives a smaller the EMSE value than the other two methods when auxiliary information is measured with error.
SMALL AREA ESTIMATION WITH HIERARCHICAL BAYES FOR CROSS-SECTIONAL AND TIME SERIES SKEWED DATA Yuniarty, Titin; Indahwati, Indahwati; Wigena, Aji Hamim
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 1 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss1pp0493-0506

Abstract

Small Area Estimation (SAE) is a method based on modeling for estimating small area parameters, that applies Linear Mixed Model (LMM) as its basic. It is conventionally solved with Empirical Best Linear Unbiased Prediction (EBLUP). The main requirement for LMM to produce high precision estimates is normally distributed. The observation unit is food crop farmer households from Sulawesi Tenggara Province to estimate food and non-food per capita expenditure at the district/city level using SAE that has been positively skewed. Applying EBLUP for positively skewed data will result less accurate estimates. Meanwhile, transformation will be potentially result biased estimates. Therefore, the problem of skewed data and small area level in this research was completed by Hierarchical Bayes (HB) on combination cross-sectional and time series under skew-normal distribution assumption. The results obtained were skew-normal SAE HB model was significantly reducing Relative Root Mean Squared Error (RRMSE) than the direct estimation. It indicates that SAE modeling is able to provide a shrinkage effect on the direct estimation results. But, there is slightly different interpretating between direct estimation and skew-normal SAE HB. It is possible because the modeling used assumption that the autocorrelation coefficient is equal to 1 or known as the random walk effect. However, in reality, Susenas is not a panel data, so unit of observation for each time period may be different. Therefore, further research should be compared it with the skew-normal or another skewed distribution that assumes the autocorrelation coefficient is unknown and should be estimated in the model.
TWOFOLD SUBAREA MODEL FOR ESTIMATING COMMUTER PROPORTION IN 10 METROPOLITAN AREAS Amin, Yudi Fathul; Indahwati, Indahwati; Kurnia, Anang
BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Vol 18 No 2 (2024): BAREKENG: Journal of Mathematics and Its Application
Publisher : PATTIMURA UNIVERSITY

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.30598/barekengvol18iss2pp1009-1022

Abstract

The metropolitan area is a major contributor to national GDP. The metropolitan area is a center of attraction for many people who come to earn income as commuters. Commuters are people who carry out work activities in the center of the metropolitan area, which are carried out by residents who live in suburban areas around the center of the metropolitan area and commute regularly every day. The availability of commuter statistics from surveys for presentation level down to the smallest administrative level, such as regencies/municipalities, is unreliable. This happens because this level of presentation has poor precision due to insufficient samples due to the Statistics Indonesia survey design for making estimates at the national and provincial levels. It can be done using small area estimation (SAE) to meet increasing data needs, but existing SAE models can often estimate only at one level. To meet data requests more effectively, a model is needed that can estimate several small areas simultaneously. In SAE, one of the SAE models that can do this is the twofold subarea model. The twofold subarea model produces estimates of the proportion of commuters with good precision at the subarea level (regencies/municipalities) and area level (metropolitan area), with the RRMSE percentage value of the estimated proportion of commuters being below 25% for all regions. The results of this research can be used to present commuter data at the regencies/municipalities level and metropolitan area level where there is a lack of samples and become a new opportunity for Statistics Indonesia to increase statistical production in small areas, which is more effective compared to other SAE methods which have so far been used only to estimate one area level.
The Impacts of Knowledge, Attitudes, and Actions on the Implementation of Biosecurity in the Management of Foot and Mouth Disease in Kuta Baro Subdistrict, Aceh Besar Regency Rasyid, Baharun; Karunia, Nia; Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar; Indahwati, Indahwati; Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul; Hasanah, Lailatul
Jurnal Peternakan Vol 22, No 2 (2025): September 2025
Publisher : State Islamic University of Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.24014/jupet.v22i2.36826

Abstract

.  Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) is an animal disease caused by a virus from the Picornaviridae family with the genus Aphthovirus. This study aimed to assess the extent of knowledge, attitudes, and actions of cattle farmers in Kuta Baro Subdistrict, Aceh Besar District, in implementing biosecurity on their farms to prevent FMD. The sample used was 45 cattle farmers in four villages in Kuta Baro Subdistrict, Aceh Besar District, namely Cut Preh, Cut Beut, Lam Seunong, and Ujong Blang. This study used a questionnaire instrument and the data were analyzed using binary logistic regression analysis. The statistics exhibited that the percentages of farmers with poor knowledge, attitude, and action were 71.1%, 66.7%, and 68.9%, respectively. Furthermore, the results of the analysis revealed that there was a significant relationship between the attitudes and actions of farmers towards the infection of FMD virus in livestock. Meanwhile, the farmer’s knowledge did not have a significant role in handling FMD. The odds ratio showed that the odds of FMD cases decrease 0.593 times if there is an increase in farmers' attitudes towards biosecurity, and the odds of FMD cases decrease 0.666 times if there is an increase in farmers' actions towards biosecurity. The accuracy of this model reached 68.9%. Enhancements in farmers’ knowledge, attitudes, and actions towards implementing biosecurity have the potential to reduce the incidence of Foot and Mouth Disease (FMD) in livestock.
National Milk Production Dynamics: Interactions Among Dairy Cattle Population, Milk Imports and Exports in Indonesia 2020–2024 Kefi Amtiran, Chandraone Putra; Alahmad, Ali Omar; Notodiputro, Khairil Anwar; Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul; Indahwati, Indahwati
JURNAL ILMIAH PETERNAKAN TERPADU Vol. 13 No. 3 (2025)
Publisher : DEPARTMENT OF ANIMAL HUSBANDRY, FACULTY OF AGRICULTURE, UNIVERSITY OF LAMPUNG

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.23960/jipt.v13i3.p789-801

Abstract

The dairy cattle sub-sector plays a vital role in fulfilling the national demand for animal protein; however, domestic milk production has yet to meet the increasing demand. This study analyzes the impact of dairy cattle population, as well as milk import and export, on milk production in Indonesia from 2020 to 2024. Panel data from various provinces were analyzed using a fixed effects model to identify significant variables. Results indicate that the dairy cattle population has a positive and significant effect on national milk production, with variations across island regions. Conversely, milk import and export showed no significant impact on domestic production. These findings emphasize the importance of region-based development strategies, increasing dairy cattle productivity, and implementing appropriate import protection and substitution policies to enhance national milk production self-sufficiency. This study is expected to provide a basis for policymaking and strategic interventions aimed at sustainable development of the dairy industry.
The Influence of Women’s Empowerment on The Preference for Contraceptive Methods in Indonesia: A Multinomial Logistic Regression Modelling Fulazzaky, Tahira; Indahwati, Indahwati; Fitrianto , Anwar; Erfiani, Erfiani; Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul
JURNAL INFO KESEHATAN Vol 22 No 3 (2024): JURNAL INFO KESEHATAN
Publisher : Research and Community Service Unit, Poltekkes Kemenkes Kupang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31965/infokes.Vol22.Iss3.1213

Abstract

The concept of women's empowerment encompasses enabling women to take control of their own lives, independently make choices, and fulfill their complete capabilities. Numerous research studies examined the correlation between the empowerment of women and their reproductive health. In Indonesia, female labor force participation is relatively low. As a result, research on the influence of empowering women on contraceptive method preference in Indonesia makes sense. This research aims to find the multinomial logistic regression model in choosing contraceptive methods for married women in Indonesia and to identify the women’s empowerment traits that most impact contraceptive method choice.  For this study, the researchers utilized secondary data obtained from the 2017 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS). The participants consisted of women between the ages of 15 and 49 who were married. The total number of respondents sampled was 49,216. Variables that significantly affect contraceptive method use include the respondent's current employment, the respondent has bank account or other financial institution accounts, the cumulative count of offspring previously born and beating justified if the wife argues with her husband. The analysis is obtained using the multinomial logistic regression test, independency, multicollinearity, and parameter test, and the selection is made by considering either the smallest value of Akaike's information criterion or the option that achieves the highest level of accuracy. Findings highlight four significant variables: Firstly, employed women are more likely to use contraceptives than the unemployed. Secondly, access to banking services correlates with a higher likelihood of contraceptive use. Thirdly, women with more children tend to prefer long-acting reversible contraceptives. Lastly, endorsement of spousal violence justifiability is linked to conventional contraceptive selection. These results emphasize the roles of employment, financial access, family size, and gender-based violence perceptions in shaping contraceptive choices in Indonesia. Model 3 emerges as the most accurate predictor of preferences after eliminating six variables based on rigorous testing and multicollinearity considerations. These findings underscore the importance of addressing economic empowerment and gender-related issues in Indonesian reproductive health programs and policies. Such a comprehensive approach can enhance women's autonomy, enabling them to make crucial life choices and ultimately improving their overall well-being.         
The Effect of Profitability, Liquidity, and Leverage on Financial Distress with Company Size as a Moderating Variable in Infrastructure, Utility, and Transportation Companies Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2019 to 2023 Kristorio, Kevin; Wany, Eva; Indahwati, Indahwati
Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains Vol. 6 No. 3 (2025): Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains
Publisher : CV. Publikasi Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59141/jiss.v6i3.1589

Abstract

Financial distress is a critical issue affecting companies, particularly in the infrastructure, utility, and transportation sectors, which require substantial capital investment. Various factors, including profitability, liquidity, and leverage, influence financial distress, while company size may play a moderating role. Understanding these factors is crucial for corporate decision-makers and investors to mitigate risks and enhance financial stability. This reseach aims to analyze the effect of profitability, liquidity, and leverage on financial distress, with company size as a moderating variable in infrastructure, utility, and transportation firms listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) from 2019 to 2023. The research adopts a quantitative approach, utilizing secondary data obtained from audited financial statements of 30 selected companies over five years (2019–2023), resulting in 150 observations. The study employs SmartPLS version 4 for data analysis, including descriptive statistical tests, measurement model evaluations, and hypothesis testing through bootstrapping. The findings reveal that profitability and liquidity have a significant positive effect on financial distress, while leverage has a significant negative effect. Furthermore, company size moderates the relationship between liquidity and financial distress but does not moderate the effects of profitability and leverage on financial distress. The research concludes that effective financial management, particularly in maintaining profitability and liquidity, is essential in reducing financial distress. Additionally, company size plays a critical role in strengthening liquidity's impact on financial distress. These findings provide theoretical contributions to financial literature and practical implications for corporate financial management and investment decision-making.
Performance of LAD-LASSO and WLAD-LASSO on High Dimensional Regression in Handling Data Containing Outliers Cahya, Septa Dwi; Sartono, Bagus; Indahwati, Indahwati; Purnaningrum, Evita
JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Vol 6, No 4 (2022): October
Publisher : Universitas Muhammadiyah Mataram

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31764/jtam.v6i4.8968

Abstract

In several research areas, it is common to have a dataset with more explanatory variables than the number of observations, called high-dimensional data. This condition can lead to multicollinearity problem. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) solves the problem by shrinking the estimated coefficient to zero so that it can simultaneously carry on the variable selection and the parameter estimation.  But LASSO performs poorly when the data contains some outliers in the response or explanatory variables. Robust methods have addressed this problem based on the least-absolute-deviation approach, such as LAD-LASSO and WLAD-LASSO. This current research aims to evaluate the performance of the LAD-LASSO and WLAD-LASSO methods on high-dimensional and low-dimensional data containing outliers. To evaluate the performance of these methods, the simulation study was conducted. The simulation study used three scenarios (without outliers, outliers on the response variable (5%, 10%, 15%), outliers both on the response and explanatory variables (5%, 10%, 15%)). We also used the Minimum Regularized Covariance Determinant (MRCD) estimator in calculating the weights on the WLAD-LASSO. The best method from this simulation then will be applied to sembung leaf extract data to identify antioxidant marker compounds in sembung leaf extract. The simulation results show that LAD-LASSO tends to be very tight in selecting, while LASSO tends to be too loose.  Meanwhile, WLAD-LASSO is in the middle of those two techniques and performs the best in identifying the important variables correctly. Even the existence of weights cause WLAD-LASSO more robust against the presence of outliers in the response and explanatory variables compared to LAD-LASSO. Furthermore, performance of these methods on high-dimensional data decrease compared to low-dimensional data. The performance of these methods also tends to decrease when the rate of outlier increases. The WLAD-LASSO was then implemented in actual data to find the compound of antioxidant markers in the sembung leaf extract. The compounds/formulas obtained are Umbelliferone, 12-Hydroxyjasmonic Acid, C22H14N8O2, and Acetyleugenol (with a prediction error is 0.133050). These compounds/formulas can be developed as natural antioxidants and have the potential to be developed as medicinal ingredients.
Co-Authors A. A., Muftih Aditya Ramadhan Afendi , Farit Mochamad Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustini , Ni Ketut Yulia Agustini, Ni Ketut Yulia Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Alahmad, Ali Omar Aliu, Mufthi Alwi ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amelia, Reni Amin, Yudi Fathul Anang Kurnia Anik Djuraidah Antonius Benny Setyawan Ari Handayani Arie Anggreyani Aristawidya, Rafika Assyifa Lala Pratiwi Hamid Aunuddin . Bagus Sartono Budi Susetyo Cahya, Septa Dwi Cahyani Oktarina Chrisinta, Debora Daswati, Oktaviyani Dea Fisyahri Akhilah Putri Dian Kusumaningrum Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Etis Sunandi Eva Wany, Eva Farit Mochamad Afendi Farit Mohamad Afendi Fatimah Fatimah Fira Nurahmah Al Aminy Fitrianto, Anwar Fulazzaky, Tahira Ghina Fauziah Hanifa Izzati Hari Wijayanto Harismahyanti A., Andi Hasanah, Lailatul I Gusti Putu Purnaba I Made Sumertajaya Iin Maena Indah, Yunna Mentari Irawan Irawan Jaya, Eddy Santosa Julianti, Elisa D Kamil, Farid Ikram Karunia, Nia Kefi Amtiran, Chandraone Putra Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Khikmah, Khusnia Nurul Kholidiah, Kholidiah Khusnia Nurul Khikmah Kristorio, Kevin Kusman Sadik Latifah, Leli Lestari, Nila Lili Puspita Rahayu Miranti, Ita Miranti, Ita Mohammad Masjkur Mualifah, Laily Nissa Mualifah, Laily Nissa Atul Muhammad Nur Aidi Naima Rakhsyanda Narindria, Yasmin Nadhiva Nurul Fadhilah Panjaitan, Intan Juliana Puput Cahya Ambarwati Purnaningrum, Evita Putra, Stefanus Morgan Setyadi Perdana Putri, Christiana Anggraeni Ramdani, Indri Rasyid, Baharun Ray Sastri Regan, Regan Reni Amelia Reni Amelia Reza, Charolina Therezia Rifki Hamdani Rindy Anggun Pertiwi Salvina Salvina Silmi Annisa Rizki Manaf Siti Hafsah Siwi Haryu Pramesti Tina Aris Perhati Titin Agustina Titin Suhartini Titin Suhartini, Titin Utami Dyah Syafitri Vera Maya Santi Vitona, Desi Wahyudi Setyo Yenni Angraini Yuniarty, Titin Zulkarnain, Rizky _ Aunuddin