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Jurusan Manajemen Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Tadulako
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Dynamics of Macroeconomic Variables on Syariah Stock Returns in Asean Region: ARDL Analysis R., Abdul Azis; Kasim, Muhammad Yunus; Dwijaya, I Kadek Belyoni; Andriani, Nini; Utami, Ayu Putri
Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 11 No. 1 (2026): March 2026
Publisher : Universitas Dian Nuswantoro Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33633/jpeb.v11i1.12461

Abstract

This study investigates the temporal impact of macroeconomic indicators specifically inflation, GDP growth, and foreign exchange reserves on Islamic stock returns within the ASEAN region, focusing on both short-term and long-term effects. Employing a quantitative approach with a causal design, the research utilizes the ARDL Panel model to analyze quarterly data from Sharia stock indices in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Singapore spanning 2014 to 2023. The findings indicate that inflation negatively affects Islamic stock returns in the long term, while its short-term impact is minimal. In contrast, economic growth is found to enhance Islamic stock returns in both timeframes. Regarding foreign exchange reserves, the analysis reveals a negative long-term effect but a positive short-term effect. These conclusions highlight the importance for investors and regulators to consider macroeconomic dynamics when developing investment strategies
Co-Authors Abdullah, Muhammad Ikbal Alfret Kristanto Dewanto Ananda, Mutiara Dea Asngadi Asngadi Asriadi Asriadi Asrini Aswar Aswar BIDIN, CICI RIYANTI K Carissa Bella Yonatan Cici Rianty K. Bidin Cici Riyanti K Bidin Darman Darman Dedy Septiady Dwijaya, I Kadek Belyoni Dwiwijaya, Kadek Agus Fahry Budianto Feby Ashary Fera , F. Fera, Fera Gusstiawan Raimanu Haisi, Rosmida Handayani, Naniek Harsita, Julianda Megah Hesti Evrianti Husna Husna Husnah Husnah Husnah Husnah i kadek bellyoni dwijaya Islianty, Nur Riski Juliana Kadang Kurniati, Deby Novita Manginda, Firma Marwah, Siti Marwiah, Siti Media Gramini Moh, Husnah Moh. Ali Murad Moh. Ma’ruf MY Tunggeng Mohammad Ega Nugraha Muhammad Akbar Muhammad Nurochman Muhammad Riswandi Palawa Munawarah Munawarah, Munawarah MUSLIMAH, LATIFAH Muslimin MUSLIMIN Muslimin Muslimin Muslimin Muslimin Muzakir Muzakir Nelsa Nelsa Nini Andriani Nugraha, Mohamad Ega Nurasyimah Usman NURDIN, DJAYANI Pricylia Chintya Dewi Buntuang R. Nalole, Utami Parfitasari R., Abdul Azis Rauly Simatupang, Chezia Ridwan, Ridwan Rizkiani Iskandar Saparman Saparman sari, Jeni ninsi Sarif, Sarman Sri Rahayu Ramadhani Surayya SURAYYA Susanti, Nuraidah Puput Suwedy Aziz Suwedy, Suwedy Syamsiar, Syamsiar Trimustikapuri, Trimustikapuri Utami, Ayu Putri Vitayanti Fattah Yani Lestari Z, Fatlina Zainuddin, Fatilina Zainudin, Fatlina Zakiyah Zahara