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All Journal Jurnal Edukasi dan Penelitian Informatika (JEPIN) Bioeksperimen: Jurnal Penelitian Biologi Khazanah Informatika: Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Informatika DE LEGA LATA: Jurnal Ilmu Hukum Journal of Information Systems and Informatics Al-Manhaj: Jurnal Hukum dan Pranata Sosial Islam Brahmana : Jurnal Penerapan Kecerdasan Buatan Jurasik (Jurnal Riset Sistem Informasi dan Teknik Informatika) Sehat Masada Jurnal Pendidikan dan Teknologi Indonesia Journal of English Language and Education Journal Of Human And Education (JAHE) Prosiding SNPBS (Seminar Nasional Pendidikan Biologi dan Saintek) Haga: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Jurnal Abdimastek (Pengabdian Masyarakat Berbasis Teknologi) Jurnal Komunikasi Indonesia JURNAL ILMIAH WAHANA LAUT LESTARI (JIWaLL) Bali International Scientific Forum Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat (Abdimas) Universitas Baturaja
Chandra Kirana
MAN Pamekasan Madura
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Energy Engineering Environmental Science Health Professions Immunology & microbiology Industrial & Manufacturing Engineering Languange, Linguistic, Communication & Media Law, Crime, Criminology & Criminal Justice Library & Information Science Mathematics Medicine & Pharmacology Neuroscience Nursing Public Health Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Journal of Information Systems and Informatics

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Expert System for Early Childhood Talent Detection Using Certainty Factor and Dempster Shafer Algorithms Supardi, Supardi; Kirana, Chandra; Ferdian, Ferdian
Journal of Information System and Informatics Vol 7 No 3 (2025): September
Publisher : Universitas Bina Darma

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.51519/journalisi.v7i3.1283

Abstract

Early life is a crucial window for recognizing children’s interests and talents that shape later development. This study implements and compares two reasoning algorithms—Certainty Factor (CF) and Dempster–Shafer Theory (DST)—within a rule-based expert system designed to determine early-childhood interests and talents. Observable “symptoms” (behavior, preferences, and responses to stimuli) are mapped to potential talents, including linguistic, musical, logical-mathematical, and kinesthetic intelligences. The CF module computes confidence values from expert-assigned belief weights, yielding a single interpretable score per talent; the DST module aggregates evidence while explicitly representing uncertainty through basic probability assignments over the frame of discernment. We evaluate both methods in the deployed application with respect to accuracy, decision consistency, and response speed. Results show that, for the representative trait set aligning with linguistic indicators, CF produced the highest agreement with expert judgment 84% confidence while DST assigned 65% mass to the same singleton hypothesis, reserving the remainder for competing hypotheses and ignorance. These findings indicate that CF offers a more decisive signal under congruent evidence, whereas DST contributes caution by quantifying residual uncertainty. Together, the dual approach supports transparent and scalable screening of early talents, enabling caregivers and educators to act when support is strong and seek additional observations when uncertainty persists.
Co-Authors AA Sudharmawan, AA Adinia, Nissa Cita Adiwinoto, Bambang Alawi, Muhammad Ridwan Amanda, Reffi Amin Yusuf Anisah ANISAH Anisah, A Ari Amir Alkodri ary yunanto Asmidar Asmidar Danial - Darusatul, Maudi Delpiah Wahyuningsih Edi Sugianto ellya helmud, ellya Endang Suarsini Ensa, Hasyafira Ferdian, Ferdian Fitriyani Fitriyani Fitriyani Fitriyani, F Handayani Solihin, Asri Handayani, Sri Hanifah, Siti Nur Irawadi, Syafrul Irawan, Devi Isnanto, Burham Juliartha, Evie Farida Kiswanto Kiswanto M Ikhsan Melati Suci Mayasari, Melati Suci Nurazizah, Siti Perkasa, Eza Budi Pratama, Hafish Mairendra Rachmatsyah, Agus Dendi Romadiana, Parlia Salsabillah, Soraya Suharyono Suharyono Supardi Supardi Supardi Supardi, S Susilawati, Enung Utami Sri Hastuti Wahdaniyah, Risti Wiwik Handayani Yanuarti, Elly Yayandi, Muhamad Yuranda, Rezky Yurindra, Y Yusnaini Yusnaini Zein, Ratu Marsya Chaerunissa