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Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model Zuhdi, Fadhlan; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi; Rambe, Khoiru Rizqy
Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Vol. 12 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Faculty of Economic and Business, Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456

Abstract

Colombian coffee exports influence Indonesian coffee exports in the short term, so this study aims to forecast the export volume of Indonesian and Colombian coffee in the future. The study used time-series data from 2001 to 2021, further analyzed using the ARIMA model. Based on the projection, Indonesian coffee export is projected to increase with an average value of 1.14 percent and a potential increase of 1.79 percent. However, this result still needed to reach the desired value since the projected coffee export of Indonesia in 2025 only reached 429 172 tons, or lower than the export quantity of Colombian coffee in 2011. This finding indicated that Indonesian coffee export tended to increase stagnantly and was considered low compared to the increasing export of Colombian coffee.JEL Classification: C22, C53, E37, F17, Q13How to Cite:Zuhdi, F., Maulana A. S., & Rambe, K. R. (2023). Forecasting Export Volume of Indonesian and Colombian Coffee in the World Market using ARIMA Model. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi, 12(1), 57-68. https://doi.org/10.15408/sjie.v12i1.25456.
Komoditi Unggulan Buah-Buahan Perbatasan Indonesia Timor Leste Kabupaten Timor Tengah Utara (Studi Kasus Desa Eban) Sipayung, Boanerges Putra; Taena, Werenfridus; Joka, Umbu; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi
Agriprimatech Vol. 5 No. 1 (2022): Agriprimatech
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Fakultas Agro Teknologi Universitas Prima Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34012/agriprimatech.v5i2.2527

Abstract

Horticultural commodities, especially fruits, can be a source of increasing income for farmers in West Miomaffo District. This study aims to determine the main commodity of fruit in Eban Village, West Miomaffo District. The implementation of this research is from June to September 2021. The number of samples of this research is 20. The method used in this research is descriptive quantitative analysis with the Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ) and Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) methods. The results showed that the potential fruit commodities in Eban Village were oranges, mangoes, avocados, and jackfruit. Oranges are the most superior fruit commodity in Eban Village with a weight value of 45.0%.
DAYA SAING EKSPOR PRODUK OLAHAN KAKAO INDONESIA DI NEGARA MALAYSIA PADA MASA PANDEMI COVID-19 Seran, Ermina Anita; Taena, Werenfridus; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi; Sipayung, Boanerges Putra
Agriprimatech Vol. 6 No. 2 (2023): Agriprimatech
Publisher : Prodi Agribisnis Fakultas Agro Teknologi Universitas Prima Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.34012/agriprimatech.v7i1.4182

Abstract

Processed cocoa products were a source of foreign exchange for Indonesia both before the COVID-19 pandemic and during the pandemic. Malaysia is a neighboring country and Indonesia's strategic trading partner in cocoa and processed exports. This study analyzes export competitiveness and competitiveness factors of Indonesian processed cocoa products in Malaysia. This study uses annual time series data from 2005-2022. This research method uses descriptive quantitative analysis and gravity model analysis. The research results show that there has been a decline in the competitiveness of Indonesian processed cocoa products in Malaysia. The competitiveness of cocoa paste decreased by more than 50%. Domestic cocoa production, Malaysian GDP, and Indonesian GDP influence the value of Indonesian cocoa butter exports in Malaysia. Cocoa butter has shown an increase in export value during the Covid-19 pandemic. Malaysia's GDP and the COVID-19 pandemic have influenced the value of Indonesian cocoa paste exports to Malaysia. Cocoa paste has competitiveness both comparatively and competitively in the Malaysian market.
Penerapan Pekarangan Pangan Lestari Melalui Vertikultur Pada KWT Sejati Kelurahan Aplasi, Nusa Tenggara Timur Tobing*, Wilda Lumban; Naisali, Hyldegardis; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi; Sipayung, Boanerges Putra; Kia, Kristoforus Wilson; Bria, Deseriana; Silla, Misail Epainetus; Talan, Veronika Sofia Jaquelin
Dinamisia : Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 8 No. 1 (2024): Dinamisia: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Lancang Kuning

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31849/dinamisia.v8i1.16492

Abstract

Fulfillment of food can be done through the implementation of Sustainable Food Yards. KWT Sejati has difficulty providing food throughout the year. The yard owned is not productive because it has dry land biophysics with a dry climate. This condition is also a factor that influences people's food status (food insecurity). Management of dry land as agricultural land requires the adoption of technology. Verticulture technology can be used as an alternative to meet food needs in Karing. This activity aims to apply P2L to KWT Sejati through verticulture as a technology for cultivating vegetables on dry land. The method for implementing this activity is counseling and demonstration using a learning by doing system. The results of this activity provide many benefits to KWT Sejati, including: ease in managing dry land as agricultural land, being able to engineer planting media to improve soil quality, and producing higher production and income compared to using a raised bed system, and has the potential to overcome food insecurity conditions
Characteristics of farmers and marketing strategies of citrus fruits west miomaffo district Bria, Lambertus Nesi; Bai, Maria Xaveria; Soi, Maria Nelde; Sipayung, Boanerges Putra; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi
Agriekonomika Vol 13, No 1: April 2024
Publisher : Department of Agribusiness, Faculty of Agriculture, Universitas Trunojoyo Madura, Indonesi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.21107/agriekonomika.v13i1.22581

Abstract

The main obstacles in citrus fruit farming in West Miomaffo District are education, farmer experience, age, marketing aspects are factors in the problem of decreasing production and farmer income. The purpose of the study is a marketing strategy for citrus fruits through a characteristic approach of farmers. Data collection in the form of primary, secondary data and FGD methods. The analysis was carried out in a qualitative descriptive manner. The results showed (1) the characteristics of male farmers had a percentage of 56%, age 35%, family dependents 59%, elementary school education level of 60%, farming experience of 34%, and land area of 56%. (2) citrus fruit marketing strategies; 1) products consist of, product range, quality, and size; 2) price; price lists, discounts, payment periods and immediate terms; 3) promotions; sales promotion, public relations, and direct marketing; 4) premises; channels, coverage, location, and transportation. The conclusion of the research is that by increasing farmer education and expanding land area, it can improve quality, size, price, expand marketing channels and have a wider scope of marketing locations.
Fiscal Decentralization and Farmer Empowerment in Indonesia-Timor Leste Border: A Case Study of Village Fund Sipayung, Boanerges Putra; Joka, Umbu; Maulana, Achmad Subchiandi; Onuigbo, Dennis Mark
Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture Vol 38, No 2 (2023): October
Publisher : Universitas Sebelas Maret

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20961/carakatani.v38i2.67578

Abstract

Farmers in the border areas often face challenges due to a lack of facilities and sufficient infrastructure. As a nation that shares borders with several countries, the Indonesian government aims to facilitate economic growth in these areas. One viable approach to achieve this objective is through the effective allocation of village funds. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the factors influencing the empowerment of farmers in the Indonesia-Timor Leste border using village funds. Data were collected using a survey method from 325 household heads, who served as respondents. The collected data were analyzed using the Structure Equation Model-Partial Least Square (SEM-PLS). The results showed that human, social and physical capital owned by farmers on the Indonesia-Timor Leste border had an indirect effect on the strength of empowerment programs funded through village funds. This indicated that apart from implementing policies, the community must also be involved in the planning and implementation of various programs. Furthermore, the central or regional government must play an active role during the designing stages as well as involve farmers and experts in the empowerment process in the Indonesia-Timor Leste border areas.