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ANALISIS PENGARUH INDEKS HARGA SAHAM DI BURSA GLOBAL TERHADAP INDEKS HARGA SAHAM GABUNGAN DI BEI Ruth Christa; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 8 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This research aims to analyze the effect of the global stock price index against IDX Composite Index as well as to determine the proportion of the global stock price index influence either simultaneously or partially. The global stock price index that is used consists of five indices, namely the Dow Jones Industrial Average (USA), FTSE 100 (UK), Nikkei 225 (Japan), Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (China), and the Hang Seng Index (Hong Kong). The data used are secondary data, which include the fluctuation of Composite Stock Price Index at BEI and the global stock price index for 48 months ( January 2008-December 2011). The analysis model used in this research is Path Analysis. Based on this research during the period January 2008-December 2011 the global stock price index has a significant simultaneous effect on IDX Composite Stock Price Index. Partially out of five global stock price index that is used there are three that have a significant influence, namely Dow Jones Industrial Average (49.7143%), Nikkei 225 (0.9308%) and Hang Seng (38.2936%).Keywords: Dow Jones Industrial Average Index, FTSE 100 Index, Nikkei 225 Index, Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index, Hang Seng Index, and IDX Composite Stock Price Index.
MEKANISME TRANSMISI KEBIJAKAN MONETER MELALUI SUKU BUNGA SBI SEBAGAI SASARAN OPERASIONAL KEBIJAKAN MONETER DAN VARIABEL MAKROEKONOMI INDONESIA Saida Hasibuan; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 1, No 12 (2013)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

The problems of this study was to analyze the effect of the Money Supply,Exchange Rate and Consumer Price Index to GDP. Analyze the effect of SBI, Import Price Index and the Consumer Price Index GDP. Data analysis using Vector Autoregression (VAR), impluse Response Function (IRF) and Two - Stage Least Squares (TSLS). The data used in this study is secondary data in the form of time series began in 2000: 1 – 2012:12. The result of the analysis  concluded that the monetary policy transmission mechanism through SBI Indonesia can be seen from the structural equation GDP and CPI. Where SBI has a negative impact on the Consumer Price Index. These results suggest thatthe monetary policy variables SBI, Foreign Exchange and Money Supplyinteract with macroeconomic variables, namely GDP, Import Price Index and the Consumer Price Index. With the support of the estimation equations gross domestic product of 88.9 percent, while the estimation equation Consumer Price Index was 52.3 percent. Keywords: Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism Through SBI Indonesia with Macroeconomic Variables.
ANALISIS PERAMALAN HARGA SAHAM DALAM KEPUTUSAN INVESTASI PADA PERUSAHAAN PERKEBUNAN DI PT BURSA EFEK INDONESIA Fauziah Fauziah; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This study aims to perform the movement Projected of emiten stocks AALI, GZCO, JAVA, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP and Provides an overview to the investor in making an investment decision on the plantation company in Indonesia Stock Exchange.The data used in this study is a secondary data taken from the Indonesia Stock Exchange which consists of the go public Plantation stocks data from 20 September 2011 to 20 August 2013. The method used is the method of ARIMA with Minitab 16.The results of this study can be concluded that the movement of the stock price forecasting for plantations in Indonesia Stock Exchange is general tend to decrease. technically, it is to take the advantage of short- term momentum , buy on weakness for AALI and JAVA ascending trend, whereas for stock GZCO, LSIP, SGRO, SIMP, SMAR, TBLA, and UNSP the declining trend can take steps to sell. The decline in stock prices caused by lower demand for palm oil due to the global economic crisis.
ANALISA PERMINTAAN AIR MINUM ISI ULANG REVERSE OSMOSIS (RO) DI KOTA MEDAN Ragyl Arieyanto; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Ekonomi dan Keuangan Vol 2, No 1 (2014)
Publisher : Departemen Ekonomi Pembangunan USU

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Abstract

This study aims to determine the that influence consumer demand to buy refill drinking water RO types based on price , quality, place / location, and promosi.Untuk determine the most dominant factor affecting the consumer demand to buy RO water refill in the city of Belawan.The data war obtained from a sample of 50 customers buyers RO water refill. Tests using five indicators of factors of production, factor price, location , promotion sales and purchase interest. The research method used is descriptive analysis, statistical analysis and statistical analysis of F test The F in F table is 2.706> 2.61. At α = 5%Based on the results the, regression test results obtained by the value of the product is positive at 0.382, the value is positive rates of 0.206, where the value is positive at 0.356 and is positive promotional value of 0.056, which means that the most dominant factor in influencing consumer purchasing water content RO water is particularly re-factor of the product. So as to increase sales entrepreneurs drinking water should always keep that produced water production and also promotion again.Keywords: Factors of production, price, and production
Constitutional Rules on Waqf and Fiscal Policy Outcomes Abdul Ghafar Ismail; Wahyu Ario Pratomo
Sriwijaya Law Review Volume 5 Issue 2, July 2021
Publisher : Faculty of Law, Sriwijaya University, Indonesia

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.28946/slrev.Vol5.Iss2.1169.pp262-272

Abstract

Fiscal policy, inter alia, looks at the list of government revenues. The constitutional rules provide guidance on the list of revenues. However, the previous studies find that waqf is not considered as part of government revenues. In this study, we argue that waqf brings in a new list of government revenues. To prove this point, we select a sample of fifty-seven countries under the Organization of Islamic Countries. The constitution of each country is investigated by using content analysis. The study uses a combination of several keywords, namely “tax or taxes or fiscal obligations,” “revenues or budget or finance” and “waqf” in investigating the rules on revenues and waqf. The findings in this study are classified into five kinds of countries, namely countries that highlight government revenue and waqf in the constitution, countries that claim to recognize sharia law as the basis of the law but the waqf rules in the constitution are missing, countries that mention in their constitution that government revenues are placed under the government system, financial system, and parliament, countries that place waqf is ruled under the public finance matter, and countries that place waqf as the main policy. This finding implies that the constitutional rules lead to the view that waqf is a part of public finance that can be used as a fiscal policy tool and should be included in the state budget plan.
DETERMINANTS OF POVERTY LEVELS IN MEDAN CITY IN 1998-2021: ERROR CORRECTION MODEL APPROACH Ramadhan Devan Pratama; Adithiya Rahman Atmaja; Sirojuzilam Hasyim; Irsad; Muhammad Syafii; Wahyu Ario Pratomo; Tetty Yuliaty
Jurnal Ekonomi Vol. 11 No. 03 (2022): Jurnal Ekonomi, 2022 Periode Desember
Publisher : SEAN Institute

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Abstract

This research examines the connection between economic growth, education level, government expenditure, and open unemployment in Medan City. This research utilized annual time series data for Medan from 1998 to 2021. This research analysis method employs ECM (Error Correction Model) to comprehend the impact of long-term and short-term predictions processed by Eviews 9 software. According to the research findings, long-term and short-term projections of economic growth, education level, and accessible unemployment have a significant negative impact on poverty levels in the city of Medan. On the other hand, long-term and short-term government spending positively impact the poverty level in Medan City, although the effect is not significant. Based on the result of this research, the Medan City Government should enhance its oversight of the government's budget allocation in the context of reducing poverty in the city of Medan. In addition, the Medan City Government should concentrate its efforts on providing employment opportunities and utilizing competency-based certification and training to decrease unemployment, thereby contributing to reducing poverty in Medan City.
The Impact of QRIS Policy on the Development of Micro Businesses in Medan City, Indonesia Arif Rahman; Rahman, Arif; Hakim, Sukma Hayati; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Journal of Economics, Business, and Accountancy Ventura Vol. 26 No. 3 (2023): December 2023 - March 2024
Publisher : Universitas Hayam Wuruk Perbanas

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14414/jebav.v26i3.3585

Abstract

This study analyzes the impact of the QRIS policy in the early stages of implementation on financial performance and expansion of the market share of micro-businesses in Medan City. Financial performance is observed through changes in turnover and net profit; meanwhile, market share is determined based on changes in the number of new customers before and after the implementation of the QRIS policy. This study employs the Difference in Differences (DiD) method. The type of data used is primary data. Purposive and random sampling was utilized with 50 samples of micro businesses for the treatment group and 50 for the control group. The time difference was found between before and after the implementation of the QRIS policy. The results of this study show that the QRIS policy has a positive and significant effect on the increase in new consumers. On the other hand, the QRIS policy has no significant impact on the net profit and turnover of micro businesses. The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly and negatively impacted micro-enterprises, sharply declining revenue and net profit. However, based on the magnitude of the decline, the control group experienced a relatively greater turnover and net profit decline than the treatment group. The implication of this study is the need for efforts to increase micro-entrepreneurs understanding of the importance of faster adaptation to advances in digital technology, one of which is adjustments to a more flexible payment system so that consumers can get a wider choice of payment schemes. In addition, payment system authorities should address various obstacles in using the system and provide more massive socialization of the products offered.
The Influence of Efficiency on Interest Rate Loan in Indonesia Banking in regards to The Implementation of Expected Credit Losses Fauzie, Syarief; Soeparno, Wahyu Sugeng Imam; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Journal of Governance Risk Management Compliance and Sustainability Vol. 2 No. 1 (2022): April Volume
Publisher : Center for Risk Management & Sustainability and RSF Press

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (268.332 KB) | DOI: 10.31098/jgrcs.v2i1.910

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine the effect of efficiency on loan interest rates at banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange and their impact before and after the implementation of Expected Credit Losses in Indonesia. The analysis method of this research uses panel data regression with a random effect model to see the effect of efficiency on loan interest rates. The sample of this study uses 22 banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange where the source of research data is from the Bloomberg Finance Lab, Diponegoro University. Efficiency has more influence on loan interest rates before the implementation of expected credit losses than after the implementation. In determining loan interest rates, banks tend to prefer to use credit risk compared to efficiency by looking at the potential profit obtained from looking at the comparison of interbank loan interest rates. These results show that loan interest rates are not easily lowered as a consequence of monetary policy. The results of this study also show that expected credit loss can reduce loan interest rates so that banks are more likely to increase credit risk by increasing loan supply.
Analisis Permintaan Uang dan Penawaran Uang serta Implikasinya Terhadap Kebijakan Moneter Angin, Sutejo Perangin; Ruslan, Dede; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 16 No 1 (2025): JSEB
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jseb.v16i1.10811

Abstract

Bank Indonesia sets the main objectives of monetary policy to achieve stability in the value of the rupiah, maintain payment system stability, and maintain financial system stability, in order to support economic growth. The aim of this research is to analyze the influence of GDP on the demand for money, the influence of the BI-Rate on both the demand for money and the supply of money, as well as the influence of inflation, the exchange rate and the statutory reserve requirement (GWM) on the supply of money, and the implications for monetary policy. Research period 2010-2023. The data analysis method is the Two Stage Least Square (2SLS) simultaneous equation model. The results obtained are that GDP has a significant positive effect on the demand for money, BI-Rate has a significant negative effect on both the demand for money and the supply of money, inflation has a significant negative effect on the supply of money, and the exchange rate and GWM are proven to have a significant positive effect on the supply of money.
Analisis Inflation Targeting Framework (ITF) dan Perubahan Respon Kebijakan Moneter Pasaribu, Ayu Angelina; Pratomo, Wahyu Ario; Tanjung, Ahmad Albar
Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol 15 No 3 (2024): JSEB
Publisher : Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Samudra

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.33059/jseb.v15i3.10856

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine how the implementation of inflation targeting framework (ITF) and how the changes in monetary policy response. The data period starts from 2014 to 2023, with monthly data. The data analysis method used is a model of two interrelated simultaneous equations, called Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). The results of this study explain that the exogenous variables in the first equation of real interest rates, inflation, inflation gap, output gap have a positive and significant effect on the BI rate. Exogenous variables in the second equation, namely inflation target, BI rate, exchange rate, WTI world oil price have a positive and significant effect on inflation. However, the output gap has a negative and significant effect on inflation, and the money supply has no significant effect on inflation. The change in monetary policy response is seen from the increase or decrease of BI rate by 25 Basis points.