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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Media Statistika JURNAL MATEMATIKA STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Jurnal Gaussian Jurnal Berkala Ilmu Perpustakaan dan Informasi Jurnal Teknologi Informasi dan Ilmu Komputer Jurnal Edukasi dan Penelitian Informatika (JEPIN) Forum Geografi Jurnal RESTI (Rekayasa Sistem dan Teknologi Informasi) Knowledge Engineering and Data Science Informatika Pertanian BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) MIND (Multimedia Artificial Intelligent Networking Database) Journal JIPI (Jurnal Ilmiah Penelitian dan Pembelajaran Informatika) KEK (Kajian Ekonomi dan Keuangan) Jurnal Statistika dan Aplikasinya Journal of Soft Computing Exploration Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science Prosiding Seminar Nasional Official Statistics Jurnal Natural Xplore: Journal of Statistics Engagement: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Parameter: Jurnal Matematika, Statistika dan Terapannya Scientific Journal of Informatics Journal of Mathematics, Computation and Statistics (JMATHCOS) Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications
Agus Mohamad Soleh
Department Of Statistics, IPB University, Jl. Lingkar Akademik Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor 16680, Indonesia
Religion Agriculture, Biological Sciences & Forestry Arts Humanities Astronomy Biochemistry, Genetics & Molecular Biology Chemistry Computer Science & IT Control & Systems Engineering Decision Sciences, Operations Research & Management Earth & Planetary Sciences Economics, Econometrics & Finance Education Electrical & Electronics Engineering Energy Engineering Immunology & microbiology Library & Information Science Mathematics Mechanical Engineering Neuroscience Physics Social Sciences Transportation Other

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Journal : Jurnal Gaussian

 1 
OPTIMASI XGBOOST DALAM PREDIKSI KECEPATAN KENDARAAN SECARA REAL-TIME : PERBANDINGAN METODE TUNING HYPERPARAMETER Arifa, Panji Lokajaya; Sadik, Kusman; Soleh, Agus M; Suhaeni, Cici
Jurnal Gaussian Vol 15, No 1 (2026): Jurnal Gaussian
Publisher : Department of Statistics, Faculty of Science and Mathematics, Universitas Diponegoro

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.14710/j.gauss.15.1.01-11

Abstract

Real-time vehicle speed prediction plays a vital role in the development of intelligent transportation systems aimed at improving traffic flow and safety. This study investigates the performance of the XGBoost algorithm enhanced with three hyperparameter tuning techniques: Grid Search, Bayesian Optimization, and Genetic Algorithm. A simulated dataset was constructed reflect diverse urban traffic scenarios, incorporating environmental variables such as weather, road conditions, and traffic density. The models were assessed using 5 and 10-fold cross-validation based on prediction metrics (MSE, RMSE, MAE and R²) as well as computational efficiency in terms of training and inference time. The findings reveal that Bayesian Optimization achieves the highest prediction accuracy, while Grid Search offers the fastest training time. Genetic Algorithm demonstrates a balanced trade-off between accuracy and computational efficiency, making it a competitive and practical choice. These results highlight the importance of selecting hyperparameter tuning strategies based on specific system needs in real-time traffic prediction using XGBoost. 
Co-Authors Aam Alamudi Abd Rahman Afendi, Farit M Aji Hamim Wigena Alfa Nugraha Pradana Alfa Nugraha Pradana Anadra, Rahmi Anang Kurnia Andespa, Reyuli Andriansyah Andriansyah Andriansyah, . Anik Djuraidah Annisarahmi Nur Aini Aldania Ardhani, Rizky Arif Handoyo Marsuhandi Arifa, Panji Lokajaya Aris Yaman ASEP SAEFUDDIN Astari, Reka Agustia Baehera, Seta Bagus Sartono Belinda, Nadira Sri Budi Susetyo Butar-butar, Victor Pandapotan Cici Suhaeni Cintani, Meavi Dalimunthe, Amir Abduljabbar Daulay, Nurmai Syaroh Dede Dirgahayu Domiri Dede Dirgahayu Domiri Dede Dirgahayu Domiri, Dede Dirgahayu Deri Siswara Devi Andrian Dini Ramadhani Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani Etis Sunandi Farit Mochamad Afendi Fauzi, Asep Andri Fitrianto, Anwar Fulazzaky, Tahira Hamim Wigena, Aji Hari Wijayanto Hari Wijayanto Hasnataeni, Yunia Hengki Muradi Herlin Fransiska I Gusti Ngurah, Sentana Putra I Made Sumertajaya Indahwati Iqbal Hanif, Iqbal Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Kamila, Sabrina Adnin Karel Fauzan Hakim Karimah, Yumna Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Koesnandy H, Abialam Kusman Sadik Kusnaeni Kusnaeni, Kusnaeni Latifah K. Darusman Leni Anggraini Susanti Lisa Amelia Fransen Lutfiah Adisti, Tiara M. Yunus Mohamad Rafi Mubarak, Fadhlul Muchisha, Nadya Dwi Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Nuruddin Prathama Muhammad Yusran Muradi, Hengki Mutmainah, Zamrah Nisrina Az-Zahra, Putri Nofrida Elly Zendrato NURADILLA, SITI Nurhambali, M Rizky Nurizki, Anisa Pika Silvianti Pusparani, Windyana Putra, I Gusti Ngurah Sentana Rahardiantoro, Septian Rais Rakhmalia, Riza Indriani Rizki Manaf, Silmi Anisa Rizki, Akbar Rochman, Nur Sachnaz Desta Oktarina Sentana Putra, I Gusti Ngurah Seran, Karlina Setyono Siregar, Indra Rivaldi Siti Arni Wulandya, Siti Arni Siti Hafsah Suhaeni, Cici Tamara, Novian Tarida, Arna Ristiyanti Trianjaya, Beny Tyas, Maulida Fajrining Ulfa, Yopi Ariesia Uswatun Hasanah Utami Dyah Syafitri Wigena, Aji H Yanke, Aldino Yudistira Yudistira Yudistira Yudistira Yumna Karimah _ Aunuddin