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All Journal IAES International Journal of Artificial Intelligence (IJ-AI) HAYATI Journal of Biosciences Jurnal Pengolahan Hasil Perikanan Indonesia FORUM STATISTIKA DAN KOMPUTASI Indonesian Journal of Geography Media Statistika JURNAL KIMIA SAINS DAN APLIKASI Jurnal Manajemen Teknologi CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika The Journal of Pure and Applied Chemistry Research JUITA : Jurnal Informatika Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis dan Manajemen (JABM) E-Journal Knowledge Engineering and Data Science Jurnal Matematika Sains dan Teknologi Syntax Literate: Jurnal Ilmiah Indonesia Indonesian Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining BAREKENG: Jurnal Ilmu Matematika dan Terapan Indonesian Journal of Chemistry JTAM (Jurnal Teori dan Aplikasi Matematika) Cetta: Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan Martabat: Jurnal Perempuan dan Anak MATRIK : Jurnal Manajemen, Teknik Informatika, dan Rekayasa Komputer Zero : Jurnal Sains, Matematika, dan Terapan Jurnal Ilmiah Ecosystem Jambura Journal of Mathematics Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis Al-Khwarizmi: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika dan Ilmu Pengetahuan Alam Inferensi InPrime: Indonesian Journal Of Pure And Applied Mathematics Jurnal Statistika dan Aplikasinya Enthusiastic : International Journal of Applied Statistics and Data Science Xplore: Journal of Statistics Molekul: Jurnal Ilmiah Kimia Indonesian Journal of Jamu Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications Journal on Mathematics Education
Utami Dyah Syafitri
Department Of Statistics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Sciences, IPB University, Jl. Meranti Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor 16680, Indonesia
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Journal : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika

 1 
Pengembangan Model Prediksi Kelulusan Calon Mahasiswa Sarjana pada Sistem Seleksi SNMPTN IPB Muthahari, Wadudi; Wijaya, Sony Hartono; Syafitri, Utami Dyah
Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika Vol. 12 No. 1 (2025)
Publisher : Sekolah Sains Data, Matematika, dan Informatika. Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jika.12.1.59-71

Abstract

Since 2019, the SNMPTN selection process at IPB has used web-based selection media and specific algorithms. However, the process has not yet implemented machine learning-based modeling that can provide recommendations on a student's likelihood of being accepted as an IPB student. This study aims to find out what factors influence prospective students passing the IPB SNMPTN pathway and to develop machine learning modeling using Random Forest and Binary Logistic Regression. Four models were built and trained using hyperparameter tuning. The first model uses all features without balancing. The second model uses all features and SMOTE. The third model uses feature selection and SMOTE, and the fourth uses feature selection by Expert Adjustment (EA) and SMOTE. The results show that the models tested using test data with SMOTE data balancing consistently show higher recall values compared to models without data balancing. The third model with Binary Logistic Regression on West Java data and the second model with Binary Logistic Regression on Non-West Java data show the best recall values of 88.93% and 86.91%, respectively. The modeling results also show that the order of college selection, school index category, academic achievements, and program of study choice significantly impact the prediction of applicants’ passing.
Co-Authors Aam Alamudi Abdul Rohman Abdul Rohman Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustin Faradila Aidi, Muhammad Nur Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Alfi Hudatul Karomah ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Amany, Nurfatimah Anang Kurnia Andrew Donda Munthe Anggrahini, Ervina Dwi Anggraini Sukmawati Anik Djuraidah Anissa Permatasari Antonio Kautsar Anugrah, Cahya Ireno Ardiansyah, M. Ficky Haris Aryasa, Komang Budi ASEP SAEFUDDIN Auliya Ilmiawati Aziza, Vivin Nur Azkiya, Azka Al Baehera, Seta Bagus Sartono Bambang - Riyanto Bambang Prajogo Eko Wardoyo Bambang Riyanto Bartho Sihombing Bayu Pranata, Bayu Budi Susetyo Christin Halim Cici Suhaeni Dea Amelia, Dea Dwi Agustin Nuriani Sirodj Dwi Putri Kurniasari Eka Dewi Pertiwi Eka Winarni Sapitri Eminita, Viarti Endina Fatihah Yasmin Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani, Erfiani Erlinda Widya Widjanarko Ernawati, Fitrah Eti Rohaeti Evita Choiriyah Fachry Abda El Rahman Fadhila Hijryani FAHREZAL ZUBEDI Farit M Afendi Fatimah, Zahra Nurul Fitrianto, Anwar Gandaputra Simbolon, Andreas Nicholas Hari Wijayanto I Made Sumertajaya Idqan Fahmi Immatul Ulya Indahwati Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA Indradewa, Rhian Intan Lukiswati Irmanida Batubara Irzaman, Irzaman Isti Rochayati Izzati, Mumpuni Nur Joko Santoso Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Kusman Sadik Laradea Marifni Lidiasari, Melisa Lismayani Usman M. Iqbal M. Rafi Meilania, Gusti Tasya Mohamad Rafi Mohamad Rafi Mohamad Rafi Mohammad Masjkur Muhamad Insanu Muhammad Bachri Amran Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Nursid Mulianto Raharjo Muslim, Muhammad Irfai Muthahari, Wadudi Nanik Siti Aminah Nariswari Karina Dewi Ni Kadek Manik Dewantari Noer Endah Islami Nofrida Elly Zendrato Novia Yustika Tri Lestari. YR Nur Aidi, Muhammad Nurhajawarsi Nurhajawarsi Nursifa Mawadah Putri, Thasya R, Arifuddin Rifki Husnul Khuluk Ririn Fara Afriani Riswan Riswan Sanusi, Ratna Nur Mustika Sari, Mutia Dwi Permata Septaningsih, Dewi Anggraini Setiabudi, Nur Andi Setyowati, Silfiana Lis Sifa Awalul Fikriah Simbolon, Andreas Nicholas Gandaputra Siwi Haryu Pramesti Soleh, Agus M Soni Yadi Mulyadi Sony Hartono Wijaya Sri Sulastri Syam, Ummul Auliyah Syifa Muflihah Tania Amalia Darsono Topan . Ruspayandi Triyani Oktaria Vega, Iliana Patricia Vivin Nur Aziza Weisha, Ghea Wini - Trilaksani Wulan Tri Wahyuni Yenni Angraini Yuan Millafanti Yuni Suci Kurniawati Yuniar Istiqomah