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Utami Dyah Syafitri
Department Of Statistics, Faculty Of Mathematics And Natural Sciences, IPB University, Jl. Meranti Kampus IPB Dramaga, Bogor 16680, Indonesia
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Journal : Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika

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Pengembangan Model Prediksi Kelulusan Calon Mahasiswa Sarjana pada Sistem Seleksi SNMPTN IPB Muthahari, Wadudi; Wijaya, Sony Hartono; Syafitri, Utami Dyah
Jurnal Ilmu Komputer dan Agri-Informatika Vol 12 No 1 (2025)
Publisher : Departemen Ilmu Komputer, Institut Pertanian Bogor

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.29244/jika.12.1.59-71

Abstract

Since 2019, the SNMPTN selection process at IPB has used web-based selection media and specific algorithms. However, the process has not yet implemented machine learning-based modeling that can provide recommendations on a student's likelihood of being accepted as an IPB student. This study aims to find out what factors influence prospective students passing the IPB SNMPTN pathway and to develop machine learning modeling using Random Forest and Binary Logistic Regression. Four models were built and trained using hyperparameter tuning. The first model uses all features without balancing. The second model uses all features and SMOTE. The third model uses feature selection and SMOTE, and the fourth uses feature selection by Expert Adjustment (EA) and SMOTE. The results show that the models tested using test data with SMOTE data balancing consistently show higher recall values compared to models without data balancing. The third model with Binary Logistic Regression on West Java data and the second model with Binary Logistic Regression on Non-West Java data show the best recall values of 88.93% and 86.91%, respectively. The modeling results also show that the order of college selection, school index category, academic achievements, and program of study choice significantly impact the prediction of applicants’ passing.
Co-Authors Aam Alamudi Abdul Rohman Abdul Rohman Agus Mohamad Soleh Agustin Faradila Aidi, Muhammad Nur Aji Hamim Wigena Akbar Rizki Alfi Hudatul Karomah ALIU, MUFTIH ALWI Anang Kurnia Andreas Nicholas Gandaputra Simbolon Andrew Donda Munthe Anggrahini, Ervina Dwi Anggraini Sukmawati Anik Djuraidah Anissa Permatasari Antonio Kautsar ASEP SAEFUDDIN Auliya Ilmiawati Aziza, Vivin Nur Azkiya, Azka Al Baehera, Seta Bagus Sartono Bambang - Riyanto Bambang Prajogo Eko Wardoyo Bambang Riyanto Bartho Sihombing Bayu Pranata, Bayu Budi Susetyo Christin Halim Cici Suhaeni Dea Amelia, Dea Dwi Agustin Nuriani Sirodj Dwi Putri Kurniasari Eka Dewi Pertiwi Eka Winarni Sapitri Eminita, Viarti Endina Fatihah Yasmin Erfiani Erfiani Erfiani, Erfiani Erlinda Widya Widjanarko Ernawati, Fitrah Eti Rohaeti Evita Choiriyah Fadhila Hijryani FAHREZAL ZUBEDI Farit M Afendi Fatimah, Zahra Nurul Fitrianto, Anwar Gusti Tasya Meilania Hari Wijayanto I Made Sumertajaya Idqan Fahmi Immatul Ulya Indahwati Indonesian Journal of Statistics and Its Applications IJSA Intan Lukiswati Irmanida Batubara Irzaman, Irzaman Isti Rochayati Izzati, Mumpuni Nur Joko Santoso Jumansyah, L. M. Risman Dwi Khairil Anwar Notodiputro Kusman Sadik Laradea Marifni Lidiasari, Melisa Lismayani Usman M. Iqbal M. Rafi Meilania, Gusti Tasya Mohamad Rafi Mohamad Rafi Mohamad Rafi Mohammad Masjkur Muhamad Insanu Muhammad Bachri Amran Muhammad Nur Aidi Muhammad Nursid Mulianto Raharjo Muslim, Muhammad Irfai Muthahari, Wadudi Nanik Siti Aminah Nariswari Karina Dewi Ni Kadek Manik Dewantari Noer Endah Islami Nofrida Elly Zendrato Novia Yustika Tri Lestari. YR Nur Aidi, Muhammad Nurhajawarsi Nurhajawarsi Nursifa Mawadah R, Arifuddin Rifki Husnul Khuluk Ririn Fara Afriani Riswan Riswan Sanusi, Ratna Nur Mustika Sari, Mutia Dwi Permata Septaningsih, Dewi Anggraini Setyowati, Silfiana Lis Sifa Awalul Fikriah Siwi Haryu Pramesti Soleh, Agus M Soni Yadi Mulyadi Sony Hartono Wijaya Sri Sulastri Sri Wahyuningsih Syam, Ummul Auliyah Syifa Muflihah Tania Amalia Darsono Thasya Putri Topan . Ruspayandi Triyani Oktaria Vega, Iliana Patricia Vivin Nur Aziza Weisha, Ghea Wini - Trilaksani Wulan Tri Wahyuni Yenni Angraini Yuan Millafanti Yuni Suci Kurniawati Yuniar Istiqomah