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Journal : Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science

Seasonal meat stock demand used comparison of performance smoothing-average forecasting Tundo, Tundo; Saifullah, Shoffan; Dharmawan, Tio; Junaidi, Junaidi; Devia, Elmi
Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science Vol 37, No 1: January 2025
Publisher : Institute of Advanced Engineering and Science

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.11591/ijeecs.v37.i1.pp425-433

Abstract

Seasonal patterns significantly influence the demand for beef stock, especially in rural areas that rely on natural feed. Accurate forecasting is essential for managing this demand due to beef's status as a government-regulated nutritional commodity. Food production, consumption, and income levels affect the demand for beef stocks. This research aims to identify the most precise forecasting method for predicting future beef stock needs. We evaluated multiple techniques, including single exponential smoothing (SES), double exponential smoothing (DES), single moving average (SMA), and double moving average (DMA), using the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) metric, focusing specifically on beef supplies in Pemalang. The results indicated that the DMA method achieved the highest accuracy with a MAPE value of 5.993% at the 4th -order parameter. Additionally, increasing the data volume improved forecasting accuracy, demonstrating the effectiveness of the DMA method for beef stock prediction.
Co-Authors Abdul Fadlil Adityo Nugroho, Adityo Afiqa, Nurul Agung Tri Utomo Agus Sasmito Aribowo Ahmad Taufiq Akbar Ahmad Tri Hidayat Aji Prasetya Wibawa Akbar, Bagus Muhammad Alek Setiyo Nugroho Alfiani, Oktavia Dewi Alin Khaliduzzaman Alin Khaliduzzaman Alisya Amalia Putri Hasanah Andi Muhammad Dirham Dewantara Andiko Putro Suryotomo Andri Pranolo Anton Satria Prabuwono Anton Satria Prabuwono Anton Yudhana Arianti, Berliana Andra Arief Hermawan Awang Hendrianto Pratomo Azlan, Faris Farhan Azrul Mahfurdz Bambang Yuwono Bambang Yuwono Betty Yel, Mesra Budi Santosa Devia, Elmi Dharmawan, Tio Dreżewski, RafaÅ‚ Drezewski, Rafal Drezewski, Rafał Dwi Wahyuningrum Dwiyanto, Felix Andika Faqihuddin Al-anshori Felix Andika Dwiyanto Ghazali, Ahmad Badaruddin Haekal, Haekal Hari Prapcoyo Herlina Jayadianti Heru Cahya Rustamaji Hidayat, Ahmad Tri Humairoh, Nanda Lailatul Ismail, Amelia Ritahani Isna Nur Aini Ivana Puspita Sari Japkowicz, Nathalie Judanti Cahyaning Junaidi Junaidi Kaswijanti, Wilis Khaliduzzaman, Alin Kusuma, M. Apriandi Lean Karlo Tolentino Luh Putu Ratna Sundari Mubarak, Zulfikar Yusya Muhammad Nur Hendra Alvianto Nathalie Japkowicz Nisa, Syed Qamrun Noormaizan, Khairul Akmal Nur Heri Cahyana Nuril Anwar, Nuril Nuryana, Zalik Opi Irawansah, Opi Prapcoyo, Hari Putra, Agung Bella Utama Putra, Seno Aji Rabbimov Ilyos Rabbimov, Ilyos Rafal Drezewski Rafal Drezewski Rafal Drezewski Rafal Drezewski Rochmat Husaini Rochmat Husaini Rustamadji, Heru Saidah, Andi Santosa, Budi Satya Ghifari Adipratama Seno Aji Putra Suhirman SUHIRMAN SUHIRMAN Sularso Sularso, Sularso Sunardi - Sunardi - Sunardi Sunardi Sunardi, Sunardi Taufiq Akbar, Ahmad Tri Andi, Tri Tundo, Tundo Tuti Purwaningsih, Tuti Wahyu Adjie Saputra Wilis Kaswidjanti Wilis Kaswidjanti Wilis Kaswijanti Yuhefizar Yuhefizar Yuli Fauziah Yuli Fauziyah