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All Journal JURNAL PENDIDIKAN TAMBUSAI Contemporary Mathematics and Applications (ConMathA) Pengabdian Kampus: Jurnal Informasi Kegiatan Pengabdian Pada Masyarakat Jurnal Bakti Bagi Bangsa IKHLAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Dosen dan Mahasiswa Inisiatif: Jurnal Dedikasi Pengabdian Masyarakat Jurnal Abdimas Lamin Al-Ihtiram: Multidisciplinary Journal of Counseling and Social Research Jurnal Masyarakat Berdikari dan Berkarya (MARDIKA) Al Iidara Balad : Jurnal Administrasi Negara
Ramadani, Nia
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Journal : Contemporary Mathematics and Applications (ConMathA)

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Comparison of Double Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average for Forecasting Lost Vehicle Registration Certificates in Pamekasan Ramadani, Nia; Faisol; Kuzairi; Amalia, Rica
Contemporary Mathematics and Applications (ConMathA) Vol. 7 No. 2 (2025)
Publisher : Universitas Airlangga

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.20473/conmatha.v7i2.70201

Abstract

The government issues the Vehicle Registration Certificate (STNK), an official document that certifies a motorized vehicle's identity and authenticity. Pamekasan Regency is one of the regencies in East Java Province that frequently suffers losses associated with Vehicle Registration Certificates (STNK). Consequently, it is essential to predict the amount of car registration losses so that the Pamekasan regional administration can use the information to lower the losses. The Double Exponential Smoothing and Double Moving Average techniques were used in this study to forecast the amount of vehicle registration losses. According to the research findings, the smoothing parameters ? = 0.3 and ? = 0.025 had the lowest MAPE value from the Double Exponential Smoothing method, with a MAPE value of 49.4082%. The double moving average method's smallest MAPE, ? = 3, has a MAPE value of 31.53215%. The twofold moving average approach is the best way to forecast the loss of car registration in Pamekasan, according to the comparison's findings.
Co-Authors Abdullatif, Ahmad Amalia, Rica Apriani, Risma Apriliani, Yawia Arisetiyanti, Novia Aritonang, Rezeki Ashar, Nur Asyikin binti Azizi, Khairul Bambang Sasmita Adi Putra Dermawan, Dermawan Faisol Farihah, Farihah Fitriani Fitriani Geri, Nove Hera Ravida MJ Hidayatullah, Gusti Muhammad Husaini, M. Iman, Adi Putra Nur irham Isnaeni, Arni Isti Pujihastuti Jelmiati, Jelmiati Kamaruzzaman Khairi, Khairi Kuzairi Muhammad Hafizh Pajariah, Wiwit Pratama, Salsa Ayudhia Purnama, Teuku Tegar Rahmawati, Rahmawati Ratna Sari Reni Agustiani, Reni Safutri Asri, Selsi Samsul Arifin Sinambela, Sarah Stephens, Dara Niesha Chastine Sya'ban, Al Mahdy Nur Muhammad Yoga