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Cognitive Biases in Investment Decision: Do Education and Income Make a Difference? Elva Herlianti; Nugraha; Disman; Yayat Supriyatna; Imas Purnamasari
Dinamika Pendidikan Vol. 19 No. 2 (2024)
Publisher : Economics Education Department Universitas Negeri Semarang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15294/dp.v19i2.20991

Abstract

This study aims to extensively research the effects of cognitive biases on individual investment decisions. The population of this research is investors in Indonesia and the sampling technique used is random sampling, obtained 574 respondents from 34 provinces in Indonesia. Quantitative data were collected through structured questionnaires and analyzed using multiple linear regression and moderated-moderation model in the PROCESS Procedure for SPSS Version 4.1 by Hayes. Results indicate that herding bias has a negative influence, discouraging investors from following market trends, while loss aversion, framing, anchoring, and mental accounting positively impact investment decisions; these biases are moderated by demographic factors. The findings imply that demographic factors do not interact jointly but operate independently to impact investment behavior. This research is novel in its exploration of moderated-moderation effects to reveal nuanced interactions between cognitive biases and demographics in shaping investment decisions.
Moderating Effect of Foreign Capital Flow on Investor Sentiment and Stock Returns in ASEAN Hadi Ahmad Sukardi; Nugraha Nugraha; Toni Heryana; Yayat Supriyatna
Inkubis : Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Vol. 8 No. 2 (2026): INKUBIS Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis
Publisher : Politeknik Siber Cerdika Internasional

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.59261/inkubis.v8i2.238

Abstract

Background: ASEAN capital markets exhibit persistent return volatility that is inconsistent with macroeconomic fundamentals, suggesting the influence of behavioral and structural factors beyond the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). Objective: This study examines the direct effect of investor sentiment on stock returns across six ASEAN economies and tests the moderating role of foreign capital flows in this relationship. Methods: Using quarterly panel data from 2003 to 2024 (N = 504) covering Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, the Philippines, and Vietnam, this study employs moderated regression analysis within a fixed effects model (FEM). Investor sentiment is proxied by the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI), stock returns are measured using national composite indices, and foreign capital flows are operationalized through Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). The Hausman test confirmed FEM as the appropriate estimator. Results: Investor sentiment exerts a positive and significant effect on stock returns (β = 0.187, p < 0.05). Although FDI alone does not significantly predict returns (p = 0.177), the interaction term CCI × FDI is highly significant (β = 0.115, p < 0.01), confirming a catalytic moderating effect. Conclusion: Foreign capital inflows amplify the sentiment–return relationship in ASEAN markets. These findings offer critical insights for policymakers and portfolio managers regarding behavioral market dynamics and capital flow surveillance in emerging economies.