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Journal : INFOKUM

Influence of Demographics for Prediction of Election Participation Using Logistic Regression Algorithm Rahmi Aulia Barlian; Arif Senja Fitrani; Metatia Intan Mauliana
INFOKUM Vol. 10 No. 03 (2022): August, Data Mining, Image Processing, and artificial intelligence
Publisher : Sean Institute

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Abstract

Indonesia is a democratic country for General Elections (Election) which are carried out directly, freely, confidentially, honestly, and fairly. Several stages of the election, among others, begin with compiling a permanent voter list (DPT), determination of polling stations (TPS), and recapitulating election results. Various factors, including the demographic factor, can affect citizen participation in the general election. Demographic data covers Energy, Geographic, Education, Health, Population, Economy, Communication, and Transportation factors. This study tries to combine election data with demographic data taken from the official website of the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) of Mojokerto Regency and data on the results of the 2019 Election calculations taken from the official website of the General Election Commission (KPU) of Mojokerto Regency. Preprocessing steps are data cleaning, data integration, and correlation attributes for a more optimal presentation of the dataset and the distribution of four split datasets (training data and testing data) to find the best results. Implementation of classification method with Logistic Regression (LR) algorithm to predict community participation at the TPS level. From the test results of four split datasets, the highest predictive value was 64.80% in composition 3 with a ratio of 80:20, where 127 data were labeled low, and 291 data were labeled high.
Co-Authors Abidin, Husnul Ade Eviyanti Aditya Wira Utama Agusetiana, Ervina Agustin, Erlina Ahmi Arifuadi Aljunza, Marshal Sheva Anggraeni, Anifah Warda ARDIANSYAH ARDIANSYAH Astutik, Ika Ratna Indra Azhari, RR. Debby Amalia Bimantoro, Riky Andreansyah Busono, Suhendro Cahyani, Ravica Eka Damara, Rivaldi Garindra Denny Hartanto Dewi Eka Safitri Dhani, Bayu Rama Dona Ardiansyah Eriyanto, Sandi Eko Eviyanti , Ade Fajar Suryansyah Fajrillah, Fajrillah Faqih, Ahmad Abdullah Fitriyanto, Ade Habibur Rahman Arjuni Hadi, Miftakhul Hartanto, Denny Hindarto Irwan Alnarus Kautsar Jagad Yudha Awali Lia Iftitah Linda Kushernawati Lukman Harun Iskandar M. Arsyil Adhi’im M. Purnomo Adji Saputro Mauliana, Metatia Intan Mochamad Alfan Rosid Mochamad Rifqi Aminudin Muhammad Assegaf Ba'alwi Muhammad Fadil Santoso muhammad Hendra Oktaviano Muhammad Muzayyin Muhammad, Khithoh Sabda Naufal Galfan Syah Nikko Enggaliano Pratama Nurdyansyah Nursapdahi, Nursapdahi Nurtia Suryani Pandi Rais Prasetyo, Heri Rahmi Aulia Barlian Rais, Pandi Refinda, Achmad Ainun Gusti Rohman Dijaya Rozi, Hervy Qurrotul Ainur RR. Debby Amalia Azhari Safitri, Dewi Eka Satria Hidayahtullah Setiawan, Hamzah Shiddiq, Zulfian Syahril Silvie Nur Millah Sukma Aji Sumarno Sumarno Suprianto Syafaat, Dany Syah, Naufal Galfan Syahrorini, Syamsudduha Taurusta, Cindy Uce Indahyanti Umi Khoirun Nisak Wahidiyah Kurniawati Wahyu Setia Bintara Wahyu, Muhamamad Wirda Novarika Yulian Findawati Yusuf Raharja Yuwanto, Mahmud Adi Zahputra, Aldy Trisza