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Journal : Building of Informatics, Technology and Science

Penerapan Metode Principal Component Analysis (PCA) dan Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) dalam Memprediksi Prediksi Curah Hujan Harian Musfiroh, Musfiroh; Novitasari, Dian Candra Rini; Intan, Putroue Keumala; Wisnawa, Gede Gangga
Building of Informatics, Technology and Science (BITS) Vol 5 No 1 (2023): June 2023
Publisher : Forum Kerjasama Pendidikan Tinggi

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.47065/bits.v5i1.3114

Abstract

Since the last three years North Luwu has experienced frequent hydrological disasters in the form of floods and landslides. The disaster had a negative impact on the availability of clean water, failed to plant and even tended to reduce the quality of the harvest. Cocoa is one of the leading commodities of North Luwu Regency whose productivity has decreased due to the impact of climate change so that it will affect the sustainability of the local population's income. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to anticipate rainfall that will occur to prevent or reduce the risk of failure and loss. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) Method is used as feature extraction to find out the most influential variables and the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) method is used as a prediction method. Future rainfall is predicted using meteorological variables such as pressure, evaporation, maximum temperature, average humidity, and sunshine duration from 1 January 2017 to 30 September 2022. Based on the PCA results, 4 variables are obtained that have the most influence on rainfall, namely: variable evaporation, maximum temperature, average humidity, and length of sunlight. These variables are used as input to predict rainfall using LSTM. In this study using trial parameters, namely the number of hidden, batch size, and learn rate drop period. The best prediction results were obtained for MAPE of 0.0018 with the number of hidden, batch size and learn rate drop periods of 100, 32, and 50 respectively. The prediction results show very heavy rainfall occurring on August 28, 2021 of 101.9734 mm, 21 September 2021 of 108.6528 mm, and 5 April 2022 of 116.5510 mm. In this study PCA was able to increase accuracy in considering all parameters and choosing the most effective.
Co-Authors Abdulloh Hamid Abdulloh Hamid Achmad Teguh Wibowo Adam Fahmi Khariri Adyanti, Deasy Ahmad Hanif Asyhar Ahmad Hidayatullah Ahmad Zoebad Foeady Ahmad Zoebad Foeady Aisyah, Nora Alvin Nuralif Ramadanti Amin, Faris Mushlihul Arifin, Ahmad Zaenal Aris Fanani Ariyanto Wijaya, Indra Ariyanto, Dimas Azmi, Tasya Auliya Ulul Chalawatul Ais Damayanti, Adelia Deasy Adyanti Dianita Utami, Wika Dilla Dwi Kartika Diva Ayu Safitri Nur Maghfiroh Elen Riswana Safila Putri Fahriza Novianti Fajar Setiawan Fajar Setiawan Fajar Setiawan Fajar Setiawan FAJAR SETIAWAN Fanani, Aris Farida, Yuniar Faris Mushlihul Amin Farmita, Mayandah Ferryan, Dhandy Ahmad Firmansjah, Muhammad Fitria, Nur Annisa Foeady, Ahmad Zoebad Galuh Andriani Ganeshar B.D. Prasanda Gita Purnamasari R Hani Khaulasari Hanimatim Mu'jizah Haq, Dina Zatusiva Ifadah, Corii Indriyani, Jiphie Gilia Irkhana Indaka Zulfa Jauharotul Inayah Kurniawan, Mohammad Lail Kusaeri Kusaeri Lubab, Ahmad Luluk Mahfiroh Lutfi Hakim Lutfi Hakim Lutfi Hakim Luthfi Hakim Luthfi Hakim M. Hasan Bisri Mardiyah, Ilmiatul Masruroh Kusman, Umi Maulana, Achmad Resnu Maulana, Jeneiro Moh. Hafiyusholeh Mohammad Rizal Abidin Mohd Fauzi, Shukor Sanim Monika Refiana Nurfadila MUHAMMAD FAHRUR ROZI Muhammad Fahrur Rozi Muhammad Syaifulloh Fattah Muhammad Thohir Musfiroh Musfiroh, Musfiroh Nanang Widodo Nanang Widodo Nanang Widodo Nanang Widodo Nisa Trianifa Noviati Maharani Sunariadi Noviati Maharani Sunariadi Nur Afifah Nur Hidayah Nurissaidah Ulinnuha Pramesti, Diah Devi Puspitasari, Wahyu Tri Putri Wulandari Putri, Evi Septya Putroue Keumala Intan Rafika Veriani Ramadanti, Alvin Nuralif Ratnasari, Cristanti Dwi RIFA ATUL HASANAH Rifa Atul Hasanah Rozi, Muhammad Fahrur Rozzy, Fahrul Safira, Icha Dwi Sani, Puteri Permata Sari, Firda Yunita Sari, Ghaluh Indah Permata Sari, Yana Vita Setiawan, Fajar Setyawati, Maunah Siti Nur Aisah Siti Nur Fadilah Siti Nur Fadilah Siti Ria Riqmawatin Sukarni, Adinda Ika Sulistiya Nengse Sulistiyawati, Dewi Suwanto Suwanto Suwanto Suwanto Swindiarto, Victory T. Pambudi Tasya Auliya Ulul Azmi Unix Izyah Arfianti USWATUN KHASANAH Utami, Tri Mar'ati Nur Utami, Wika Dianita Utami Dianita Veriani, Rafika Vina Fitriyana Wanda N.P. Sunaryo Wijaya, Indra Ariyanto Wika Dianita Utami Wika Dianita Utami Wika Dianita Utami Wika Dianita Utami Wisnawa, Gede Gangga Yasirah Rezqita Aisyah Yasmin Yuliati, Dian Yuliawanti, Felia Dria Yuni Hariningsih Yuniar Farida, Yuniar Yusuf, Ahmad Yuyun Monita Yuyun Monita Zahroh, Khofifah Auliyatuz Zulfa, Elok Indana