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Optimal Prevention and Treatment Control on SVEIR Type Model Spread of COVID-19 Nainggolan, Jonner
CAUCHY Vol 7, No 1 (2021): CAUCHY: Jurnal Matematika Murni dan Aplikasi
Publisher : Mathematics Department, Maulana Malik Ibrahim State Islamic University of Malang

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.18860/ca.v7i1.12634

Abstract

COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted the world's health and economy and has resulted in many deaths since the first case occurred in China at the end of 2019. Moreover, The COVID-19 disease spread throughout the world, including Indonesia on March 2, 2020.  Coronavirus quickly spreads through droplets of phlegm through the throat to the lungs. Researchers in the medical field and the exact science are jointly examined the spread, prevention, and optimal control of COVID-19 disease. Due to the prevention of COVID-19, a vaccine has been found  in early 2021, which at the time, the vaccination process was carried out worldwide against COVID-19. This paper examines the spread model of SVEIR-type COVID-19 by considering the vaccination subpopulation. In this study, control of prevention efforts (  and ) and healing efforts  are given and being analyzed with the fourth-order Runge-Kutta approach. Based on numerical simulations, it can be seen that using the controls    and  can reduce the number of infected individuals in the subpopulation compared to those without control. The  control can increase the number of recovered individual subpopulations.Keywords: COVID-19; SVEIR model; optimal control; treatment; vaccination.
ANALISIS MODEL PROBABILISTIK PUNAHNYA MUTAN PARASIT MALARIA YANG RESISTEN TERHADAP KLOROKUIN PLUS AMODIAKUIN Jonner Nainggolan
INTEGRAL Vol. 11 No. 1 (2013)
Publisher : INTEGRAL

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (266.471 KB)

Abstract

In this paper probabilistic models are developed from a model of malaria parasite population dynamics proposed by Macdonald [1] based on Galton-Watson branching and generating Negative Binomial distribution with maximum likelihood estimation, to test a model of malaria parasite extinction. Values of the model parameters are calculated using a samples of patients treated at the Jayapura General Hospital. The response of malaria parasites to chloroquine plus amodiaquine was examined with in- vivo tests. Samples were taken from 40 people, with 17 sensitive samples, 9 samples of degree of RI, 8 samples of degree of RII, and 6 samples of degree RIII. The data sample used in the model must satisfy the Negative Binomial distribution. Model construction approach includes: the basic model, study models, and mathematical calculations. A goodness of fit test was used to test the feasibility of the model. The model was focused on predicting the probability of the extinction of mutant malaria parasites resistant to chloroquine plus amodiaquine in a local population. Data analysis revealed the point of the probability of the extinction of resistant malaria parasites using Galton-Watson theorem is s = 0.8814. The probability of the extinction of malaria parasites resistant to chloroquine plus amodiaquine is φNB =0,8902.Keywords: Probabilistic model, malaria, the point of the extinction of parasites,chloroquine plus amodiaquine.Model probabilistik dalam tulisan ini merupakan pengembangan model dinamika populasi parasit malaria yang dikaji oleh Macdonald [1] berbasiskan pencabangan Galton-Watson dan pembangkit distribusi Binomial Negatif dengan estimasi mak- simum likelihood. Kombinasi model pencabangan Galton-Watson dan pembangkit distribusi Binomial Negatif digunakan untuk mengkaji model peluang punahnya parasit malaria. Untuk menentukan nilai parameter-parameter model digunakan data pasien yang berobat di Rumah Sakit Umum Jayapura. Untuk melihat respon parasit malaria terhadap obat antimalaria, digunakan tes in-vivo. Jumlah sampel dalam penelitian ini sebanyak 40 orang, 17 sampel sensitif, 9 sampel derajat RI, 8 sampel derajat RII, dan 6 sampel derajat RIII. Data sampel yang digunakan pada kajian model harus memenuhi syarat distribusi Binomial Negatif. Kemudian dilakukan pengujian kelayakan model dengan menggunakan goodness of fit test. Kajian model tersebut difokuskan untuk memprediksi besarnya probabilitas punah- nya mutan parasit malaria yang resisten terhadap klorokuin plus amodiakuin. Dari hasil analisis data diperoleh titik punahnya parasit malaria dengan menggunakan teorema Galton-Watson s = 0,8814. Sedangkan peluang punahnya parasit malaria yang resisten terhadap klorokuin plus amodiakuin adalah φN B = 0, 8902.Kata Kunci: Model probabilistik, malaria, titik punahnya parasit, klorokuin plusamodiakuin.
Analisis Kestabilan Lokal Titik Ekuilibrium Model Dinamik Kebiasaan Merokok Joko Harianto; Mira Aprilia Marcus; Jonner Nainggolan
KUBIK Vol 5, No 2 (2020): KUBIK: Jurnal Publikasi Ilmiah Matematika
Publisher : Jurusan Matematika, Fakultas Sains dan Teknologi, UIN Sunan Gunung Djati Bandung

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.15575/kubik.v5i2.9348

Abstract

Dinamika kebiasaan merokok dalam artikel ini dianalisis dengan pendekatan model epidemiologi. Lingkungan perokok dibagi menjadi empat populasi, yaitu populasi  (Potential) menyatakan populasi dari individu-individu yang tidak merokok, populasi  (Light) menyatakan populasi dari perokok ringan, populasi (Smokers) menyatakan populasi dari perokok berat, populasi  menyatakan populasi dari individu-individu yang berhenti merokok sementara dan populasi  menyatakan populasi dari individu-individu yang berhenti merokok secara permanen. Model  tersebut dimodifikasi kemudian dianalisis titik ekuilibriumnya. Langkah pertama, ditentukan titik ekuilibrium bebas rokok. Langkah kedua, ditentukan titik ekuilibrium kebiasaan merokok. Langkah ketiga, ditentukan the Smoking Generation Number (R0 ) dengan menggunakan next generation matrix yang melibatkan radius spektral. Langkah terakhir, kestabilan lokal setiap titik ekuilibrium pada modelnya dianalisis. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa titik ekuilibrium bebas rokok stabil asimtotik lokal saat nilai the Smoking Generation Number kurang dari satu. Sebaliknya, jika nilai the Smoking Generation Number lebih dari satu dan b1(m+g) lebih dari b2(b1-m), maka titik ekuilibrium perokok ringan stabil asimtotik lokal. Sedangkan titik ekuilibrium perokok berat stabil asimtotik lokal jika nilai the Heavy Smoking Generation Number lebih dari satu. Kemudian dilakukan simulasi numerik menggunakan Software Maple untuk mengecek hasil analisis kestabilan lokal titik ekuilibrium tersebut.
PENGEMBANGAN MODUL IPA TERPADU BERBASIS KEARIFAN LOKAL PAPUA MATERI INTERAKSI MAHLUK HIDUP TERHADAP LINGKUNGAN SRI LESTARI; TIURLINA SIREGAR; JONNER NAINGGOLAN
Jurnal Ilmu Pendidikan Indonesia Vol 7, No 3 (2019)
Publisher : Program Magister Pendidikan IPA, Program Pascasarjana Universitas Cenderawasih

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (352.037 KB) | DOI: 10.31957/jipi.v7i3.1024

Abstract

Papua's local wisdom module is really needed to improve learning outcomes with contextual and tangible control where so far there has been lack of teaching materials based on local wisdom. This research is a research and development (Research & Development) that aims to find out how to develop integrated science modules based on local Papuan wisdom materials on the interaction of living things with the environment in class VII students of Nurul Huda Yapis Jayapura in knowing improvement in learning outcomes after using the module. The development model used is the ADDIE model (Analyze, Design, Development, Implementation, Evaluation) with an experimental design using a pre test post test one group design, which uses one research class with a sample of 37 students. The results showed. (1) The results of the feasibility test for the prepared learning modules, based on material validation, obtained an average of 90.6%, media validation with an average of 92%, educator responses 96.25% and mean responses of students by 90.7%. In general the average for the module feasibility test is 92.10% which means the module is very suitable for use in learning. (2) There is an increase in students' learning outcomes after using a module based on local Papuan wisdom, based on the n-Gain results in RPP 1 is 0.57, RPP 2 is 0.71 and RPP 3 is 0.75. The n-Gain average for the three RPPs is 0.68 with a moderate category which means the use of science modules based on local Papuan wisdom is quite effective in improving student learning outcomes.
Pelatihan Pembelajaran Daring Menggunakan Google Classroom Pada Guru-Guru di Provinsi Papua Happy Lumbantobing; Ronaldo Kho; Bettisari Napitupulu; Ida Mariati Hutabarat; Jonner Nainggolan; Irfan Wahyudi; Martinus Y. Ruamba; Citra Ratna Napitupulu; Mindo Hotmaida Sinambela; Christine Mersi Rumpaisum
Jurnal Abdimasa Pengabdian Masyarakat Vol 6 No 1 (2023): Jurnal ABDIMASA Pengabdian Masyarakat
Publisher : Universitas Pendidikan Muhammadiyah Sorong

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.36232/jurnalabdimasa.v6i1.2978

Abstract

During the Covid-19 outbreak, the use of online learning presented a challenge for educators in the province of Papua. In Papua Province, 99 participants from 12 districts and cities participated in the training session utilizing Google Classroom. Training activities were carried out online using the zoom meeting application. The purpose of this training is to help and equip teachers to carry out online learning using the google classroom application. Participants were taught how to build classes, make announcements, create discussion forums, upload subject matter, assignments, and exam questions, construct quizzes and exam questions using google forms, and were given a simulation of how to utilize google classroom capabilities. The service's results suggest that users truly require training to advance their knowledge and abilities utilizing online learning tools like google classroom. After attending the training, participants have improved their knowledge and abilities in utilizing google classroom, have improved levels of creativity and expertise to create online courses, and have a high degree of satisfaction. Given that the Covid-19 pandemic is not known to have an end date and that the industrial revolution 4.0 and the industrial revolution 5.0 are both upon us, it is imperative that online learning training for teachers be conducted continually.
PELATIHAN PENULISAN E-MODUL PADA GURU-GURU SMP NEGERI 1 KOTA JAYAPURA PAPUA Jonner Nainggolan; Virman
BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 4 No. 1 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Majalengka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | Full PDF (337.631 KB) | DOI: 10.31949/jb.v4i1.3281

Abstract

ervice activities for writing modules and e-modules for teachers during the COVID-19 pandemic are needed because learning is carried out online. The purpose of this community service activity is to increase the knowledge of teachers in writing modules and e-modules. Community service activities were carried out for the teachers of SMP Negeri 1 Jayapura City. Method of implementation: with the method of lectures, discussions, questions and answers, and exercises. The results of community service activities: (1) There are differences in knowledge about modules and e-modules for teachers of SMP Negeri 1 Jayapura City before and after the training activities. (2) There was an increase in knowledge about modules and e-modules among teachers at SMPN 1 Jayapura City with an average n-gain of 0.55 including the medium category.
PENINGKATAN PENGETAHUAN PENULISAN BUKU AJAR PADA GURU-GURU SMP Jonner Nainggolan; Virman Virman
JURNAL PENGABDIAN PAPUA Vol 7, No 1 (2023)
Publisher : LPPM Uncen

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31957/jpp.v7i1.2690

Abstract

The teacher is the dominant factor in the learning process at school. In the learning process, teachers are required to master the material being taught. Mastery of the material to be taught is an absolute requirement for the teacher, teachers can make textbooks or modules from the subjects being taught to better understand the material taught by a teacher. Making textbooks requires willingness, perseverance, commitment and lots of references. The sample of this research is the teachers of SMP Negeri 4 Jayapura as many as 17 teachers. The research activity was carried out, first the author gave a pre-test instrument to the teachers about the knowledge of textbook writing. Researchers provide material about the knowledge of writing textbooks, how to collect references, via the internet, textbooks, modules and journals. Textbook writing, code of ethics norms for editing teaching materials, Indonesian grammar according to textbook writing standards. The teaching materials were delivered, followed by questions and answers and discussions with activity participants. The activities carried out went well, it could be seen from the enthusiasm and motivation of the participants to take part in the activities. The materials prepared by the activity implementers were 98% complete. Participants in the activity were 17 participants, from the expected 15-20 teachers. After the material is taught, the post-test instrument is the same as the pre-test. Based on the results of the pre-test and post-test, the teacher gained an increase in knowledge about writing teaching materials with an average n-Gain of 0.41 including the medium category.Keywords: teaching materials; teachers; n-Gain
Efektifitas Pelatihan Penulisan Jurnal pada Guru-Guru SMP Negeri 6 Kota Jayapura Papua Jonner Nainggolan; Virman
BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 5 No. 1 (2024)
Publisher : Universitas Majalengka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31949/jb.v5i1.7133

Abstract

Pelatihan penulisan karya tulis ilmiah merupakan salah satu upaya untuk pengembangan profesi guru. Pelatihan ini dilakukan di SMP Negeri 6 Kota Jayapura. Kegiatan ini bertujuan untuk (1) membekali guru untuk membuat karya tulis ilmiah secara benar sesuai dengan pedoman penulisan karya ilmiah, dan (2) membekali guru untuk publikasi karya tulis ilmiah dalam jurnal. Metode yang digunakan pada pengabdian masyarakat yaitu: Metode ceramah, untuk menjelaskan prosedur penyusunan karya tulis ilmiah, termasuk di dalamnya bagaimana menyusun penelitian tindakan kelas menjadi sebuah karya tulis ilmiah. Diskusi dilakukan untuk mengetahui sejauh mana pengetahuan guru-guru SMPN 6 Jayapura dalam penulisan karya ilmiah. Metode latihan untuk memberi kesempatan kepada peserta menulis karya tulis ilmiah dalam suatu jurnal. Luaran yang ditergetkan dari hasil pengabdian kepada masyarakat ini adalah jurnal pengabdian masyarakat. Kegiatan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat pada SMP Negeri 6 Kota Jayapura berjalan dengan baik, terlihat dari antusias dan motivasi perserta mengikuti kegiatan. Materi yang disampaikan tercapai 96%. Peserta kegiatan hadir 25 peserta, dari 20 orang guru yang diharapkan. Terjadi peningkatan pengetahuan karya ilmiah peserta kegiatan dengan n-Gain sebesar 0,49 termasuk kategori sedang.
Optimalisasi Kemampuan Penulisan Karya Ilmiah Melalui Pelatihan untuk Meningkatkan Profesionalisme Guru-Guru di SMP Negeri 1 Jayapura: Pelatihan Penulisan Karya Ilmiah Jonner Nainggolan; Virman Virman
BERNAS: Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat Vol. 4 No. 2 (2023)
Publisher : Universitas Majalengka

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.31949/jb.v4i2.4559

Abstract

Teachers according to Law No. 14 of 2005 are professional educators, therefore increasing self-competence is a must. One of the self-competencies that must be developed is increasing research and disseminating it in journals. The teacher's current problem is not being able to make publications, some of the things that are considered as the cause include teachers not understanding the signs in making publications, teachers feel burdened by school administration, and others. The purpose of this service activity is to provide training on writing scientific papers, especially in journals. This activity was attended by 20 teachers, the training material included guidelines for making publications and how to submit to journals. The material is delivered in the form of lectures. The results show that the teacher is very happy and feels helped by this activity. In terms of the process, it is included in the good category, this can be seen from the attendance of the participants which reached 100%, all participants seemed very enthusiastic, enthusiastic and motivated to take part in this activity.
Factors contributing to insufficient scientific writing skills among junior high school teachers Virman, Virman; Pieter, Jan; G. D. Lasmono, Paulus; Nainggolan, Jonner; Abraham, Abraham
Journal of Educational Management and Instruction (JEMIN) Vol. 4 No. 2 (2024): December 2024
Publisher : UIN Raden Mas Said Surakarta

Show Abstract | Download Original | Original Source | Check in Google Scholar | DOI: 10.22515/jemin.v4i2.9689

Abstract

For teachers and educators, one self-competency that must be developed is enhancing research and scientific paper dissemination. This study aims to determine the abilities and obstacles experienced by teachers in writing scientific papers. Implementing a sequential research design, this research adopts both quantitative and qualitative analysis.  Twenty-seven teachers contributed as participants and gathered data through questionnaires, which were analyzed quantitatively, and semi-structured interviews which were analyzed qualitatively using thematic analysis. The results showed that SMP Negeri 6 Kota Jayapura teachers still face challenges in writing scientific papers. The scores for each issue are as follows: lack of understanding of publication writing guidelines is the most crucial issue with 24.59%. The second highest issue is the minimal time available to teachers, scoring 19.67%. The third highest issue is low teacher motivation, scoring 11.03%. The fourth highest issues are the lack of information on article writing, the prevalence of scientific paper writing services, and teachers' inability to operate computers, scoring 9.83%. The fifth highest issues are the lack of teacher skills in finding references, non-compliance of teachers' journals with writing guidelines, and limited references needed for writing. In conclusion, the three most dominant factors contributing to insufficient writing ability are the lack of scientific writing knowledge, lack of writing time and administrative demand, and low writing motivation. The research findings offer valuable insight both practically and theoretically. In fostering the related issues, training and ongoing support are crucial for developing and maintaining high standards of scientific writing among educators.